July 26 South Africa (Turffontein/Kenilworth) form analysis

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5 days ago

Race 1 (1,160m)
Well-bred (11) QUEENSLAND outran market expectations when finishing second on debut over track and trip. She would have benefited from that experience and with any improvement could go one better.
(7) UMZINGELI WENYATHI has shown enough to make his presence felt and should acquit himself competitively.
Newcomers (2) CLEVER TREVOR and (10) MEMPHIS are all respected on debut, especially if the market speaks in their favour. Watch the betting.
Race 2 (1,160m)
Well-related (5) SISTERSHIP caught the eye on debut when a fast-finishing second over track and trip, despite drifting in the betting and suffering interference at the start. She would have come on nicely with that experience and it should pay to follow her progress.
Imported debutant (6) STORMY DAY should not be ignored.
(2) GASLIGHT DANCER was a game-in-defeat when third over this course and distance last time in open company. So she should have a role to play if confirming that improvement.
(7) VAMANOS has not been seen since making her debut in March but she was fancied that day, so is respected on her reappearance.
Race 3 (1,000m)
(11) MAGICAL PALACE ran a cracker on debut. With natural improvement, should be hard to beat.
(5) SARDINIA BAY improved at the second run and has to be respected for all bets - strong each-way chance.
(9) WAROFDYNAMITE with weight off can earn and (8) WORLD CHAMPION can improve to get closer.
Race 4 (1,000m)
(4) CHIEFTAIN beat several re-opposing rivals over this course and distance when an authoritative winner of a similar event last time. He carries a three-point penalty for that success but is progressive and could improve sufficiently to confirm his superiority over his familiar foes, despite the unfavourable weight turnarounds.
Stablemate (2) COSMIC STAR and speedy (5) ONE FELL SWOOP should pose more of a threat on these terms.
Hard-knocker (8) HALBERDIER will not be far off the mark.
Race 5 (1,200m)
(2) MEGHAN'S DIAMOND is showing some ability and can improve further and could be tough to get past.
(3) NEBULOUS has not been far away in both her runs thus far and will be a huge chance.
(6) HAZEL GREEN improved length-wise last time and could be the place value.
(7) WAIT FOR ME can build on the debut performance.
Race 6 (1,000m)
(4) RAFA BAY confirmed the promise of his Highveld introduction (third) with a dominant start-to-finish victory at this level over track and trip last month and with any improvement in his peak outing, the resultant six-point penalty should not halt his momentum.
(13) NAZARE should not be taken lightly.
(7) TIGER STORM had excuses last time and is capable of having a say too.
Last-start winner (11) FAITHFUL NEO also remains competitive despite penalties.
Race 7 (1,200m)
(7) BEACH VERSE improved at long odds last time and with further progression expected, can go very close to winning.
(8) CHICKASAW caught the eye last time and can go one more.
(1) PITERAQ was far from disgraced first-up and can improve to earn her first cheque.
(5) UP IN FLAMES is a must for trifectas and quartets.
Race 8 (1,800m)
Hard-knockers (2) ELEMBEE has the form and experience at this level to play a leading role, especially off current ratings.
(3) ART NOUVEAU beat male rivals when winning on her handicap debut over this trip and even under a five-point penalty, another bold showing is expected in her hat-trick bid against female-only opposition.
Top-weight (1) TEO TORRIATTE has improved with cheekpieces fitted and confirmed by winning at a higher level last time. She too races off a career-high mark but should remain competitive.
(4) WAGRAM is better than her last run suggests. Best kept onside.
Race 9 (1,400m)
(3) RIKKITIKKITAVI never justified favouritism last time but was far from disgraced and can bounce right back to winning ways. The weight off will help.
(7) GOODNESSGRACIOUSME can run fresh back in Cape Town from KZN and is a massive runner.
(4) MIRACULOUS has a huge place chance and (2) FUN ZONE is ultra-consistent and can win - big chance as always.
Race 10 (1,800m)
(2) DIMAKO'S JET has winning form at this level and has a better record over 1,800m, so is preferred, despite Gavin Lerena opting to ride (4) KISSHOTEN. Both were beaten by It's Her Way recently but Dimako's Jet gave 3.5kg to that rival when second over track and trip whereas Kisshoten received 0.5kg when third over 1,600m.
(1) LAST CAR TO PASS has made giant strides in three starts with this headgear configuration and the five-point penalty for her dominant last-start success over 1,600m should not prevent her from making another bold bid.
(5) ACCEPT COOKIES will not be far off.
Race 11 (1,400m)
(3) ONCIDIUM caught the eye when trotting up in the maidens and could be anything - follow.
(1) MISS NEW YORK is never far off the action and has each-way claims.
(5) IM THE BUZZ is taking time to win again but is running well and can place as always.
(9) ANGEL'S OASIS has a quartet chance. Form is solid.
Race 12 (1,400m)
(7) MAX THE MAGICIAN ran on powerfully from the rear (wide draw) to finish ahead of (6) FRENCH BOLT. On the evidence of that performance, this is a good opportunity for him to bounce back to winning ways. After an encouraging and close-up seventh on the Inside track last time, French Bolt is also of interest.
(1) GRAND CRESCENDO is talented but plagued with issues, so he is best watched for now.
(2) VULCANITE is the only filly in the race and one to watch on her reappearance for a new stable.
Race 13 (1,400m)
(1) LANDOFTHERISINGSUN has won his last two well and is confidently selected to reel off the hat-trick.
(3) CAPTAIN WEST is holding form and should be in the first four with a winning shout.
(7) AIR RAID has won two out of his last three and can continue on these ways - serious chance.
(5) SAN PEDRO could be the place value - respect and include.
Race 14 (1,400m)
Several who have legitimate chances in a tricky contest but it could be worth siding with (9) OPEN HIGHWAY whose consistency could finally be rewarded, especially given his slightly reduced mark after close-up recent finishes.
(1) PRESSONREGARDLESS had legitimate excuses for his last start at a higher level and is capable of bouncing back in this grade.
Youngster (13) NYAKA NYAKA will be tested from a wide draw and against older opposition but he is open to improvement, so must be respected under 54.5kg.
(6) SHINTO SHRINE is not to be taken lightly.
Race 15 (1,600m)
(4) WEHAVEASITUATION from gate 1 will have every opportunity to reel off the hat-trick and is selected to do so.
(11) BENEATH THE CLOUDS is another searching for the hat-trick and will be very competitive for it - big danger to the first choice.
(6) TAKE IT AS RED was far from disgraced last time and can get much closer - bright chance.
(3) GOLDEN ANGEL must make the quartet shortlist.
Race 16 (1,200m)
(2) LHASA ran a good race last time and has each-way claims in a tough race.
(10) WILD APPLAUSE ran an absolute cracker first time out of the maidens and can go one more.
(8) SHE'S MY WORLD has huge each-way claims and (7) MUSIC OF THE NIGHT has a first-four chance.