
Republicans want to give gig workers benefits. There's a catch.
California rideshare drivers, supporters and former drivers rally saying they want to be made whole in the settlement discussions in a massive wage theft scandal that robbed drivers of tens of billions of dollars collectively, Wednesday, March 26, 2025. Allen J. Schaben/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images
Should independent contractors get employment benefits? The question has fueled decades of legal and political battles — and it might finally be coming to an end for the roughly 58 million people who currently work as freelancers, contractors and gig workers across America.
Three Republican senators — led by Bill Cassidy of Louisiana, who chairs the chamber's Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions (HELP) Committee — have introduced bills to expand benefits like health insurance and retirement savings for contractors. The legislation would protect companies from worker misclassification lawsuits if they offered contractors non-salary perks, and Republican Rep. Kevin Kiley (CA) introduced companion bills back in February.
Advocates of these so-called portable benefits argue that they support the realities of the current workplace. In 1947, Congress explicitly carved out independent contractors from the National Labor Relations Act's definition of 'employee.' Today, most contractors say they'd prefer to keep their independent arrangements but want more financial stability. Cassidy has hailed passing these bills a top priority for him this year.
The portable benefits most likely to pass now, however, are less robust and worker-friendly than some progressive Democrats were envisioning ten years ago. Back in 2015, tech entrepreneur Nick Hanauer and David Rolf, former SEIU president of the Seattle Local 775, pitched a proposal where employers would contribute $2 an hour to a 'shared security system.'
Benefits would accrue by the hour, pool across multiple jobs, and be accessible whether someone worked for one company full-time or five part-time. A year later, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) outlined a different approach: Instead of requiring employers to pay in, she proposed building public systems that would let workers take benefits like health care and retirement from job to job. In his final State of the Union address that year, Barack Obama also endorsed the general idea, emphasizing that 'basic benefits should be just as mobile as everything else is today.'
Today, Explained
Understand the world with a daily explainer, plus the most compelling stories of the day. Email (required)
Sign Up
By submitting your email, you agree to our Terms and Privacy Notice . This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
But unions strongly opposed these efforts. Labor groups have long fought against worker misclassification, where wrongly designating employees as contractors allows employers to sidestep payroll taxes, unemployment insurance, minimum wage laws and other obligations. Unions view codifying portable benefits largely as a way to keep misclassifying workers and therefore cut them off from core workplace protections, including the right to unionize.
Unions and union-funded nonprofits argue that portable benefits offer a false choice between job security and flexibility, and point to examples like nurses and restaurant workers where employees can still enjoy more flexible environments. The portable benefits approach, they warn, will just hasten the outsourcing of work to contractors or encourage more companies to misclassify their staff. They point to lobbying efforts by companies reliant on contractors, like DoorDash and Lyft, as well as lobbying by advocacy groups funded by Instacart, Uber, and Grubhub.
For a time, it seemed that Democrats might fight for a more progressive version of portable benefits: Warren in her 2016 speech talked about extending union rights to temp and gig workers, and the Hanauer/Rolf proposal resembled how most European countries administer job protections. But the politics of the last seven years have instead shifted the party's focus toward narrowing the legal definition of independent contracting and reclassifying more workers as traditional employees.
This approach is a cornerstone of the Protecting Right to Organize (PRO) Act, a union-backed federal labor reform bill that passed the House in 2021, was enthusiastically endorsed by President Joe Biden, and currently has 44 Democratic sponsors in the Senate. Yet the bill stands little chance of becoming law any time soon — and in the meantime, Republicans have taken up the issue with a more employer-friendly bent.
With a few exceptions, most Democrats have stopped talking about securing portable benefits for freelancers who want to remain independent. But the need to protect gig workers hasn't gone away; both their numbers and their vulnerability continue to rise. The long-running policy battle may finally be winding down—just not in a way that necessarily helps them.
Federal whiplash over the 'independent contractor' question
The fight over worker classification stretches back decades, but a good starting place is 2006, when a group of FedEx Home Delivery drivers in Massachusetts voted to unionize. The company refused to bargain, arguing the drivers were independent contractors and therefore ineligible for a union. Although the National Labor Relations Board sided with the drivers in 2007, deeming them employees eligible to unionize, the DC Circuit overturned that ruling in 2009, and asserted the NLRB 'has no authority whatsoever over independent contractors.'
Undeterred, the Obama-era NLRB ruled in favor of a different group of FedEx drivers in 2014, declaring them to be employees, not contractors. (The NLRB does not treat rulings other than those from the US Supreme Court as binding.) By 2015, the Obama Labor Department also issued guidance clarifying that most workers should be considered employees. But the Trump administration reversed both efforts, and in 2017 the DC Circuit again sided with FedEx.
The pendulum swung back — to classifying more workers as employees — under Biden, only to shift again under Trump in his second term.
Turning points
The politics started to change in 2018, when the California Supreme Court issued a landmark decision sharply limiting when companies could classify workers as contractors. In response, California lawmakers in 2019 passed a law known as AB 5, functionally codifying the decision's stringent 'ABC test'— a standard that defines most workers as employees. Under the ABC test, one can only be considered a contractor if they do work that falls outside the company's typical line of business.
Gig companies began fighting back. In 2020, tech giants like Uber, Lyft, and DoorDash successfully spent $200 million on a California ballot measure to exempt drivers from AB 5 in exchange for requiring companies to provide contractors with some limited benefits. The gig companies also turned their attention outside of California, working aggressively to prevent laws like AB 5 from spreading.
In 2022 they prevailed in Washington state, which passed a law that provides limited benefits to gig workers in exchange for maintaining their independent contractor status. The Washington law was backed by the local Teamsters affiliate of drivers and the Washington State Labor Council, but vocally opposed by Sean O'Brien, the Teamsters' international president.
Labor groups seeking to slow the momentum of portable benefits scored a win in 2021, when the strict 'ABC standard' was included in the Democratic Party's PRO Act. While a few tech-friendly Democrats continue to elevate the issue of protecting gig workers with portable benefits, most in the party have gone quiet on the subject, as doing so would be seen as undercutting a core goal of the PRO Act. The Democrats' central focus now is on reclassifying gig workers as employees, not protecting contractors with flexible benefits.
Another political turning point came in 2023, when Utah lawmakers passed the country's first voluntary portable benefits law, enabling companies to contribute benefits to independent contractors without affecting their contractor status or implying employer liability. Companies like Shipt and Lyft started piloting new benefits for Utah workers months after the law took effect.
In Pennsylvania, Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro last year initiated a portable benefits pilot with DoorDash, and Georgia, Maryland, and Tennessee have taken their own steps this year. Supporters say these new voluntary laws will give companies the confidence to provide workers with more competitive working conditions, and they point to preliminary results from Pennsylvania, where 4,400 DoorDash drivers signed up for the savings account program, and earned $400 on average in their first year.
Labor leaders remain skeptical, warning this all may amount to little more than PR — or a way to treat workers like employees without providing real support.
The new benefits may be pretty lackluster
Independent contractors already have the ability to contribute to tax-deductible retirement savings plans known as Simplified Employee Pension plans, or SEP-IRAs. But under current law, employers can't also contribute to those plans without risking legal challenges.
Cassidy's new proposal, the Independent Retirement Fairness Act, would amend federal law to allow employers to voluntarily contribute, while shielding businesses from having to provide broader employment benefits or protections. It's unclear whether companies would actually take advantage of this new freedom, though supporters point out that most private-sector retirement plans in the US are voluntary.
In terms of health insurance, independent workers can already obtain portable coverage via the Affordable Care Act but a quarter of contractors lack coverage, typically because it's too expensive. This year, the average 40-year-old buying unsubsidized health insurance on the exchanges paid nearly $500 per month, while a family of four paid close to $1,600.
Yet Republicans are not proposing to increase subsidies to independent contractors seeking health insurance on the exchanges. Indeed they just approved slashing subsidies to the Affordable Care Act, meaning those with coverage could see their premiums skyrocket, and millions more lose insurance altogether.
Rather, Cassidy is looking to allow contractors to purchase pooled options known as Association Health Plans (AHPs), which might provide lower premiums but come with far fewer protections, for example, AHPs frequently lack coverage for preexisting conditions and preventative services. AHPs were originally meant to be options for businesses in the same industry or geographic area but in 2018 the Trump administration tried to expand them to let loosely affiliated groups — like freelancers — buy coverage together and avoid many Affordable Care Act requirements. A federal judge struck down that effort in 2019, saying it unlawfully stretched the definition of 'employer' and was clearly designed to evade the ACA's consumer protections.
Related Trump is finalizing one of his big proposals to undercut the ACA
Republicans reviving that effort now could both skim healthy, young individuals off the ACA exchanges, and mislead workers into plans far more skimpy and unregulated than they realized.
'In an ideal system employers would have no role in health insurance, but even in our current system, it typically would be better for workers to get subsidized health care on the individual exchanges than AHPs,' said Matt Bruenig, the head of the left-wing People's Policy Project think tank. 'These benefits don't seem like they would be much improvement at all, and could make things worse if they are a trojan horse for badly regulated AHPs.'
Warren criticized Cassidy's proposal, but did not elaborate regarding where she falls today on portable benefits. 'I have always believed that all workers deserve access to quality health care and benefits, but unfortunately this Republican effort isn't about getting workers the benefits they deserve,' she told Vox in an emailed statement. 'This GOP legislation is about giving employers freedom to misclassify workers and deprive them of crucial workplace rights — including the right to form a union and be free from harassment.'
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


New York Post
25 minutes ago
- New York Post
Trump lambasts ‘Russian war machine' as special envoy set to visit Moscow for cease-fire talks
President Trump on Monday lambasted the 'Russian war machine' responsible for the deaths of innocent Ukrainians — in a sharp escalation of his rhetoric just as special envoy Steve Witkoff was slated to visit Moscow for a make-or-break meeting this week. Trump lashed out at the Kremlin as he jacked up the US tariff on imports from India because of the country's continued purchase of Russian oil as Moscow's invasion of Ukraine raged on. 5 Trump lashed out at the Kremlin as he jacked up the US tariff on imports from India because of the country's continued purchase of Russian oil. AFP via Getty Images 'India is not only buying massive amounts of Russian Oil, they are then, for much of the Oil purchased, selling it on the Open Market for big profits,' the president said in a Truth Social post. 'They don't care how many people in Ukraine are being killed by the Russian War Machine.' he raged. 'Because of this, I will be substantially raising the Tariff paid by India to the USA. Thank you for your attention to this matter!!! President DJT.' 5 'They don't care how many people in Ukraine are being killed by the Russian War Machine.' Trump raged. AP The war machine reference comes as Trump has opted for a noticeably harsher stance against the Kremlin of late over President Vladimir Putin's refusal to come to the table to broker a deal to end Europe's bloodiest conflict since World War II. Despite speaking admiringly of Putin in the past, Trump has voiced increasing frustration with the Russian dictator. Trump's latest jab comes as the Aug. 8 deadline he gave for Russia to agree to end its war with Ukraine inches closer. 5 Despite speaking admiringly of Putin in the past, Trump has voiced increasing frustration with the Russian dictator. AP He's threatened to impose new sanctions or tariffs on Russia and buyers of its oil, including India and China, unless the Kremlin shows progress towards a peace settlement. Witkoff, meanwhile, is expected to travel to Russia on Wednesday to take yet another crack at persuading the Kremlin to begin peace talks. The special envoy has previously brokered conversations with Putin on multiple visits but has so far failed to persuade him to agree to end its more than three-year war. 5 Trump's latest jab comes as the Aug. 8 deadline he gave for Russia to agree to end its war with Ukraine inches closer. Bloomberg via Getty Images 'We are always happy to see Mr Witkoff in Moscow and we are always happy to have contacts with Mr Witkoff. We consider them important, meaningful and very useful,' Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said of the looming meeting. Putin said last week that talks had made some positive progress but that Russia had the momentum in the war. Still, Moscow was said to be 'unfazed' by Trump's ramped-up press, Russian state media reported. 5 Putin said last week that talks had made some positive progress but that Russia had the momentum in the war. via REUTERS 'In foreign policy, and particularly in diplomacy, it is always better to be less emotional and more measured. So, all the emotions now dominating the media space, with all these statements and references to big names, Trump, should be taken calmly,' Russia's Chairman of the Federation Council Committee on International Affairs, Grigory Karasin, told the Tass news agency. 'There will be contacts with him [Witkoff] that will reveal what the United States actually thinks, not for the public eye, about the absolutely destructive role currently played by the European Union countries, which tightly control the Zelensky regime,' he added. 'All of that will be discussed. I believe that following these contacts, we will at least know everything of substance. Therefore, we must remain patient, composed, and resist emotional responses.'


Chicago Tribune
25 minutes ago
- Chicago Tribune
Why dozens of Democrats left Texas and how Republicans want to punish them
AUSTIN, Texas — Dozens of Democratic state lawmakers in Texas have scattered to points across the country in a last-ditch effort to prevent Republicans from adopting U.S. House maps that President Donald Trump wants in place before the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican-controlled state House scheduled a vote on a district map for Monday afternoon. By leaving the state, Democrats are beyond the reach of Texas law enforcement, and they can effectively shut down the vote by ensuring the 150-member House does not have the quorum required to do business. Gov. Greg Abbott and fellow Republicans are threatening to try to remove the Democrats from office, levy daily fines and even have the lawmakers arrested if they don't return to the Capitol. The Democratic response? 'Come and take it.' Here are some things to know about the scene unfolding in Texas. Trump wants to redraw the Texas congressional map in hopes of adding five more GOP seats in Texas in the midterm elections to boost his party's chance of preserving its slim U.S. House majority. Republicans currently hold 25 of the state's 38 seats. As the minority party in the state House and Senate, Democrats simply do not have the votes to stop the plan under normal legislative procedures. The maps were passed by a committee last week and swiftly scheduled for a floor vote. Sizing up their limited power and options, Democrats chose to deny the quorum as their only chance to put the brakes on Trump's plan and to rally national support. Many went to Illinois and New York. Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker welcomed a group of Democrats who landed Sunday in Chicago. Prizker, a potential 2028 presidential contender who has been one of Trump's most outspoken critics during Trump's second term, had been in quiet talks with Texas Democrats for weeks about offering support if they chose to leave the state. Last week, the governor hosted several Texas Democrats in Illinois to publicly oppose the redistricting effort. California Gov. Gavin Newsom held a similar event in his own state. While hosting Texas Democrats who left the state in Albany, New York Gov. Kathy Hochul said the fight over congressional lines in Texas has implications nationally. 'I have a news flash for Republicans in Texas: This is no longer the Wild West,' Hochul said. 'We're not going to tolerate our democracy being stolen in a modern-day stagecoach heist by bunch of law-breaking cowboys.' Abbott, a Republican, quickly warned Democrats that he will seek to remove them from office if they don't return by Monday afternoon. He cited a nonbinding 2021 legal opinion issued by Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton. It suggested a court could determine that legislators had forfeited their offices in a quorum break. Abbott also suggested the lawmakers may have committed felonies by raising money to help pay for fines. A lawmaker refusing to show up is a civil violation of legislative rules, and they can be fined $500 for every day they aren't at the Capitol. In 2021, the Texas Supreme Court held that House leaders had the authority to 'physically compel the attendance' of missing members, but no Democrats were forcibly brought back to the state after warrants were served that year in a similar quorum break. Republican House Speaker Dustin Burrows has promised that 'all options will be on the table.' Texas Democrats have fled the state before in attempts to thwart the Republican majority. They twice denied the GOP a quorum in 2003 to stop Republican efforts to redraw voting maps, at one point leaving for Oklahoma and later for New Mexico. In 2021, Democrats left the state in the final days of the session over an elections bill and new voting restrictions. They stayed away for 38 days. Both efforts only delayed the Republican-led measures that were ultimately passed once Democrats eventually returned to Austin. And while the current special session ends Aug. 20, Abbott has the authority to keep calling lawmakers back to the Capitol for 30-day special sessions to pass the redistricting bill and any other item he believes should be addressed. The current special session agenda includes help for communities devastated by the the July 4 floods that killed at least 136 people. As part of their walkout, Texas Democrats have accused Republicans of prioritizing the politics of redistricting over flood victims. Abbott defended the redistricting plan as an effort to redraw lines to better reflect voters who supported Trump in the 2024 election, when he easily won Texas. 'Gerrymandering can be done, or drawing lines, can be done on the basis of political makeup, as in Republicans versus Democrats. And there's nothing illegal about that,' Abbott said Monday in an interview with Fox News. 'All of these districts that are being added are districts that were won by Trump.'


The Hill
25 minutes ago
- The Hill
‘We are at war': Redistricting fights explode across US
THE REDISTRICTING arms race is on. Texas Democrats fled the state over the weekend to delay a vote on the state GOP's redrawn maps, which are meant to give Republicans an advantage in the 2026 midterm elections. The Lone Star State has become ground zero in the redistricting wars, but Democratic lawmakers from California to New York are promising to retaliate with their own gerrymanders, firing the starting pistol on a race that could determine which party controls Congress for the remainder of President Trump 's second term. In Texas, the legal threats are flying, as state Republicans prepare to vote on a redrawn map that could help them win an additional five House seats in next year's elections. Texas Democratic lawmakers fled to Illinois, New York and Massachusetts — all states run by Democratic governors — as they seek to deprive the Texas legislature of the quorum needed to vote on the new maps before the end of the 30-day special session. The Texas legislature is scheduled to reconvene Monday at 3 p.m. CT (4 p.m. ET), but they will be short of a quorum by more than 50 Democrats. Texas Gov. Gregg Abbott (R) says he'll attempt to have the missing Democrats removed from office, citing a legal opinion by his Attorney General Ken Paxton (R), who is running in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate. 'This truancy ends now,' Abbott declared in a letter to the Democrats. Abbott and Paxton are also threatening the missing lawmakers with felony charges if they raise money to cover the $500 daily fines they'll incur for missing the special legislative session. 'Democrats in the Texas House who try and run away like cowards should be found, arrested, and brought back to the Capitol immediately,' Paxton posted on X. 'We should use every tool at our disposal to hunt down those who think they are above the law.' Texas Democrats are digging in. 'Come and take it,' Texas House Democratic Caucus Chair Gene Wu said on CNN, calling Abbott's threats 'all bluster.' 'Sound and fury, signifying nothing,' Wu said. Some Democrats are holed up in Illinois, which the Princeton Gerrymandering project gave a grade of 'F' for having one of the worst gerrymanders in the country. Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker (D), a potential 2028 presidential contender, is assisting the Texas Democrats. 'We're going to do everything we can to protect every single one of them,' Pritzker said. 'It's Ken Paxton who doesn't follow the law. It's the leaders of Texas who are attempting not to follow the law,' Pritzker added. ' They're the ones that need to be held accountable.' In New York, Gov. Kathy Hochul (D) held a press conference with some of the Texas Democrats who traveled to her state. 'This is a war. We are at war,' Hochul said. 'And that's why the gloves are off and I say, bring it on.' DEMS SEARCH FOR EMERGENCY MEASURES Democratic leaders are promising to redraw their own maps, although their hands are tied in some cases. The Hill's Jared Gans reports that Democrats are hamstrung by their own recent push to use independent redistricting commissions, taking the issue out of the hands of state lawmakers. 'The movement to set up nonpartisan commissions for redistricting caught steam over the last decade, with Democrats at the forefront of the movement. Many in the party argued the commissions were essential to ensuring fair elections at a time when gerrymandering has led to fewer and fewer competitive contests on the federal level.' New York uses an independent commission to draw its maps. If Hochul hopes to amend the state constitution to change that, it would have to be passed in two consecutive sessions, which would miss the 2026 election cycle. 'We're going to also look at litigation strategies,' Hochul said. 'We're in close conversations about options there, and so I would say this — we're considering all options right now.' California also uses an independent commission, although Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) says he's looking for a workaround that could bring a new map straight to voters to approve in a special election. (Newsom is scheduled to speak at 4 p.m. EDT. Watch live here.) Other states are joining the redistricting frenzy. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) is considering a mid-decade redistricting push. Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) told CNN his state must act to blunt the impact of Texas's redrawn maps. 'We need to win in the midterm…if they're doing something to add their congressional seats, we need to look at our ways of doing that,' Booker said. Redistricting typically happens at the end of the decade along with the new census report. Rep. Kevin Kiley (R-Calif.) said he plans to introduce legislation that would ban all mid-decade redistricting efforts nationwide and nullify any new maps approved before the 2030 census. 'Congress has the ability to protect California voters using its authority under the Elections Clause of the U.S. Constitution,' Kiley said. 'This will also stop a damaging redistricting war from breaking out across the country.' MEANWHILE… The 2026 midterm elections are taking shape, with Republicans taking on historical headwinds as they seek to hold on to their majorities in the House and Senate. There are interesting intra-party debates on the left and right amid the broader political realignment that's defined Trump's nonconsecutive terms in office. A new Associated Press-NORC survey found that many Democrats see their party as 'weak' and 'ineffective.' Rep. Sarah McBride (D-Del.) described her party's struggles, as polls show the Democratic brand has never been more unpopular. 'I think voters feel like Democrats have sort of been a‑‑holes to them,' McBride told Politico. Republicans are also dealing with internal divisions over everything from the Jeffrey Epstein investigation to U.S. support for Israel. 'I don't know if the Republican Party is leaving me, or if I'm kind of not relating to Republican Party as much anymore,' Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) told the Daily Mail. 'I don't know which one it is.' 'I think the Republican Party has turned its back on America First and the workers and just regular Americans,' said Greene, who has emerged as one of the few voices on the right calling for the U.S. to cut Israel loose over the humanitarian crisis in Gaza. 💡 Perspectives: • American Greatness: Trump's unknown frontiers. • New Republic: The media's urge to be 'fair' to Trump is killing the republic. • USA Today: Democrats have devolved into a clown show. • The Liberal Patriot: How to rebuild the Democratic coalition. • Politico: Dems are hoping for a blue wave that might not happen. • 5 things to know on Texas's political showdown. • Musk donates $5M to Trump super PAC. • Nancy Mace launches South Carolina governor bid. • Ex-football coach Derek Dooley challenges Jon Ossoff in Georgia. • Redistricting battle heats up amid Texas showdown CATCH UP QUICK President Trump weighed in on the controversial ad campaign with actor Sydney Sweeney for American Eagle, arguing the success of it is a sign that being 'woke is for losers.' Shares of American Eagle rose sharply on Monday. U.S. n uclear submarines 'are in the region' near Russia following 'highly provocative statements' from former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, according to President Trump. Thousands of workers at three Boeing manufacturing plants went on strike overnight less than a year after the company boosted wages to end a separate, 53-day strike by 33,000 aircraft workers. Migrants from some countries would be required to post a bond as high as $15,000 to secure a visa for business or personal travel in a new pilot program being launched by the State Department. NEWS THIS AFTERNOON Trump to name new BLS chief, Fed governor President Trump says he plans to announce a new commissioner for the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) this week after he fired the previous BLS head following a weak jobs report. Trump told reporters he'd announce the new BLS chief 'over the next three, four days.' The president will also be announcing a nominee to replace Federal Reserve board of governors member Adriana Kugler, who announced Friday she will resign on Aug. 8. Trump's firing of Erika McEntarfer on Friday after the dismal jobs report rocked Washington. McEntarfer was appointed by former President Biden and she was confirmed with a strong bipartisan majority in the Senate in 2024. Democrats are accusing Trump of shooting the messenger and refusing to acknowledge the impact his tariffs are having on the economy. They say Trump is politicizing government data and that they won't be able to trust future reports from his hand-picked BLS nominee. Over the weekend, Trump and his senior officials hit the airwaves to defend the firing, with the president arguing McEntarfer 'had the biggest miscalculation in over 50 years' after significant downward revisions to previous jobs reports. Trump also baselessly claimed that McEntarfer rigged data ahead of the election to make the jobs numbers look better while Biden was in office. 'I then won the Election, anyway, and she readjusted the numbers downward, calling it a mistake, of almost one million jobs,' Trump posted on social media. 'A SCAM!' Revisions to jobs reports are common, although Friday's downward revisions were startling for their severity, leading to a stock market sell-off and fresh concerns about an economic downturn. 'The data always suffers big revisions when the economy is at an inflection point, like a recession,' Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi posted on X. 'It's thus not at all surprising that we are seeing big downward revisions to the payroll employment numbers.' GOP strategist Karl Rove warned Trump is making the same mistake as Biden on the economy. 'What's ironic is, is that the Trump administration is making the same mistake that the Biden administration made, which was to basically, remember we had Bidenomics is working, well, now we have the golden age of American prosperity is returned, and Americans are not feeling that,' Rove said on Fox News. 'Better to say we're working hard to put America on the right road, rather than declaring premature victory. And I think that's a big mistake for the White House and is likely to come back and bite them in the midterm election.' The stock indices bounced back Monday. MEANWHILE … Trump on Monday opened new frontiers in his trade war. The president announced that he'd raise tariffs further on India for continuing to buy Russian oil. 'They don't care how many people in Ukraine are being killed by the Russian War Machine,' Trump posted on Truth Social. 'Because of this, I will be substantially raising the Tariff paid by India to the USA.' Trump had previously announced a 25 percent tariff on India, which is set to go into effect Thursday, along with the new tariff rates for dozens of countries. Canada faces a 35 percent tariff, although Canadian trade official Dominic LeBlanc expressed optimism about a new trade deal with the U.S. 'We were obviously, obviously disappointed by that [tariff rate] decision,' LeBlanc said. 'We believe there's a great deal of common ground between the United States and Canada in terms of building two strong economies that work well together.' 💡 Perspectives: • The Atlantic: Trump gets rid of those pesky statistics. • Fox News: The Fed's foolish interest rate policy is harming the economy. • The American Prospect: Trump's tariffs are kleptocracy in action. • The Wall Street Journal: The bureau of labor denial. • Dark clouds emerge for Trump on economy. • 5 questions Trump faces after dismal jobs report. IN OTHER NEWS Congress to face fiscal, nominations dramas after recess The Senate finally gaveled out for summer break after Republicans and Democrats failed to reach a deal to confirm a backlog of President Trump 's nominees. Instead, Congress will face dramatic fights over the nominees and the looming fiscal cliff when members return in early September. Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) traded offers on moving the nominees over the weekend. Schumer pushed for billions of funding to be restored to various agencies in exchange for allowing a group of noncontroversial nominees to be approved, but Trump refused. The Hill's Al Weaver reports: 'Instead, Senate Republicans are expected to go 'nuclear' on nominees once they reconvene in September by moving to change the rules with 51 votes needed.' There's also the matter of funding the government, which will run out of money on Sept. 30, as none of the funding bills for 2026 have been passed into law. Schumer and House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries (N.Y.) sent a letter to Republican leaders Monday demanding a 'Big Four' leadership meeting this week to begin discussions on funding the government. The letter from the Democratic leaders, sent to Thune and Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.), says they have 'the responsibility to govern for all Americans and work on a bipartisan basis to avert a painful, unnecessary shutdown at the end of September.' 'Yet it is clear that the Trump Administration and many within your party are preparing to 'go it alone' and continue to legislate on a solely Republican basis,' Schumer and Jeffries wrote. The Hill's Alexander Bolton reports: 'Democrats want a pledge from Republicans that if they agree to pass government funding legislation, they would not work with the Trump administration to pass another rescissions package, such as the measure passed last month that clawed back $9 billion in previously appropriated funding and defunded the Corporation for Public Broadcasting.' 💡 Perspectives: • Foreign Affairs: After Xi. • American Mind: A strategy to beat China in the tech race. • The Hill: If Trump and the GOP keep this up, AOC is going to be president. • The Hill: Trump's numbers are down, but Republicans are far from out.