Ray Thomas' horse racing tips: Saturday, July 5, 2025

Daily Telegraph

13 hours ago

Trainers Mick Price and Michael Kent Jnr have ambitions of a feature-race treble across three states on Saturday.
At Rosehill Gardens, their classy import Welwal ($8) looks ready to win in the Listed $200,000 Winter Stakes (1400m).
Then on Finals Day at Flemington, the Price-Kent stable has promising three-year-old filly Knobelas ($2.25 favourite) chasing a hat-trick of in the Silver Bowl Series Final (1600m) and two-year-old Job Done ($3.10) trying to maintain the perfect start to his race career in the TAB Next Generation Sprinters Final (1200m).
Price and Kent also have chances in two of the stakes races at the Sunshine Coast – Grand Impact ($16) in the Listed $300,000 Glasshouse Handicap (1400m) and Hezashocka ($13) in the Listed $300,000 Caloundra Cup (2400m).
• PUNT LIKE A PRO: Become a Racenet iQ member and get expert tips – with fully transparent return on investment statistics – from Racenet's team of professional punters at our Pro Tips section. SUBSCRIBE NOW!
Meanwhile, there has been some significant betting moves for Ciaron Maher's boom filly She's An Artist ($1.60 favourite) for the Listed $175,000 Creswick Stakes (1400m) at Flemington, her stablemate Warnie ($2.90 favourite) for the Glasshouse Handicap at Sunshine Coast, and also at Rosehill Gardens for the Joe Pride-trained Cosmonova ($15) for the Foundation Female Member Handicap (1200m).
She's An Artist, brilliant winner of her only two starts, opened at $1.80 but is into $1.60 after some big bets with Ladbrokes including $1000 at $1.80 twice, $2000 twice, $1000 4 times, $700 and $650 at $1.75, $1500 and $1300 three times at $1.70 and $1300 at $1.55.
Warnie opened at $3.20 but has firmed into $2.80 to win the Glasshouse while Cosmonova's odds have been slashed at Rosehill from $26 to $15 as she attempts to protect her unbeaten record when third-up from a spell.
• Caloundra Cup favourite out to show Caulfield Cup quality
■ ■ ■ ■ ■
TRACK CONDITIONS
ROSEHILL GARDENS
Weather: Cool, mostly sunny day and a forecast top temperature of 17c.
Track: Heavy (8).
Rail: 8m out from the 1000m to the winning post, 7m remainder.
FLEMINGTON
Weather: Cool, partly cloudy day with a forecast top temperature of 16c.
Track: Soft (6).
Rail: True.
SUNSHINE COAST
Weather: Mild, partly cloudy day with a forecast top temperature of 22c.
Track: Soft (6).
Rail: True.
GAWLER
Weather: Cool, cloudy day with the chance of showers and a forecast top temperature of 16c.
Track: Soft (7).
Rail: True.
• Rosehill Inside Mail: 'He's ready to run his best race this preparation'
■ ■ ■ ■ ■
BE WARY
Rosehill's track rating continues to improve and is bordering on a soft 7 after being a heavy 10 earlier in the week. The rail is out 8m from the 1000m to the winning post and it is expected jockeys will try to steer away from the inside. Flemington's rail is in the true position and the track rated a soft 6 with the chance of an upgrade. The track should race fairly. Sunshine Coast's soft 6 rating is likely to improve further but it is expected the better going will be away from the inside in the straight.
• Tips from the big bookies for Saturday, July 5
■ ■ ■ ■ ■
ROSEHILL GARDENS TIPS
BEST BET: Race 3 No.6 EXIT FEE was heavily backed into favouritism first-up in a Randwick Highway and he ran well without threatening for a half length second to the speedy Calico Miss. He had never previously won at the start of a campaign so his Randwick effort suggests he's in for a good winter preparation. Exit Fee will strip fitter for that run and goes back to Rosehill where he won a Highway over 1300m when last in work. Drawn to get the run of the race, he's won second-up previously, handles soft tracks and is ready to win.
THE NEXT BEST: Race 10 No.5 KERGUELEN did not miss a top two finish in his first six starts, winning three, before going sharply in grade when he ran fourth at favourite to Accredited at Randwick last start. The Godolphin sprinter looked to have every chance but still stuck to his task and was beaten just over a length. Kerguelen is back in his right grade and is drawn to get the run of the race.
VALUE BET: Race 8 No.13 COSMONOVA has shaped promisingly in two runs from a spell including her closing third to stablemate Accredited at Randwick two weeks ago. The Joe Pride-trained Cosmonova returns to Rosehill where she has won over the 1200m course and although drawn a little wide, she should be able to slide across and settle in the front half of the field with cover. Cosmonova is at her peak after recent racing, she is unbeaten in two previous attempts third-up from a spell, and the soft track conditions are perfect for her. She's terrific value around $15.
THE WHISPER: Race 1 No.1 RAGING FORCE has been brilliant in both starts this winter campaign, romping home in the Red Crown at Muswellbrook then dominating from the front at Kensington. Talented two-year-old who is being readied for the spring carnival. If he is to take on the best of his age group next season, he should be able to put this field away. There's plenty of market confidence in the Peter Snowden-trained gelding who has firmed from $2.60 into $1.90.
• ROSEHILL BEST BETS: Clinton Payne's race-by-race tips, analysis for Rosehill Gardens on Saturday
■ ■ ■ ■ ■
FLEMINGTON TIPS
BEST BET: Race 6 No.5 SHE'S AN ARTIST has been a runaway winner at her only two starts – scoring by five lengths on debut at Bendigo then careering away from her rivals over the Flemington 1100m course last start. She ran 1m 02.66s to win last start and broke 33s for her final 600m. Punters are rallying for She's An Artist with Ladbrokes reporting a string of big bets including $1000 at $1.80 twice, $2000 twice, $1000 4 times, $700 and $650 at $1.75, $1500 and $1300 three times at $1.70 and $1300 at $1.55. She's An Artist looks a real talent and will maintain her unbeaten record.
NEXT BEST: Race 4 No.9 KNOBELAS ran on for a close second on debut at Pakenham over 1400m then went out to 1600m and has impressed with successive wins at Pakenham and Sandown. She has led all the way and by margins of more than three lengths both times. This is her best test but Knobelas looks a very progressive filly. The one to beat.
VALUE BET: Race 9 No.6 TERRESTAR may not win often but the Team Hawkes-trained mare has returned in good form with game seconds at Eagle Farm and Flemington. Although she hasn't won for 15 months, she has now been placed in her last five starts in succession. Terrestar finds herself in a winnable race and she is good value at near double figure odds.
THE WHISPER: Race 8 No.10 OH TOO GOOD returned to her best form with a runaway win at Flemington in the Vobis Gold, putting a margin of more than three lengths on her chasing rivals led by Jimmy The Bear. The form has been franked with Jimmy The Bear winning easily last start. Oh Too Good is at her peak after three runs from a spell, she excels over the Flemington 1600m course, and just needs a touch of luck early from her awkward gate.
• FLEMINGTON BEST BETS: Gilbert Gardiner's tips, analysis and quaddie pics for Flemington on Saturday
■ ■ ■ ■ ■
TAB FIXED ODDS BIG BETS AND MARKET MOVERS
ROSEHILL GARDENS
Race 1: Raging Force $2.45-$2, Just Awesome $17-$11
Race 2: Zouripper $4.60-$3.10
Race 3: Exit Fee $3.60-$2.70, Powder Man $14-$9.50
Race 4: Lunaite $8-$5, Show 'Em Howl $26-$18
Race 5: Storm The Ramparts $3.30-$2.90, Deprivation $23-$11, Pokerjack $23-$13
Race 6: Let's Go Again $11-$7
Race 7: Sounds Unusual $11-$5.50
Race 8: Dollar Magic $11-$7, Cigar Flick $11-$8.50, Cosmonova $26-$15
Race 9: Thunderlips $6-$4.40, Whinchat $15-$4.80, Saltcoats $26-$16, Testator Silens $51-$23
Race 10: Kerguelen $3.50-$3.20, Sacred Rocks $6-$3.50, Brave One $4.40-$3.60
• LAURIE'S LONGSHOTS: Best value plays from form student Laurie Sainsbury
■ ■ ■ ■ ■
LADBROKES BIG BETS AND MARKET MOVERS
ROSEHILL GARDENS
Race 1: Raging Force $2.60-$1.90 with a multitude of smaller bets all the way in with biggest $600 a $2.40, $400 twice and $360 at $2.25, $600 at $2.15, $600 a $2.10, $1000, $680 and $500 twice at $2.05, Horseshoe Hill $11-$9.50 with a bet of $230 at $11
Race 2: Zouripper $4.20-$2.90 with a $625 bet at $4.20
Race 3: Exit Fee $3.30-$2.60 after bets of $1000 at $2.75 and $1000 at $2.60, Let's Go Brandon $21-$16 with bets of $210 at $21, $375 at $21, $375 at $20
Race 4: Diddle Dumpling $9-$8 with a bet of $300 at $9, Sister Dane $18-$12, Amusing $10-$9 with a $222 at $10
Race 5: Storm The Ramparts $3.80-$2.90, Tarpaulin $3.30-$3, Pokerjack $31-$15
Race 6: Hi Dubai $6-$3.40, Queen Of The Mile $13-$8.50 after bets of $200 at $13 and $150 at $11, Let's Go Again $13-$6.50 after bets of $165 at $13, $125 at $8.75, Savagery Vibe $5-$4 with a $1000 wager at $5
Race 7: Seafall $14-$8.50 after a $155 bet at $14, Sounds Unusual $11-$6 including a $200 wager at $11, Gentleschi $9.50-$6 with a bets of $235 at $9.50), Good Banter $10-$6.50 with bets of $222 and $200 at $10
Race 8: Elouyou $11-$8 after bets of $150 at $10, $150 at $9, $160 at $9.50, Cigar Flick $10-$9 with a $200 bet at $10.50, $200 and $100 at $10, $200 at $9.50), World Alliance $7.50-$6 with bets of $300 at $6.25, $400 at $6, Memoria $18-$16 after a $120 bet at $18, Dollar Magic $12-$7 with a $180 at $12
Race 9: Welwal $500 at $7.50, Accredited $6.50-$5.50 after bets of $800 at $6.50, Phearson $51-$41, Whinchat $11-$5 with a $200 bet at $11, Astero $25-$23 after a bet of $120 w/p at $25/$6.50, Green Fly $11-$7 with bets of $200 at $11, $220 at $10, $100 at $10 three times
Race 10: Kerguelen $3.30-$3.70-$3.30 with a bet of $500 at $3.60, Brave One $5.50-$3.50 with a bet of $445 at $5.50), Sacred Rocks $7.50-$3.20 after bets of $310 at $7.50, $620 at $4.20
• Shayne O'Cass's race-by-race tips, analysis for Rosehill Gardens on Saturday
FLEMINGTON
Race 1: Bacash $2.70-$2.50 after bet of $1250 twice and $800 at $2.60, Job Done $900 twice and $600 at $3.20
Race 2: Bayou Music with bets of $250 twice at $8.50, Arcora $4.80-$4.60 after a bet of $400 at $4.85
Race 3: Marble Nine $3.50-$2.20 with a bet of $950 at $3.10, Thespian Waters $12-$11 with bets of $400 and $250 twice at $12, $670 at $11, Herecomesthestar with a bet of $125 at $17
Race 4: Knobelas $2.45-$2.10 after bets of $2500 at $2.40, $1480 at $2.35,
Race 5: Virtuous Circle $7-$6 after bets of $200 at $7, $365 and $350 at $6.50, Goldenstatewarrior $6.50-$4.60 with bets of $1000/$2000 at $6.25/$2.10, $300 at $6, $200 at $5.50
Race 6: Madame Maserati $25-$20 with a bet of $200 at $2, She's An Artist $1.80-$1.60 with bets of $1000 at $1.80 twice, $2000 twice, $1000 4 times, $700 and $650 at $1.75, $1500 and $1300 three times at $1.70, $1300 at $1.55 plus numerous other bets for $70,000 invested
Race 7: Nearco Frod $18-$13 with a bet of $117 at $18), Prochester $23-15, Vellasmachine $500 at $5.25, Champagne Jenni $17-$12 after bets of $150 and $125 at $17, $133 three times at $16, $285 at $15), Bearings $700 and $155 at $14
Race 8: Detonator Jack $500 w/p at $16.50/$4.40, Pounding $500 at $22.50, Oh Too Good $1500 and $930 at $3.15, $1000 at $3 eight times, Hughes $700 at $10, Magnaspin $61-$31 with a bet of $34 at $61
Race 9: Fire Of Etna $6.50-$5.50 with a bet of $365 at $6.50
• Racing Confidential: J-Mac unlikely to ride again this season
SUNSHINE COAST
Race 1: Mr Verse $6.50-$5.50 with a bet of $800 at $6.50, Oceans Of Energy $34-$27, Eye Pea Oh $20-$13
Race 2: Casperova $2.80-$1.85 after bets of $1115 at $2.80, $800 at $2.70, Big Boy George $7.50-$6 with a bet of $300 at $7.50
Race 3: Certified Copy $3.90-$2.90 with a bet of $344 at $3.90, Pretty Dubious $7.50-$6.50 after bets of $585 a $7.50, $400 at $7, Prestar $5.50-$4 after bets of $500 at $5.75, $555 at $4.60, Formula Rossa $12-$9.50 with a bet of $250 w/p at $12/$3.50
Race 4: Cosmic Fire $725 at $7, $500 at $6.50 twice, $500 w/p at $6/$2.30, Gin And Tonic $9.50-$6 after bets of $235 at $9.50, $285 at $8, Overful $6-$4.40, Lead Me On $11-$6.50
Race 5: All That Pizazz $12-$8.50 with a bet of $300 w/p at $12/$3.10, Millane $350 at $9.75, Hardware Lane $18-$16, Economics $20-$9, Chakra Boy $10-$5
Race 6: Italian Riviera $23-$13, Mille De Lune $6-$4.60 after bets of $230 at $5.50, $250 at $5.15, Bollinger Miss $16-$11
Race 7: Warnie $3.20-$2.80 after a bet of $700 at $3, I Am Artie $18-$12, Fortunate Kiss $2300 at $19, Mississippi Prince $41-$21, Redford with bets of $100 at $20, $250 at $17, $133 at $17
Race 8: Nikau Spur $21-$16 after bets of $200 at $21, $250 at $18), Don Diego De Vega $7.50-$6.50 with bets of $500 at $7.50, $1000 at $7, $300 at $6.75, Half Yours $4.40-$3.60 with a bet of $750 at $3.70, Dillan $23-$19 with bets of $500 w/p at $22.50/$5.50, $200 at $19.50, $110 at $19
Race 9: The Drover $18-$8.50, Toesonthenose $18-$17, Tonneofgrit $31-$6, Deep Respect $4.80-$3.60
• SUNSHINE COAST TIPS: Graeme Carey's best bets, race-by-race tips, analysis and quaddie picks
■ ■ ■ ■ ■
INTERSTATE MAIL
Sunshine Coast Race 2 No.7 CASPERNOVA
Sunshine Coast Race 7 No.4 WARNIE
Gawler Race 3 No.4 MARK OF THE MAN
Gawler Race 5 No.9 SWYCHO
• GAWLER, PINJARRA TIPS: $34 chance will 'take running down'
■ ■ ■ ■ ■
PROVINCIAL MAIL
Wyong Race 2 No.2 GAMP
Wyong Race 6 No.9 SAPLING
#Good luck today and I hope you back plenty of winners
Originally published as The Last Say: Tips, inside mail, market movers and the latest track conditions for today's racing