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German unemployment ticks upward toward 10 year high

German unemployment ticks upward toward 10 year high

Local Germanya day ago
Nearly three million people in Germany were unemployed in July, according to numbers published by the Federal Employment Agency on Thursday.
The last time Germany had three million unemployed was more than 10 years ago. And some labour market experts predict that next month Germany will reach that number again.
The Federal Employment Agency (
Bundesagentur für Arbeit
) reported 65,000 more people were unemployed this month than last, bringing the total number to 2.979 million.
July's unemployment figure was 6.3 percent, representing an increase of .1 percentage points since June.
That's a smaller increase than had been expected. But concerns persist about economic conditions in Germany.
The city-states of Bremen and Berlin continued to lead unemployment figures, at 11.8 percent and 10.3 percent unemployed respectively.
Bavaria had the lowest rate of unemployment at just four percent.
Germany's unemployment rate this month was similar to the aggregate number across the Eurozone. Numbers published by Eurostat on Thursday showed that the unemployment rate across the 20 countries that use the Euro was 6.2 percent.
However, the unemployment rate across the 27 countries that make up the EU was lower, at 5.9 percent.
READ ALSO:
How generous is Germany's unemployment benefit system?
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One significant factor in the rise in unemployment in July was likely the start of summer break. The seasonally-adjusted increase in the number of unemployed individuals in Germany was 2,000, according to the Federal Employment Agency.
"Unemployment has risen due to the beginning of the summer break. Companies remain very reluctant to report new vacancies, and employment subject to social insurance contributions is barely increasing," said Andrea Nahles, the chair of the Board of the Federal Employment Agency, at a press conference in Nuremberg on Thursday.
Still, experts say larger economic factors are also at play. Germany has experienced a
general economic contraction
over the last two years, and unemployment numbers are projected to continue to rise in the coming months.
Though the outlook for next month isn't particularly optimistic, there is some hope for recovery in the future. Projections published by the European Commission predict a general economic stagnation in 2025, followed by growth in 2026, including a declining unemployment rate.
READ ALSO:
Kitas and Deutschlandticket - What Germany plans to spend money on in 2026
Compared to July 2024, there are now 171,000 more unemployed people in Germany, representing an increase of .3 percentage points.
The Federal Employment Agency reported that in July there were 628,000 job vacancies, 75,000 fewer than a year ago.
Since last October, 414,000 young people applied through employment agencies for places in training programs, which was 12,000 more than in the previous year. As of July, 140,000 still did not have a place in a training program.
The Federal Employment Agency also reported a 7.6 percent increase in underemployment in July compared to the previous month.
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READ ALSO:
'Don't lose hope' - How to navigate Germany's painful job market
In July, 991,000 people received unemployment benefits, and 3.877 million people of working age were eligible for citizen's income, or
Bürgergeld
. Individuals are eligible for citizen's income even if they are employed, if their income is not enough to cover their expenses.
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German unemployment ticks upward toward 10 year high
German unemployment ticks upward toward 10 year high

Local Germany

timea day ago

  • Local Germany

German unemployment ticks upward toward 10 year high

Nearly three million people in Germany were unemployed in July, according to numbers published by the Federal Employment Agency on Thursday. The last time Germany had three million unemployed was more than 10 years ago. And some labour market experts predict that next month Germany will reach that number again. The Federal Employment Agency ( Bundesagentur für Arbeit ) reported 65,000 more people were unemployed this month than last, bringing the total number to 2.979 million. July's unemployment figure was 6.3 percent, representing an increase of .1 percentage points since June. That's a smaller increase than had been expected. But concerns persist about economic conditions in Germany. The city-states of Bremen and Berlin continued to lead unemployment figures, at 11.8 percent and 10.3 percent unemployed respectively. Bavaria had the lowest rate of unemployment at just four percent. Germany's unemployment rate this month was similar to the aggregate number across the Eurozone. Numbers published by Eurostat on Thursday showed that the unemployment rate across the 20 countries that use the Euro was 6.2 percent. However, the unemployment rate across the 27 countries that make up the EU was lower, at 5.9 percent. READ ALSO: How generous is Germany's unemployment benefit system? Advertisement One significant factor in the rise in unemployment in July was likely the start of summer break. The seasonally-adjusted increase in the number of unemployed individuals in Germany was 2,000, according to the Federal Employment Agency. "Unemployment has risen due to the beginning of the summer break. Companies remain very reluctant to report new vacancies, and employment subject to social insurance contributions is barely increasing," said Andrea Nahles, the chair of the Board of the Federal Employment Agency, at a press conference in Nuremberg on Thursday. Still, experts say larger economic factors are also at play. Germany has experienced a general economic contraction over the last two years, and unemployment numbers are projected to continue to rise in the coming months. Though the outlook for next month isn't particularly optimistic, there is some hope for recovery in the future. Projections published by the European Commission predict a general economic stagnation in 2025, followed by growth in 2026, including a declining unemployment rate. READ ALSO: Kitas and Deutschlandticket - What Germany plans to spend money on in 2026 Compared to July 2024, there are now 171,000 more unemployed people in Germany, representing an increase of .3 percentage points. The Federal Employment Agency reported that in July there were 628,000 job vacancies, 75,000 fewer than a year ago. Since last October, 414,000 young people applied through employment agencies for places in training programs, which was 12,000 more than in the previous year. As of July, 140,000 still did not have a place in a training program. The Federal Employment Agency also reported a 7.6 percent increase in underemployment in July compared to the previous month. Advertisement READ ALSO: 'Don't lose hope' - How to navigate Germany's painful job market In July, 991,000 people received unemployment benefits, and 3.877 million people of working age were eligible for citizen's income, or Bürgergeld . Individuals are eligible for citizen's income even if they are employed, if their income is not enough to cover their expenses.

Eurozone Economy Expands But Tariff Impact Looms
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Int'l Business Times

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The eurozone economy unexpectedly expanded in the second quarter of 2025, official data showed Wednesday, despite international trade tensions clouding the global outlook. The EU's official data agency said the 20-country single currency area recorded growth of 0.1 percent over the April-June period from the previous quarter. Since US President Donald Trump returned to the White House in January, he has hit the EU with a series of painful tariffs, but the bloc struck a deal Sunday to avert an escalating trade war. EU officials hope the agreement will bring welcome certainty for companies and stave off further economic pain, but analysts warn Europe will still take a hit to its output from the deal, which foresees a 15-percent tariff on most exports. Eurostat data on Wednesday showed Europe's second-largest economy, France, beat expectations to grow by 0.3 percent in the second quarter, but it was Spain that was the star performer, recording growth of 0.7 percent between April and June. Europe's economic powerhouse, Germany, unexpectedly shrank by 0.1 percent from the previous quarter. Italy's economy also contracted by 0.1 percent in the same period. The eurozone figure was better than 0.0 percent predicted by analysts for Bloomberg and FactSet, and comes after the single currency area's economy grew by 0.6 percent in the first quarter. Economists have warned however against reading too much into the first quarter data as it was due to an extreme change in Ireland's figures. The 27-country EU economy expanded by 0.2 percent over the April-June period from the previous quarter, after registering 0.5 percent growth in the first three months of 2025. The year has been full of uncertainty for Europe. Trump threatened 30-percent levies on most European goods if Brussels and Washington did not clinch a deal by August 1. Sunday's agreement lacks details -- with much still being negotiated -- but the two sides confirmed a majority of EU products would face the 15-percent tariff rate, including pharmaceuticals and semiconductors. Economists warned the deal would inflict some damage on the eurozone economy. "With the 15 percent US universal tariff likely to subtract around 0.2 percent from the region's GDP, growth is likely to remain weak in the rest of this year," Franziska Palmas, senior Europe economist at Capital Economics, said. In the first half of the year, European companies rushed to ship more goods to avoid Trump's higher tariffs. France's Economy Minister Eric Lombard said the figures for France demonstrated the country's companies were, however, proving resilient to US tariff hikes. France is now pushing for zero tariffs on alcohol including champagne and wines as well as spirits as talks are still ongoing on the issue. European officials say the deal included an agreement on bilateral tariff exemptions for certain goods -- but which ones exactly remained to be nailed down.

IMF Lifts 2025 Growth Forecast On 'Fragile' Easing In Trade Tensions
IMF Lifts 2025 Growth Forecast On 'Fragile' Easing In Trade Tensions

Int'l Business Times

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IMF Lifts 2025 Growth Forecast On 'Fragile' Easing In Trade Tensions

The IMF raised its global growth forecast Tuesday as efforts to circumvent Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs sparked a bigger-than-expected surge in trade, while the US president stepped back from some of his harshest threats. The International Monetary Fund still sees growth slowing this year, however, even as it lifted its 2025 projection to 3.0 percent -- up from 2.8 percent in April -- in its World Economic Outlook update. In 2024, global growth came in at 3.3 percent. Looking ahead, the IMF expects the world economy to expand 3.1 percent next year, an improvement from the 3.0 percent it earlier predicted. Despite the upward revisions, "there are reasons to be very cautious," IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas told AFP. "Businesses were trying to frontload, move stuff around, before the tariffs were imposed, and so that's supporting economic activity," he said. "There is going to be payback for that. If you stock the shelves now, you don't need to stock them later in the year or into the next year," he added. This means a likelihood of reduced trade activity in the second half of the year and into 2026. "The global economy has continued to hold steady, but the composition of activity points to distortions from tariffs, rather than underlying robustness," the IMF's report said. For now, a "modest decline in trade tensions, however fragile, has contributed to the resilience of the global economy," Gourinchas told reporters Tuesday. Trump imposed a 10 percent levy on almost all trading partners this year, alongside steeper duties on autos, steel and aluminum. He paused higher tariffs on dozens of economies until August 1, a significant delay from April when they were first unveiled. Washington and Beijing also agreed to lower for 90 days triple-digit duties on each other's goods, in a halt expiring August 12. Talks that could lead to a further extension of the truce are ongoing. Trump's actions have brought the US effective tariff rate to 17.3 percent, significantly above the 3.5 percent level for the rest of the world, the IMF said. If deals unravel or tariffs rebound to higher levels, global output would be 0.3 percent down next year, Gourinchas said. US growth for 2025 was revised 0.1 percentage points up, to 1.9 percent, with tariffs anticipated to settle at lower levels than initially announced in April. The country is also set to see a near-term boost from Trump's flagship tax and spending bill. Euro area growth was adjusted 0.2 percentage points higher to 1.0 percent, partly reflecting a jump in Irish pharmaceutical exports to the United States to avoid fresh duties. Among European economies, Germany is still expected to avoid contraction while forecasts for France and Spain remained unchanged at 0.6 percent and 2.5 percent respectively. While the IMF anticipates global inflation to keep declining, with headline inflation cooling to 4.2 percent this year, it warned that US price increases will remain above target. "The tariffs, acting as a supply shock, are expected to pass through to US consumer prices gradually and hit inflation in the second half of 2025," the IMF report said. Elsewhere, Trump's duties "constitute a negative demand shock, lowering inflationary pressures," the report added. Growth in the world's number-two economy China, however, was revised 0.8 percentage points upwards to 4.8 percent. This reflects stronger-than-expected activity in the first half of 2025, alongside "the significant reduction in US-China tariffs," the IMF said. Gourinchas warned that China is still experiencing headwinds, with "fairly weak" domestic demand. "There is relatively little consumer confidence, the property sector is still a black spot in the Chinese economy, it's not been completely addressed," he added. "That is resulting in a drag on economic activity going forward." Russia's growth was revised 0.6 percentage points down, to 0.9 percent, partially due to Russian policies but also oil prices, which are set to remain relatively subdued compared with 2024 levels, Gourinchas said.

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