
CME lean hogs drop as pork prices decline, cattle higher
Trading volumes were lighter than normal and investors squared positions ahead of the long U.S. Independence Day holiday weekend, with markets closed on Friday.
Declining cash pork and cash hog prices have pressured hog futures this week and the market has "officially put in a seasonal top," said Rich Nelson, chief strategist with Allendale Inc.
CME August lean hogs ended down 1.800 cents at 106.100 cents per pound after hitting their lowest level since June 3. The actively traded contract was down 3.8% in the week in a second straight weekly decline.
The pork carcass cutout value fell for a seventh straight session, down $1.25 in Thursday's morning update at $109.50 per cwt, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.
Cattle futures closed firm on Friday as traders weighed current tight supplies and good packer margins against a downturn in cash beef prices.
CME August live cattle ended 1.600 cents higher at 214.050 cents per pound and August feeder cattle futures finished the day up 0.475 cent at 309.500 cents per pound. Monday's announcement of a phased resumption of imports from Mexico promised to help bolster supplies in the coming months after concerns about New World screwworm in herds south of the border shut off U.S. imports on May 11.
The choice boxed beef cutout fell $4.09 on Thursday morning to $390.77 per cwt while the select cutout fell $1.32 to $378.99 per cwt, according to the USDA.
Average beef packer margins stood at $104.75 per head on Thursday, up from $31.93 a week ago, according to livestock marketing advisory service HedgersEdge.com LLC. (Reporting by Karl Plume; Editing by Cynthia Osterman)
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Hans India
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The White House argues the eligibility requirement would strengthen Medicaid for those who rely on it, such as pregnant women, children, seniors, people with disabilities, and low-income families. Enforcing work requirements, it held, would only eliminate 'waste, fraud and abuse'. However, a KFF study from 2023 observed that 64% of adults below 65 years enrolled in Medicaid were either working full or part-time. 8% were either retired or unable to find work, whilst the remainder were not working due to caregiving responsibilities, illness or disability, or school attendance. The eligibility requirement thus would be of direct consequence to the latter segment. Furthermore, the bipartisan Congressional Budgetary Office (CBO) estimated the amendment would leave 11.8 million people without insurance in 2034. A similar paradigm extends to the food security programme, the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), which helps low-income families to supplement their grocery budgets. 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OBBB seeks a sharp reduction in accessing former President Joe Biden era's 30% tax credit for building wind and solar projects, among other clean energy projects, that were projected to run until 2032. The bill requires that the projects be ready to operate before 2028 to avail of any subsidy. Lena Moffitt, Executive Director at the advocacy group Evergreen Action held the proposed legislation could culminate in the collapse of planned clean energy projects. Abigail Ross Hopper, president and CEO of the Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA) further observed, 'Now many of the brand-new factories will be forced to shut down and lay off thousands of workers, gutting communities that were finally seeing the kind of industrial revival rural America needs and handing an untimely and strategic victory to China.' 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All in all, this prompts concerns about a potential fall in receipts and, therefore, an increase in the maximum amount that can be borrowed. 'What's the point of a debt ceiling if we keep raising it?' he posted on social media platform 'X'. Furthermore, responding to a separate post, the Tesla CEO held that all he was seeking is to not 'bankrupt America'. In fact, Mr. Musk vowed to form a new 'America Party' if the bill was passed. If this insane spending bill passes, the America Party will be formed the next day. Our country needs an alternative to the Democrat-Republican uniparty so that the people actually have a VOICE. — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) June 30, 2025 President Trump has maintained that the billionaire industrialist's opposition primarily stemmed from the termination of the EV mandate. 'Elon would probably have to close up shop and head back home to South Africa,' he posted on social media. 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Ajay Srivastava, founder of the India-based Global Trade Research Initiative told The Hindu that at the erstwhile 3.5% rate, there might have been a tendency to find a workaround but not with the latest 1% rate. He explained that most people may eventually think of it as an inevitable tax and move on. However, assessing the broader paradigm, Mr. Srivastava stated, 'The U.S. is trying to scrap the last dollar from everywhere it can, maybe by increase in the base rate or via import duty, to make a small dent in their deficit, debt.' Mr. Srivastava further apprehended the rationale for imposing the tax in the first place. 'Indian diaspora pay all taxes like U.S. citizens pay so this tax is morally reprehensible,' he argued. The GTRI founder held the recurrent revision in rates aalso made the overall paradigm 'questionable'.