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Wall Street week ahead: All eyes on Middle East conflict, Jerome Powell's testimony, PCE inflation, personal income data

Wall Street week ahead: All eyes on Middle East conflict, Jerome Powell's testimony, PCE inflation, personal income data

Mint6 days ago

Amid the escalating Middle East conflict, Wall Street investors will have a plenty of economic data to look forward to in the week ahead.
Tensions in the West Asia deepened after the United States joined Israel in attacking Iran.
The US attacked three nuclear sites in Iran on early Sunday.
In an address to the nation from the White House, US President Donald Trump said that Iran's key nuclear sites were 'completely and fully obliterated'.
In response, Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that the time for diplomacy had passed and that his country had the right to defend itself.
'The warmongering, a lawless administration in Washington is solely and fully responsible for the dangerous consequences and far reaching implications of its act of aggression,' he said at a news briefing in Turkey.
In terms of the US economic data, focus of market participants will be on the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, personal income and spending data, and home sales numbers.
Spotlight will also be on US Fed Chair Jerome Powell's testimony before the House Financial Service Committee on Tuesday and Wednesday.
On June 23 (Monday), separate reports on S&P flash US services PMI for June, S&P flash US manufacturing PMI for June, existing home sales for May will be released.
On June 24 (Tuesday), data on S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index (20 cities) for April and consumer confidence for June will be declared.
US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to testify before the House Financial Service Committee on Tuesday.
On June 25 (Wednesday), data on new home sales for May will be released.
On June 26 (Thursday), separate reports on advanced US trade balance in goods for May and second revision of first quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will be released.
On June 27 (Friday), data on consumer sentiment (final) for June, personal income for May, personal spending for May, and PCE Index for May will be released.
Following companies are due to report first quarter results in the week ahead — FactSet Research, Commercial Metals, FedEx, Carnival Corp, BlackBerry, Micron, Paychex, Daktronics, Nike, Walgreens Boots, and Concentrix.
US stocks closed mixed on Friday.
The S&P 500 lost 0.21%, while the Nasdaq Composite shed 0.49%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, however, rose 38.47 points, or 0.09%, to 42,210.13.
In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury edged down to 4.37% from 4.38%. The 2-year yield fell to 3.90% from 3.94%.
Oil prices fell on Friday as the US imposed new Iran-related sanctions, marking a diplomatic approach that fed hopes of a negotiated agreement.
Brent crude futures ended down $1.84, or 2.33%, to $77.01 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude for July lost 21 cents, or 0.28%, at $74.93.
Brent rose 3.6% on the week, while front-month US crude futures increased 2.7%.

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Weekend Senate session focuses on contentious GOP tax cuts and budget reductions
Weekend Senate session focuses on contentious GOP tax cuts and budget reductions

First Post

timean hour ago

  • First Post

Weekend Senate session focuses on contentious GOP tax cuts and budget reductions

Republicans are using their majorities in Congress to push aside Democratic opposition, but they have run into a series of political and policy setbacks. Not all GOP lawmakers are on board with proposals to reduce spending on Medicaid, food stamps and other programs as a way to help cover the cost of extending some $3.8 trillion in Trump tax breaks read more The Senate is expected to grind through a rare weekend session as Republicans race to pass President Donald Trump's package of tax breaks and spending cuts by his July Fourth deadline. Republicans are using their majorities in Congress to push aside Democratic opposition, but they have run into a series of political and policy setbacks. Not all GOP lawmakers are on board with proposals to reduce spending on Medicaid, food stamps and other programs as a way to help cover the cost of extending some $3.8 trillion in Trump tax breaks. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD The 940-page bill was released shortly before midnight Friday. Senators were expected to take a procedural vote Saturday to begin debate on the legislation, but the timing was uncertain and there is a long path ahead, with at least 10 hours of debate time and an all-night voting session on countless amendments. Senate passage could be days away, and the bill would need to return to the House for a final round of votes before it could reach the White House. 'It's evolving,' said Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., as he prepared to close up the chamber late Friday. The weekend session could be a make-or-break moment for Trump's party, which has invested much of its political capital on his signature domestic policy plan. Trump is pushing Congress to wrap it up, even as he sometimes gives mixed signals, allowing for more time. At recent events at the White House, including Friday, Trump has admonished the 'grandstanders' among GOP holdouts to fall in line. 'We can get it done,' Trump said in a social media post. 'It will be a wonderful Celebration for our Country.' The legislation is an ambitious but complicated series of GOP priorities. At its core, it would make permanent many of the tax breaks from Trump's first term that would otherwise expire by year's end if Congress fails to act, resulting in a potential tax increase on Americans. The bill would add new breaks, including no taxes on tips, and commit $350 billion to national security, including for Trump's mass deportation agenda. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD But the spending cuts that Republicans are relying on to offset the lost tax revenues are causing dissent within the GOP ranks. Some lawmakers say the cuts go too far, particularly for people receiving health care through Medicaid. Meanwhile, conservatives, worried about the nation's debt, are pushing for steeper cuts. Sen. Thom Tillis, R-N.C., said he is concerned about the fundamentals of the package and will not support the procedural motion to begin debate. 'I'm voting no on the motion to proceed,' he said. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., pushing for deeper cuts, said he needed to see the final legislative text. The release of that draft had been delayed as the Senate parliamentarian reviewed the bill to ensure it complied with the chamber's strict 'Byrd Rule,' named for the late Sen. Robert C. Byrd, It largely bars policy matters from inclusion in budget bills unless a provision can get 60 votes to overcome objections. That would be a tall order in a Senate with a 53-47 GOP edge and Democrats unified against Trump's bill. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Republicans suffered a series of setbacks after several proposals were determined to be out of compliance by the chief arbiter of the Senate's rules. One plan would have shifted some food stamp costs from the federal government to the states; a second would have gutted the funding structure of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. But over the past days, Republicans have quickly revised those proposals and reinstated them. The final text includes a proposal for cuts to a Medicaid provider tax that had run into parliamentary objections and opposition from several senators worried about the fate of rural hospitals. The new version extends the start date for those cuts and establishes a $25 billion fund to aid rural hospitals and providers. Most states impose the provider tax as a way to boost federal Medicaid reimbursements. Some Republicans argue that is a scam and should be abolished. The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office has said that under the House-passed version of the bill, some 10.9 million more people would go without health care and at least 3 million fewer would qualify for food aid. The CBO has not yet publicly assessed the Senate draft, which proposes steeper reductions. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Top income-earners would see about a $12,000 tax cut under the House bill, while the poorest Americans would face a $1,600 tax increase, the CBO said. One unresolved issue remains the so-called SALT provision, a deduction for state and local taxes that has been a top priority of lawmakers from New York and other high-tax states. The cap is now $10,000. The White House and House Republicans had narrowed in on a plan for a $40,000 cap, but for five years instead of 10. Republican senators says that's too generous. At least one House GOP holdout, Rep. Nick LaLota of New York, said he cannot support the compromise. Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer of New York said Republicans are rushing to finish the bill before the public fully knows what's in it. 'There's no good reason for Republicans to chase a silly deadline,' Schumer said. House Speaker Mike Johnson, who sent his colleagues home for the weekend with plans to be on call to return to Washington, said they are 'very close' to finishing up. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD 'We would still like to meet that July Fourth, self-imposed deadline,' said Johnson, R-La. With the narrow Republicans majorities in the House and Senate, leaders need almost every lawmaker on board to ensure passage. Johnson and Thune have stayed close to the White House, relying on Trump to pressure holdout lawmakers.

Israeli strikes kill at least 62 in Gaza as ceasefire prospects move closer
Israeli strikes kill at least 62 in Gaza as ceasefire prospects move closer

Business Standard

timean hour ago

  • Business Standard

Israeli strikes kill at least 62 in Gaza as ceasefire prospects move closer

Israeli strikes killed at least 62 people across Gaza overnight and into Saturday, health workers said, as ceasefire prospects were said to be improving. Three children and their parents were killed in an Israeli strike on a tent camp in Muwasi near the southern city of Khan Younis. They were struck while sleeping, relatives said. What did these children do to them? What is their fault? said the children's grandmother, Suad Abu Teima, as others knelt to kiss their bloodied faces and wept. Some placed red flowers into the body bags. Also among the dead were 12 people near the Palestine Stadium in Gaza City, which was sheltering displaced people, and eight more in apartments, according to staff at Shifa Hospital. More than 20 bodies were taken to Nasser Hospital, according to health officials. A midday strike killed 11 people on a street in eastern Gaza City, and their bodies were taken to Al-Ahli Hospital. A strike on a gathering at the entrance to the Bureij refugee camp in central Gaza killed two, according to Al-Awda hospital. Hopes for a ceasefire agreement in the coming week US President Donald Trump says there could be a ceasefire agreement within the next week. Taking questions from reporters on Friday, he said, We're working on Gaza and trying to get it taken care of. An official with knowledge of the situation told The Associated Press that Israeli Minister for Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer will arrive in Washington next week for talks on a Gaza ceasefire, Iran and other subjects. The official spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorised to speak to the media. Indirect talks between Israel and Hamas have been on again, off again since Israel broke the latest ceasefire in March, continuing its military campaign in Gaza and furthering the territory's dire humanitarian crisis. Some 50 hostages remain in Gaza, fewer than half believed to still be alive. They were among 251 hostages taken when Hamas attacked Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, sparking the 21-month war. Over 6,000 killed since latest ceasefire ended The war has killed over 56,000 Palestinians, according to the Health Ministry, which does not distinguish between civilians and combatants. It says more than half of the dead were women and children. It said the dead include 6,089 killed since the end of the latest ceasefire. Israel says it only targets militants and blames civilian deaths on Hamas, accusing the militants of hiding among civilians because they operate in populated areas. There is hope among families of hostages that Trump's involvement in securing the recent ceasefire between Israel and Iran might lead to more pressure for a deal in Gaza. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is riding a wave of public support for the Iran war and its achievements, and he could feel he has more space to move toward ending the war in Gaza, something his far-right governing partners oppose. Hamas has repeatedly said it is prepared to free all the hostages in exchange for an end to the war in Gaza. Netanyahu says he will end the war only once Hamas is disarmed and exiled, something the group has rejected. Hundreds have been killed while seeking food Meanwhile, hungry Palestinians are enduring a catastrophic situation in Gaza. After blocking all food for 2 1/2 months, Israel has allowed only a trickle of supplies into the territory since mid-May. More than 500 Palestinians have been killed and hundreds more wounded while seeking food since the newly formed Gaza Humanitarian Foundation began distributing aid in the territory about a month ago, according to Gaza's Health Ministry. Palestinian witnesses say Israeli troops have opened fire at crowds on roads heading toward the sites. The Israeli military says it has only fired warning shots and that it was investigating incidents in which civilians had been harmed while approaching the sites. Thousands of Palestinians walk for hours to reach the sites, moving through Israeli military zones. Separate efforts by the United Nations to distribute limited food have been plagued by armed gangs looting trucks and by crowds of desperate people offloading supplies from convoys.

Amazon, Google, Meta, and Uber slapped with $2 billion retroactive tax bill, Trump suspends Canada trade talks
Amazon, Google, Meta, and Uber slapped with $2 billion retroactive tax bill, Trump suspends Canada trade talks

Mint

timean hour ago

  • Mint

Amazon, Google, Meta, and Uber slapped with $2 billion retroactive tax bill, Trump suspends Canada trade talks

US President Donald Trump has suspended trade talks with Canada, citing the country's refusal to back down on a new 3% digital services tax, calling it 'a direct and blatant attack on our country.' The digital services tax imposed by Canada will impact major tech companies like Amazon, Google, Meta and Uber. The tax is set to go into effect Monday and apply retroactively, leaving U.S. companies with a $2 billion U.S. bill due at the end of the month, Fortune reported. Trump called the tax 'egregious' and immediately terminated all trade discussions with Canada, vowing to announce new tariffs on Canadian goods within seven days. Trump later said he expects that Canada will remove the tax, citing the U.S.' economic leverage. 'Economically we have such power over Canada. We'd rather not use it,' Trump said in the Oval Office. 'It's not going to work out well for Canada. They were foolish to do it.' Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney responded to the situation on Friday by saying that his country would 'continue to conduct these complex negotiations in the best interests of Canadians. It's a negotiation.' This move is the latest development in Trump's ongoing trade disputes since his second term began. The U.S. has already imposed 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum as well as 25% tariffs on autos and a general 10% tax on imports from most countries. Canada and Mexico face separate tariffs of as much as 25% that Trump put into place under the auspices of stopping fentanyl smuggling, though some products are still protected under the 2020 U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement signed during Trump's first term. Despite these tensions, Canada remains a crucial trading partner, supplying a large portion of crude oil, electricity and critical minerals. As per data compiled by Fortune, around 60% of U.S. crude oil imports are from Canada, and 85% of U.S. electricity imports as well. Canada is also the largest foreign supplier of steel, aluminum and uranium to the U.S. and has 34 critical minerals and metals that the Pentagon is eager to obtain, the news agency said. Daniel Beland, a political science professor at McGill University in Montreal, said it is a domestic tax issue, but it has been a source of tensions between Canada and the United States for a while because it targets U.S. tech giants. 'The Digital Services Tax Act was signed into law a year ago so the advent of this new tax has been known for a long time,' Beland said. 'Yet, President Trump waited just before its implementation to create drama over it in the context of ongoing and highly uncertain trade negotiations between the two countries.'

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