
Breakingviews - AkzoNobel sale flags India's foreign capital angst
MUMBAI, June 27 (Reuters Breakingviews) - What's good for Indian tycoons is not always good for India. Dutch paint maker AkzoNobel (AKZO.AS), opens new tab is selling a controlling stake in its local unit to the domestic JSW Group. The deal fits into its goal to focus its global portfolio amid a hypercompetitive market – but it also deepens India's capital outflow woes.
The $12 billion maker of the Dulux paint brand on Friday said it would offload, opens new tab up to a 75% stake in Akzo Nobel India to privately held JSW Paints for $1.1 billion. It will retain full control over its local powder coatings business and research unit. The proceeds from the sale will be used to cut debt and buy back shares of the parent.
The transaction comes at an opportune time for AkzoNobel, which decided last October to concentrate on coatings in key geographies. It eases the company away from a market shaken up by the entry last year of local tycoon KM Birla's Grasim Industries (GRAS.NS), opens new tab, whose discounts to grab market share are hurting the margins of incumbents. It makes financial sense too, valuing Akzo Nobel India at 22 times EBITDA, more than twice the multiple at which the parent's Amsterdam-listed shares trade.
Inspired by these sorts of punchy valuations, multinationals in India have been paring stakes in local units. British American Tobacco (BATS.L), opens new tab sold shares in ITC (ITC.NS), opens new tab to raise $1.5 billion last month, and U.S. appliance maker Whirlpool (WHR.N), opens new tab plans to slash its stake in its Indian business to 20% from 51%. Less benign reasons underpin other transactions. Germany's Siemens sold 90% in its loss-making wind turbine division to TPG amidst cutthroat competition. Swiss drugmaker Novartis is looking for a buyer for its Indian operations, which it says are relatively small, opens new tab compared to other geographies.
The slate of assets on offer bodes well for Indian founders looking to grow through acquisitions. But it undermines India's vaunted position as a haven for global capital. Net foreign direct investment during the eight months to the end of November 2024 dropped, opens new tab to $500 million from $8.5 billion in the same period of 2023, per data from the Reserve Bank of India. Blame it on repatriations by global firms, which stood at $44.5 billion for the 12 months ended March 2024, having risen every year since March 2020.
Strong valuations aren't exactly bad news. But if they wind up making India look less of a magnet for global capital, they're not uniformly good news either.
Follow Shritama Bose on Linkedin, opens new tab and X, opens new tab.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Daily Record
3 hours ago
- Daily Record
Christian Eriksen lands Rangers pitch as De Jong 'decision' and Ramsdale rule escalate 49ers 'surprise' transfer tease
Paraag Marathe's EGM promise appears to be gathering pace with some big names swirling at Ibrox Christian Eriksen has been told why he should sign for Rangers this summer after the new US owners at Ibrox promised some surprises in the transfer market. The former Manchester United playmaker is on the lookout for a new club after leaving Old Trafford as a free agent - with a move to join the American revolution at Ibrox floated. Speaking at Rangers EGM, Paraag Marathe of 49ers Enterprises - who now own the Glasgow giants alongside pharmaceutical tycoon Andrew Cavenagh - promised shareholders that there would be a few names emerging that would raise the eyebrows of fans. He said: "If we share who we're targeting that players becomes more expensive. It's best for you all if we surprise you with the players we bring in!" And the 33-year-old would fall into that category. Speaking to OLBG, former England international Chris Waddle recommended Govan as the Danish international's next destination. He said: "Christian Eriksen would be a great acquisition for Rangers. I think he would be a revelation. He would be brilliant in Scotland. I think he'd be able handle that league with ease. "Whether his wage demands would be too high, we don't know, but a lot of teams in Spain and Italy, Germany would like to take Eriksen on. "Not on long-term deals, but I think he'll have a lot of options around Europe and I'm sure there will be Premier League teams looking at him, but if someone like Rangers got him, he would be a massive coup. "He's still got a lot to offer, but I do think that if he goes to one of the top Premier League teams, I think he'll be sat on the bench more than on the pitch." Reports in the Netherlands suggest that veteran Luuk de Jong would be "open" to joining Rangers this summer. Dutch outlet ED report that is ready to "answer" PSV Eindhoven's contract offer imminently with the club making it clear they "won't wait forever" for their title-winning skipper. De Telegraaf claim the 34-year-old free agent is "exploring an exotic option" with an unnamed club away from the Eredivise. Aaron Ramsdale has been floated as a high-profile loan recruit - but Ray Parlour has told the Southampton goalkeeper the transfer rules he should put in place. Discussing a reunion with Russell Martin in Glasgow, he told talkSPORT: 'I think he's got to stay in the Premier League, so I'll say no. 'I think he's got too much to offer. I think he stays in the Premier League.' Tune in to Hotline Live every Sunday to Thursday and have your say on the biggest issues in Scottish football and listen to Record Sport's newest podcast, Game On, every Friday for your sporting fix, all in bitesize chunks.


Reuters
4 hours ago
- Reuters
Breakingviews - AkzoNobel sale flags India's foreign capital angst
MUMBAI, June 27 (Reuters Breakingviews) - What's good for Indian tycoons is not always good for India. Dutch paint maker AkzoNobel ( opens new tab is selling a controlling stake in its local unit to the domestic JSW Group. The deal fits into its goal to focus its global portfolio amid a hypercompetitive market – but it also deepens India's capital outflow woes. The $12 billion maker of the Dulux paint brand on Friday said it would offload, opens new tab up to a 75% stake in Akzo Nobel India to privately held JSW Paints for $1.1 billion. It will retain full control over its local powder coatings business and research unit. The proceeds from the sale will be used to cut debt and buy back shares of the parent. The transaction comes at an opportune time for AkzoNobel, which decided last October to concentrate on coatings in key geographies. It eases the company away from a market shaken up by the entry last year of local tycoon KM Birla's Grasim Industries ( opens new tab, whose discounts to grab market share are hurting the margins of incumbents. It makes financial sense too, valuing Akzo Nobel India at 22 times EBITDA, more than twice the multiple at which the parent's Amsterdam-listed shares trade. Inspired by these sorts of punchy valuations, multinationals in India have been paring stakes in local units. British American Tobacco (BATS.L), opens new tab sold shares in ITC ( opens new tab to raise $1.5 billion last month, and U.S. appliance maker Whirlpool (WHR.N), opens new tab plans to slash its stake in its Indian business to 20% from 51%. Less benign reasons underpin other transactions. Germany's Siemens sold 90% in its loss-making wind turbine division to TPG amidst cutthroat competition. Swiss drugmaker Novartis is looking for a buyer for its Indian operations, which it says are relatively small, opens new tab compared to other geographies. The slate of assets on offer bodes well for Indian founders looking to grow through acquisitions. But it undermines India's vaunted position as a haven for global capital. Net foreign direct investment during the eight months to the end of November 2024 dropped, opens new tab to $500 million from $8.5 billion in the same period of 2023, per data from the Reserve Bank of India. Blame it on repatriations by global firms, which stood at $44.5 billion for the 12 months ended March 2024, having risen every year since March 2020. Strong valuations aren't exactly bad news. But if they wind up making India look less of a magnet for global capital, they're not uniformly good news either. Follow Shritama Bose on Linkedin, opens new tab and X, opens new tab.


Reuters
4 hours ago
- Reuters
Breakingviews - Why green investors keep getting carried away
LONDON, June 26 (Reuters Breakingviews) - To paraphrase Mark Twain, speculative bubbles don't repeat themselves, but they often rhyme. The green technology boom that has imploded over the past three years is remarkably similar to the alternative energy bubble that inflated prior to the global financial crisis of 2008. Both frenzies were driven by investors' unrealistic expectations about how quickly new energy technologies would be taken up. What is now known as the Cleantech 1.0 boom took off in 2005 after the U.S. Congress enacted tax credits for renewable energy. Former Vice President Al Gore's 2006 documentary 'An Inconvenient Truth' raised public awareness of climate change. In early 2007 the venture capital investor John Doerr gave a much-publicised TED talk, opens new tab in which he asserted that 'green technologies – going green – is bigger than the internet. It could be the biggest opportunity of the twenty-first century.' Doerr's firm, Kleiner Perkins, later launched a fund to 'help speed mass market adoption of solutions to the climate crisis.' Many other venture capitalists jumped on the bandwagon. The WilderHill Clean Energy Index, launched in 2004, more than doubled between May 2005 and December 2007. Dozens of startups were launched to invest in batteries, solar, biomass and wind energy. An electric vehicle company, Better Place, established in Silicon Valley in 2007, raised nearly $1 billion to build a network of charging stations. Solyndra, an innovative solar panel manufacturer, attracted a host of big-name investors and later received more than $500 million in loan guarantees from the administration of President Barack Obama. No single factor was responsible for pricking the bubble. The collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 dampened animal spirits; advances in hydraulic fracturing technology led to cheaper U.S. natural gas; Spain and Germany reduced their subsidies for renewable energy; and American solar companies proved unable to compete with subsidised Chinese competitors. Nearly all the 150 renewable energy startups founded in Silicon Valley during the boom subsequently failed, including Solyndra and Better Place. Cleantech venture capital funds launched during the bubble produced negative returns. By the end of 2012 the WilderHill index had fallen 85% from its peak to around 40. By coincidence, that is where the benchmark currently trades. The recent green tech bubble was more extreme. The WilderHill index climbed from 47 in March 2020 to 281 less than a year later. Whereas U.S. venture capitalists spent an estimated $25 billion funding clean energy startups between 2006 and 2011, Silicon Valley splurged more than twice that sum in 2021 alone, according to Silicon Valley Bank. Market valuations were quite absurd. By late 2020, the battery company QuantumScape (QS.N), opens new tab, which came to the market by merging with a blank-check firm, was valued at more than General Motors (GM.N), opens new tab, despite having no sales. The market frenzy is long past. QuantumScape stock is down more than 95% from its peak, while the WilderHill index has fallen 85%. Several listed electric vehicle companies, including truck maker Nikola, have filed for protection from creditors. President Donald Trump's administration is reducing subsidies for renewables and electric vehicles. Oil giants BP (BP.L), opens new tab and Shell (SHEL.L), opens new tab are cutting back their alternative energy investments, just as they did after the Cleantech 1.0 boom. The outcome for green venture capital remains unclear but anecdotal evidence suggests that many funds are now changing hands at steep discounts to their appraised valuations. The common error investors made during both booms was to become entranced by extravagant growth forecasts. In his book, 'More and More and More: An All-Consuming History of Energy', Jean-Baptiste Fressoz criticises the application of the sigmoid function – also known as the S-curve – to predict the course of the energy transition. This model describes the adoption of a new technology as starting out slowly, rapidly gathering pace before eventually levelling off when the market becomes saturated. The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has used the S-curve in its projections for renewable energy demand and the accompanying decline of fossil fuels. The S-curve was originally discovered a hundred years ago to describe how the population of drosophila flies changes under laboratory conditions. It was later applied, with varying degrees of success, to project human population growth. The American energy scientist M. King Hubbert was the first to use the S-curve to forecast energy production. In the 1950s, advocates for nuclear energy used the model to predict what they believed was the inevitable transition from fossil fuels towards an atomic-powered future. Hubbert also used the S-curve for his famous forecast that U.S. oil production would peak in 1970. Vaclav Smil, a leading energy historian, points out that energy transitions are slow, inherently unpredictable and require extraordinary amounts of investment. Fressoz goes further, claiming that – when energy consumption is viewed in absolute rather than relative terms – there has historically never been a transition. It's true that coal took over from wood as the world's prime energy source in the 19th century, and that later oil and natural gas became dominant. Yet the consumption of all these energy sources continued increasing. The world has never burned more wood than it does today. In absolute terms, coal usage continues to grow. The S-curve has also been used to predict the uptake of various green technologies. As Rob West of Thunder Said Energy, a research firm, observed in a report published last September, both the speed of adoption and the ultimate penetration rate for new inventions are variable. For instance, the demand for refrigerators and television by U.S. households grew very rapidly from the outset, with both reaching penetration rates of nearly 100% in just a few decades. Yet it took more than half a century for gas heating to reach 60% of U.S. households, at which point its market share flatlined. 'It is important not to fall into the trap of assuming that the 'top of the S' is an endpoint of 100% adoption,' writes West. Not long ago, electric vehicles were set to rapidly replace the internal combustion engine, but sales forecasts are now being cut back in developed markets. West anticipates that the eventual market share for battery-powered cars will not surpass 30%. That's a guess. The actual outcome will depend on the state of future technology, which is unknowable. That leaves plenty of scope for green investors to get it wrong again. Follow @Breakingviews, opens new tab on X