Expert Who Predicted Tesla Stock Crash Reconsiders — Bitcoin and 3 More Factors To Watch
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However, his tune is starting to change. In a recent X post, Demeester pondered if now is a good opportunity to get back into Tesla stock. His chart compares how much Bitcoin you can buy with a single Tesla share.
While the share price seems to present a buy-the-dip opportunity, there are a few key factors to consider before deciding if Tesla is a buy.
Bitcoin's growth doesn't only play a role in Bitcoin vs. Tesla debates, but it also has a direct impact on Tesla's stock price. The EV maker has more than 11,000 Bitcoins and continues to grow its stockpile. That's well over $11 billion in Bitcoin. If the cryptocurrency gains more value and Tesla continues to build its position, Bitcoin will soon have a more sizable impact on Tesla's future price movements.
Robotaxis are a key piece of Tesla's long-term bullish outlook. Tesla recently received the green light in Austin, Texas, according to Time, and its robotaxis have received mixed reviews. As the technology improves and becomes more accurate, lower prices will draw people away from services like Uber.
While Waymo is the current leader in the United States, Tesla has a key advantage. The company is a widely recognized automaker, and many people buy Tesla vehicles just to drive them. Future vehicles will have a robotaxi component that lets Tesla owners earn money from their vehicles even when they aren't driving them.
This type of network can grow rapidly and in a more cost-effective manner than Waymo. Tesla has Airbnb scaling potential with its robotaxi service, while Waymo isn't selling cars to the public, which makes it more expensive for them to expand operations.
Humanoid robots are another long-term catalyst for Tesla investors. Optimus has made great strides and will be used in Tesla factories later this year, according to Business Insider. Tesla humanoid robots could be available for purchase as soon as 2026.
These robots could potentially become revolutionary, must-own items for consumers and businesses. They may be able to perform household chores, heavy-duty jobs and other tasks. The humanoid robots haven't produced any tangible revenue yet, but they can become a big driver of future growth in the next 3-5 years.
Most of Tesla's stock valuation depends on how investors feel about its future prospects. While robotaxis and humanoid robots are exciting, they mask the fact that Tesla's core electric vehicle business isn't doing well.
BYD, Shenzhen-based EV brand, has been gobbling up Tesla's market share in Europe, and other Chinese EV makers are also competing for European drivers. Tesla has already found itself losing ground in a crowded Chinese EV market, making this recent development even worse.
The political mismatch between Musk's stance and the typical Tesla customer's political tendencies makes matters even worse. Tesla has catered to people who want a more environmentally friendly driving solution than gas. It's a mostly liberal base that bought Tesla cars and sang high praises for Musk before he supported President Trump.
Musk's stance has alienated Tesla's core audience, and liberal-leaning people outside of the United States have followed suit. Tesla sales plummeted in Germany when Musk endorsed a right-wing candidate, and it's possible that Tesla never recovers in Germany, according to Forbes.
Musk is unlikely to completely bow out of politics, and that can further alienate him from the liberal customers who regularly purchased Tesla vehicles before he became more vocal.
While robotaxis and humanoid robots could change the financial narrative, for now, prospects of a strong future are in the driver's seat for this Tesla stock rally. Any holes in that narrative may result in a deeper correction.
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