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Canterbury best bets, inside mail for Wednesday, July 9, 2025

Canterbury best bets, inside mail for Wednesday, July 9, 2025

Herald Sun08-07-2025
Don't miss out on the headlines from Horse Racing. Followed categories will be added to My News.
The Daily Telegraph and Racenet form analyst Adam Sherry provides his best bets and race-by-race analysis for Canterbury on Wednesday.
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CANTERBURY TIPS
BEST BET
Race 5 No.3: CASSIEL
Very good winning both starts this time in and can bring up the hat-trick.
NEXT BEST
Race 4 No.10: CELTIC SIN
Won two from three this preparation and had excuses in the other.
VALUE BET
Race 2 No.10: ISSY'S STAR
Runner-up to a very promising horse on debut before a big win second-up.
BEST EXOTIC
Quinella Race 5: 1, 3
QUADDIE
Race 4: 4, 9, 10
Race 5: 1, 3
Race 6: 3, 5, 7
Race 7: 6, 7, 11, 12
JOCKEY TO FOLLOW
TOMMY BERRY has some nice rides and looks a good chance in the TAB Jockey Challenge.
LAY OF THE DAY
Race 4 No.4: NARBOLD
First start in Sydney and up 7kg on his last run at Flemington.
CANTERBURY INSIDE MAIL
RACE 1: MAIDEN HANDICAP (1100m)
FROM THE PEAK (4) started an odds-on favourite on debut at Newcastle in March where she was left to lead and run down late by Maybe Moet. Led and held out Sovereign Hill in her latest trial at Randwick. MISS JONES (6) was bumped on the turn when fourth to Regimental Colours here first-up before a second behind Glorious Moments at Canterbury. THE STARS (7) was good in her first campaign including a nose second to Scalable at Canterbury and a third to Kilonova at Rosehill. Has been good in both recent Randwick trials.
BET: FROM THE PEAK to win.
RACE 2: 2YO MAIDEN HANDICAP (1200m)
ISSY'S STAR (10) lost three plates when a two-length second to Raging Force on debut at Muswellbrook. Was very impressive second-up leading all the way by nearly six lengths on a heavy track at Coffs Harbour. BRYANT (3) was held up passing the 300m when runner-up to Raging Force on the Kensington last start. Was fourth to Miss Freelove when resuming on a heavy track here. BESIDE THE OCEAN (16) is a half-sister to Farnan by Zoustar. Sat outside the leader to win her first Rosehill trial. Closed nicely late when second to Magical Star in her second heat.
BET: ISSY'S STAR each-way.
RACE 3: BENCHMARK 64 HANDICAP (1200m)
SIGNOR TORTONI (3) was beaten as a short-priced favourite by Octa De Lago when resuming on a heavy track at Goulburn. Bounced back with a big all-the-way win from Justice Warrior at Gosford on June 12. Runner-up in both runs here. HAWKER HALL (2) led all the way to beat Mal Coupe at Gosford the same day. Better than his last start seventh to Getafix over 1300m on the Kensington. Drops in grade and distance. KILONOVA (5) score a handy debut win at Rosehill in February. Was strong through the line without pressure when just behind the placegetters in both recent trials.
BET: SIGNOR TORTONI to win.
RACE 4: BENCHMARK 64 HANDICAP (1550m)
CELTIC SIN (10) resumed with an impressive win on a heavy track at Wyong and again put a margin on her rivals over 1500m at Hawkesbury last start. Had a wide run and pulled up lame in her run in between. STARPHISTOCATED (9) took improvement from her first-up third at Newcastle over 1200m. Stepped up to 1400m when she returned and was too good for Crimson Miss on a Heavy 8. Looks suited stepping up in trip again. NARBOLD (4) is better than his last run at Flemington. Placed his previous two in similar grade to this.
BET: CELTIC SIN to win.
RACE 5: BENCHMARK 72 HANDICAP (1100m)
CASSIEL (3) raced well in his first two campaigns but has come back even better this time in. Led all the way to beat Apex over this track and distance before a big win at Hawkesbury. Can make it a hat-trick. MAFIA (1) ran a couple of handy placings in town before ending his campaign with a deserved win from Agenda Setter over 1250m here. Resumes for a new stable and has a couple of first-up wins. Nice trial win in his Nowra heat. OPAL FIELDS (6) will take improvement from her first-up sixth on the Kensington. Placed runner-up in both second-up runs.
BET: CASSIEL to win.
RACE 6: BENCHMARK 72 HANDICAP (1250m)
BRAVEHEART (7) settled back in the field before closing strongly late when beaten under a length in third behind Axius when resuming over 1100m on the Kensington. Is a second-up and will appreciate a step up to 1250m. BARTOLF (5) scored a good win second-up last campaign and was a close second her two starts later. Returns as a gelding and has been good winning both Randwick trials this time in. HANAU (3) was held up passing the 200m when second to Denman Star first-up. Is a second-up winner and has won at this track and distance.
BET: BRAVEHEART to win.
RACE 7: BENCHMARK 72 HANDICAP (1900m)
HOVLAND (12) was beaten a nose by Okami Star over 1600m on a heavy track second-up at Gosford before stepping up to 1800m and scoring a smart win from Magicon over 1800m at Hawkesbury. NATURAL DEDUCTION (7) raced wide throughout when down the track behind Kenmare Bay here two starts ago. Got a nice run in fourth spot and held off the strong closing Fioprospero over this track and distance last time out. Gets in well with the 3kg claim. KAZALARK (6) made ground from near last when fifth to Nana's Wish over 1550m here two runs back. Worked home for fifth to Misterkipchoge over 1800m at Rosehill last start. Back in grade and drawn well.
BET: HOVLAND to win.
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F1 Liam Lawson tries to set the record straight after brutal Red Bull demotion, Yuki Tsunoda, Max Verstappen
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AFL Caroline Wilson tells Craig Hutchy Hutchison to ‘grow up' in shock spray live on-air, Channel 7, The Agenda Setters
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F1 Liam Lawson tries to set the record straight after brutal Red Bull demotion, Yuki Tsunoda, Max Verstappen
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Don't miss out on the headlines from F1. Followed categories will be added to My News. Liam Lawson says he wasn't given time to prove himself at Red Bull Racing before his brutal sacking just two rounds into the season. Lawson was drafted up from Racing Bulls to replace the out-of-favour Sergio Pérez this season, but dire results at the opening Australian and Chinese grands prix convinced Red Bull Racing management to make an emergency change, sending him back to Faenza in exchange for Yuki Tsunoda. Fox Sports, available on Kayo Sports, is the only place to watch every practice, qualifying session and race in the 2025 FIA Formula One World Championship™ LIVE in 4K. New to Kayo? Join now and get your first month for just $1. It was a ruthlessly early move on the Kiwi, who had started just 13 races when he was dropped ahead of the Japanese Grand Prix. Speaking to the F1 website at the halfway mark of the season, Lawson argued that while he accepted his results were poor, he was never given a chance to prove his underperformance was down to insufficient preparation rather than skill. Liam Lawson has spoken out about his demotion. (Photo by) 'I was well aware that those results weren't good enough, but I was just focused on improving, fixing and learning, basically,' he said. 'I was in the same mindset as I have been since I came into F1. 'I think that was the biggest thing going into a team like that, in a car like that it was going to take a bit of time to adjust and learn. 'With no proper testing, the issues in testing, the issues in Melbourne through practice, it wasn't smooth and clean. 'I needed time, and I wasn't given it.' Tsunoda's struggles in his seat have cast Lawson's difficulties in a new light. While the Kiwi's results were considerably poorer, the well-regarded Japanese driver has yet to make a breakthrough with the difficult RB21. Yuki Tsunoda has had his own issues in the top team. (Photo by) On average his results have been similar to those that had Pérez sent packing with two years to run on his contract at the end of last year. But the fact Tsunoda has been unable to perform — despite having been in sizzling form at Racing Bulls in 2024 and the first two rounds of 2025 — has finally forced the team to reckon with a more deeply seated problem than just its second driver. For years the design department has developed an increasingly niche car. Max Verstappen, his abilities preternatural, has been able to master it, but the mere mortal drivers partnered with him have endured greater and greater difficulties behind the wheel. This year even Verstappen has been unable to deliver consistent performances in the car, completing the team's rapid descent from dominant title winner in 2023 to also-ran just two years later. Tsunoda will be given at least until the end of the season, after which the prevalent assumption is he'll be moved on, though a fresh tack under new principal Laurent Mekies could yet change the game. A series of drivers have struggled to partner Max Verstappen. (Photo by) The subsequent events reframed Lawson's struggles — and not just his; Pérez, Alex Albon and Pierre Gasly could all claim some credit back here — in less harsh terms. It's cold comfort for the Kiwi, however, whose career flipped from dazzlingly ascendant to alarmingly precarious less than a fortnight into the season. With Red Bull's next young gun, Arvid Lindblad, in line for promotion to Formula 1 next season, what should have been a dream season could yet turn into a nightmare. Despite Christian Horner, the then Red Bull Racing principal, having claimed Lawson's demotion was an exercise in its 'duty of care to protect and develop Liam', his results remained stubbornly unimpressive upon his return to Racing Bulls. There are several elements that have gone into making him look more ordinary than expected. Former boss Christian Horner (right) and the team fell on much harder times in recent years. (Photo by) One is the acclimatisation process. Being thrown from one car to another in the middle of the season is always difficult, and after having struggled with an interrupted pre-season program at Red Bull Racing, having no pre-season at all with Racing Bulls made that challenge steeper. The other is that his teammate, Isack Hadjar, is arguably the standout rookie of the season. The Frenchman has been especially impressive in qualifying, and given the tightness of the midfield, that's made his Sunday results more impressive too. It's been easy to conclude a third reason — that Lawson, after being chewed up and spat out by one of F1's grandees in just two grands prix – had his confidence shattered. Pérez, after all, looked like a broken man in his final months at Red Bull Racing. Lawson, however, denies that psychology has played a role. 'I haven't really talked much about it because I think for a big part of this year I've just ignored everything that happened and I've just focused on trying to drive the car, but I know there was a lot of stuff that went out that was speculation about how I was feeling,' he said. 'My confidence hasn't changed since the start of the year to now. 'One thing to be clear about is that between the first couple of races, to the team switch, then going to Japan, mentally for me nothing changed. 'It's been very heavily speculated that my confidence took a hit and stuff like this, which is completely false. From the start of the year I felt the same as I always have. 'I think in two races, on tracks I'd never been to, it's not really enough for my confidence [to suffer]. 'Maybe six months into a season if I'm still at that level, if the results are still like that, then I'd be feeling something, maybe my confidence would be taking a hit.' Lawson may not have got the time he deserved at Red Bull Racing to make an impression, but he has 12 more grands prix to state his case in a car capable of occasional big results. The pressure's on, but it's up to him to prove he's equal to the challenge. Originally published as Liam Lawson tries to set the record straight after brutal Red Bull demotion

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