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Stock markets muscle through intense volatility amid buying rush in heavyweights

Stock markets muscle through intense volatility amid buying rush in heavyweights

The Print19 hours ago
The 50-share NSE Nifty inched up by 55.70 points or 0.22 per cent to 25,461.
After oscillating between highs and lows in intra-day trade, the 30-share BSE Sensex ended 193.42 points or 0.23 per cent higher at 83,432.89. During the day, it hit a high of 83,477.86 and a low of 83,015.83, gyrating 462.03 points.
Mumbai, Jul 4 (PTI) Benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty ended higher on Friday in a highly volatile trade amid a buying rush in banking and other bellwether stocks on the back of a rally in the US markets.
From the Sensex firms, Bajaj Finance, Infosys, Hindustan Unilever, ICICI Bank, HCL Tech, UltraTech Cement, Bajaj Finserv, State Bank of India, Tata Consultancy Services, Reliance Industries, Axis Bank and Larsen & Toubro were among the major gainers.
However, Trent, Tata Steel, Tech Mahindra and Maruti were among the laggards.
'The tone was negative in the first half; however, a decent recovery in heavyweight stocks pared all the losses as the day progressed, helping the index close near the day's high at the 25,461 level.
'With all eyes on the impending US-India trade deal as the tariff deadline approaches, participants are hopeful for a favourable outcome, which could provide the much-needed trigger for the next leg of the market up move,' Ajit Mishra – SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd, said.
The BSE midcap gauge went up by 0.23 per cent and smallcap index climbed marginally by 0.17 per cent.
Among BSE sectoral indices, oil & gas jumped 1.26 per cent, energy (0.90 per cent), realty (0.87 per cent), IT (0.67 per cent), healthcare (0.64 per cent), BSE Focused IT (0.65 per cent) and teck (0.52 per cent).
Metal, telecommunication, auto, consumer discretionary and commodities were the laggards.
As many as 2,261 stocks advanced while 1,788 declined and 140 remained unchanged on the BSE.
'The Indian market is experiencing a pause as investors adopt a wait-and-watch strategy ahead of the impending US tariff deadline with mixed global cues. Ongoing FII outflows reflect a risk-off approach, while DII inflows are offering partial support.
'Following the recent rally, main indices are hovering near peak valuation levels, limiting further upside, which is highly dependent on Q1 earnings and details of the trade deal,' Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Investments Limited, said.
In Asian markets, Japan's Nikkei 225 index and Shanghai's SSE Composite index settled higher while South Korea's Kospi and Hong Kong's Hang Seng ended lower.
European markets were trading in the negative territory.
The US markets ended in the positive territory on Thursday.
Global oil benchmark Brent crude dropped 1.03 per cent to USD 68.03 a barrel.
Meanwhile, markets regulator Sebi has barred US-based Jane Street Group from the securities markets and directed the group to disgorge unlawful gains of Rs 4,843 crore for allegedly manipulating stock indices through positions taken in derivatives segment.
This could be the highest disgorgement amount ever directed by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi).
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) offloaded equities worth Rs 1,481.19 crore on Thursday, according to exchange data. Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) bought stocks worth Rs 1,333.06 crore.
On Thursday, the Sensex dropped by 170.22 points or 0.20 per cent to settle at 83,239.47. The Nifty declined by 48.10 points or 0.19 per cent to 25,405.30.
'Indian equity markets opened on a flat note Friday as investors remained cautious ahead of a potential India–US trade agreement and digested regulatory action against a major global trading entity. Both indices dipped during mid-session but recovered to end on a positive note…,' Gaurav Garg, Analyst, Lemonn Markets Desk, said.
On the weekly front, the BSE benchmark gauge dropped 626.01 points or 0.74 per cent, and the Nifty declined 176.8 points or 0.68 per cent. PTI SUM HVA
This report is auto-generated from PTI news service. ThePrint holds no responsibility for its content.
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Despite some volatility in the indices, midcap and smallcap stocks are still trading above their near-term breakout levels. We have observed participation from sectors such as oil and gas, metals, IT, and pharma, all exhibiting strength amidst this volatility. Therefore, buying interest is clearly present in the market, with traders and investors aiming to buy stocks where the risk-to-reward ratio is favourable, according to Rajesh Palviya of Axis Securities. ET Now: We did see some bit of a recovery coming in in the second half of the trading session, especially on the Nifty Bank we did see a good recovery. So, come Monday morning there are a lot of cues to watch out for. Earnings will start next week. What are the levels to watch out for in the next trading session? Rajesh Palviya: So, if we analyse in a broader sense, both indices are trading above the 20-day moving average, which is a sign of positivity on the near-term perspective. Even if we look at the India VIX which is trading at the lower band of this, it is trading at the lower band of the last five-six years. It is quoting at around 12.40 kind of level, so which is also giving a sign of that sentiments are intact on the bullish side for the market. There is no fear on the street. If we analyse the broader market, most of the midcaps and smallcaps are still holding. Despite some volatility in the indices, the midcap and smallcap stocks are still holding above their near-term, short-term breakout levels. We have seen participation from sectors like oil and gas, metal, even it, even pharma, all these sectors were showing strength in this volatility also. So, buying interest is clearly there in the street and the traders as well as investors are trying to buy stocks where risk-to-reward is in their favour, and the large accumulation activity is already done for the sectors on the buying side of the trade. For indices, we believe that till the Nifty is holding above 25,300, the trend is likely to exhibit on the bullish side. On the higher side, 25,600 to 25,500, this range may act as a supply zone, as major call writing activity has been there, especially in the last two to three trading sessions for this strike. So, once Nifty manages to cross above 25,600, then we may witness some short covering action and then the possible rally can extend further to 25,800 also. So, our view is bullish. 25,300 is the stop loss to buy and accumulate in Nifty. For Bank Nifty, 56,500 is the key support area based on the put-based concentration. Till these levels are intact, here also Bank Nifty will try to exhibit on the bullish side only. 57,200 is the immediate supply zone based on the call concentration. Once Bank Nifty manages to cross these levels, we may also see short covering action, which could take Bank Nifty higher, further to the 57,600 to 57,800 zone. ET Now: You have given the levels of Nifty and Bank Nifty, but I ask you about the sector specific, which are the pockets one should pencil in at least for next 10 days where we understand the news flow will be too heavy? Rajesh Palviya: Some of the sectors where we are witnessing fresh breakout and fresh buying activity are oil and gas, telecom, pharma, and capital goods. These sectors are attracting more buying action, especially this week. We have also witnessed a lot of stocks from these sectors showing good buying action. So, from oil and gas, there is a fresh breakout from the OMC pack, like BPCL, HPCL managed to give a fresh breakout, and from the midcap space, Chennai Petro managed to give a breakout, even Reliance is also looking bullish. So, all these stocks are showing fresh buying action. Again, gas-related stocks, like MGL, IGL, are also on an upward trend. So, all these stocks are looking bullish, and we believe the kind of breakout that happens can take these stocks further higher. Another sector where we are focusing is pharma. Some of the stocks from the pharma sectors are still trading at all-time high trajectories and the way the buying interest is there in stocks like Laurus Labs, Glenmark Pharma, even Divi's Lab, all these stocks are attracting buying, even despite these all stocks are at all-time high trajectory and some of the stocks which were under corrective mode are also started recovering from the lower band of their consolidation. So, pharma is another space where one can focus in the coming week for the buying side. And from the capital goods space, Siemens and ABB, these two stocks are looking promising, so here also one can look to buy, and we may see good up move in these stocks also. ET Now: Which are the stocks one should focus on specifically and are there any recommendation from your side? Live Events Rajesh Palviya: From the sectors discussed, I've picked two stock ideas. The first is from the pharma space — Glenmark. lenmark has given a fresh breakout from a rounding bottom formation on the weekly chart, indicating the potential for continued upside. So, we believe that here, there would be more continuity of uptrend, possible upside towards 1,890, 1,900 we may see for Glenmark. Buy and accumulate would be strategy and 1,805 should be the stop loss. Another stock that we like is Reliance Industries. Now, stock is negotiating with its September 2024 swing high and the way the stock is showing strength on the weekly chart, we believe that Reliance may continue furthermore upside and we may see good support in the indices also from the Reliance Industries itself, possible target towards 1,570 we are expecting in the near-term perspective, so buy and accumulate would be the strategy with stop loss of 1,500. ET Now: The stock for the day, perhaps the week, was Trent, that was down and out 11%. But Trent has been in a corrective phase whether it is on the back of weak updates coming in or weak outlook or a downgrade coming in from brokerages because Trent had also run up quite a bit. From here on, what do you see on the charts for Trent? Rajesh Palviya: So, we have observed that Trent, the major support area on the downside, is placed at around 5,000, 4800 for it. We have seen the same kind of corrective move earlier also for the stock. Now looking at the intensity of supply pressure in today's session, we may see furthermore down move towards 5,200, 5,100 kind of level. But again, 5,000 may act as a good support area. So, those who are looking to buy the stock in this corrective move should wait another 100-200-point correction and then one can buy and accumulate as long-term structure is bullish but yes, we may see some consolidation or range bound kind of activity in range of 5,000 to 6,000 for some more couple of month, until some revival sign we do not get from the management. So, 5,000 to 6,000 would be the broader range for the stock. So, buy in the correction would be the strategy for this stock. Your stop loss should be placed at around 4850 if you are buying in the decline.

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