Grand Theft Auto VI expected to generate nearly $8 billion within two months of its release
Grand Theft Auto 6 (GTA 6) is set to launch in May next year. Meanwhile, investment firm Konvoy has made major predictions for the upcoming open world title's financial performance. The video game venture capitalist company suggests that
GTA
6 will generate $7.6 billion in revenue within just two months or 60 days of its release. Josh Chapman, a managing partner of Konvoy, shared this forecast on a post shared on the professional networking site LinkedIn. He highlighted that the firm believes that the highly anticipated game will have major commercial success. However, it's important to note that Konvoy's projection is based on certain assumptions that
Take-Two Interactive
has not yet confirmed, such as an $80 price point for the game and a reported budget of around $2 billion, which the company is said to have spent to develop the game.
Konvoy's analysis suggests that GTA 6 could recover its estimated $2 billion budget in under 30 days and build considerable momentum. The firm predicts that it may become the gaming industry's biggest launch to date and is expected to break records for both copies sold and revenue generated by a game. Considering that analysts have referred to GTA 6 as "the most important game to ever release in the industry," a multi-billion dollar revenue figure may be within reach for the title.
What Konvoy analyst Josh Chapman predicted about GTA 6's success
In his LinkedIn post, Chapman wrote:
'🎮 GTA VI: we predict that GTA VI will generate $7.6 BILLION in revenue in the first 60 Days of its launch (current release date: May 26, 2026). This will be the greatest video game release of all time; shattering player, viewership, and revenue records.
For Take-Two Interactive's $2 billion investment into this game, we believe they will break even on that within 30 days of release (see our breakdown in the chart attached).
🚀 Predictions: Our Expectations of GTA VI:
We chatted internally here at Konvoy and decided to write down a few predictions and make them public. In the end, we're just gamers who can't wait to see this title released:
1️⃣ GTA VI is the largest gaming release of all time, shattering records of copies sold and revenue generated within almost every period of time
2️⃣ GTA VI will cost $80 (there will be premium versions of course, but the base price is $80)
3️⃣ GTA VI is the next UGC platform. It will have a UGC component that includes creator payouts for server hosts, mod creators, and more (mimicking the creator economics of UEFN and Roblox)
4️⃣ GTA VI will have 200-person lobbies, and there will be higher risk/reward dynamics where you can raid and steal items from players more easily
5️⃣ GTA VI will break even on its $2bn investment <30 days of release
6️⃣ GTA VI will hit the attached chart of copies sold, revenue, and player targets.
We can't wait for this title to be released in 2026. I'll certainly be playing it.'
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