logo
Lazy statistics, loud opinions

Lazy statistics, loud opinions

The Sun05-05-2025
WHEN Bill O'Reilly doubled down on his mockery of Malaysia – scoffing that Malaysians 'can't even buy a little hat' and citing a household income figure of US$5,731 (RM24,400) versus US$42,220 in the US – he was not just being flippant. He was showcasing the danger of lazy statistics.
By cherry-picking figures without context, he painted a distorted picture of economic despair – and in doing so, revealed a worldview still steeped in colonialist condescension. Like many such soundbites, the truth lies in what he left out.
A single number doesn't define prosperity
The US$42,220 figure cited by O'Reilly comes from the US Census Bureau's annual household survey, the Current Population Survey (CPS).
It refers to the median personal income of individuals aged 15 and above in 2023, adjusted for inflation (in what is called '2023 CPI-U-RS dollars'). The figure is widely referenced and republished by the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis under the series code MEPAINUSA672N.
For Malaysia, the figure seems to have been quoted from the CEIC's 'Annual Household Income per Capita' dataset, which draws on official data from the Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM).
The calculation starts with the mean monthly household income
in 2022, recorded at RM8,479 (DOSM), which is then annualised, multiplied by the estimated number of households (about 8.662 million in 2022), divided by Malaysia's
mid-year population, and finally converted into US dollars using the average 2022 exchange rate.
Thus, O'Reilly's framing ignores several key contextual differences:
Different units: He compares income earned by actual individuals in the US to household income per capita in Malaysia, which includes non-earners such as children and elderly dependents. This pulls the Malaysian figure down and inflates the gap.
No purchasing power adjustment: A US dollar buys far more in Malaysia than it does in the US. Nominal comparisons ignore this, understating the true standard of living in Malaysia.
Different timeframe and inflation adjustments: The US number is from 2023, inflation-adjusted to constant dollars. The Malaysian number is from 2022, in current prices. So, O'Reilly is comparing different years and price bases, which further muddies the waters.
Even when we use CEIC's harmonised household income data series – applied equally to both Malaysia and the US – but adjust for purchasing power parity using the World Bank's official 2022 factor, Malaysia's household income per capita rises to US$16,857. On that basis, the US-Malaysia income gap is only 2.3 times, not seven.
Similarly, GDP per capita (PPP) shows Malaysia at US$34,366 compared to the US at US$78,035 – a 2.3 times gap as well. Therefore, O'Reilly's claim did not just miss context – it overstated the disparity by a factor of three.
These comparisons still ignore differences in cost of living and access to services. Declaring a nation poor without accounting for those factors is, at best, lazy arithmetic. No wonder Malaysians cheekily reminded O'Reilly, 'we have free healthcare, grandpa'.
In the US, the top 20% controls over 50% of disposable income. Furthermore, Harvard data suggests 85% of American families now require some form of financial aid.
High healthcare, housing and student loan costs heavily erode American incomes in ways Malaysians are largely protected from – thanks to public healthcare, fuel subsidies and affordable food. A nasi lemak in Kuala Lumpur still costs less than a coffee in New York.
A region that matters
O'Reilly's deeper implication – that Southeast Asia is irrelevant to the global economy – is just as inaccurate, as Emir Research previously elaborated in 'How Malaysia Keeps its Compass Steady amid Tariff Shocks – and Builds for What's Next'.
Malaysia and its Asean neighbours are emerging economic powerhouses in their own right. The image of Southeast Asia as having 'no money' also ignores the region's massive market potential. With over 680 million people, rising middle classes and growth rates outpacing the West, Asean is a prize in global commerce. This is why trillions in South–South capital (from China, the Middle East and elsewhere) are actively seeking opportunities in these emerging powerhouses.
Thus, when Chinese President Xi Jinping visited Malaysia in April, over 30 bilateral cooperation agreements were signed. These were not handouts. They were joint ventures – in AI, green tech and smart infrastructure. Signs not of desperation, but of ambition to climb the value chain. That strategic openness to both East and West has become far more pronounced under the Anwar Ibrahim administration.
Similarly, Western tech giants like Google and Microsoft have recently invested significantly in Malaysia's digital economy.
Malaysia's economic approach today is pragmatic: be a 'bridge, not battleground' between great powers while investing in connectivity, upskilling talent and maintaining macroeconomic stability.
Colonial lens still lingers
Perhaps most revealing was O'Reilly's flippant 'Ha-ha, I'm a colonialist' remark. That line, paired with his mockery of 'small' countries, betrays a mindset that still colours parts of Western commentary.
This view assumes Western dominance as a given and frames non-Western nations as inherently lesser. In the view of the O'Reillies of the world, if a country does not match American standards of wealth, it is fair game for ridicule. Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim rightly called such comments 'arrogant and ignorant', shaped by imperial assumptions that no longer hold.
Malaysia is not a dependent economy. It is an upper-middle-income nation with a diversified export base, strong industrial capability and rising agency.
In 2023, it exported approximately US$74 billion in integrated circuits – 23% of total exports – ranking among the world's top semiconductor exporters. It also contributes 13% of the global market for backend semiconductor services like testing and packaging. These are not signs of weakness but reflect systemic relevance and significant potential.
The challenge now is to translate that structural position into broader socioeconomic gains – a goal central to the current administration's reform agenda. Unlike the West, which entrenches dominance through IMF conditions, petrodollar hegemony and the privilege of printing the world's reserve currency, Malaysia – like many real-economy nations – has had to build its sovereignty from the ground up.
That has not come easy. Global history shows that leaders who defend sovereignty in word and deed are often undermined – not just rhetorically but through sustained economic and political pressure. The nexus between supranational and entrenched local colonialists runs deep.
Malaysia is no exception. The current administration inherited a system long dominated by entrenched interests – what can rightfully be called internal colonialists, sustained in part by external colonialists who, in many ways, never truly left.
Decades of divisive politics and absolute policy inertia have left deep structural challenges. Anwar's reform agenda marks a break from that legacy but the path forward remains an uphill climb.
Still, Malaysia continues to push forward. It settles more trade in local currencies, strengthens South–South ties and plays an active role in shaping regional policy through platforms like Asean, RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership) and CPTPP (Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership). Its strategy – resilience without retaliation – offers a potential model for others.
So, when O'Reilly mocks Malaysia's outreach to China, he misses the point. Kuala Lumpur is not choosing sides, it is choosing independence. It welcomes both East and West on terms that serve mutual national interest.
Next time someone chuckles about who 'has money', remember: context matters. Malaysia's story – of grit, growth and strategic savvy – is far more compelling than a drive-by income comparison. Dismissing a country based on a single, unadjusted figure is not just a bad analysis; it is a relic of a fading worldview.
In a world of shifting power, it is not the loudest voices that lead but those with the clearest compass.
Dr Rais Hussin is the founder of Emir Research, a think-tank focused on strategic policy recommendations based on rigorous research. Comments: letters@thesundaily.com
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Jitters over Jakarta's land seizure
Jitters over Jakarta's land seizure

The Star

timean hour ago

  • The Star

Jitters over Jakarta's land seizure

THE Indonesian government is moving to confiscate palm oil plantation land parcels that was either illegally developed or linked to corruption investigations. And Malaysian plantation companies operating there are having the jitters. Industry insiders and analysts say Malaysian plantation companies face the risk of losing some of their estate land as Jakarta's forestry task force has set a target of confiscating three million hectares by August.

NST Leader: Agrofood sector set for major reforms under 13MP
NST Leader: Agrofood sector set for major reforms under 13MP

New Straits Times

timean hour ago

  • New Straits Times

NST Leader: Agrofood sector set for major reforms under 13MP

THE 13th Malaysia Plan (13MP) has big ideas for the agrofood sector. High time, we say. It has been treated as a stepchild since the country transitioned to manufacturing in the 1980s. That should change by 2030, when the 13MP reforms the sector, leading to RM58 billion in value creation. Self-sufficiency rates are also being scaled up to 80 per cent for rice, 98 per cent for fisheries, 83 per cent for fruits, 79 per cent for vegetables, 140 per cent for poultry, 123 per cent for eggs and 50 per cent for beef and buffalo meat. Ambitious? Yes, given that the Agriculture and Food Security Ministry has to hit the targets within five years, on top of resolving numerous issues plaguing the agrofood sector. Surely, an unenviable task. Land is a big ticket item, with most of what is available being devoted to industrial crops such as oil palm and rubber, because they are more profitable. In 2020, 7.6 million hectares of arable land was used for agriculture, of which 5.2 million was dedicated to industrial crops. Little wonder, our Asean neighbours' agrofood products are everywhere. Former director of Malaysian Agricultural Research and Development Institute, Rozhan Abu Dardak, provides another reason why this is so in his article published in the Food and Fertilizer Technology Centre Agricultural Policy Platform website on April 14: Vietnam dedicated 33 million hectares for rice cultivation. Thailand 9.2 million hectares, Indonesia 10.6 million hectares and the Philippines 5.6 million hectares. What about Malaysia? Of the 996,950ha dedicated to the agrofood sector, only 373,383ha is being used to cultivate rice. The rest is used for growing fruits, other food crops and vegetables, the last, a measly 64,220ha to work on. If that is not enough, the agrofood sector has to compete with industries and housing for land. More land for agrofood should certainly be a reform to aim for. There is one reality our policymakers often miss. Malaysia is a land of small things. Like the small and medium enterprises (SMEs) that dominate the country's economy, so do small-scale farms. According to Rozhan, more than 90 per cent of Malaysian farmers own small plots of land, averaging 2.5ha per person. Logically, bigger means better yields. But that doesn't mean technology can't be made to work on small plots to increase yields. Like we have learnt to live with SMEs, we must learn to live with small-scale farms. What the agrofood sector reform should focus on are the farms themselves: the what and how of the trade. The skyrocketing prices of farm inputs, too, are making farming a challenging vocation. Farmers need help. Providing subsidies to those who deserve it is one way. The 13MP's move to incentivise young agroentrepreneurs takes the reform to a good place. We are a nation of old farmers, most of whom are in their 60s. At that age, farming is a struggle. Malaysians will be keeping a keen eye on the agrofood sector reforms, because what happens in the farms will determine whether or not we have home-grown food on the table.

Trump's 'America First' may fuel global currency shift
Trump's 'America First' may fuel global currency shift

New Straits Times

timean hour ago

  • New Straits Times

Trump's 'America First' may fuel global currency shift

EUROPE and Asia could leverage United States President Donald Trump's "America First" strategy for their own benefit, eventually spurring the development of regional tripolar foreign exchange (forex) blocs that could erode the dominance of the US dollar and reshape global markets. The US dollar has struggled this year, especially since Trump's April 2 tariff announcement. While the currency jumped recently following the announcement of US-European Union trade deal, this short-term move doesn't change the long-term trends that could undermine the greenback's position. Economic dominance in the future could largely depend on access to affordable, efficient energy to power artificial intelligence technologies. And in the race to dominate the industries of the future, the US is arguably going in reverse. It's retreating from the renewables space, as seen in the administration's recent move to eliminate many clean energy subsidies. The president appears to be making the bet that the US can maintain energy dominance indefinitely by relying on its own fossil fuel resources. This could ultimately result in uncompetitive power costs in the future, given that China is already dominating in clean energy technologies like solar and electric vehicles. While Trump may be seeking to enhance American self-sufficiency, the administration's policies may actually be increasing the country's dependency on foreign capital. Trump's recently passed budget bill — which looks pretty ugly to fiscal watchdogs despite its name — could cement the US' position as the world's biggest capital importer by adding an expected US$3.4 trillion to the US deficit over the next decade, according to estimates by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, potentially locking in six to seven per cent budget deficits for years. The US has also been running current account deficits of roughly four per cent over the past several years, and this widened to six per cent of gross domestic product in the first quarter, according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. By spending beyond its means and running these twin deficits, the US will continue to require large amounts of foreign capital inflows. But this capital may soon be harder to come by, if Europe and Asia seek to keep more of it closer to home. While Europe has agreed to increase US energy purchases through the recently announced US trade deal, much of that agreement remains up in the air. Meanwhile, Asia has begun to trade more internally, as China has been focusing on export diversification. A growing regionalisation of supply chains began during the Covid-19 pandemic and appears to be accelerating as Trump seeks to drive production back to the US and all major global powers focus on securing regional raw material access (e.g., rare earths and other critical minerals) for national security purposes. This shift could eventually create the foundation for true regional forex blocs across Asia, Europe and the Americas. Within Asia, Pan Gongsheng, governor of the People's Bank of China, has recently highlighted China's interest in having the yuan play a larger role in a multi-polar currency world. While China's capital account remains closed, Asian currencies already primarily trade off the yuan rather than the US dollar. Even though China faces challenges, such as its fight against deflation, its efforts on this front — namely, boosting consumption and reining in excess supply, especially in the renewable energy space across solar, wind and batteries — could ultimately help attract more foreign capital by boosting China's growth profile and corporate earnings. In a world of currency blocs, Europe and Asia could emerge as potential winners, as they erode the US' position as the world's financial powerhouse. So while many investors may get lost in the short-term currency noise, it might be wise to instead focus on the long-term signal.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store