
Power deal threatens future of South32's Mozal aluminium smelter in Mozambique
Years of talks with the southern African nation's government to power the smelter beyond March 2026 have so far failed to yield a deal for the project, which last financial year turned over more than $800 million.
South32 has a 63.7 per cent stake in Mozal, which produced 87,000 tonnes of aluminium in the March quarter.
The Industrial Development Corporation of South Africa holds 32.4 per cent and the Government of the Republic of Mozambique has a 3.9 per cent interest
South32 has kept full-year guidance unchanged at 350,000t.
But on Monday it said guidance for FY26 was now under review because of the uncertainty over a new contract and warned it would book an associated impairment against the value of Mozal in this year's accounts.
The majority of electricity for Mozal has been generated in Mozambique by the Hidroeléctrica de Cahora Bassa, a hydro-electric power generator owned by the Mozambique government.
Under the agreement, electricity from Eskom is supplied to Mozal when HCB is unable to meet all of Mozal's electricity requirements.
South32 said it had been working with the government, HCB and Eskom for the past six years to secure electricity supply once the current contract expires.
'To date, Mozal has been unable to agree an affordable electricity price tariff,' it said.
'HCB has also recently indicated that drought conditions have the potential to impact its electricity generation and capacity to deliver sufficient hydro-electric power to Mozal. These factors have resulted in increased uncertainty regarding future electricity supply to Mozal.
'We are continuing to engage with the Government of the Republic of Mozambique, HCB and Eskom on securing affordable electricity supply to enable Mozal to operate beyond March 2026 and maintain its substantial contribution to the economy of Mozambique.'
In its March-quarter report, South32 said there are currently no viable alternative suppliers of renewable energy at the required scale.
Mozal generated $812m of revenue for South32 for the 2024 financial year, but slumped to an underlying earnings loss of $30m.
The miner last year had to content with the impact of civil unrest in the country following a presidential election in October that sparked protests over claims the result was rigged.
South32 also owns the Hillside aluminium smelter in neighbouring South Africa, which is on track to produce 720,000t this financial year.

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West Australian
3 days ago
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Rio Tinto mining partner Gina Rinehart tells local lad Simon Trott to shift miner's HQ from London to Perth
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West Australian
5 days ago
- West Australian
Power deal threatens future of South32's Mozal aluminium smelter in Mozambique
There is a growing risk South32 will be forced to pull the plug on its Mozal aluminium operations in Mozambique early next year as the diversified miner races against the clock to secure a new electricity supply deal. Years of talks with the southern African nation's government to power the smelter beyond March 2026 have so far failed to yield a deal for the project, which last financial year turned over more than $800 million. South32 has a 63.7 per cent stake in Mozal, which produced 87,000 tonnes of aluminium in the March quarter. The Industrial Development Corporation of South Africa holds 32.4 per cent and the Government of the Republic of Mozambique has a 3.9 per cent interest South32 has kept full-year guidance unchanged at 350,000t. But on Monday it said guidance for FY26 was now under review because of the uncertainty over a new contract and warned it would book an associated impairment against the value of Mozal in this year's accounts. The majority of electricity for Mozal has been generated in Mozambique by the Hidroeléctrica de Cahora Bassa, a hydro-electric power generator owned by the Mozambique government. Under the agreement, electricity from Eskom is supplied to Mozal when HCB is unable to meet all of Mozal's electricity requirements. South32 said it had been working with the government, HCB and Eskom for the past six years to secure electricity supply once the current contract expires. 'To date, Mozal has been unable to agree an affordable electricity price tariff,' it said. 'HCB has also recently indicated that drought conditions have the potential to impact its electricity generation and capacity to deliver sufficient hydro-electric power to Mozal. These factors have resulted in increased uncertainty regarding future electricity supply to Mozal. 'We are continuing to engage with the Government of the Republic of Mozambique, HCB and Eskom on securing affordable electricity supply to enable Mozal to operate beyond March 2026 and maintain its substantial contribution to the economy of Mozambique.' In its March-quarter report, South32 said there are currently no viable alternative suppliers of renewable energy at the required scale. Mozal generated $812m of revenue for South32 for the 2024 financial year, but slumped to an underlying earnings loss of $30m. The miner last year had to content with the impact of civil unrest in the country following a presidential election in October that sparked protests over claims the result was rigged. South32 also owns the Hillside aluminium smelter in neighbouring South Africa, which is on track to produce 720,000t this financial year.

News.com.au
10-07-2025
- News.com.au
Ten Bagger: Manganese back on the menu as investors feast on Black Canyon
Welcome to Ten-Bagger, where Lowell Resources Fund chief investment officer John Forwood gives us his take on a sector of the ASX resources market full of value. This month, John tells us about a manganese explorer emerging on the radar for investors thanks to its high grade drill hits. Manganese is a key commodity feeding steel and, to a much lesser extent, battery supply chains. For years its price has fluctuated wildly, with the scale of the market's major exporters leaving it vulnerable to supply shocks. One critical supplier, South32 (ASX:S32) and Anglo American's 60-40 owned Groote-Eylandt Mining Company off the coast of the Northern Territory of Australia, showed how fragile markets could be after a cyclone in March 2024 knocked out key port infrastructure. Exports only resumed in May with the long-term absence of the high quality GEMCO product sending average manganese prices for last year between 16-18% higher across a range of product grades. 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"The ore exports ban will affect Chinese consumers who rely on blending ore from various sources, as well as Eramet's own plants in Norway and France." Opportunity abounds That means any significant new high-grade manganese discovery could be treated very warmly indeed by both customers and investors. "GEMCO has recently come back online and that's 10 to 15% of the global market," Lowell Resources Fund (ASX:LRT) chief investment officer John Forwood said. "But A, it won't last forever and B the product grade is ~43% concentrate, but actually the in situ grade is a hell of a lot lower. I've heard it's about 21%. "The other thing to note on the supply side is Gabon, which is the second largest producer of manganese in the world, has said from 2029 it's not going to allow export of any unrefined manganese. "It's trying to do what Indonesia did with nickel in terms of value add to its raw mineral products. If that happens that could be a price shock in the mid term." Historically there have been two main exposures to manganese on the ASX. South32 is one, though GEMCO is buried within a diversified portfolio leveraged more to aluminium, base metals like copper and zinc and, until recently, met coal. Jupiter Mines (ASX:JMS) is a stable producer of lower grade manganese from its half-owned Tshipi mine in South Africa, but could find itself in takeover territory with South African-based Exxaro Resources making a play for its JV partner Ntsimbintle Mining and taking a strategic stake in JMS. Stellantis and GM sponsored Element 25 (ASX:E25) is trying to take low grade manganese from its Butcherbird deposit in the Pilbara and process it into battery grade high purity manganese sulphate at a proposed plant in Louisiana. Firebird Metals (ASX:FRB) is aiming to do something similar with its Oakover deposit, but with Chinese partners at an industrial park in Jinshi, Hunan Province, which will initially use high grade Gabonese ore from Eramet as a feedstock. Also operating in the Pilbara is Black Canyon (ASX:BCA) which, like E25 and Firebird, owns a large low grade orebody at Balfour consisting of 314Mt at 10.4% Mn – WA's largest by tonnage. But it's the company's higher grade discovery at the pre-resource Wandanya that has fund managers like Forwood interested and the ~$23m company's shares up 157% YTD. Wandanya Forwood says Wandanya has some similarities to Woodie Woodie, which sits just 80km to the north. But it has some key differences. One of those is the high strip ratio the vintage Woodie Woodie mine now operated at. "Whereas Wandanya in the grade could be similar, the strip ratio is almost definitely going to be very low. It could be less than five to one, so mining costs should be pretty attractive," he told Stockhead. Grades from drilling at Wandanya have clocked in at between 29-31% Mn, well above those seen in the Balfour field. While a scoping study estimated Balfour could be upgraded to a Mn concentrate of 35% Mn, similar to South African mines like Tshipi, early testwork on material from Wandanya has upgraded the material to a premium 48-50%. There's also a high grade hematite iron ore zone sitting above the manganese horizon, with Hole WDRC057 from the most recent RC drill program there striking an intersection of 12m at 60.1% Fe from 5m including 7m at 64.2% Fe from 7m. BCA said the results supported the logging of high grade iron mineralisation over hundreds of metres of strike, remaining open to the north. Manganese mineralisation has been mapped for at least 2km open to the northand east, with assays from 98 drill holes still to come in over the next couple months and drilling expected to resume in August. "It's very early days in terms of the discovery, but they have intersected some really attractive grades that are much higher than what might be in situ in Groote Eylandt," Forwood said. "If that's borne out, I don't think Wandanya needs to wait for Groote Eylandt to start coming off stream." "It could have some pretty attractive economics, particularly as it looks like there is a high-grade iron ore zone which might fall partly within the same pit as the high grade manganese zone. "Your waist-stripping ratio comes right down if some of that non-manganese material is actually high-grade iron ore and you might end up with an extremely low operating cost after byproduct credits."