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CNBC Daily Open: Trump doubles down on criticism of jobs report — but markets bounce back

CNBC Daily Open: Trump doubles down on criticism of jobs report — but markets bounce back

CNBC15 hours ago
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' July's jobs report revised previous months' figures down so dramatically that U.S. President Donald Trump called it "RIGGED" and "CONCOCTED."
Markets, however, seem to have shrugged off their worries for now — U.S. stocks rebounded Monday from the sell-off on Friday after the report was released. The move, however, could be more an instinctive reflex than a reflection of what's really driving markets.
"Today is sort of a bounce-back day," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. "Stocks tend to pop after a drop, so that's what's happening."
"We have to wait and see what happens tomorrow, because there could be a possibility that investors think, 'You know what, we really need to take some money off the table to digest some of these gains,'" he added.
Trump's new tariffs come into force on Aug. 7, so there's a possibility investors could seize this opportunity, when markets have recovered slightly from Friday's losses, to take profit first — and before any further slowdown, as suggested by July's jobs report, is potentially "rigged" and strikes the U.S. economy.
The EU will suspend its planned U.S. tariffs for six months. The countermeasures, which would have taken effect on Aug. 7, were delayed to allow the bloc to "further negotiate" with the U.S. and "finalise a Joint Statement" on their trade deal.
Trump will 'substantially' raise tariffs on India. The South Asian country's oil purchases from Russia — a transaction defended by India's energy minister Hardeep Singh Puri — is the cause behind Trump's threat.
Stocks rebound from Friday's losses. Major U.S. indexes rose Monday, with the S&P 500 snapping a four-day losing streak. The Stoxx Europe 600 gained 0.9%. Swiss stocks pared losses after the government said it would continue U.S. negotiations.
Palantir's quarterly revenue exceeds $1 billion. Wall Street had expected the software provider to hit that milestone only in the fourth quarter of the year. But a 48% year-over-year jump in second-quarter revenue helped Palantir beat forecasts.
[PRO] The "Magnificent Seven" are powering earnings growth. Year on year, Mag 7 earnings have increased by 26%. The other S&P 500 companies posted a combined 4% growth — a disparity that could be problematic for investors, according to an analyst.
Contentious July jobs report confirms the U.S. economy is slowing sharply. Here's why
Nonfarm payrolls rose by just 73,000 in July, below even the muted expectations. Heavy downward revisions to the May and June count took the three-month average job gains down to just 35,000, or less than one-third the pace for the same period a year ago.
Traditionally a lagging indicator when it comes to recessions, the weakness in job growth points to an economy that may be slowing even more than some of the traditional metrics are showing.
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Stocks Pressured by Disappointing US Service Sector News
Stocks Pressured by Disappointing US Service Sector News

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Stocks Pressured by Disappointing US Service Sector News

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This Popular Bond ETF Might Be Marriage Material. Here's the Best Way to Say ‘I Do.'
This Popular Bond ETF Might Be Marriage Material. Here's the Best Way to Say ‘I Do.'

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This Popular Bond ETF Might Be Marriage Material. Here's the Best Way to Say ‘I Do.'

What do you get when you take the option collar, the options strategy I write about regularly for Barchart, and remove the covered call, arguably the least important yet most popular piece? The answer is a 'married put strategy.' And in this article, I'm going to explain why this is a good time to leave the covered call at home. In the current market environment, the exchange-traded fund (ETF) I'm focusing on might be better off without the covered call. Why? Sinking option volatility. That makes options cheaper. But since the put side of a collar is bought, cheap is good. More News from Barchart Options Traders Expected Palantir Stock's Tamest Earnings Reaction in a Year. Did They Get It Right? PayPal Maintains its Huge FCF Guidance Despite a Q2 Drop - Is PYPL Stock Too Cheap? Option Volatility And Earnings Report For Aug 4 - 8 Markets move fast. Keep up by reading our FREE midday Barchart Brief newsletter for exclusive charts, analysis, and headlines. Invest in Gold American Hartford Gold: #1 Precious Metals Dealer in the Nation Thor Metals Group: Best Overall Gold IRA Priority Gold: Up to $15k in Free Silver + Zero Account Fees on Qualifying Purchase However, the call side of the options collar involves selling a covered call option. The usual motivation for that extra step is to pay for the put option that guards a stock or ETF from diving too far down. That covered call option is also somewhat inexpensive these days. And when we're talking about selling away some of our potential upside profits, in exchange for some cash flow now to reduce the cost of the puts, it doesn't make as much sense. Because the amount received for the call-writing transaction is not very much, relative to recent history. TLT: The Case for a Married Put Strategy A case in point for why a married put strategy might make more sense now than an option collar strategy is the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), which as shown below has an IV Rank of 15%. That means over the past 12 months, the volatility level of TLT has been higher than the current 14% level 85% of the time. This means we don't have to worry too much about volatility here. As a side note, fans of covered call ETFs should pay close attention. Given lower volatility levels, the risk management provided by covered call ETFs today is much less powerful than it has been throughout the rest of 2025. As with collars, there are many ways to approach the combination of marrying TLT shares and a TLT put option for every 100 shares owned. But the takeaway from this one example below is that I can go out to Nov. 21, and assuming I bought TLT around $88 a share, I can also buy a put struck at $88. This means that except for the cost to buy the puts, I can't end up with less than $88 a share of value… no matter what happens with interest rates or how much TLT falls. Plus, the cost to buy the puts is only $2.61 here, so about 3% of that $88 strike price. Bottom line: 3% is my worst-case loss. TLT's Upside Is Capped At…. It's Not! My upside? Unlimited through Nov. 21, with that protection in place. We have recently experienced a period in which the long end of the yield curve has been quiet and not very volatile. It is as if it is trying to make up its mind what to do. If the recent saber-rattling in Washington tips in the direction of lower rates, TLT could be a big winner. However, in an uncertain, politically charged situation like this, having relatively cheap put protection can be a valuable hedge. And as long as the covered call part of a collar is not especially attractive, this could be an opportunity to pursue unfettered upside. That's one key advantage of the married put strategy versus the collar. But if you profit from this trade… Please, no gifts for the happy couple. On the date of publication, Rob Isbitts did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

How Tariffs Might Be Impacting the U.S. Trade Deficit
How Tariffs Might Be Impacting the U.S. Trade Deficit

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How Tariffs Might Be Impacting the U.S. Trade Deficit

Key Takeaways The U.S. trade deficit fell for the third month as President Donald Trump's tariff policies began taking hold. Census Bureau data showed that both imports and exports declined in June. Economists said that the recent decline mainly reflects normalization in international trade as businesses work through the imported inventory they stocked up on ahead of tariff announcements. While imports from China fell, trade from nearby countries picked up to fill the Donald Trump has said that one of the goals of higher tariffs was to close the U.S. trade deficit with other nations. So far, things appear to be moving in that direction, as the trade deficit in June declined to its lowest level in nearly two years. According to Census Bureau data released Tuesday, the U.S. trade deficit in goods and services was $60.2 billion in June, down more than 16% from May. It's the lowest trade deficit since September 2023. However, tariffs may not be affecting the trade deficit in the way some expected so far. Economists from Wells Fargo said some of the data indicate an 'unwinding of behavioral effects." After Trump unveiled his tariff plans earlier this year, businesses rushed to import products before higher import taxes could be applied, sending the trade deficit soaring. Now, with the tariffs largely set, the trade deficit is beginning to fall back to normal levels. 'Businesses pulled forward demand in Q1, resulting in a massive import surge. With a surplus of product and inventory on hand, imports fell in all three months of the second quarter, ' wrote Wells Fargo economists Shannon Grein and Tim Quinlan. Imports From China Decline, as Do U.S. Exports Still, imports of Chinese products declined by nearly 7% in June despite a trade truce that lowered tariffs. Since the start of the year, the share of imports from China has been more than cut in half, though trading with countries like Indonesia, Malaysia and Taiwan has increased, the data showed. 'Other trading partners in Asia have mostly filled the void, increasing their share by roughly the same amount,' said Matthew Martin, senior economist at Oxford Economics. While overall imports were lower by 3.7% in June, U.S. exports also took a step back. 'Exports are not poised to record strong growth going forward, but stronger foreign currencies and an opening up of foreign markets may bolster U.S. exports—though admittedly this will take time to play out,' wrote Nationwide Financial Markets Economist Oren Klachkin. Read the original article on Investopedia

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