
Majority of Trump supporters against US military involvement in Israel-Iran conflict, poll finds
A wide ranging Economist/YouGov poll conducted over the weekend revealed that 53% of voters who backed Trump in the 2024 presidential election do not want the country to join in Israel's strikes.
It reinforces a long-held public appetite for a peaceful resolution to the objective of forcing Iran to give up its ambitions of acquiring nuclear weapons. A Chicago Council on Global Affairs-Ipsos survey in April found eight in 10 Americans favored diplomatic steps or tightening economic sanctions to limit Iran's further nuclear enrichment.
The poll published Wednesday, reported by the foreign policy think tank Responsible Statecraft, comes as an increasing number of Republican politicians and Trump allies express their opposition to the prospect of the president involving US forces without the approval of Congress.
'This is not our war. But if it were, Congress must decide such matters according to our Constitution,' Thomas Massie, a Kentucky Republican representative, wrote on X on Monday, adding his voice to the pursuit of a bipartisan House war powers resolution to try to curb Trump's authority.
On Wednesday, Tim Burchett, a Republican representative form Tennessee, told CNN he wants to see 'very little' US involvement in the escalating Middle East conflict, which has witnessed Israel and Iran trading missile barrages for several days.
'We don't need another endless war in the Middle East. Old men make decisions and young men die, and that's the history of war,' he said.
'We need to take a deep breath and slow down this thing and let the Israelis do their thing. We do not need a three-front war in our lifetime.'
Their views mirror those of Trump's voters surveyed in the Economist poll, which revealed that only 19% of them favored the US getting involved militarily, and 63% wanted the administration to 'engage in negotiations with Iran over its nuclear program'.
Among all voters, 60% agreed that the US should step back from involving its military.
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Previous polls have consistently shown that diplomacy and negotiations, leading to a new, binding nuclear agreement by which Iran halts nuclear weapons production, is the public's preferred solution.
Even if diplomacy or economic sanctions failed, the Ipsos poll showed, Americans favored stepping up action short of military engagement. Six out of 10 respondents said they would support the US conducting cyberattacks against Iranian computer systems, while only 48% would support airstrikes against Iran's nuclear facilities.
In a Gallup poll published last year, 77% said they considered the development of nuclear weapons by Iran as a 'critical threat' to the security of the US, but as subsequent surveys showed, there is no matching appetite for the use of the US military to counter it.
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Reuters
40 minutes ago
- Reuters
Trump planning UFC fight at White House for US 250th anniversary
DES MOINES, July 3 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump said on Thursday he is planning to bring an Ultimate Fighting Championship event to the White House next year to help celebrate the 250th anniversary of the country's declaration of independence. Known in the mixed martial arts world as the "Combatant in Chief," Trump counts UFC President Dana White as a close friend and considers fans of the sport part of his political base. Trump made the announcement during a winding speech that ricocheted from topic to topic at the Iowa state fairgrounds. The fairgrounds event served as a prelude to July 4 Independence Day celebrations on Friday. "We're going to have a UFC fight, think of this, on the grounds of the White House," Trump said. "We have a lot of land there. We are going to build a little - we are not, Dana (White) is going to do it ... we are going to have a UFC fight, championship fight, full fight, like 20-25,000 people, and we are going to do that as part of 250 also," he said, referring to the country's anniversary of independence. Trump has been a regular attendee at UFC fights, most recently attending one in New Jersey in June. UFC and its parent company TKO Group Holdings (TKO.N), opens new tab did not immediately respond to a request for comment.


The Guardian
an hour ago
- The Guardian
He was the EU's great Brexit survivor. Can Maroš Šefčovič now pull off a trade deal with Trump?
In May 2019 Maroš Šefčovič was travelling with Donald Trump and his entourage to a liquefied natural gas export terminal in Hackberry, Louisiana. The then European Commission vice-president in charge of energy had flown with Trump onboard Air Force One, calling his wife as the privilege of a first-time flyer on the presidential plane. Once at the facility, Trump gave a typically rambling speech, in which he name-checked Šefčovič from the stage, pointing into the crowd like a gameshow host: 'Maroš, thank you very much. Thank you.' 'Of course,' recalled someone familiar with the day, 'when Trump pronounced his name it was a bit of a disaster'. But for a top-ranking official of a multilateral organisation, this warm welcome was probably as good as it gets when it comes to the US president. More than six years later, Šefčovič is tasked with negotiating a trade deal with the second Trump administration. The pressure is on. Trump, who claims the EU was formed to 'screw the US', has threatened to impose 50% tariffs on the bloc's imports if there is no deal by 9 July. With the deadline looming, Šefčovič is back in Washington on Wednesday, where he is due to hold talks with his counterparts ahead of the US 4 July independence day holiday. Otherwise, he is crisscrossing the world, racing to nail down trade pacts with several countries, including India, the Philippines, Indonesia and Thailand, while navigating Europe's complex relationship with China. During one intense week in May he spent just two nights in a bed, otherwise resting in planes during an itinerary taking in France, Germany, Singapore, Japan and Kenya. Of the current crop of EU commissioners, the Slovak diplomat is the longest-serving. Since arriving at the Berlaymont headquarters in 2009, he has built up a reputation as a reliable and trustworthy fixer. 'He is always in a good mood, always trying to find a way,' a senior EU diplomat told the Guardian. 'He is never in an extreme mood [of] 'lets start a trade war'.' Usually wearing a tie and matching pocket square, often with a smile and a joke, Šefčovič is seen as a diligent problem solver, not seeking to outshine his boss, the European Commission president, Ursula von der Leyen. Although few mangle his name as spectacularly as Trump, plenty in Brussels mispronounce the Slovak č, pronounced 'ch'. Popular with his staff, he is reserved with the media, almost never giving interviews. 'He is the kind of person who doesn't make enemies. That is why when there is something difficult to do you ask him,' said Jean De Ruyt, a veteran Belgian diplomat, who worked alongside Šefčovič in the mid 2000s. All his diplomatic nous was needed when he took charge of the Brexit withdrawal agreement in February 2020 for the EU. The UK had just finalised its acrimonious divorce. Relations between Brussels and Boris Johnson's government were tense and mistrustful. Despite the froideur, Šefčovič struck up a rapport with his opposite number, Michael Gove, culminating in a handwritten note signed by the two men to resolve disputes over the Northern Irish border, including the transportation of chilled meats. Gove nicknamed Šefčovič 'the sausage king'. But it crumbled when Gove was succeeded by the Brexit negotiator David Frost, known as 'Frosty the No Man'. After the switch, the UK decided unilaterally not to apply parts of the painstakingly negotiated Northern Ireland protocol. It was a tough blow for Šefčovič, who had pushed EU officials to do the maximum. 'I'd say that hurt him a lot. He had been pragmatic. He pushed his officials to go as far as they could go,' a UK source told the Guardian. But although Šefčovič launched legal action, he held off on a blazing trade war. In the end, patience paid off and he outlasted five British Conservative interlocutors: Gove, Frost, Liz Truss, James Cleverly and David Cameron. Colleagues praise his willingness to listen, whether to Swiss trade unions or Northern Irish politicians. But it is not just meeting and greeting. 'He has a way of creating an atmosphere that is conducive to creating a solution,' one senior EU official said. The meetings with Cleverly were some of the liveliest, the person recalled: 'They would have the meeting rooms crying with laughter through their banter.' Cleverly, the foreign secretary who negotiated the Windsor framework with Šefčovič, told the Guardian their good personal relationship had made a difference. 'We had to explore ideas that, had they been leaked in an incomplete fashion, would have been incredibly damaging to one of us, or the other, or indeed both.' Cleverly said he felt able to present proposals knowing 'the conversation wouldn't be used as some kind of leverage or wouldn't be leaked'. Against this smooth record, one failure stands out: Šefčovič's defeat in the 2019 Slovakian presidential elections to Zuzana Čaputová, a liberal lawyer who triumphed on a platform of tolerance and anti-corruption. The election was held the year after the murders of the investigative journalist Ján Kuciak and his fiancée, Martina Kušnírová. Slovakia's ruling Smer party, badly tainted by the killings, could not find anyone to stand. Šefčovič, not a Smer party member, was persuaded to run but seemed ill-cast for the role of anti-system populist that party strategists wanted. Nonetheless, facing Čaputová in the final round, Šefčovič attacked her supposed 'super-liberal agenda' as being against Christian values. Shocking some EU observers, he criticised same-sex partnerships and the European policy of migrant quotas. Martin Burgr, a political strategist on Čaputová's team, said Šefčovič began as 'a very decent opponent', but by the end 'was forced … to be harder and more populistic'. That was misguided, Burgr suggested: 'He was seen as a liberal from Europe, as a Brussels guy, not a conservative person. I think this was a mistake to try to make him something that he wasn't and that he is not.' Since that defeat, Šefčovič has been twice renominated as Slovakia's EU commissioner. Returning in 2024, he was given the trade brief, one of the biggest jobs in the commission, reporting directly to von der Leyen. He has a good relationship with his workaholic boss, another pragmatic dealmaker. The two are the only senior EU officials said to use the basement gym in the commission's headquarters. Šefčovič, a student athlete, favours Diet Coke, and walks his two golden retrievers twice a day. Meantime, he has plenty on his plate. European insiders are downbeat about the prospects of a zero-tariff deal with the US. 'I cannot imagine how we will agree,' the senior EU diplomat said. 'They [the US] want to collect tariffs; they want to be beautifully rich.' But Šefčovič will not give up, the person insisted. 'He will be coming with new proposals, other proposals, trying to convince.'


Reuters
an hour ago
- Reuters
Republicans, Democrats start gaming out Trump's tax-cut bill hit to 2026 elections
WASHINGTON, July 3 (Reuters) - Even before the last vote on U.S. President Donald Trump's sweeping tax-cut and spending bill was counted, Republicans and Democrats in Congress began gaming out how to use it to gain an edge in the 2026 midterm elections. Midterm elections traditionally punish the party of the president in office, giving Democrats hope of recapturing control of at least one chamber of Congress where Republicans now hold full control. They view the Trump bill's cuts to Medicaid and food assistance as ready ammunition for their future campaign. "There are House Republicans now, this morning, who are about to sign their political obituary with this vote," Representative Brendan Boyle told Reuters hours before the legislation passed the House of Representatives 218-214. "They are literally walking the plank for Donald Trump," the Pennsylvania Democrat said. Republicans contend that the legislation's permanent business tax breaks will goose the economy ahead of the November 2026 election, leading to job growth, higher wages and lower prices for groceries and energy. "The American people are going to see great benefits from this bill, and they're going to know which party was fighting for them," said House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, the chamber's No. 2 Republican. "The Democrat party still doesn't know why they lost in November. They're going to be reminded of that next year when they lose again," the Louisiana Republican predicted. But polling data, independent political analysts and the impending retirement of two of the few Republicans who have been willing to challenge Trump tell a more complicated story about what American voters might have in mind more than a year into the future. 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About half of those seats are held by Republicans, among which the most vulnerable is Representative Don Bacon's Nebraska swing district. A five-term Republican centrist, Bacon announced his retirement, opens new tab last month after clashing with Trump over funding priorities and the tenure of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. His district, which was carried by Democrat Kamala Harris last year and by former President Joe Biden in 2020, is seen by some analysts as tipping in Democrats' favor. Republicans face much better odds protecting their 53-47 seat Senate majority. Democrats have to defend three open seats in Michigan, Minnesota and New Hampshire next year, while fending off a determined Republican effort to unseat Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff in Georgia. But Democrats have a new opportunity in North Carolina, where Senator Thom Tillis announced that he would retire as he prepared to oppose the Trump legislation in the Senate due to cuts in Medicaid funding. Trump has floated the name of his daughter-in-law and former Republican National Committee co-chair Lara Trump as a possible replacement. Another vulnerable Republican is Senator Susan Collins, who joined Tillis and fellow Republican Senator Rand Paul in voting against the Trump legislation alongside Democrats. Some lawmakers and analysts contended that Trump's legislation would make no difference to voters in 2026. "Republican voters will parrot the talking points of their leaders and Democrats will do the same," Sabato said.