
Copper prices ease as traders brace for US tariffs
Three-month copper on the LME was down 0.10 per cent at US$9,867.50 a tonne, as of 0101 GMT on Friday. Still, the contract has climbed 0.92 per cent so far this week and is poised for a second weekly gain.
The most-traded copper contract on SHFE receded 0.69 per cent to 79,290 yuan (US$11,083.16) a tonne, but might end the week on a positive note with a 1.16 per cent climb so far.
"Market is just quietly waiting for Aug 1 when all the trade tariffs and US copper import tariffs are supposed to roll out, and some missing details may be available by then," a Beijing-based metals analyst at a futures company said.
The European Commission said on Thursday a negotiated trade solution with the United States is within reach – while EU members voted to approve counter-tariffs on 93 billion euros (US$109 billion) of US goods in case the talks collapse, and US President Donald Trump would impose 30 per cent tariffs on the EU on August 1.
China's Vice Premier He Lifeng will visit Sweden from July 27–30 for a new round of economic and trade talks with US officials, when the deadline on Aug 12 between the two countries may be extended.
The premium of COMEX over LME copper stabilised at 29 per cent on Thursday, remaining below the 50 per cent import tariff planned by Trump, as the market awaited confirmation of the August 1 deadline and a list of the copper products to which the levy would apply.
LME zinc fell 0.25 per cent to US$2,836.50 a tonne, nickel edged 0.06 per cent lower to US$15,455, while aluminium edged 0.06 per cent higher to US$2,648.50, and tin climbed 0.16 per cent to US$34,680.
SHFE tin fell nearly 1.00 per cent to 271,210 yuan a tonne, nickel dropped 0.71 per cent to 123,160 yuan, zinc ebbed 0.70 per cent to 22,820 yuan, while aluminium edged up 0.05 per cent to 20,745 yuan.

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The Star
2 hours ago
- The Star
EU chief von der Leyen heads to Scotland for trade talks with Trump
FILE PHOTO: European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen speaks at a press conference following the 25th EU-China Summit in Beijing, China July 24, 2025. REUTERS/Florence Lo/File Photo BRUSSELS/EDINBURGH (Reuters) -EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen headed to Scotland on Saturday ahead of a meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump on Sunday afternoon, commission spokespeople said, as EU officials said the two sides were nearing a trade agreement. Trump, in Scotland for a few days of golfing and bilateral meetings, told reporters upon his arrival on Friday evening that he was looking forward to meeting with von der Leyen, calling her a "highly respected" leader. He repeated his view that there was a 50-50 chance that the U.S. and the 27-member European Union could reach a framework trade pact, adding that Brussels wanted to "make a deal very badly". If it happened, he said it would be the biggest trade agreement reached yet by his administration, surpassing the $550 billion accord agreed with Japan earlier this week. The White House has released no details about the planned meeting or the terms of the emerging agreement. The European Commission on Thursday said a negotiated trade solution with the United States was within reach, even as EU members voted to approve counter-tariffs on 93 billion euros ($109 billion) of U.S. goods in case the talks collapse. To get a deal, Trump said the EU would have to "buy down" that tariff rate, although he gave no specifics. EU diplomats say a possible deal between Washington and Brussels would likely include a broad 15% tariff on EU goods imported into the U.S., mirroring the U.S.-Japan deal, along with a 50% tariff on European steel and aluminum. The broad tariff rate would be half the 30% duties that Trump has threatened to slap on EU goods from August 1. It remains unclear if Washington will agree to exempt the EU from sectoral tariffs on automobiles, pharmaceuticals and other goods that have already been announced or are pending. Combining goods, services and investment, the EU and the United States are each other's largest trading partners by far. The American Chamber of Commerce in Brussels warned in March that any conflict jeopardized $9.5 trillion of business in the world's most important commercial relationship. (Reporting by Andrew Gray and Andrea ShalalEditing by Nick Zieminski)


The Star
6 hours ago
- The Star
Trump tariffs leave costly China supply question unanswered; Indonesia among countries deeply affected
JAKARTA (Bloomberg): President Donald Trump's recent flurry of trade deals have given Asian exporters some clarity on tariffs, but missing are key details on how to avoid punitive rates that target China's supply chains. Trump unveiled tariffs of 20% for Vietnam and 19% for Indonesia and the Philippines, signaling those are the levels the US will likely settle on for most of Southeast Asia, a region that ships US$352 billion worth of goods annually to the US. He's also threatened to rocket rates up to 40% for products deemed to be transshipped, or re-routed, through those countries - a move largely directed at curbing Chinese goods circumventing higher US tariffs. But still unclear to manufacturers is how the US will calculate and apply local-content requirements, key to how it will determine what constitutes transshipped goods. South-East Asian nations are highly reliant on Chinese components and raw materials, and US firms that source from the region would bear the extra tariff damage. That's left companies, investors and economists facing several unanswered questions about Trump's tariffs that appear aimed at squeezing out Chinese content, according to Deborah Elms, head of trade policy at the Hinrich Foundation in Singapore. "Is that raw materials? All raw materials? Above a certain percentage?' she said. "How about parts? What about labor or services? What about investment?' In an agreement with Indonesia last week, the White House said the two countries would negotiate "rules of origin' to ensure a third country wouldn't benefit. The deal with Vietnam earlier this month outlined a higher 40% tariff rate for transshipped goods. And Thai officials, who have yet to secure a deal, detailed that they likely need to boost local content in exports to the US. Missing Details The Trump administration isn't providing much clarity on the matter right now. US officials are still working out details with trading partners and looking at value-based local content requirements, to ensure exports are more than just assembled imported parts, according to a person familiar with the matter, who didn't want to be identified discussing private talks. A senior Trump administration official also said this week that details on the approach to transshipment are expected to be released before Aug. 1, the deadline for when higher US tariffs kick in. Some factories are already adjusting their supply chains to comply with rules that will require more locally-made components in production. Frank Deng, an executive at a Shanghai-based furniture exporter with operations in Vietnam - and which gets about 80% of business from the US - said in an interview his firm is making adjustments as authorities appear to be more strictly enforcing country-of-origin rules. Vietnam has always had specific local content requirements for manufacturers, Deng added, including that a maximum of 30% of the volume of raw materials originates from China, and the value after production in Vietnam must be 40% higher than the imported raw materials. "We've been struggling to meet all the standards so that we can still stay in the game,' Deng said. "But I guess that's the only way to survive now.' For most of Southeast Asia, reducing the amount of Chinese-made components in manufacturing will require a complete overhaul of their supply chains. Estimates from Eurasia Group show that Chinese components make up about 60% to 70% of exports from Southeast Asia - primarily industrial inputs that go into manufacturing assembly. About 15% of the region's exports now head to the US, up about four percentage points from 2018. Local Content The US has become increasingly vigilant about China's ability to bypass US trade tariffs and other restrictions through third countries since Trump's first trade war in 2017. Thailand signaled its frustration over the lack of clarity for how much local content is needed in goods exported to the US to avert transshipment rates, but noted it will likely be much higher than a traditional measure of 40%. "From what we've heard, the required percentage could be significantly higher, perhaps 60%, 70%, or even 80%,' Deputy Prime Minister Pichai Chunhavajira said July 14. "Emerging countries or new production bases are clearly at a disadvantage,' he said, as their manufacturing capabilities are still at an early stage and must rely on other countries for raw goods. Vietnam, Thailand and Malaysia have all taken steps this year to address Trump's concerns, increasing scrutiny of trade that passes through their ports including new rule-of-origin policies that centralize processing and imposing harsh penalties on transshippers. Developing nations may still struggle to enforce Trump's rules or comply with the rules if it means going up against China, their largest trading partner and geopolitical partner. "The reality is it's not enforceable at all,' said Dan Wang, China director at Eurasia Group. "Chinese companies have all kinds of ways to get around it and those other countries have no incentive to enforce those measures, or capacity to collect the data and determine local content.' -- Reports from Patpicha Tanakasempipat, Skylar Woodhouse and Nguyen Dieu Tu Uyen. -- ©2025 Bloomberg L.P.

Barnama
6 hours ago
- Barnama
58th AMM Highlights ASEAN's Balancing Act Amid Superpower Rivalry
Analysts believe that the engagement by both powers reflects ASEAN's growing strategic importance amid shifting global dynamics, with China projecting a stable diplomatic approach and the US seeking to re-establish trust in the region. KUALA LUMPUR, July 25 (Bernama) -- The presence of China and the United States (US) at the 58th ASEAN Ministerial Meeting (AMM) and Related Meetings has reinforced the grouping's zest to maintain regional peace and neutrality amid rising superpower rivalry and heightened Malaysia's diplomatic credibility as a trusted partner and future bridge-builder among competing powers. Similarly, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio's presence at Kuala Lumpur signalled Washington's endeavour to re-establish ties with Southeast Asia as a security and economic partner, more so after the chaos caused by America's sweeping tariffs, most of which will take effect come August. Amid renewed geopolitical competition, an analyst opined that China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi's active engagement reflected Beijing's evolving foreign policy posture and its desire to align with ASEAN's principles of peace and neutrality. 'Wang's participation was a productive time for China. It was an opportunity to show its international standing and willingness towards dialogue,' said Dr Rowena Abd Razak, a historical consultant and an Associate with IMAN Research (A Kuala Lumpur-based think tank which focuses on the domains of protective security, peacebuilding and sustainable development). She noted that China's reiteration of support for the Zone of Peace, Freedom and Neutrality (ZOPFAN), along with Wang's meeting with Rubio, demonstrated Beijing's openness to working within international frameworks. Undoubtedly a feather in the cap for ASEAN, 'these moves undeniably showcased China's ability to play a savvy foreign policy game - one that is markedly different from perceived US aggression and the unpredictability of (Donald) Trump's presidency,' she said. Rowena added that Wang's conduct during the meetings reflected an alignment with ASEAN's aspiration to maintain peace and advance a nuclear-free Southeast Asia. Despite China being an economic superpower and Southeast Asia's dependence on the Chinese economy, Wang's approach also showed deference to ASEAN centrality and Malaysia's role as the regional bloc's Chair this year, she said. From an economic perspective, she said Beijing is capitalising on the region's growth potential, mainly as the US adopts increasingly protectionist policies. She cited the proposed upgrade of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA 3.0) as reflecting Beijing's vision of deeper integration with the region. 'Beijing sees ASEAN as an important zone of trade and exchange, particularly amid growing US economic isolation,' she said, referring to the debilitating tariffs imposed on ASEAN member states. 'Wang is expressing Beijing's view of ASEAN's importance and positioning China as a champion for the region,' she added. WASHINGTON RECOVERS LOST GROUND Concurring with Rowena, Universiti Malaya (UM) Security and International Relations analyst Collins Chong Yew Keat said this year's AMM served as a platform for ASEAN to assert its relevance amid intensifying great power competition. Rubio's attendance reflected Washington's attempt to re-engage the region more consistently and rebuild strategic trust. He attributed this to the US attempting to recover lost ground and re-establish itself as a security and economic partner. 'This year's meetings marked a turning point in US efforts to restore credibility and demonstrate dependable support for ASEAN centrality, especially after years of transactional diplomacy. 'While China's rise has been structured and steady, the US is now working to show it remains committed to ASEAN's future,' he said. Rubio's reaffirmation of support for ASEAN principles – neutrality, regional autonomy, and freedom of navigation – was significant, especially amid tensions in the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait. 'The emphasis on shared values, rules-based order and connectivity offered by Rubio provides a needed contrast to China's assertiveness,' he added. Still, Collins said ASEAN must balance engagement with both powers without eroding unity or compromising neutrality. MALAYSIA ACTS AS A BRIDGE-BUILDER Collins also said this year's AMM tested ASEAN's strategic maturity as the global order becomes more fragmented. It seemed to have passed with flying colours. He said Washington's clearer messaging and sustained high-level participation reflected an understanding that past diplomatic absences had created a vacuum increasingly filled by China. 'ASEAN is now in the spotlight to prove that it remains a relevant and cohesive force amid competing frameworks like the Quad, a grouping comprising Australia, India, Japan and the US and AUKUS, the trilateral security partnership between Australia, the United Kingdom and the US. 'There is now recognition in Washington that inconsistency has damaged trust in the region,' he said. Looking ahead, Collins said that Malaysia's ASEAN Chairmanship for the remainder of 2025, especially at the upcoming summit and with leaders of dialogue partners, possibly including US President Trump, will be pivotal in steering the bloc through a complex regional environment. He added that Putrajaya, Malaysia's federal administrative capital, has the diplomatic credibility to act as a trusted interlocutor between competing powers. 'Malaysia must step forward as a bridge-builder to ensure ASEAN remains cohesive while promoting inclusive, rules-based cooperation with all major powers. 'Malaysia's leadership will be critical in strengthening ASEAN mechanisms, advancing economic resilience and anchoring strategic convergence based on mutual respect and autonomy,' he said. Wang participated in key sessions during the AMM, including the ASEAN-China and ASEAN Plus Three (APT) meetings. Rubio, on his first official visit to Asia, participated in the ASEAN-US Foreign Ministers' Meeting and held bilateral talks with Wang on the sidelines. The meetings, held from July 8 to 11, were hosted under Malaysia's 2025 ASEAN Chairmanship, with the theme 'Inclusivity and Sustainability'. -- BERNAMA BERNAMA provides up-to-date authentic and comprehensive news and information which are disseminated via BERNAMA Wires; BERNAMA TV on Astro 502, unifi TV 631 and MYTV 121 channels and BERNAMA Radio on FM93.9 (Klang Valley), FM107.5 (Johor Bahru), FM107.9 (Kota Kinabalu) and FM100.9 (Kuching) frequencies. Follow us on social media : Facebook : @bernamaofficial, @bernamatv, @bernamaradio Twitter : @ @BernamaTV, @bernamaradio Instagram : @bernamaofficial, @bernamatvofficial, @bernamaradioofficial TikTok : @bernamaofficial