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Weather agency debunks 'summers in Spain are always this hot' claim

Weather agency debunks 'summers in Spain are always this hot' claim

Local Spain2 days ago

Whenever Spain's Aemet weather agency or a news website warns of an upcoming heatwave or record temperatures in Spain, there's invariably a barrage of replies online saying something to the effect of 'It's always been hot in summer'.
This is of course true, very obvious, and in many cases quite a disingenuous claim.
These sorts of remarks are repeated over and over again as evidence against climate change (along with claims like 'fake news' and 'clickbait') and although it is of course true that temperatures are higher during summer in Spain, and that there have always been abnormal periods and heatwaves over the years, Spain's weather agency has now shown they have never consistently reached current levels, at least not since records began.
This has been confirmed by Spain's state meteorological agency Aemet in a social media post in which it debunks the claims with data.
Around a quarter of the replies and messages directed at Aemet on social media are insulting, humiliating and threatening, according to figures from the Social Inclusion journal, which may explain why the state body has taken to the internet to make its point.
Posting on X, Aemet stated that:
'It's always been hot in summer.'
Yes, but there is no precedent for a June as hot as this one. Just look at the anomaly graph.
And it's not an isolated case: between 2022 and 2024 there were 7 records of hot months. The last record for coldest month was in 2005.
With a graph showing average temperatures in Spain and the variations that have occurred in recent months, Aemet data shows that in most cases when weather anomalies occur they are towards higher or rising temperatures.
Take June, for example, which is already promising to be a record month. Aemet provided further data from June that adds to the list of records, especially for incidents of extreme weather and variation, such as the fact that on June 23rd, for example, Almería broke both its highest maximum and minimum temperatures record for the month, 40.9C and 27.1C, respectively.
According to Spain's System of Daily Mortality Monitoring (MoMo), from June 1st to 21st 114 people have died in Spain due to heat-related causes. The year with the highest rate of mortality due to heat-related causes was 2022, with 339.
As we approach July, the situation doesn't look likely to change, warns Aemet. The average temperature should be between 23C and 24C (an average of maximum and minimum temperatures), but the forecast is for it to be around 30C.

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Weather agency debunks 'summers in Spain are always this hot' claim
Weather agency debunks 'summers in Spain are always this hot' claim

Local Spain

time2 days ago

  • Local Spain

Weather agency debunks 'summers in Spain are always this hot' claim

Whenever Spain's Aemet weather agency or a news website warns of an upcoming heatwave or record temperatures in Spain, there's invariably a barrage of replies online saying something to the effect of 'It's always been hot in summer'. This is of course true, very obvious, and in many cases quite a disingenuous claim. These sorts of remarks are repeated over and over again as evidence against climate change (along with claims like 'fake news' and 'clickbait') and although it is of course true that temperatures are higher during summer in Spain, and that there have always been abnormal periods and heatwaves over the years, Spain's weather agency has now shown they have never consistently reached current levels, at least not since records began. This has been confirmed by Spain's state meteorological agency Aemet in a social media post in which it debunks the claims with data. Around a quarter of the replies and messages directed at Aemet on social media are insulting, humiliating and threatening, according to figures from the Social Inclusion journal, which may explain why the state body has taken to the internet to make its point. Posting on X, Aemet stated that: 'It's always been hot in summer.' Yes, but there is no precedent for a June as hot as this one. Just look at the anomaly graph. And it's not an isolated case: between 2022 and 2024 there were 7 records of hot months. The last record for coldest month was in 2005. With a graph showing average temperatures in Spain and the variations that have occurred in recent months, Aemet data shows that in most cases when weather anomalies occur they are towards higher or rising temperatures. Take June, for example, which is already promising to be a record month. Aemet provided further data from June that adds to the list of records, especially for incidents of extreme weather and variation, such as the fact that on June 23rd, for example, Almería broke both its highest maximum and minimum temperatures record for the month, 40.9C and 27.1C, respectively. According to Spain's System of Daily Mortality Monitoring (MoMo), from June 1st to 21st 114 people have died in Spain due to heat-related causes. The year with the highest rate of mortality due to heat-related causes was 2022, with 339. As we approach July, the situation doesn't look likely to change, warns Aemet. The average temperature should be between 23C and 24C (an average of maximum and minimum temperatures), but the forecast is for it to be around 30C.

Heatwave to smother Spain as June likely to be hottest on record
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How hot will this summer be in Spain?

Forecasts from Spain's meteorological experts indicate that we are entering yet another record-breaking summer. Spain's national weather agency Aemet has said that between June 1st and August 31st, the conditions point to the fact that it will be hotter than usual across the whole country. The Mediterranean coast and the islands stand out as the areas most likely to see above-average temperatures during this time. Aemet meteorologists indicate that during next three months, 60 percent of temperatures will be above normal in most of the peninsula, and 70 percent of temperatures will be hotter than usual in the Mediterranean area and the archipelagos. To reach these conclusions, experts at the national meteorology body have created hundreds of mathematical models based on thousands of factors, such as air and ocean temperatures and ambient humidity. From there, a rough outline of what the weather will be like over the coming months is provided, based on trends from each region. This year, the models have predicted that there is a 60 percent chance that it will be hotter than usual, a 30 percent chance that it will be in line with expectations, and a 10 percent chance that it will be colder than normal. Currently, Aemet is using the average recorded data between 1991 and 2020 as its reference period. This means that everything points to this summer being warmer compared to the average of the last thirty years. It will also be above the usual values ​​of the 1960s, which is when meteorological records officially began in Spain. While it will be much warmer than normal, that doesn't necessarily mean that it will break all the records, however, or that it will be more extreme than the summer of 2022, which remains the hottest ever recorded in Spain. A a whole, 2023 was the second hottest year since records began while 2024 was the third hottest. It's worth noting though that in 2023, during the months of June, July and August 2023, 552 temperature records were broken across Spain for average, maximum and minimum temperatures, according to a study carried out by weather website And in 2024, heat records for April were broken, which saw summer-like temperatures in spring. This year, we have already seen a record-breaking May as mainland Spain experienced its hottest ever May 30th, with the average temperature surpassing 24C, according to Aemet. Experts indicate this is all likely due to climate change and global warming where summers are starting earlier than usual and reaching increasingly higher temperatures, causing more extreme heatwaves and lasting longer than normal too. The World Meteorological Organisation estimates that this trend will continue for at least the next five years, when new temperature records are expected to be broken across the planet.

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