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The Tigers weren't even the favorites to win the AL Central but they enter the month of July with the Junior Circuit's top mark. Their 11.5-game lead in the division is the biggest in baseball and their 53 wins are tied with the Dodgers for the most in the Majors. They are +250 to win the AL Pennant on most sports betting apps, trailing only the Yankees (+200) and are +750 in the World Series odds behind the Dodgers (+240) and Yankees (+700).
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Borussia Dortmund will meet Monterrey tonight at Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta in the final Round of 16 game of the FIFA Club World Cup tournament. Dortmund is a -120 favorite and Caesars Sportsbook is offering boosted odds (+1200) on the German team winning by a 3-1 score. The quarterfinals are Friday and Saturday.
Paris Saint-Germain is the +200 tournament favorite over Real Madrid (+400) and Bayern Munich (+450).
With the defending World Series champion Dodgers beginning to distance themselves from the rest of the NL West, the Padres and Giants may be playing for a wild card berth. The problem is, both teams enter play tonight on the outside of that race. The Padres trail the Cardinals by a game for the third and final wild card spot, while the Giants are 1.5 games back.
San Diego is in Philadelphia for the second game of a three-game set tonight, while the Giants, who have lost six of seven, are in Arizona. The Cardinals are in Pittsburgh for a meeting with Paul Skenes and the Pirates.
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USA Today
an hour ago
- USA Today
Clayton Kershaw's first strikeout victim still in awe as Dodgers ace hits 3,000 Ks
There was actually laughter in the St. Louis Cardinals clubhouse that morning at Dodger Stadium before facing the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Cardinals didn't have any tape of the 20-year-old kid who was going to make his major-league debut that afternoon, May 25, 2008. No one had any scouting reports. No one faced him in the minors. So, they began asking each other if anyone knew anything about the Dodgers' prized prospect. 'Someone said they heard that he could be the next Rick Ankiel," Schumaker tells USA TODAY Sports. 'No way. There is no way his stuff could be as good as Rick Ankiel's before he became a position player. So we are laughing that someone thought he could have a curveball as good as Ankiel's." Schumaker was leading off for the Cardinals and stepped to the plate with a game plan. 'I figured I was going to ambush him and welcome him to the big leagues," Schumaker says. 'The first pitch was an elevated fastball. It was harder and faster than I thought, and I swung and missed. Then he threw a curveball. It was something different. It was like nothing I had ever seen before. 'And then, well, I struck out." Now, 17 years and one month later – 6,247 days to be exact – that strikeout is immortalized in baseball history. It was Dodgers pitcher Clayton Kershaw's first career strikeout, making Schumaker his first victim. Kershaw since has produced 2,996 more strikeouts in his future Hall of Fame career, and with three more strikeouts on Wednesday night against the Chicago White Sox at Dodger Stadium, he can become only the 20th pitcher in baseball history to strike out 3,000 in his career. Kershaw, 37, the 10-time All-Star, three-time Cy Young winner, two-time World Series champion and MVP, will be only the fourth left-hander in baseball history to achieve 3,000 strikeouts, joining Hall of Famers Steve Carlton, Randy Johnson and CC Sabathia. Most important to Kershaw, he'll be only the third to produce 3,000 strikeouts wearing just one uniform, accomplished only by Walter Johnson and Bob Gibson. 'Clayton Kershaw," Schumaker says, 'is the most dominant pitcher I've ever played against in my career. I've never seen anybody like him. 'If anybody deserves a statue outside Dodger Stadium it's Clayton Kershaw. How cool is it for him to have just one uniform, especially in LA, and then have a statue of him in front of that stadium? 'It's unbelievable what he's meant to that organization, and really, what he's meant for baseball." Schumaker, a career .278 hitter who hit .300 or better three consecutive seasons and never struck out more than 69 times in a season, faced Kershaw six more times in his career, including twice more that afternoon. He finished 0-for-7 off Kershaw. And struck out six times. 'The only time I even made contact off him," Schumaker says, 'I grounded into a double play. How's that?" So, does Kershaw ever bring up to Schumaker that he was his first strikeout victim? 'Oh, only every time I see him," laughs Schumaker, now a senior advisor with the Texas Rangers. 'He remembers. And how could I ever forget? 'You don't know at the time, it being his first start, but he just has that special unique look, and with the combination of his stuff, it's just so different. I knew he had a chance to be special, but I didn't know it was going to be 3,000 strikeouts, three Cy Young awards and 16 years in the big leagues special." Schumaker, who was traded to the Dodgers before the 2013 season, fully grasped Kershaw's greatness in their first game together on Opening Day against the San Francisco Giants. Kershaw threw a four-hit, complete-game shutout. 'I remember just looking at each other on the bench," Schumaker says, 'What the hell are we watching here? What is this?' He's this dominant on Opening Day? What's the rest of the season going to look like?" Kershaw went 16-9 with a 1.83 ERA that season, pitching a career-high 236 innings with an NL-best 232 strikeouts, winning his second Cy Young award. 'Just to see him work, and know what kind of person he is," Schumaker says, 'that's what makes this so special. He's the ultimate teammate. He's the ultimate competitor. And he's the ultimate person." Kershaw, who won the Roberto Clemente Award for his charitable work in 2012, is revered throughout baseball for his generosity, autographing baseballs, jerseys, or whatever is needed for charities, schools and programs. When Schumaker was trying to help a group of kids from being discouraged during the 2020 COVID summer that cancelled their travel ball season, Kershaw spent an hour on a Zoom call with Schumaker and 15 kids. 'It was one of the most special moments that these kids will always treasure," Schumaker says. 'That's why he's so easy to root for. I can't wait to watch him get his 3,000th." Kershaw will be the first pitcher to achieve 3,000 strikeouts since Max Scherzer in 2021. The next closest to 3,000 strikeout is 36-year-old Chris Sale with 2,528 strikeouts. 'I think it's cool man," says San Francisco Giants 42-year-old starter Justin Verlander, the three-time Cy Young winner, who leads all active pitchers with 3,471 strikeouts and 262 victories. 'I think the game should celebrate stuff like that and people lile him because it's clearly going away. There are very few of us left. So any time you get a moment to celebrate something like that, you don't know if you'll ever see it again. 'I'm looking forward to seeing it, and I'll surely reach out and congratulate him." Schumaker, who competed against Kershaw for eight seasons during his career, played with him during the 2013 season, and even managed against him for two seasons while with the Miami Marlins, isn't about to miss Kershaw's start either. He plans on plopping down on his couch Wednesday night at home with his 17-year-old son, Brody, who has Kershaw's autographed jersey hanging in his room, watching history. 'It's just crazy to see him keep doing this," Schumaker says. 'You didn't know if he would even come back after a couple of surgeries. He comes back, and even though he's throwing 89-91 [mph] now instead of 97, he's still beating guys inside with his fastball, and pitches with so much intent and conviction." Kershaw, who didn't start pitching this season for the Dodgers until May 17 after undergoing knee and toe surgeries during the off-season, is 4-0 with a 3.03 ERA, striking out 29 batters in 38 ⅔ innings. Who knows how much longer he'll pitch, or how long his body holds out – but the way he's going, why stop now? 'It's cool to have moments like these that shake you up a little bit," Verlander says. 'Getting to that number kind of puts things in perspective. But the great ones don't rest on their laurels. They keep working hard, put their nose to the grindstone, and want to keep being great. 'That's Kershaw." Follow Nightengale on X: @Bnightengale The USA TODAY app gets you to the heart of the news — fast. Download for award-winning coverage, crosswords, audio storytelling, the eNewspaper and more.
New York Times
an hour ago
- New York Times
MLB trade deadline Urgency Index 2.0: Who needs what the most? What's changed?
The calendar has flipped to July, and in the three weeks since our first edition of the MLB trade deadline Urgency Index, we've seen a major blockbuster deal, surges from teams that had been fringe contenders and freefalls from teams that had looked legitimate. The landscape has changed, and it can change yet again between now and July 31. Advertisement So this Urgency Index 2.0 is a mix of glaring present needs and projection — some objective and others subjective — of what might change over the next four weeks. Like last time, it's Eno Sarris on starters, Tim Britton on bats and Aaron Gleeman on relievers. Cal Raleigh is still doing the damn thing, carrying this offense with an OPS more than 250 points better than the next-best regular on this team. He deserves some help. The good and bad news is there are several avenues to procure it. Seattle has already moved on from Rowdy Tellez at first base, and it's now trying out a platoon of Luke Raley and Donovan Solano there while Dominic Canzone gets a look in the corner outfield. With Jorge Polanco spending most of his time as a DH, both second base and third base could be upgraded as well. The Mariners can't expect Raleigh to do this for another three months — though, wow, imagine if he does — and they're barely holding on to the final wild card spot in a wide-open American League. Adding another bat or two while getting some positive regression in the starting rotation could push Seattle into a more stable playoff position. It wasn't that the Brewers didn't need a bat the last time we did this; it's that we were generally pessimistic about their chances to make a real playoff push. But now we have egg on our faces: Since we hit publish on that piece, Milwaukee is 11-4 (entering Tuesday night) and is pushing not only for the top wild-card spot but for the division as well. So yes, now is probably the time to add meaningfully to the left side of the defensive alignment, at shortstop, third base or left field. Yes, the platoon of Isaac Collins and Jake Bauers has done well in left, and Caleb Durbin has provided decent production in his time at the hot corner. But projection systems don't love any of those players moving forward, Joey Ortiz just hasn't worked out offensively this season, and the lineup as a whole includes too many bats that are league-average or below to settle at this many spots. The pitching staff looks absolutely legit; a better offense makes this a team capable not just of getting to October again, but of finally advancing. Thanks to a deeper NL Central than anyone anticipated, the Padres have dropped out of playoff position in the last week. And that places a spotlight on their position of obvious, glaring need: left field. San Diego's offensive numbers in left have gotten better since it started playing Gavin Sheets out there, but that's left the defense compromised and only helps the lineup so much when Sheets' bat is replaced at DH by José Iglesias or Trenton Brooks. Right now eight National League teams are on pace to win 87 games, which means some good teams won't be playing into October. That puts extra emphasis on the upgrades available for the home stretch. The day we published our first Urgency Index, the Mets' playoff odds were a season-best 96.2 percent (according to FanGraphs), and you could argue that the club had no legitimate needs at the time. Well, New York has been popping leaks across the roster in the time since, and few teams with championship aspirations have ever looked as bad in a single series as the Mets did over the weekend in getting outscored by the Pirates, 30-4. Advertisement Even so, we'd trust the Mets' current offense more so than the other four teams appearing on this list. The thing is, we don't much trust their pitching staff considering the freefall it's experiencing, and so the offense has to win on its own more often moving forward. And as presently constituted, New York's lineup simply hasn't been as deep as expected, due to regression by Mark Vientos at third base and Francisco Alvarez at catcher. Even if the Mets think those two can contribute more in the second half, there's room to add another infielder and perhaps a center fielder. Voila! We listed the Giants No. 1 here on June 12, and Buster Posey took note: San Francisco added Rafael Devers within days. How will Posey react to still cracking the top five? Devers solves the Giants' biggest issue — first base. (Even if he doesn't himself play there, Wilmer Flores can shift from DH to first.) And for the moment, San Francisco has a solution for its second-biggest issue, at second base. Casey Schmitt has belatedly fulfilled some of the hype he generated as a prospect in taking over for Tyler Fitzgerald. But there's not enough track record there to be confident Schmitt will keep hitting quite like this, and projection systems remain bearish on the lineup as a whole when compared with other NL contenders. June was a rough month for the Mets' bullpen, which ranked 29th in ERA (5.47) and 29th in Win Probability Added (minus-1.3) despite closer Edwin Díaz doing his job just fine. What's the point of building a star-studded, $325 million roster if getting leads from the starter to the closer is an adventure? New York needs bullpen help. In particular, the Mets could use a left-handed setup man to replace the injured A.J. Minter. And it's possible the front office could view the suddenly shaky bullpen as needing multiple reinforcements, especially given the relatively small cost — both in terms of salaries and prospect capital — of adding relievers at the deadline. Late-inning relief has been a season-long issue for the Phillies, and the bullpen isn't trending in a positive direction, ranking 21st in ERA (4.21) and 27th in WPA (minus-0.56) during June. And while the mid-August return of left-hander José Alvarado should help, he's ineligible to participate in the playoffs as a result of his PED suspension. Advertisement Not unlike the Mets, the Phillies have too much star power and too much invested in the $285 million roster to let a shaky bullpen sabotage a potential championship run. Even the best Dave Dombrowski-built teams have often required bullpen help and the Phillies are no different thanks in large part to Jordan Romano's struggles. Detroit has a big enough division lead to lessen the immediate urgency, but if the Tigers are going to make a deep playoff run it would make sense to add a veteran high-leverage reliever to a bullpen that's been in the middle of the pack all season. Bat-missing ability should be the focus for a group that sits 26th in strikeout rate. Will Vest and Tommy Kahnle have been a strong one-two punch in the late innings, and the Tigers have shown big names and specific roles aren't necessarily required to piece together a quality bullpen. Still, bringing in at least one veteran setup man would seemingly be a smart play for a team with obvious October aspirations. Tampa Bay's bullpen is usually among MLB's best, but Rays relievers rank 16th in ERA and 24th in WPA this year. There are contenders with worse bullpens, but the Rays are always built to win tight games in the late innings and lack their preferred firepower to do so right now. They might even buy and sell in a bullpen makeover. Arizona has the worst relief pitching of any contender, but it's possible things have gotten so bad that the bullpen could keep the Diamondbacks from remaining in the playoff picture. Elbow surgeries have knocked Justin Martinez and A.J. Puk out for the season, and rebuilding on the fly a unit with a 5.27 ERA will be very difficult. Getting Shota Imanaga back was a good first step, but it's not enough. Over the last month, the Cubs rotation has been near the bottom of the league in ERA, as well as bottom third in Wins Above Replacement and strikeout rate. You can't build a rotation on two starters, and only two starters have kept their ERA under five in the last month. Projections are no kinder. FanGraphs depth charts have them 24th overall, and if you single out the top three starters, they're only a slightly more palatable 18th. They need an arm, but they also need that arm to be a playoff starter. This is a team ripe for a big swing at one of the best starting pitchers available. Cubs fans should be rooting against the Rangers. It's been a mixed bag in terms of results for the Blue Jays starters this last month. Chris Bassitt and Kevin Gausman have come back to earth with ERAs over five, but José Berríos has continued right on ticking, and Max Scherzer's return seems to give them a shot at an average rotation going forward. That's how the projections have it despite bottom-third results over the course of the season as well as the last month. Advertisement With Eric Lauer as their fifth starter, and continued health from their top guys, Toronto may be in the position where it's time for a big swing or none at all. An upgrade over Lauer might be available, but if the incoming pitcher isn't good enough to start a playoff game or help in the playoff bullpen, will the move be worth the assets? This might be a surprising entry to the list. Certainly, the Mets rotation has been pretty good so far. By ERA, it has been fourth! But that park smooths out some wrinkles – away from home, the starters have put up the 13th-best pitching line. That fact, as well as significant injuries to Kodai Senga and Tylor Megill, have the Mets projected as the 16th-best rotation going forward. That's something that can be upgraded in all sorts of ways. Sean Manaea coming back will be one, but that's factored in. Perhaps one of the intriguing prospects with great stuff in the high minors – Blake Tidwell, Nolan McLean or Brandon Sproat – will get an opportunity to shine. But, given that the Mets' top three starters rank 24th in projections going forward, it seems likely that some of that young depth will be converted into a surer thing. Especially as the Mets slide. Injury has clouded the picture in San Diego, like so much fog coming off the ocean. Michael King still doesn't have a timeline. Yu Darvish might have one, but it's not the first time he's seemingly been on track and then had to back off. Without those two, the need is dire, especially with Dylan Cease underperforming his stuff. If King and Darvish come back, a lesser rental arm that just gets them to the postseason intact might be just enough – they're down to 14th in the projections. Could the Cardinals actually buy? That race for the central is surprisingly tight given preseason prognostications. If so, the rotation could use some help. They're 18th overall as is, with only three pitchers with a sub-four ERA projection, and only Sonny Gray with a sub-3.5 ERA projection. Any buying seems like it will be modest, but there are multiple spots in this rotation that can be improved even with a rental back-end type. (Illustration: Demetrius Robinson / The Athletic; Top photos: Jayne Kamin-Oncea, Al Bello, Geoff Stellfox / Getty Images)
New York Times
an hour ago
- New York Times
MLB execs predict Alcantara, Naylor and other players most likely to be traded at deadline
With just 30 days until the MLB trade deadline, 25 of the 30 teams are still within striking distance of postseason position, and so much could change between now and July 31. So I decided to poll decision-makers in major-league front offices to get their opinions on the trade market, including the key players who they think have the best chance to be traded at this year's deadline. Advertisement I surveyed more than 40 executives — mostly presidents of baseball operations and general managers — and asked them to name the best starting pitcher, reliever and position player they think will be traded this month. The execs were granted anonymity so they could answer candidly, as well as asked not to include any of their own players. Their responses were illuminating. Some answers were expected, but others were truly surprising. However, what really stood out was the number of teams that didn't really know where this year's trade market is headed. Said one National League president of baseball operations: 'I have no clue. Can't make sense of (it) at all. That will obviously change over the next month, but it's really tough to read now, as most teams are saying they are looking to buy.' An American League general manager told me, 'We are all waiting for teams to decide if they're going to sell, but it might take until close to the deadline for teams like the Diamondbacks, Orioles, Red Sox, Guardians and Angels to make that call.' What twists and turns lie ahead? The answers I received offer some possibilities — and clues. Here are the starting pitchers, relievers and position players who were mentioned the most, the players the execs felt are most likely to be dealt at the trade deadline, along with my thoughts on them. Alcantara was the player mentioned the most overall — by far. That was fascinating to me because he's 4-8 with a 6.98 ERA and I doubt the Marlins would get the requisite value for him if they traded him now. Instead, they could wait until the offseason to cash-in, perhaps after he's had a strong August and September. However, several execs pointed to the fact that he pitched better in June and seems to be healthy and getting closer to top form. Advertisement Here's how one GM put it: Max Fried and Corbin Burnes each got more than $200 million in free agency, yet an acquiring team would get Alcantara for three postseasons at a much lower cost. So it makes sense for some teams to try to trade for an ace now, as it would be a lot less expensive than trying to sign a starter like Dylan Cease or Michael King in free agency this winter. Alcantara, 29, is in his first season since Tommy John surgery, and after a poor start, has allowed three runs or less in four of his past five outings. He is making $17.3 million this year, will make the same next year and has a $21 million team option for 2027. The Marlins will have to get a significant prospect package in return to trade him now, because if they don't get the right offer or if Alcantara falters, they can always wait until the offseason or the 2026 trade deadline. Most execs believe he will be moved at this deadline though. A lot of teams have called Pittsburgh to inquire about Keller. The Pirates need offense and realize they're going to have to trade from their starting rotation to acquire young, impact bats. Keller, 29, has a 3.90 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over 17 starts. He's signed through the 2028 season at an average annual salary of about $18 million. The Cubs and Mets are among the possible landing spots for Keller. Kelly, 36, is an impending free agent who grew up in Arizona and would prefer to finish his career as a Diamondback. However, as one GM told me, the D-Backs can trade him at the deadline as a rental and then re-sign him in the offseason. That would allow Arizona to improve its farm system with a solid prospect or two as the return. Kelly is 7-4 this year with a 3.49 ERA and 1.07 WHIP over 17 starts. He's struck out 100 in 98 innings. His 2025 salary is just $7 million. Advertisement Heaney, 34, has a 4.16 ERA over 17 starts. The veteran lefty is a quality back-of-the-rotation inning-eater who could especially help a contending team that's been dealing with rotation injuries, such as the Mets. Eflin was just placed on the injured list (back discomfort), which will be a red flag at the trade deadline. It's his second time on the IL this season. How he recovers and pitches between now and the end of the month will likely determine if he gets moved. He will be a free agent after this season and is making $18 million. Eflin, 31, is 6-5 with a 5.95 ERA over 12 starts. Gallen is not having the free-agent walk year he wanted, going 6-9 with a 5.45 ERA over 18 starts. But he has three top-10 finishes in the NL Cy Young Award voting in his career, including the third-most votes in 2023, and a 3.53 ERA over 160 starts. His secondary pitches have not been as crisp this season and his average fastball is down a half mile an hour. Meanwhile, his walk and home run rates have increased while his strikeout rate has fallen. Maybe he'd benefit from a change of scenery. A trade could help him finish the season strong and boost his free agent value. Cabrera is under control through the 2028 season and is arbitration-eligible next year. He has a 3.41 ERA over 14 starts with 75 strikeouts over 71 1/3 innings. In his last seven starts, he's 3-1 with a 1.46 ERA and 42 strikeouts to 16 walks. The key for Cabrera, 27, has been the improved command and control of all his pitches. (He has averaged 3.79 walks per nine innings, but that's down from 4.67 last year and 5.96 the year before.) Cabrera is in his prime and has multiple years of control, both of which increase his trade value. The Marlins are not looking to move him, but if they can 'win' a trade, they'd have to consider it. The execs overwhelmingly picked Chapman as the reliever most likely to be traded in July. The 37-year-old is having a banner season, posting a 1.32 ERA over 37 appearances with 14 saves and 50 strikeouts in 34 innings. He would be a difference-maker in any bullpen. Two years ago, Chapman was traded from the Royals to the Rangers in a late-June deadline deal for lefty Cole Ragans and a minor-league outfielder. Advertisement The Pirates have made everyone apart from Paul Skenes and Andrew McCutchen available at this year's deadline. Bednar and Santana are 'all but gone,' according to one GM, and 'could be packaged together.' Bednar has been much better after a poor 2024 season, logging a 2.73 ERA with 12 saves over 33 appearances. Santana has a 1.50 ERA, 0.78 WHIP and five saves over 36 games. Bednar, 30, and Santana, 29, are both controllable and arbitration-eligible in 2026. The Orioles claim they're not going to sell and instead will try to buy pitching. However, their best play might be to trade Bautista for multiple young starting pitching prospects to quickly reboot for the 2026 season. Bautista has tallied 16 saves with a 2.73 ERA over 30 appearances in his first season back from Tommy John surgery. He's struck out 43 in 29 2/3 innings. He is under team control through 2027, which increases his trade value significantly. The A's received plenty of trade offers for Miller over the past couple of years, but they've always shied away. However, this year could be different if they plan to keep him in the closer role. One NL GM told me, 'I think the A's would be foolish to hold on to him if they're not going to convert him into a starter, especially with the trade return they could get for him now.' Miller has converted 17 saves of 20 save opportunities with a 4.55 ERA and 52 strikeouts over 31 2/3 innings. He's averaged 100.9 mph on his fastball for a second consecutive year, and batters are hitting just .122 against his wipeout slider. There are multiple teams that would love to trade for Miller and transition him to starting as they believe he could develop into an ace. Miller, 26, is under team control through 2029, so the return in a trade for him would have to be massive. The Cardinals are in the NL Central and NL wild-card races and appear closer to being a buyer than a seller. However, Helsley is eligible for free agency this offseason and St. Louis could decide trading him at the deadline for future assets makes more sense than keeping him. How the team performs in July will determine if Helsley is dealt, according to one AL GM who has talked with the Cardinals. Advertisement Helsley, 30, has a 3.41 ERA over 29 appearances and 16 saves. Batters are hitting just .077 against his wipeout slider, although they've been teeing off on his 99 mph four-seamer, hitting .429 against that pitch. Clase's name kept coming up in the survey, which surprised me as he's considered one of the top closers in the game. He's also under team control through the 2028 season. Clase, 27, has a 3.28 ERA over 37 appearances and 18 saves this year. The Guardians, who rank 26th in runs, need more offense. Perhaps they'd be willing to make a buyer-to-buyer type of trade to give up a lock-down leverage reliever for a middle-of-the-order impact bat to address this weakness. Duran, 27, is under team control through the 2027 season. He's having an excellent season with a 1.69 ERA over 39 games, 12 saves, and 42 strikeouts in 37 1/3 innings. Jax, 30, is controllable through 2027 and has a 4.08 ERA with 60 strikeouts over 35 1/3 innings. In his breakout 2024 season, he logged a 2.03 ERA over 72 appearances. The Twins are faltering but I was surprised that both of these relievers were mentioned by execs. Wishful thinking by some contending teams? The Diamondbacks say they will be buyers at the trade deadline with acquiring pitching the priority. However, opposing teams believe they'll be sellers, or at least open to trading their impending free-agent bats for more pitching; one of those hitters, Naylor, was mentioned more than any other position player by execs in our poll. Naylor, 28, is slashing .304/.359/.471 with 10 home runs and 53 RBIs. Last season he mashed 31 home runs with 108 RBIs for Cleveland. Several teams, including the Mariners, Rangers, Giants, Reds and Red Sox, need a power bat like Naylor. If the Orioles become sellers, O'Hearn could end up being the trade deadline headliner for Baltimore. A soon-to-be free agent, he is slashing .295/.383/.473 with 11 home runs and 30 RBIs in 244 at-bats, which is similar to Naylor's season, as are his most-likely landing spots. O'Hearn's best position is DH, but he can play first base and left field as well. The 31-year-old is making only $8 million this year, which enhances his trade value. Advertisement Robert just went on the IL with a hamstring injury, and he's arguably having the worst year of his career as he's batting .185 with a 64 OPS+, though he's stolen 22 bases and played solid defense in center field. So … why is he on this list? Several execs don't think Robert will be traded at this year's deadline, instead believing that the White Sox will wait until the offseason, hoping he plays better in August and September and regains his trade value. However, a few believe he'll get traded anyway because of the low supply of power bats and outfielders at the deadline, along with teams understanding what a change of scenery could mean for him. He is making $15 million this year and has $20 million team options for 2026 and 2027. Robert's career-highs include 38 home runs in 2023 and 23 stolen bases in 2024. He won a Gold Glove Award in 2020. He hasn't had any lineup protection over the last couple of years and some teams question his desire and mental toughness. Suárez has had a tremendous first half, belting 26 home runs with 69 RBIs, so his value is high despite being an impending free agent. Arizona could swap him in a buyer-to-buyer type of trade for a starting pitcher or impact reliever. The Diamondbacks' top prospect, Jordan Lawlar, could replace Suárez, 33, at the hot corner if he's traded. A reunion with the Mariners or a deal with the Yankees, who could then move Jazz Chisholm Jr. back to second base, would make a lot of sense. Mullins, 30, is an impending free agent who could be available on the thin outfield market. He is having a down year, batting just .214 with a 99 OPS+, but does have 12 homers and eight stolen bases and remains an elite defensive center fielder. A trade sending Mullins and Bautista to the Phillies could be a great fit for Philadelphia, which would have to give Baltimore a strong prospect package to make that hypothetical deal work. I was surprised by how many front office executives mentioned Duran. It makes me think the Red Sox may have decided Wilyer Abreu will play right field and Roman Anthony will play left going forward. Duran, 28, is under team control through 2028. Last year he led the majors in doubles (48) and triples (14) and had 21 homers, 75 RBIs and 34 stolen bases. This year he is slashing .253/.313/.410 with 20 doubles and a league-leading nine triples. He has been linked with the Padres and Phillies in trade talks. Reynolds, 30, is under team control through 2031 at a salary of approximately $15 million per season, which should be considered market value. This year he is slashing .240/.305/.397 with 10 home runs and 45 RBIs. He has hit between 24 and 27 home runs each of the past four seasons while averaging just over 3.0 bWAR per year. He's a consistent player who can play either outfield corner. The Pirates are looking for younger bats in return. Advertisement The Angels insist they're buyers, but come the deadline, I expect them to not make the same mistakes they've made in the past as they should be sellers; if not, a buyer-to-buyer trade involving Ward would still make sense. Ward, 31, is hitting .217 with a .292 on-base percentage but has mashed 20 homers and driven in 57 runs. He is under team control through 2026. A trade to the Royals would make a lot of sense. García is under team control through next year and is hitting .231 with an 89 OPS+. If he doesn't pick it up in July and the Rangers don't start playing better, Texas could decide to move on from him. García, 32, making $9.25 million this year and is arbitration-eligible next year. He's an above-average defender in right field with a rifle for an arm. Offensively, he ranks in the 94th percentile in average exit velocity and in the 85th percentile in hard-hit rate. However, his overall production continues to decline as his home runs have fallen from 39 in 2023 to 25 last year to 10 so far this year. Abreu was mentioned because some teams would prefer him over Duran in a trade due to his elite defense. He also has an additional year of control (through 2029). However, I get the impression Boston's preference is to trade Duran over him unless the return for Abreu was much better. Abreu, 26, is batting .256 with 16 home runs and a 125 OPS+. He will again be in contention to win the Gold Glove Award for AL right fielders. This shocked me, but multiple teams mentioned Kwan, who has won three consecutive Gold Glove awards and is having another nice season. Kwan is slashing .296/.359/.418 (118 OPS+) with six home runs, 18 doubles and 11 stolen bases in 12 attempts. Kwan, 27, is under team control through 2027 and is arbitration-eligible going forward. Perhaps the Guardians would consider dealing him for a more impactful power bat. Rengifo, 28, is one of the more sought-after Angels because of his positional flexibility and the way he plays the game. He can play second, short and third and will be a free agent after this season. Last year he slashed .300/.347/.417 with 13 doubles and 24 stolen bases. However, this year he's batting just .233 with nine doubles, and he's been caught stealing five times in seven attempts. There's been some buzz about Rengifo as a possible trade target for the Yankees. Advertisement This was another shocking name to me, but some execs believe the Red Sox could move on from Bregman at the trade deadline if they can't extend him by then. Bregman and his agent, Scott Boras, have told the Red Sox they are open to signing a long-term extension now. But if the two sides can't work out a deal, don't be surprised if Boston trades him to either the Tigers or Mariners at the trade deadline. Bregman, 31, is on the IL with a strained right quad but has slashed .299/.385/.553 with 11 home runs in 197 at-bats this season. He has two $41.7 million options remaining on his contract but can opt out after this season or next. He would bring valuable postseason experience and production (19 homers in 99 playoff games) to an acquiring team. The Castellanos rumors just never go away, and for that reason alone, multiple GMs think there's a chance he could get moved if Philadelphia can find a better right-field option. Castellanos, 33, is hitting .282 with 10 home runs and a 111 OPS+. He's a well-below average outfielder and is signed through 2026 at $20 million per year, so Philadelphia would have to pay down his contract to move him. (Illustration: Will Tullos / The Athletic. Jasen Vinlove, David J. Griffin / Getty Images)
