Supercross 2025 betting, predictions, odds, picks, lines at Birmingham: Cooper Webb slips
This is Webb's highest line since he opened at +162 in Arlington, Texas.
Another indicator of the relative strength projected by NXTBets.com is the head-to-head matchup between the two favorites. On one hand, it's a tossup since both show minus odds, but Webb's -124 to Sexton's -107 is significant in how the traders view these riders' relative strength.
They are unwilling to go all-in on Sexton despite his Triple Crown format win in Birmingham. Sexton may believe this is the beginning of a second-half surge, but his odds remain unchanged at +180. Sexton has shown that line for the past three weeks after he showed steady improvement from Detroit (+154 for the outright win), to Arlington (+144), and Daytona (+140). Even if Sexton does not win this week, his odds will likely shorten if he finishes on the podium. Sexton's podium odds this week are -228.
Riding with a separated AC in his shoulder, Ken Roczen's shot at the championship is diminishing, but he remains NXTBets.com's third-favored rider. However, his odds are beginning to stretch from +400 in Birmingham to +488 in Seattle.
SEATTLE LONGSHOTS
Projecting a rider's strength based on overall results in a Triple Crown format race can be difficult. When a racer is consistent in his weekend performance, however, it becomes easier, and Justin Cooper's (+1772) 6-7-6 last week for a sixth-place overall indicates a modest struggle. That snapped a five-race streak of top-five finishes. He was coming off his first podium of the season and, as a result, had his podium odds lowered to +285. He is even lower still this week with a line of +270 to stand on the podium for the second time this season. With respect, Cooper needs to show he can finish races strong before he's a good value under 3/1.
Malcolm Stewart (+1984) showed moxie in Birmingham. Riding in severe pain after suffering a hip injury in qualification, he swept the podium in the three features and scored his second podium of the season. His first trip to the box was a victory in Tampa before he spent the next four weeks off the box. Bettors who believe he will sustain his momentum may wish to place a modest wager for him to podium with odds of +287.
Stewart and Aaron Plessinger (+1573) were both surprise podium finishers in Birmingham, and they are featured in another head-to-head matchup by NXTBets.com. Plessinger has the slight advantage with a -122 to Stewart's -109, but based on their average finish in the season, the advantage goes to Stewart with a 6.4 to Plessinger's 9.7.
Raw Event Winner Odds
Cooper Webb, +150
Chase Sexton, +180
Ken Roczen, +488
Aaron Plessinger, +1573
Justin Cooper, +1772
Malcolm Stewart, +1984
Jason Anderson, +2005
Justin Barcia, +2295
Dylan Ferrandis, +6599
Justin Hill, +14214
Hunter Schlosser, +14214
Shane McElrath, +14214
Christian Craig, +14214
Joey Savatgy, +15650
Colt Nichols, +15650
Mitchell Oldenburg, +15650
Mitchell Harrison, +15650
Jared Lesher, +17086
Benny Bloss, +17086
Kyle Chisholm, +17086
Jerry Robin, +17086
Freddie Noren, +17086
Justin Rodbell, +17086
Justin Starling, +17086
Podium Odds
Cooper Webb, -270
Chase Sexton, -228
Ken Roczen, +105
Aaron Plessinger, +239
Justin Cooper, +270
Malcolm Stewart, +287
Jason Anderson, +296
Justin Barcia, +327
Dylan Ferrandis, +557
Justin Hill, +953
Christian Craig, +1148
Joey Savatgy, +1355
Shane McElrath, +1523
Mitchell Oldenburg, +1842
Colt Nichols, +2043
Hunter Schlosser, +2367
Benny Bloss, +2918
Kyle Chisholm, +3248
Jerry Robin, +3722
Mitchell Harrison, +4214
Grant Harlan, +5228
Anthony Rodriguez, +5228
Tristan Lane, +5810
Jeremy Hand, +6016
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