LA Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions
Season series: First meeting; Cincinnati took 4 of 7 games in 2024
Los Angeles is continuing a road trip that opened with the Dodgers losing 2 of 3 games at the Boston Red Sox over the weekend. Despite having the overall best record in the NL West, LA is just 3-6 in 9 games since the All-Star break.
The Reds swept the Tampa Bay Rays over the weekend. Cincinnati has outscored foes 20-5 in winning each of its last 4 games, and the Reds are 8-3 since July 12. The sweep of the Rays opened a 9-game homsetand at Great American Ball Park; Cincy is 7-1 over its last 8 games at home.
Dodgers at Reds projected starters
RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs. RHP Chase Burns
Yamamoto (8-7, 2.55 ERA) is making his 21st start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 109 1/3 innings.
Burns (0-2, 6.65 ERA) is making his sixth career start. He owns a 1.62 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 14.5 K/9 through 21 2/3 innings.
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Dodgers at Reds odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:32 a.m. ET.
Dodgers at Reds picks and predictions
Reds 4, Dodgers 3
Moneyline
The Reds swept the Dodgers at Great American last season and are 5-1 across their last half-dozen home games against LA.
Cincinnati has been the sharper club of late, and Burns is a hot prospect off to a slower-than-deserved start to his Major League career.
Yamamoto is a high-level starter, but is likely overrated by bettors due to a .258 batting average on balls in play. In inning lead-off situations, that BABIP has been .234; with runners in scoring position, it has been .235. Those are some fortunate figures tamping down the sophomore righty's ERA. And Yamamoto is backed by what has been a faltering bullpen of late.
Burns, a 2024 first-round draft choice who filed a 1.49 ERA at Double- and Triple-A this season, has been undone by a .400 BABIP.
The REDS (+125) are the value side in this series opener.
Run line/Against the spread
No interest: PASS.
Over/Under
The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 series meetings.
The Dodger offense has been hurt with some low-BABIP output of late. The back end of the LA bullpen is in good shape for what likely sets up as a solid starter matchup in the early innings.
BACK THE UNDER 9 (-105).
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