June 23 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis
(1) DESERT CLOUD has been costly to follow, but she had legitimate excuses in her last two starts and would not be winning out of turn.
(9) HOTARU has a prior engagement so her participation must be monitored, but she would have every chance if she takes her place.
The returning (2) MISS MUNROE is not to be taken lightly either.
(4) MISTY METAL will make her presence felt if her recent improvement is no fluke.
Race 2 (1,000m)
(7) TRAJANUS was well fancied in the market when only touched off on debut. He would have benefited from that experience and would not need to improve much to go one better.
(8) UMZINGELI WENYATHI fits a similar profile and should acquit himself competitively.
(1) BINGO has the form and experience to play a leading role too.
Newcomer (9) ALPINE JET is worth a market check on debut.
Race 3 (1,000m)
(10) SNOW QUEEN improved with the benefit of an introductory outing to finish a close-up fourth over the track and trip in a race that produced winners, so she need not improve a great deal to open her account.
(4) JAZZ PIANIST has also shown enough in both starts to fight out the finish.
Watch the betting on well related newcomer (8) ONCEINABLUEMOON.
Debutante (3) EMILY'S PEACE draws well in gate 4. Worth considering.
Race 4 (1,400m)
(3) GOLDEN OPERATOR was an unlucky loser on debut, but he would have come on appreciably with the benefit of that experience and it should pay to follow his progress.
Watch the betting on newcomers (8) TRIP TO PEACE, (10) SALT LAKE CITY and (2) COPPER EAGLE.
Race 5 (1,400m)
(2) JAPANESE GARDEN has the form and experience to play a leading role but it could pay to side with (4) MAMLAMBO, who caught the eye on debut over a shorter trip. The latter would have benefited from that outing and this extended trip should unlock improvement.
(6) ONE SUMMER will likely improve to make her presence felt.
Newcomer (8) STAMPEDE AHEAD is worth a market check on debut.
Race 6 (2,000m)
There are several horses with chances, although none appeals more than the thriving hat-trick seeker (3) KING'S EXPRESS, who races off a career-high mark. He won twice over 1,800m recently and also placed in both outings over this trip.
Hard-knockers (6) LA MOOHAL, who ran unplaced in a Grade 3 last time, (7) HAWKBILL and (8) PLAYER all have the means to trouble the selection.
Race 7 (2,000m)
(14) ROSY LEMON is 3.5kg better off with last-start winner (3) ALADDIN'S LAMP, so she should have a role to play. However, the maturing latter seems good value to follow up after his winning Highveld run.
(1) SALUTE THE FLAG has earning potential too.
The well related (11) DUAL PROPHECY did not go unnoticed on his reappearance and could also improve to make his presence felt.
Race 8 (1,800m)
(2) DIMAKO'S JET deserves a reward for her consistency and is good value to turn the tables on last-start conqueror (4) FREE IN SEATTLE, who is 2.5kg worse off and engaged to run at an earlier meeting.
(3) MOUNT ETNA and (5) IT'S HER WAY are closely matched on earlier form and have the means to make their presence felt.
Race 9 (1,000m)
(1) READY SET FIRE is an interesting runner on his reappearance for a new stable. He has strong form and could fight out the finish if he is ready to roll after a lengthy absence.
(2) BUMPS LAST GRIND also has the form and experience to play a leading role, especially if building on an encouraging Highveld debut second over the same distance.
(8) ICONIC WINTER also shaped with promise on debut and can improve after a subsequent layoff, but preference is for (10) SAFE TRAVEL, who will be wiser to the task after a pleasing debut third.
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New Paper
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July 17 South Africa (Turffontein) form guide
Race 1 (1,200m) With Gavin Lerena sticking with last-start winner (3) PRETTY PERSUASIVE instead of (1) ALPINE JET, the riding arrangements suggest the former is preferred. (2) LET'S GO LOLA and (4) SPIRITRIX are closely matched on form, and both have shown enough to acquit themselves competitively in this line-up. Race 2 (1,200m) (3) TOP DIVISION justified strong market support when winning on debut and with natural improvement, he may well remain unbeaten. (1) GOT THE FEELING has the form and experience to threaten the selection. (4) ALPHA WORLD and (7) SECOND TO NUNN are likely to improve after pleasing introductions. Race 3 (1,450m) (4) FRERE JACQUES performed above market expectations on debut when a fast-finishing second over 1,200m. He has not been sighted around the track for a while but would have strengthened and improved during his subsequent absence, so a forward showing is expected. Youngster (8) SAFE TRAVEL is bred to appreciate this extended trip and will not need to improve much after back-to-back thirds over 1,000m to play a leading role. (1) SEVENTH FLEET has shown enough to make his presence felt too. Watch the betting on newcomer (6) LUWAK. Race 4 (1,450m) (1) WINDS OF GRACE was second over track and trip last time and needs to only produce a similar performance to fight for victory. Youngster (12) WISE COUNSEL fits a similar profile but should improve for the step-up to this distance. Improving (2) RENDEVOUS IN RIO also filled the runner-up berth recently but has to overcome a wide draw. (11) WINTER WEDDING did not go unnoticed on debut over 1,160m and could also be competitive over this extended trip with that experience to count on. Race 5 (1,800m) This will not take much winning and (10) HOPSCOTCH, despite a wide draw in 10, is good value to open her account over a distance more to her liking. Sparingly raced (2) MATTIAZO is open to improvement but is held by the selection on recent form. (3) BELLA BOOP BOOP and (1) FLIGHTLIGHT appeal most of the remainder. Race 6 (1,800m) (3) HEROIC ACT, (5) ROYAL MIRACLE and (1) MIZZEN SWORD are experienced maidens with fair recent form and they should be competitive, though they are vulnerable to less-exposed rival (10) SERGEANT SOQRAT who could improve stretching out to this distance. Race 7 (1,000m) (2) CAPTAIN EFFICIENT is overdue for a second career victory. Improving last-start winner (1) MISTY METAL carries a big weight on her handicap debut but has more scope than her rivals. Class-droppers (4) LONELY AS A CLOUD and (3) PRINCESS LOLA are respected off reduced marks. Race 8 (1,600m) (7) KISSHOTEN has thrived since relocating to the Highveld and could represent the value in this race over this trip after an eye-catching last start over shorter. Fellow last-start winner (6) IT'S HER WAY is up in class and carries a six-point penalty, so she will be tested off her career-high mark. (2) MISS HANNIGAN beat (1) FRANCINE and (3) QUEEN OF LOVE recently over 1,400m but are better off at the weights and there should not be much between the trio on these revised terms over the extra 200m. Race 9 (1,600m) (1) AZALEAS FOR ALL showed her form and well-being when winning for the second time in her last three starts on the Polytrack in KZN over 2,000m last month. A resultant three-point penalty seems rather lenient and, even under top-weight 60kg, she is good value to continue her hot streak. Fellow last-start winner (4) ANNEWITHAN E fits a similar profile and should remain competitive off a career-high mark. (2) STREISAND and (6) PRETTY ANALIA (unbeaten over the course and distance) are consistent hard-knockers with the form and experience to make their presence felt.
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June 23 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis
Race 1 (1,000m) (1) DESERT CLOUD has been costly to follow, but she had legitimate excuses in her last two starts and would not be winning out of turn. (9) HOTARU has a prior engagement so her participation must be monitored, but she would have every chance if she takes her place. The returning (2) MISS MUNROE is not to be taken lightly either. (4) MISTY METAL will make her presence felt if her recent improvement is no fluke. Race 2 (1,000m) (7) TRAJANUS was well fancied in the market when only touched off on debut. He would have benefited from that experience and would not need to improve much to go one better. (8) UMZINGELI WENYATHI fits a similar profile and should acquit himself competitively. (1) BINGO has the form and experience to play a leading role too. Newcomer (9) ALPINE JET is worth a market check on debut. Race 3 (1,000m) (10) SNOW QUEEN improved with the benefit of an introductory outing to finish a close-up fourth over the track and trip in a race that produced winners, so she need not improve a great deal to open her account. (4) JAZZ PIANIST has also shown enough in both starts to fight out the finish. Watch the betting on well related newcomer (8) ONCEINABLUEMOON. Debutante (3) EMILY'S PEACE draws well in gate 4. Worth considering. Race 4 (1,400m) (3) GOLDEN OPERATOR was an unlucky loser on debut, but he would have come on appreciably with the benefit of that experience and it should pay to follow his progress. Watch the betting on newcomers (8) TRIP TO PEACE, (10) SALT LAKE CITY and (2) COPPER EAGLE. Race 5 (1,400m) (2) JAPANESE GARDEN has the form and experience to play a leading role but it could pay to side with (4) MAMLAMBO, who caught the eye on debut over a shorter trip. The latter would have benefited from that outing and this extended trip should unlock improvement. (6) ONE SUMMER will likely improve to make her presence felt. Newcomer (8) STAMPEDE AHEAD is worth a market check on debut. Race 6 (2,000m) There are several horses with chances, although none appeals more than the thriving hat-trick seeker (3) KING'S EXPRESS, who races off a career-high mark. He won twice over 1,800m recently and also placed in both outings over this trip. Hard-knockers (6) LA MOOHAL, who ran unplaced in a Grade 3 last time, (7) HAWKBILL and (8) PLAYER all have the means to trouble the selection. Race 7 (2,000m) (14) ROSY LEMON is 3.5kg better off with last-start winner (3) ALADDIN'S LAMP, so she should have a role to play. However, the maturing latter seems good value to follow up after his winning Highveld run. (1) SALUTE THE FLAG has earning potential too. The well related (11) DUAL PROPHECY did not go unnoticed on his reappearance and could also improve to make his presence felt. Race 8 (1,800m) (2) DIMAKO'S JET deserves a reward for her consistency and is good value to turn the tables on last-start conqueror (4) FREE IN SEATTLE, who is 2.5kg worse off and engaged to run at an earlier meeting. (3) MOUNT ETNA and (5) IT'S HER WAY are closely matched on earlier form and have the means to make their presence felt. Race 9 (1,000m) (1) READY SET FIRE is an interesting runner on his reappearance for a new stable. He has strong form and could fight out the finish if he is ready to roll after a lengthy absence. (2) BUMPS LAST GRIND also has the form and experience to play a leading role, especially if building on an encouraging Highveld debut second over the same distance. (8) ICONIC WINTER also shaped with promise on debut and can improve after a subsequent layoff, but preference is for (10) SAFE TRAVEL, who will be wiser to the task after a pleasing debut third.
New Paper
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May 17 South Africa (Turffontein) form analysis
Race 1 (1,160m) (5) JAZZ PIANIST and (7) RACEWAY have the benefit of race experience and should be competitive on what they have shown. The betting will provide a guide to the chances of those on debut. On pedigree, (6) LIMERICK LACE, (10) STONE OF SCONE and (11) TOP SHELF TEDDY appeal most on pedigree. Race 2 (1,160m) (2) BALULE and (3) CARNARVON are all likely to improve with the benefit of experience, so they ought to acquit themselves well. (7) SHADOWFAX and (9) TOP FLOOR are attractively bred newcomers worth a market check on debut. Race 3 (1,400m) (11) PRETTY PERSUASIVE and (13) VIPINGO can improve and have already shown enough to play leading roles. (12) SCHIPOLE and (10) INTO DANCING are well-bred newcomers who must be respected on debut, especially if the market speaks in their favour. Race 4 (1,400m) (1) TWO FOR THE BOYS (tongue-tie on first time), (12) WORLD ORDER and filly (13) SCARLETT HEART (first-time blinkers) have the form and experience to fight for victory but in a race that will not take much winning, well-bred newcomers (10) RADIO STAR and (11) TAKE NO PRISONERS need not be special to score at the first time of asking. Race 5 (2,400m) Tricky. Last-start winners (6) ROMEO'S MAGIC and hat-trick seeking (8) MO MENT remain competitive for top honours under resultant penalties but are closely matched on recent form with class-dropper (3) TO THE RESCUE. Consistent (5) DOUGLAS DRAGON would not be winning out of turn either, while (1) STAR COIN and (4) EIGER SANCTION could have more to offer going this extended trip for the first time. Race 6 (1,600m) (3) PUMPKIN PIE and (8) CRESCENDO confirmed the promise of their debuts by winning over shorter distances last time and this extended trip should unlock further improvement from both 3yo geldings. Fellow last-start maiden scorers (11) WAR REPORTER and (13) APACHE CHIEF also have the means to acquit themselves competitively on their handicap debuts. (14) GUERILLA WARFARE and (9) ALADDIN'S LAMP appeal most of the remainder. Race 7 (1,600m) (1) BACCHUS and (2) DON'T CRY FOR ME were outclassed in back-to-back outings at Grade 1 level but will find life easier in this. Unexposed (11) COUNT HUHTIKUU fits a similar profile. Progressive (5) ARTIST'S MODEL, distance-suited (6) MASTERSHIP and (10) CLAW are proven in this grade and should make their presence felt in the outcome. Race 8 (1,160m) Consistent (4) FASTNET FILLY is very speedy and will be the one they all have to catch. (5) JUST THE TWO OF US bounced back with a good win last time and deserves respect in this line-up. (6) KOMATI RIVER and (7) SALENIO PENINSULA are both better than what they showed in their latest outings, so should be on the premises too. Race 9 (1,160m) A very competitive-looking handicap. (3) FULLY COMMITTED won nicely on debut but did not repeat the same performance at her next outing. She might enjoy reverting to the minimum trip and must be considered. (9) FLIGHT OF A CONDOR was a good winner last time and it would not be a surprise were she to follow up. (1) HONG KONG has not always shown her best side but she is capable of contesting the finish when she does. (4) ROAMING SPIRIT and (6) GREAT NOTION have been racing well and are both capable of getting involved with the finish.
