What a GENIUS Act win would mean for bitcoin and crypto stocks
Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Allie Canal and Yahoo Finance Markets Reporter Josh Schafer explain what's in the bill, why the White House is backing it, and how markets (^GSPC, ^IXIC, ^DJI) are reacting.
To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Morning Brief here.
The vote set today for 12:20 in DC. The president said last night, he's confident that he has the support to to pass this thing. So what should we be watching for?
Yeah, so the vote slated for this afternoon. President Trump is very confident in the passing of this bill. He says it's going to make the US light years ahead of China, Europe. This is going to be a strong catalyst for the dollar, which we know has struggled so far this year. But we are seeing stable coins become more part of the mainstream economy. We have Amazon and Walmart reportedly considering their own stable coins. Uh, this would establish a framework and is really the first major piece of crypto legislation that we're seeing work its way through DC. That being said though, there does seem to be some resistance. We've been talking about this bill for a while, and it took a bit of time to make it to the Senate. It failed once, there's been heavy negotiations, and this was essentially supposed to be the easiest piece of crypto legislation to get through. So perhaps some choppiness here when we look at the future of crypto, but for the time being, this administration has been so bullish on the crypto space at large, and that's one of the reasons why we're seeing Bitcoin prices where they are still hovering around 120,000 a coin.
Yeah, Josh, let's talk about the price a little bit more here because, you know, we saw that surge earlier in the week. We talked to Andy Bear over at CoinDesk about that yesterday, and he said part of that was sort of the equivalent of short covering. But certainly to to Ally's point, we've been talking about this legislation for a while now.
Yeah, actually, I mean, I I think you could probably argue it's perhaps priced in at this point with the rally you've seen in Bitcoin. You're looking at it on your screen there. I mean, we've seen a big rally in Bitcoin really over the last several months now. Tucked 122,000. I mean, if we're talking about Bitcoin and how volatile crypto can be, if this legislation is going to be passed today and the coin is up less than 1%, I don't I just don't think that's really candidly that impressive in terms of how we we usually talk about crypto. But also interesting to point out circle stock up about 4% in pre-market trading because of course we are talking about stable coins here as well. And that one's been an interesting one because we kept on talking about how it felt like it had that crypto aspect of a little bit of number go up as the stock was up, but it topped out. I'm looking at on June 23rd at 263 bucks a share. Stock is down about over 20% since that end of June trading. So it'll be interesting to see if a circle continues to rise throughout the session once we actually open here and maybe that stock starts to catch a bid again because that was sort of a go-go stock for most of the month of June.
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The two sides have come a long way, with Ishiba remaining stoic yet firm to maintain his country's trust while trying to reach an agreement with the US. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. President Trump announced overnight that his team and Japan have finally reached a trade deal, which includes a 15% tariff on imported goods from Japan, and the country will invest $550 billion into the US. Trump, who made the announcement during a White House reception with members of Congress and later on Truth Social, called it the "largest trade deal in history" in reference to Japan. The deal wasn't easy to achieve. Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba had hoped to speak with Trump at the G-7 meeting back in June, but earlier this month Trump said Japan was "spoiled" and doubted a deal would happen. The two sides have come a long way, with Ishiba remaining stoic yet firm to maintain his country's trust while trying to reach an agreement with the US. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Trump announces new details on trade pact with Indonesia President Trump and his team released new details of a pact announced last week with Indonesia, confirming plans for a 19% tariff on the country and adding a 40% rate on any 'transhipped' goods. The more complete framework of the deal is further confirmation of an agreement with America's 23rd largest trading partner that will avert 32% tariffs that Trump threatened previously. It also stipulates that 'Indonesia is going to drop its tariffs to 0% on over 99% of its trade,' a senior White House official said Tuesday. The official added that the deal includes the elimination of non-tariff barriers that Trump's team say hinders American companies, including in areas like pre-shipment inspection requirements, motor vehicle safety standards, and restrictions around US medical devices and pharmaceuticals. The exact definition of how Trump defines transshipped goods has been a matter of some debate in recent weeks. The deal with Indonesia includes goods not just re-labeled but made with a significant portion of components from a third country and then assembled in Indonesia. It's a provision also included in a recent deal with Vietnam and is clearly aimed at China. Indonesian negotiators previously confirmed that a deal had been struck but not all details, with the country president's spokesperson telling Reuters the negotiations had been 'an extraordinary struggle.' President Trump and his team released new details of a pact announced last week with Indonesia, confirming plans for a 19% tariff on the country and adding a 40% rate on any 'transhipped' goods. The more complete framework of the deal is further confirmation of an agreement with America's 23rd largest trading partner that will avert 32% tariffs that Trump threatened previously. It also stipulates that 'Indonesia is going to drop its tariffs to 0% on over 99% of its trade,' a senior White House official said Tuesday. The official added that the deal includes the elimination of non-tariff barriers that Trump's team say hinders American companies, including in areas like pre-shipment inspection requirements, motor vehicle safety standards, and restrictions around US medical devices and pharmaceuticals. The exact definition of how Trump defines transshipped goods has been a matter of some debate in recent weeks. The deal with Indonesia includes goods not just re-labeled but made with a significant portion of components from a third country and then assembled in Indonesia. It's a provision also included in a recent deal with Vietnam and is clearly aimed at China. Indonesian negotiators previously confirmed that a deal had been struck but not all details, with the country president's spokesperson telling Reuters the negotiations had been 'an extraordinary struggle.' Trump says US has reached trade deal with the Philippines President Trump said Tuesday the US had reached a trade deal with the Philippines following its president's visit to the White House. He posted on Truth Social: This doesn't seem to move the needle much for the Philippines, whose imports to the US will see a 19% tariff instead of the 20% Trump had threatened from Aug. 1. The Philippines is the US's 29th-largest trade partner. President Trump said Tuesday the US had reached a trade deal with the Philippines following its president's visit to the White House. He posted on Truth Social: This doesn't seem to move the needle much for the Philippines, whose imports to the US will see a 19% tariff instead of the 20% Trump had threatened from Aug. 1. The Philippines is the US's 29th-largest trade partner. Copper-laden ships race to reach US ahead of tariffs Fascinating angle from Bloomberg: Read more here. Fascinating angle from Bloomberg: Read more here. 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"We think we can manage absorbing any of the impacts with the various levers that we have at our disposal. It's always a local decision as to how to utilize those levers, but right now, it's something that we factored into our rest of year guidance." Yahoo Finance's Brooke DiPalma reports that Coca-Cola reported earnings for its second quarter that topped forecasts. Read more here. Bessent says he will meet Chinese officials, discuss tariff deadline extension US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox Business on Tuesday that he plans to meet his Chinese counterpart next week and discuss an extension of an August 12 deadline for higher tariffs. Both China and the US reached a trade truce in London last month to prevent escalating tariffs. Reuters reports: Read more here. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox Business on Tuesday that he plans to meet his Chinese counterpart next week and discuss an extension of an August 12 deadline for higher tariffs. Both China and the US reached a trade truce in London last month to prevent escalating tariffs. Reuters reports: Read more here. RTX cuts 2025 profit forecast as tariff costs weigh US aerospace and defense giant RTX (RTX) cut its 2025 profit forecast on Tuesday, citing President Trump's trade war as the major reason. Shares of the company fell 3% in premarket trading. Reuters reports: Read more here. US aerospace and defense giant RTX (RTX) cut its 2025 profit forecast on Tuesday, citing President Trump's trade war as the major reason. Shares of the company fell 3% in premarket trading. Reuters reports: Read more here. GM's core profit slides in second quarter as Trump's tariffs bite Tariffs have started to hit US automaker General Motors (GM), who reported a fall in second quarter core profit of 32% to $3 billion on Tuesday. The automaker said tariffs have sapped $1.1 billion from results as it continues to grapple with President Trump's challenging trade war. Reuters reports: Read more here. Tariffs have started to hit US automaker General Motors (GM), who reported a fall in second quarter core profit of 32% to $3 billion on Tuesday. The automaker said tariffs have sapped $1.1 billion from results as it continues to grapple with President Trump's challenging trade war. Reuters reports: Read more here. Canadian boycott of US spirits hurts broader alcohol sales: Trade group American imports to Canada have dropped sharply due to Canadian provinces' boycott of US spirits amid the ongoing trade war with the United States, according to a Canadian liquor trade group. Reuters reports: Read more here. American imports to Canada have dropped sharply due to Canadian provinces' boycott of US spirits amid the ongoing trade war with the United States, according to a Canadian liquor trade group. Reuters reports: Read more here. AstraZeneca announces $50B US manufacturing investment, matching its big pharma peers Pharmaceutical giant, AstraZeneca (AZN) announced it plans to invest $50 billion in US manufacturing by 2030, in the hopes it will avoid steep tariffs on imported components manufactured abroad. Yahoo Finance's senior reporter Anjalee Khemlani looks at how AstraZeneca's latest US investment keeps pace with its big pharma rivals. Read more here Pharmaceutical giant, AstraZeneca (AZN) announced it plans to invest $50 billion in US manufacturing by 2030, in the hopes it will avoid steep tariffs on imported components manufactured abroad. Yahoo Finance's senior reporter Anjalee Khemlani looks at how AstraZeneca's latest US investment keeps pace with its big pharma rivals. Read more here
