‘Stick to the Bullish Trend': Truist Sees Breakout Ahead for S&P 500 — 2 Stocks That Could Ride the Momentum

Yahoo

21-06-2025

Markets roared into the new year on a wave of tech and AI optimism, climbing to record highs in February. That rally briefly lost steam when Trump's erratic tariff rollout injected a dose of uncertainty into the market. But with those concerns now receding, investors are shifting back into risk-on mode, and the S&P 500 is trading less than 3% below its peak.
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On a 12-month basis, Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist, sees this stretch as a period of quiet consolidation — one that could pave the way for further upside.
'If you look at the big picture for the overall market – the S&P – we've been flat for seven months, and the technology sector has been flat for almost a year. As we test these technical levels, I think we'll eventually break above them,' Lerner opined. 'That said, there's likely to be some pain trade… but I think in general, the underlying trend is still positive and we want to stick with that underlying trend.'
Taking that outlook to heart, Truist's stock analysts have pinpointed two stocks they believe are primed to benefit from renewed market strength. We've used the TipRanks database to find out what the rest of the Street has to say about both of their recent picks.
TAT Technologies (TATT)
The first company we'll look at is TAT Technologies, an aerospace tech firm that provides a set of specialized services for the commercial and military aviation industries. These services include thermal solutions, including environmental controls as well as engine and fluid coolant systems; APU support, including service and maintenance of aircraft APUs (auxiliary power units); and landing gear services, to support this key system. At its core, TAT, a global firm, gives its customers a wide-ranging set of technical skills vital to keep aircraft fleets in efficient operating order.
TAT was founded in 1969, and brings its decades of experience to bear on aviation problem solving. The company takes a proactive approach, delivering cutting-edge solutions designed to promote customer confidence along with operational efficiency. Aviation is big business, and TAT has leveraged its supporting role to build up a business that generated $152.1 million in revenues last year.
In its most recent earnings report, covering 1Q25, TAT showed solid year-over-year growth in both revenue and earnings. The company had a top line of $42.1 million, up almost 24% from 1Q24, and the bottom line of 34 cents per share was up from 19 cents in the prior-year period. We should note that the company's revenue total just missed the forecast, coming in $450,000 below the estimates. On a more positive note, EPS trumped Street expectations by $0.04.
For Truist's Michael Ciarmoli, an analyst ranked amongst the top 1% of Wall Street stock pros, the key points for investors here are TAT's solid potential for expansion and growth, and its favorable risk/reward profile. He writes, 'We view TATT as an under the radar small cap comm'l aero aftermarket component repair player poised to drive above market/peer avg growth through share gains and an improved go-to-market strategy. In the coming years as revenues grow and the company scales its operations we believe gross and EBITDA margin expansion will be a key driver of the stock. In the near-term mgmt's execution on its recent APU repair wins and corresponding share gains will be a major focus point. With the stock trading at a 20% discount to its closest peers on an EV/EBITDA basis we believe the risk/reward profile is favorably skewed.'
The 5-star analyst goes on to put a Buy rating on this stock, complemented by a $35 price target that suggests a potential one-year upside of 32%. (To watch Ciarmoli's track record, click here)
There are only two recent analyst reviews on file for TATT shares, but both are positive – giving the stock its Moderate Buy consensus rating. The shares are priced at $26.44 and their $35.50 average price target implies that the stock will gain 34% in the coming year. (See TATT stock forecast)
Peloton Interactive (PTON)
Next on our list is Peloton, the well-known home workout company that brought interactive social media to the world of home-based fitness. Peloton has updated an old stand-by – the stationary bicycle – with modern technology, including digital video connections. This forms the base for a connected, online exercise community, allowing Peloton's customers to find the advantages of group exercise classes in their own homes. Peloton leveraged its connectivity to great advantage several years ago, during the COVID pandemic, and has continued to use it as an important selling point that differentiates it from its competition.
Peloton has built a community of 6 million members, making it one of the world's largest interactive fitness platforms, however its recent financial results weren't a particularly strong affair. In the last reported quarter, for fiscal 3Q25, the company saw a 13% year-over-year decline in sales. The revenue hit was strongest in the connected fitness segment, at 27%, but also included a 4% decline in subscription revenue. In total, Peloton's revenue came to $624 million. As noted, that was down 13% YoY – although the figure did beat the forecast by $2.67 million. The company's bottom line came to a net loss; the EPS of ($0.12) missed expectations – by 6 cents per share.
The company has recognized the weaknesses and is actively working to address them. In January, Peloton launched its Personalized Plans programs and had enrolled 500,000 members by the end of its fiscal Q3 on March 31. Looking ahead to the end of fiscal year 2025, on June 30, Peloton expects to realize an adjusted EBITDA in the range of $330 million to $350 million and to bring in approximately $250 million in free cash flow.
This stock has caught the attention of Truist analyst Youssef Squali, who believes that the headwinds have been priced in and that management will likely succeed in its plans to restart revenue and earnings growth. Squali says of Peloton, 'With the BS cleaned up and Opex materially cut to ensure sustainable FCF profitability, the new leadership is now squarely focused on improving the customer experience to drive revenue growth. Mgmt will guide to FY26 in early August, which is likely to be flattish, implying positive Y/Y revenue growth in 2H26, the first time since 2021. For F4Q25 (ending 6/30), our tracking of the Truist Card Data shows that revenue is tracking virtually in line with consensus (thru 6/9). With subscriptions accounting for ~2/3s of revenue, improving profitability and a valuation at 1.6x & 11.4x sales and AEBITDA, we believe that PTON is virtually de-risked with compelling upside.'
Quantifying this stance, Squali rates PTON as a Buy, and his $11 price target points toward a hefty gain of 77% on the one-year horizon. (To watch Squali's track record, click here)
Overall, Peloton holds a Moderate Buy consensus rating from Wall Street's analysts, based on 13 recent reviews that break down to 5 Buys and 8 Holds. The stock is currently trading for $6.22 and its $7.86 average price target suggests that the shares will gain 26% in the next 12 months. (See PTON stock forecast)
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Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the featured analysts. The content is intended to be used for informational purposes only. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment.
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