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Gamuda's outlook positive on strong project pipeline: analysts

Gamuda's outlook positive on strong project pipeline: analysts

KUALA LUMPUR: Gamuda Bhd's outlook remains upbeat, supported by a robust project pipeline, according to analysts.
Hong Leong Investment Bank Bhd (HLIB) said that despite some delays in converting contracts and minor challenges in its bid for the Suburban Rail Loop (SRL) systems package, Gamuda's order book is still expected to grow to between RM40 billion and RM45 billion by the end of the year.
HLIB also highlighted that the company has recently been shortlisted for more projects, including New Zealand's Northland Corridor highway.
"Gamuda is optimistic of prospects in Taiwan as the award timing of the RM11 billion rail extension could come earlier than expected.
"Accounting for the SRL systems setback, Gamuda's high certainty pipeline remains massive at more than RM25 billion.
"Further to this, we view the recent conclusion of Australian GE as reinforcing renewables' growth trajectory which bodes well for its existing pumped hydro ECIs (worth RM5 billion each)," it said.
Meanwhile, Public Investment Bank Bhd (PublicInvest) noted that Gamuda's year to date project wins have reached RM15.8 billion, with its current outstanding construction orderbook estimated at RM34.6 billion.
It said the jobs pipeline remains encouraging, with an additional RM15-20 billion new wins expected by end of calendar year 2025 (CY25), spanning water infrastructure, data centers (DC), renewables, and other key projects across Malaysia, Australia, and Taiwan.
"On the property front, unbilled sales are now estimated at RM7.7 billion, with a RM5 billion sales target for FY25.
"Regarding the data centre (DC) pipeline, Gamuda's DC partners indicated no plans to slow down or delay rollouts, and negotiations for additional DC projects are progressing well," it said.
Gamuda reported a stronger quarter in the third quarter (Q3) financial year 2025 (FY25), with core net profit reaching RM246.8 million, mainly driven by improved performance in its domestic engineering & construction (E&C) division.
However, PublicInvest said the cumulative nine month FY25 core net profit of RM664.5 million came in below both the firm's and consensus expectations, accounting for only 66.2 per cent and 63.8 per cent of respective full year estimates.
It said the shortfall was primarily due to slower than expected earnings recognition from its overseas construction and property projects.
"That said, we keep our earnings forecasts unchanged, as we expect Gamuda's performance to catch up in the final quarter, which has historically been its strongest.
"We remain optimistic about its prospect, supported by encouraging project pipeline, and maintain our Outperform call on Gamuda with unchanged target price of RM5.30," it added.

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