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Where flooding's concerned, here's one weather term you may hear a lot more about in the coming years

Where flooding's concerned, here's one weather term you may hear a lot more about in the coming years

Boston Globea day ago
This doesn't mean that major flooding events haven't occurred before now. They certainly have. There are lots of examples of freshwater flooding from heavy rain in the global database over the past century and a half. But in our warmer world, these types of events are becoming more likely, and the gap between when they occur is shrinking.
Think of precipitable water as a column of air above your head. This column contains all of the available moisture that can come down in the form of precipitation. When this column of air is full of moisture, the precipitable water goes up.
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A day that has the potential for lots of flooding might see precipitable water at 2 or 3 inches or even more. That's a lot of water that can come down in a short amount of time, overwhelming sewer systems, streams, and even larger rivers if the rain lasts long enough. We saw just such an event
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Here's an example from the Texas flooding event back around the Fourth of July, you can see the plume of moisture pushing north through the Plains.
Huge amounts of moisture pushed through Texas over the Fourth of July weekend.
Pivotal
Notice in the chart below that precipitable water has been increasing over the past several decades. There's no reason to believe this trend is not going to continue and become more prevalent.
Precipitable water in the Northeast US continues to rise due to our warming climate.
University of Maine Climate Change Institute
Another reason for more moisture in the air is because warmer temperatures mean more evaporation. As you evaporate more water vapor into the atmosphere, it becomes laden, and if that saturated air starts to cool, all of that moisture condenses in the form of big raindrops. If it's cold enough, precipitable water can also bring very heavy snow events.
Although the climate is warming, it's still often cold in various parts of the planet. For those areas that do experience snow, record heavy snowfalls associated with the air's ability to hold more moisture are possible. Of course, eventually, as the climate continues to warm, the chance of it snowing at all decreases and what once was a snowstorm will inevitably be a future rainstorm.
Precipitable water may not be as common a term as heat index or wind shear, but in many ways it's incredibly important and something I would bet you'll be hearing more about in the coming years.
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Where flooding's concerned, here's one weather term you may hear a lot more about in the coming years
Where flooding's concerned, here's one weather term you may hear a lot more about in the coming years

Boston Globe

timea day ago

  • Boston Globe

Where flooding's concerned, here's one weather term you may hear a lot more about in the coming years

This doesn't mean that major flooding events haven't occurred before now. They certainly have. There are lots of examples of freshwater flooding from heavy rain in the global database over the past century and a half. But in our warmer world, these types of events are becoming more likely, and the gap between when they occur is shrinking. Think of precipitable water as a column of air above your head. This column contains all of the available moisture that can come down in the form of precipitation. When this column of air is full of moisture, the precipitable water goes up. Advertisement A day that has the potential for lots of flooding might see precipitable water at 2 or 3 inches or even more. That's a lot of water that can come down in a short amount of time, overwhelming sewer systems, streams, and even larger rivers if the rain lasts long enough. We saw just such an event Advertisement Here's an example from the Texas flooding event back around the Fourth of July, you can see the plume of moisture pushing north through the Plains. Huge amounts of moisture pushed through Texas over the Fourth of July weekend. Pivotal Notice in the chart below that precipitable water has been increasing over the past several decades. There's no reason to believe this trend is not going to continue and become more prevalent. Precipitable water in the Northeast US continues to rise due to our warming climate. University of Maine Climate Change Institute Another reason for more moisture in the air is because warmer temperatures mean more evaporation. As you evaporate more water vapor into the atmosphere, it becomes laden, and if that saturated air starts to cool, all of that moisture condenses in the form of big raindrops. If it's cold enough, precipitable water can also bring very heavy snow events. Although the climate is warming, it's still often cold in various parts of the planet. For those areas that do experience snow, record heavy snowfalls associated with the air's ability to hold more moisture are possible. Of course, eventually, as the climate continues to warm, the chance of it snowing at all decreases and what once was a snowstorm will inevitably be a future rainstorm. Precipitable water may not be as common a term as heat index or wind shear, but in many ways it's incredibly important and something I would bet you'll be hearing more about in the coming years.

Angry storms, 'heat dome' threaten to fuel dangerous weather week
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USA Today

time2 days ago

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Angry storms, 'heat dome' threaten to fuel dangerous weather week

Bouts of severe weather coupled with unrelenting heat threaten to provide Americans with a tumultuous and possibly deadly weather week, forecasters say. Multiple rounds of thunderstorms will bring risks of flash flooding through the Midwest and East on the periphery of a "heat dome" that could bring triple-digit temperatures to parts of multiple states, AccuWeather warned. More than 50 million Americans from Texas to Missouri were already under National Weather Service extreme heat warnings or advisories on July 20. Thunderstorms at night could bring hail downpours from southern Nebraska to Canada, with wind gusts possibly reaching 85 miles per hour. The severe weather threat sweeps across the Midwest and East on July 21, with Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Kentucky and West Virginia all facing the possibility of flash flooding and gusty winds. AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said that much of the region was hammered by heavy thunderstorms recently and can't absorb another round. "We are highly concerned about the risk of dangerous to life-threatening flash flooding in the zone from southern Illinois and Indiana to central and eastern Kentucky, central and southern West Virginia and southwestern Virginia," Sosnowski said. Heat dome could last for weeks A bulge in the jet stream developing as high pressure builds could create a persistent heat dome lingering well into August, AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Chad Merrill said. The Kansas City, Missouri, area, which hasn't hit 100 degrees in two years, could reach the figure multiple times this week, he said. Dallas could see 100 degrees for the first time in 2025. "This has the look of a long-lasting heat wave with limited rainfall," Merrill said. "Drought will expand through the central Plains by mid-August and worsen in Kansas and Nebraska, where there are already pockets of moderate to extreme drought." Number missing in Texas floods drops from 97 to 3, officials say Number of people missing in deadly Texas flooding drops to 3 The number of people thought to be missing in the devastating floods in Kerr County, Texas, over the Fourth of July holiday weekend has been revised down from 97 to three, officials announced July 19. The city of Kerrville, Texas, said the Kerr County Flood Disaster Joint Information Center confirmed that "through extensive follow-up work among state and local agencies, many individuals who were initially reported as missing have been verified as safe and removed from the list." On July 15, Gov. Greg Abbott said 97 people were still listed as missing in the greater Kerrville area, down from 160-plus about a week ago. As of July 17, Abbott said, the death toll stood at 135 statewide, with 116 from Kerr County perishing in the floods. Read more here. Contributing: Swapna Venugopal Ramaswamy

3 people still missing, down from nearly 100, from deadly floods in Texas county
3 people still missing, down from nearly 100, from deadly floods in Texas county

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3 people still missing, down from nearly 100, from deadly floods in Texas county

Flash floods killed at least 135 people in Texas over the Fourth of July holiday weekend, with most deaths along the Guadalupe River in Kerr County, about 60 miles (100 kilometers) northwest of San Antonio. The floods laid waste to the Hill Country, which is naturally prone to flash flooding because its dry, dirt-packed soil cannot soak up heavy rain. Advertisement Vacation cabins, youth camps campgrounds fill the riverbanks and hills of Kerr County, and Camp Mystic, a century-old Christian summer camp for girls in a low-lying area along the Guadalupe. At least 27 of its campers and counselors died. In Kerrville, about 100 miles (160 kilometers) west of Austin, local officials have come under scrutiny over whether residents were adequately warned about the rising water July 4. 'This remarkable progress reflects countless hours of coordinated search and rescue operations, careful investigative work, and an unwavering commitment to bringing clarity and hope to families during an unimaginably difficult time,' Kerrville City Manager Dalton Rice in a statement Saturday night. Advertisement

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