logo
Indian benchmarks retreat as Kashmir attack fuels geopolitical concerns

Indian benchmarks retreat as Kashmir attack fuels geopolitical concerns

India's benchmark indexes reversed early gains on Friday, weighed down by broad-based sector losses and geopolitical jitters after a deadly militant attack in Kashmir raised tensions with Pakistan.
The Nifty 50 fell 0.73% at 24,069.2 and the BSE Sensex lost 0.67% to 79,299.65 as of 9:57 a.m. IST.
Both the benchmarks rose about 0.4% each in early trade before swinging to losses. All the 13 major sectors declined.
The broader, more domestically-focussed small-caps and mid-caps lost 2.6% and 2%, respectively.
Both benchmarks snapped a seven-session winning streak on Thursday as investors turned risk-averse after an attack on tourists in Kashmir killed 26 men and heightened geopolitical tensions.
'With the peak quarterly results season kicking in, we expect the momentum in markets to rotate across sectors, keeping traders and investors actively engaged,' said Abhilash Pagaria, head of Nuvama Alternative and Quantitative Research.
However, signs of escalating tensions between India and Pakistan after this week's Pahalgam attack which killed 26 civilians, could cap market gains and keep investors on edge, analysts said, noting India's move to downgrade diplomatic ties and suspend the Indus water treaty.
Oil-to-telecom conglomerate Reliance Industries gained 1.5% while car maker Maruti Suzuki added 1% ahead of reporting their March quarter results later in the day.
IT stocks power India's stocks to their best close of 2025
Private lender Axis Bank lost 3.7% after reporting their quarterly results on Thursday. Morgan Stanley said that Axis Bank could face near-term pressure as the bank indicated that it may take a few quarters for asset quality to improve.
In contrast to domestic equities, the MSCI Asia ex-Japan index advanced 1.1%.
Overnight, Wall Street equities rose after Trump said trade talks between the world's top two economies were underway, pushing back against contradicting Chinese claims.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Asian currencies: Taiwan's dollar hits highest since April 2022
Asian currencies: Taiwan's dollar hits highest since April 2022

Business Recorder

time2 hours ago

  • Business Recorder

Asian currencies: Taiwan's dollar hits highest since April 2022

BENGALURU: Most stock markets in emerging Asian economies rose on Thursday, after trade discussions between the United States and Vietnam raised the possibility of breakthroughs for other countries in the region ahead of the July 9 tariff deadline. US President Donald Trump said the country would impose a 20% tariff on exports from Vietnam, sharply down from the 46% planned earlier. The announcement, though scant on details, eased tensions with its tenth-biggest trading partner. Stocks in Vietnam rose 0.6% to their highest level since April 2022, while the dong dropped 0.3% to hit a record low of 26,229 per US dollar. Analysts at DBS noted the proposal could mitigate downside risks to Vietnam's economic growth but 'may not prevent a slowdown in the coming quarters.' The US-Vietnam talks lifted sentiment across most Asian stock markets on hopes other countries could reach similar outcomes before the July 9 deadline. An MSCI gauge of equities in emerging Asian markets advanced 0.4% and touched a three-and-a-half-year high earlier in the day. Philippine stocks climbed 1.1% to hit their highest since May 15. The archipelago faces an 18% tariff under Trump's plan. Shares in Taiwan and Indonesia climbed 1.1% and 0.2%, respectively. South Korean stocks ended more than 1.3% higher, marking their highest close since September 2021, after President Lee Jae Myung said he was working to secure a 'mutually beneficial and sustainable' outcome from trade talks with the United States. Thailand stocks were up 0.9%, after the country's opposition parties said they would hold off on launching a no-confidence vote against suspended Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra pending a court ruling.

Gold falls as strong US payrolls data douses rate cut hopes
Gold falls as strong US payrolls data douses rate cut hopes

Business Recorder

time2 hours ago

  • Business Recorder

Gold falls as strong US payrolls data douses rate cut hopes

NEW YORK: Gold fell 1% on Thursday as stronger-than-expected US payroll data cemented expectations that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates as early as previously anticipated, denting the metal's appeal. Spot gold fell 1% to $3,325.48 per ounce as of 1303 GMT, while US gold futures were down 0.7% to $3,336.00. The dollar and US stock index futures rose after non-farm payrolls increased by 147,000 jobs last month, the Labour Department's Bureau of Labour Statistics showed. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls rising 110,000. Stronger dollar makes bullion more expensive for overseas buyers. 'The better than expected jobs number means we see a lesser likelihood of a Fed rate cut earlier than currently anticipated. As a result, the dollar strengthened which is adding pressure to the gold market,' said David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures. 'The key is the fact that the idea or possibility of a July rate cut is off the table.' Investors are now pricing in 53 basis points of Federal Reserve rate cuts by the end of the year, starting in October, down from around 66 basis points expected prior to the report. Non-yielding gold tends to perform well in a low-interest-rate environment. On the trade front, an agreement between the United States and Vietnam was announced on Wednesday ahead of a July 9 deadline when US tariffs are set to take effect. Meanwhile, Republicans in the US House of Representatives advanced Trump's massive tax-cut and spending bill, estimated to potentially add $3.4 trillion to the nation's debt, toward a final yes-or-no vote. 'As the indebtedness of the US continues to grow, investors might become more concerned about the US dollar, which should benefit gold in the longer-term,' said Carsten Menke, an analyst at Julius Baer. Spot silver edged down 0.2% to $36.51 per ounce, platinum lost 2.9% to $1,376.80 and palladium shed 2.3% to $1,128.78.

Govt mulling resolving IWT row via Indus body
Govt mulling resolving IWT row via Indus body

Business Recorder

time2 hours ago

  • Business Recorder

Govt mulling resolving IWT row via Indus body

ISLAMABAD: The government is planning to resolve the matter of abeyance of Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) by India through Permanent Indus Commissioners of the two signatories, Pakistan and India, but If there is no substantial outcome, then Pakistan would consider approaching the Permanent Court of Arbitration. This was stated by Attorney-General for Pakistan Mansoor Usman Awan while speaking to Business Recorder. The process involves Pakistan approaching the World Bank, the broker of IWT, for constitution of Court of Arbitration (CoA), after Indian government's unilateral decision of putting the IWT in abeyance subsequent to the 23 April 2025 terrorist attack near Pahalgam in Illegal Occupied Held Kashmir citing national security concerns. IWT: PM hails arbitration court's ruling 'We are preparing our case to seek all legal remedies to stop New Delhi from blatant violation of the Treaty unilaterally which is still inforce as per the international law,' informed sources told Business Recorder. According to Article 9 of IWT, if a question arises on the applicability of the Treaty between the two signatory countries, and in case both do not agree on a resolution mechanism bilaterally or G2G then the affected party will approach the third party. In this instance, the third party is CoA as a neutral expert is limited to deal only with the design of a project. The remedy to approach CoA is the role of the World Bank, as no country as an aggrieved party can establish CoA itself and for this purpose agreement of both parties is not necessary. The sources said, when an aggrieved party approaches the World Bank for establishment of CoA, the Bank has to establish CoA and it is the duty of CoA to take a decision on the application of the aggrieved country as it cannot hold the application on the grounds of reaching a consensus between the parties. However, in case the World Bank does not forward Pakistan's application for establishment of CoA under influence of some 'powers' and puts it aside, even then it willbe to the benefit of Pakistan as it would have adopted a legal course in accordance with the law and in case of any other step the burden will be on India for not following the legal course. 'Pakistan has decided to adopt legal course. We will go to the Court of Arbitration which will give its verdict as per its mandate,' the sources said, adding that in case the World Bank does not establish CoA, it will be enough for the world powers to understand that whatever legal course was available Pakistan adopted it before taking any adverse action. If CoA gives its verdict in favour of Pakistan and India does not implement it, then Pakistan has legal justification for considering it an act of war. When the case is taken to the International Court of Justice (ICJ), both countries have to accept its jurisdiction. However, if the United Nations passes a resolution on the matter, then IJC is bound to hear an application/ petition of a party as an organ of UN like the World Bank. CoA is established under Indus Waters Treaty whereas IJC can hear any case. Currently, Pakistan is sharing water related data with India unilaterally which means if a question arises at any international fora if Pakistan has shared all the information with New Delhi, then Pakistan would be in the better position. Pakistan has also shared information about variation in inflows in Chenab river at Maralla through Ministry of Foreign Affairs but received no response. CoA recently delivered a supplemental award related to the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) which was rejected by India, while Pakistan accepted it. The decision relates to a dispute concerning the construction of hydroelectric power plants on the Western rivers, specifically the Kishanganga (2013) and Ratle (2015) projects. The CoA's supplemental award appears to address outstanding issues or clarifications following its earlier rulings. In 25 January 2023, India issued a notice to Pakistan conveying its intent to amend the IWT within 90 days to guarantee that disputes would be handled between the two nations without any outside interference. The notice of negotiation was issued just two days before the COA, established at Pakistan's request under the IWT, was to commence which was boycotted by India. According to the Attorney General of Pakistan's (AGP) office, on April 5, 2023, Pakistan responded to the Indian notice in which it was stated that Pakistan was ready to listen to New Delhi's concerns about the prevalent treaty at the level of the Permanent Commission of Indus Waters (PCIW). The decision about the parleys on changes to the Treaty will be taken once Pakistan hears India's concerns at the PCIW level. However, under Article XII, the existing Treaty will continue to reign unless the parties to the dispute, Pakistan and India, bilaterally introduce changes to the Pact. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store