Bearish is thoughtful, bullish is cavalier? Samir Arora calls out market bias
'But people who are bearish are generally considered as 'thoughtful and measured' and people who are bullish are considered 'cavalier'—so what to do,' Arora, Founder and Fund Manager at Helios Capital, posted on X (formerly Twitter), echoing a sentiment shared by market expert Sandip Sabharwal, who had called for more fund managers to make the case for optimism in the markets.
by Taboola
by Taboola
Sponsored Links
Sponsored Links
Promoted Links
Promoted Links
You May Like
New 3BHK Flats In Kuta:(Take A Look At Prices)
Apartments | Search Ads
Search Now
Undo
But people who are bearish are generally considered as "thoughtful and measured" and people who are bullish are considered "cavalier"- so what to do.
https://t.co/QhGGCZ9Rvn
— Samir Arora (@Iamsamirarora)
June 9, 2025
Sabharwal had earlier questioned why market experts focus so heavily on bearish outlooks, saying, 'Instead of making 100 page presentations on why we should be 'Bearish', some of the 'Experts' from MF's/PMSes/AIF's etc should actually be making presentations on why we should be 'Bullish'.'
Markets rally on RBI boost
Indian benchmark indices ended Monday in the green, with the Nifty climbing to an eight-month high and the Bank Nifty index touching a record intraday peak. The rally was driven by the Reserve Bank of India's outsized 50 basis point rate cut, a 100 basis point CRR reduction, better-than-expected U.S. jobs data, and progress in U.S.-India trade negotiations.
The upbeat sentiment extended beyond large caps. The Nifty Midcap 100 rose 1.1%, and the Nifty Smallcap 100 gained 1.6%, outperforming the benchmark indices as investors bet on broader economic revival.
Live Events
Helios MF makes big bets in May
Meanwhile, new fund disclosures from Helios Mutual Fund, backed by Arora, showed the Flexi Cap fund cut its cash holdings sharply from 5.26% in April to just 1.08% in May, signalling increased conviction in equity markets. The scheme, which has an AUM of Rs 3,213.5 crore, counts Adani Ports, ICICI Bank, and HDFC Bank as its top holdings.
The fund increased positions in Adani Ports, Bharat Electronics, and KPIT Technologies, while adding new exposures to MCX, NBCC, Gokaldas Exports, Delhivery, and Indian Hotels. It also exited S H Kelkar and Electronics Mart India. Cash levels were also reduced in the Midcap and Large & Mid Cap funds, further reflecting a bullish allocation shift.
As stocks march higher, Arora's critique of the prevailing narrative raises a broader question, should optimism be treated with more intellectual respect in a market that thrives on sentiment swings?
Also read |
Sector rotation expected as policy easing triggers catch-up rally: Sandip Sabharwal
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Time of India
25 minutes ago
- Time of India
Brics 2025: 'We don't want an emperor,' says Brazil's Lula; slams Trump tariffs, hints at dollar alternative
AP photo Brazilian President Lula da Silva took a sharp dig at Donald Trump as the Brics summit wrapped up on Monday: "The world has changed. We don't want an emperor". His words came just hours after the US President took to his familiar playbook of tariff threats, warning the bloc of extra duties if they took what he branded as "anti-American" positions. The warning? A 10 per cent tariff against Brics nations -- unless, of course, they looked for their interest rather than American interest! In his trade salvo on Sunday night, Trump said that this administration was preparing to finalise dozens of bilateral deals before a self-imposed July 9 deadline. But the developing powers weren't biting. "This is a set of countries that wants to find another way of organising the world from the economic perspective," Lula said, according to news agency Reuters, adding, "I think that's why the Brics are making people uncomfortable." According to a source familiar with the matter, the White House isn't planning to slap that 10 per cent tariff immediately. But if the bloc's policies appear "anti-American," the trigger could be pulled. At the Rio summit's close, Lula doubled down on his call for a diversified global economy. He took aim at the dollar's dominance in international trade, saying: 'The world needs to find a way that our trade relations don't have to pass through the dollar.' by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like An engineer reveals: One simple trick to get internet without a subscription Techno Mag Learn More Undo 'Obviously, we have to be responsible about doing that carefully. Our central banks have to discuss it with central banks from other countries,' he clarified. 'That's something that happens gradually until it's consolidated.' In February, Trump had already warned of '100 per cent tariffs' on the Brics nations if they dared undermine the dollar's role. That same threat seems to have cooled the bloc's ambitions for a common currency, an idea floated last year but quietly parked under Brazil's current presidency. Other Brics members offered a more diplomatic response to Trump's outburst. South African president Cyril Ramaphosa said the bloc 'does not seek to compete with any other power,' and voiced optimism about reaching a trade understanding with the US. Over in Beijing, Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Mao Ning was characteristically measured: 'Tariffs should not be used as a tool for coercion and pressuring,' she said, noting that the Brics favours 'win-win cooperation' and 'does not target any country.' The Kremlin, for its part, reminded reporters that its work within the Brics reflects a "common world view" that "will never be directed against third countries". Without naming the US, the Brics group in Rio, including India, raised "serious concerns" about the rise of tariffs which it said were 'inconsistent with WTO (World Trade Organisation) rules.' The restrictions 'threaten to reduce global trade, disrupt global supply chains, and introduce uncertainty," the group said in a statement even as there was confusion even in Washington about the efficacy of the Trump approach.
Time of India
25 minutes ago
- Time of India
Bharat Bandh 9 July: What's open, what's closed? Will schools, banks, offices, train services be affected as 25 cr workers go on strike tomorrow?
A nationwide strike has been called on Wednesday, July 9, 2025, by a joint platform of 10 central trade unions along with farmers' and rural workers' organisations. The protest, branded as "Bharat Bandh," aims to oppose the government's policies which the unions describe as pro-corporate and anti-worker. Organisers expect over 25 crore workers to participate across the formal and informal sectors, with farmers and agricultural labourers joining from rural India. Bharat Bandh Tomorrow: Trade unions supporting the strike The unions involved in the protest include major national bodies such as: Indian National Trade Union Congress (INTUC) All India Trade Union Congress (AITUC) Hind Mazdoor Sabha (HMS) Centre of Indian Trade Unions (CITU) All India United Trade Union Centre (AIUTUC) Trade Union Coordination Centre (TUCC) Self Employed Women's Association (SEWA) All India Central Council of Trade Unions (AICCTU) Labour Progressive Federation (LPF) United Trade Union Congress (UTUC) Bharat Band July 9: What's open, what's closed? The strike is expected to affect multiple sectors, including: by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Remember Him? Sit Down Before You See What He Looks Like Now 33 Bridges Undo Banking and financial services Postal departments Coal mining and factories State transport services Public sector units and government departments Workers from companies like NMDC and various state-run entities in the steel and mineral sectors have confirmed their participation. Harbhajan Singh Sidhu from Hind Mazdoor Sabha said the protest would see "strong participation across industries and services, both public and private." Bharat Bandh 9 July: Banks closed? However, banking unions have not saperately confirmed about disruption of services due to bandh, but as per bandh organisers financial services will be affected. Bandh organisers said that the strike includes employees from public sector banks and cooperative banking sectors, which may impact banking operations such as branch services, cheque clearance, and customer support in many regions. Live Events You Might Also Like: Bharat Bandh Alert: Over 25 crore workers to strike on Wednesday; Banks, transport, post offices and more sectors likely to be hit nationwide Bharat Bandh July 9: What about schools, colleges, offices? Schools, colleges, and private offices are expected to remain open on July 9. However, normal operations may face disruptions in some regions due to transport issues. Public buses, taxis, and app-based cab services could be affected as trade unions and allied groups hold protest marches and road demonstrations in several cities. This may lead to delays or cancellations in local travel and logistical operations. Daily commuters are advised to plan ahead and expect possible traffic diversions and longer travel times. Bharat Bandh tomorrow: Rail services to be affected? As of now, there is no official announcement about a nationwide railway strike on July 9. However, since large-scale protests and road blockades are expected in several parts of the country, train services may experience delays or disruptions in certain regions. Railway unions have not formally joined the Bharat Bandh , but past such strikes have seen protestors holding demonstrations near railway stations or on tracks, especially in states with strong union presence. This could lead to localised train delays or security measures being stepped up by authorities. Authorities are likely to deploy additional security personnel around key railway hubs to ensure smooth operations and avoid major disruptions. Passengers are advised to check train schedules and plan their travel accordingly. Bharat Bandh July 2025 Reason: Why are workers on strike? The trade unions claim that their concerns have been consistently ignored. They submitted a 17-point charter of demands to Labour Minister Mansukh Mandaviya last year, but say there has been no serious response. "The government has abandoned the welfare state status of the country. It is working in the interest of foreign and Indian corporates, and it is evident from the policies being pursued vigorously," the union forum stated. They allege the government: Has not conducted the Indian Labour Conference in the last ten years Is pushing four new labour codes that weaken unions and increase working hours Is promoting contractual jobs and privatisation Is ignoring demands for more public sector recruitment and wage hikes Is offering incentives to employers without tackling youth unemployment Bharat Bandh July 2025: Farmers and rural workers back the bandh Farmer groups and rural labour organisations have also extended their support. The Samyukta Kisan Morcha and agricultural workers' unions plan to mobilise villagers and protest against economic decisions that they claim are worsening rural distress. They allege that government actions are causing: Rising unemployment Higher prices of essential goods Cuts in health, education, and welfare spending Additional concerns raised The unions have also raised alarms over: Alleged misuse of constitutional institutions Laws like the Public Security Bill in Maharashtra, which they claim aim to criminalise protests Attempts to disenfranchise migrant workers through voter list revisions in Bihar Threats to citizenship rights According to the forum, the four new labour codes passed by Parliament are designed to 'suppress and cripple the trade union movement, increase working hours, snatch workers' right to collective bargaining, right to strike, and decriminalise violation of labour laws by employers.' The organisers say the July 9 Bharat Bandh will be a unified show of resistance from both industrial and rural India.
India Today
26 minutes ago
- India Today
Market opening: How will Sensex, Nifty react to Trump's tariff announcement?
Sensex and Nifty are expected to open flat on Tuesday as global markets digest a fresh wave of US tariff President Donald Trump has announced new 25% tariffs on imports from key trade partners, including Japan and South Korea, while also saying that a trade deal with India is close. The news has increased caution among investors, and traders are likely to stay watchful in the early hours of of 8:06 am, the Gift Nifty futures were trading at 25,495.5, suggesting that the Nifty 50 will start the day close to its previous closing level of 25,461.3. The flat indication shows that investors are still uncertain about how the new US trade actions will affect global August 1, the US is expected to enforce higher tariffs, unless agreements are made. So far, only the United Kingdom and Vietnam have finalised deals. India is still in talks with the US, and Trump has indicated that a deal is nearing completion, though no final agreement has been announced US president said on Monday that these tariffs are part of his strategy to rebalance trade relationships. However, the new levies are expected to increase costs on imported goods and may slow economic activity, at least in the short than the actual rates, the lack of clarity and the delay in finalising deals is likely to keep businesses on edge. This uncertainty could lead many companies to delay spending and investment Monday, Wall Street reacted negatively to the news. The S&P 500 Index fell by its largest margin in three weeks, adding to the nervousness in Asian markets. Early on Tuesday, Asian markets were mixed, with the MSCI Asia-Pacific index (excluding Japan) down 0.1%.Sensex and Nifty ended nearly unchanged on Monday. Gains in consumer stocks, especially Godrej Consumer, helped limit the downside in the broader market. Still, investor caution was visible. The benchmark indices are still around 3% below their record highs touched in late September Ambala, Sebi Registered Research Analyst and Co-Founder of Stock Market Today, said the market remains in an overall uptrend. However, the India VIX rose by almost 2%, which suggests that traders should proceed with caution in the short term. Ambala said volatility could remain high for the next few added that broader market performance is still strong on a quarter-over-quarter quarterly earnings updates start rolling in, there could be a lift in sentiment. She also mentioned that while a US-India trade deal may help improve mood, the benefits may be limited to specific sectors. For today's session, she expects the Nifty to find support between 25,330 and 25,180 and face resistance near 25,510 and 25, global trade tensions dominate the headlines, domestic factors like company earnings, foreign investor flows, and inflation data will also play an important role in shaping market direction over the coming weeks. Until then, investors may prefer to wait for clearer signals before making large bets.(Disclaimer: The views, opinions, recommendations, and suggestions expressed by experts/brokerages in this article are their own and do not reflect the views of the India Today Group. It is advisable to consult a qualified broker or financial advisor before making any actual investment or trading choices.)- EndsMust Watch advertisement
