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Carmakers brace for new tariffs in major manufacturing hubs.

Carmakers brace for new tariffs in major manufacturing hubs.

New York Times19 hours ago
While it is unlikely that any carmakers welcome President Trump's latest tariffs on Mexico and the European Union, the levies will be somewhat less disruptive on companies like Tesla, Ford Motor and Honda, which already make a large share of the vehicles they sell in the United States domestically.
Almost all major carmakers manufacture vehicles in Mexico, including popular models like the Toyota Tacoma pickup, Chevrolet Silverado pickup and BMW 3 Series sedan, but some are more vulnerable that others to pronounced price hikes should the tariffs go into effect on Aug. 1.
European carmakers like Volkswagen will be among the hardest hit. The company manufactures ID.4 electric vehicles and Atlas sport utility vehicles in Chattanooga, Tenn., but all the other models it sells in the United States are manufactured in Mexico or Europe.
It remains unclear if Mr. Trump's new tariffs will apply to parts that are manufactured in the United States and installed in vehicles in Mexico, which is also a major supplier of motors and other car components. The administration had previously said that companies could subtract the value of those parts when calculating tariffs. If that remains the case, the impact on prices may be less severe.
European automakers have also lobbied to receive credit for cars they make in the United States and sell abroad. BMW, for instance, exports much of the output from its factory in South Carolina. Mercedes-Benz exports sport utility vehicles made in Alabama.
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Will More Crazy Tariffs Stop The Most Hated Market Rally?
Will More Crazy Tariffs Stop The Most Hated Market Rally?

Forbes

time37 minutes ago

  • Forbes

Will More Crazy Tariffs Stop The Most Hated Market Rally?

Food inflation, Consumer price index or CPI. Prices of commodities and consumer goods rose due to ... More rising inflation. Consumer goods float with air balloons. After a strong performance on Thursday, the stock market gave up some of its gains on Friday for a mixed weekly close. New tariff threats on Canada and Mexico did raise the market's concern of more tariff chaos in the weeks ahead. Overall many are looking for just a slight increase in the CPI on Tuesday. FactSets consensus estimates are looking for an increase to 2.6% on an annual basis up from 2.4% in May. It is expected that core good prices will be higher in addition to health and travel services. On the plus side a decline in auto prices is expected as the demand is now lower after the strong buying in March and April. Shelter prices are also expected to move lower. A decline in the CPI is expected to increase the odds of a September rate cut that is currently at 60%. If instead the CPI increases then the Fed has the room to hold off longer on cutting rates. Markets The market scoreboard was split, with the Dow Jones Transportation Average and Dow Jones Utility Average both up 1% for the week, followed by a 0.7% increase for the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 1% while the NYSE Composite closed down 0.9%. The S&P 500 made an a new record on Thursday but then declined Friday to close down 0.3% for the week. The Nasdaq 100 was just a bit weaker as it was down 0.4% while the iShares Russell 2000 closed down 0.6%. On a year-to-date basis, GLD is still the big winner, up 27.7% while NDX, the S&P, and NYSE Composite are up from 8.4% to 6.4%. There are a number of performance milestones as well as advance/decline signals this year that point to even better stock gains for the rest of the year. S&P 500 Returns After A Three Month Rally This chart from Ryan Detick and Carson Investment Research shows what has happened in the past after a three-month rally of more than 25% in the S&P 500. If there is an average six-month return of 16.9% it would surprise most on Wall Street and beat most year-end targets. Ryan has been one of the few analysts that has been bullish since the 2022 market lows. Spyder Trust (SPY) The Spyder Trust (SPY) formed a doji last week, which is often considered a sign of indecision between the bulls and bears. A close this week below the doji low at $617.87 would trigger a weekly doji sell signal. The rising 20-week EMA at $589.05 is now strong support. Last week on the NYSE, the A/D ratio was negative, and the S&P 500 Advance/Decline did turn lower. In April, the A/D line moved above the late 2024 high, line b. This signalled that SPY would also eventually move to a new high and above the February high of $613.23. This did occur on June 27th, and SPY has since made a series of new highs. There is good A/D line support at its rising WMA and line b. In last weeks survey from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) , the bullish % declined to 41.4% from 45%. The bearish % rose to 35.6% from the prior week's 33.1%. The AAII Bull-AAII Bear declined to 5.8% but it had reached -40% at the March-May lows. This was an historically low level of bullish Trust With A/D Line As I have noted in the past, the performance after a Zweig Breath Thrust (ZBT) signal, like the one on April 25th, is also quite impressive. 'Based on 19 signals since the 1940s, the average 6-month return for the S&P 500 after a ZBT signal was 14.8%, while the average 12-month return was 23.4%', according to Investopedia. The stock market decline from the early December highs, until the positive signals at the end of April, caused many to sell their stock positions. 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Invesco QQQ Trust From the April lows, the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) has outperformed the SPY by about 5% as it had dropped more sharply from the February highs. Last week, QQQ also formed a doji just 10 points below the monthly R1 pivot resistance at $564.30. The doji low was $549.58 with stronger support at $540.81 and the February high, line a,. The 20-week EMA is rising strongly, which is a positive sign and reveals support at $515.49. The NDX 100 A/D line moved back above its WMA the week of April 25th, line b, which was a sign the correction was over. The following week, the A/D line made a new high that projected a new high in the QQQ. That new high was attained just eight weeks later at the end of June. There was another new high just three weeks ago (line c), and the positive trend shows no signs of a major top. Many traders and investors have been fighting this rally for the past month. There was a slight increase in the index put/call ratio on Friday reflecting the view of some that a correction was likely. This is also consistent with the weekly doji formations that increases the odds of a pullback. The positive readings from the A/D lines suggest only a 2-3% pullback at this time and Tuesday's CPI report along with more tariff chaos may be the catalyst. I will be watching the trading in the stock index futures ahead of the report.

Nvidia's CEO says the US should ‘reduce' dependency on other countries, onshore technology manufacturing
Nvidia's CEO says the US should ‘reduce' dependency on other countries, onshore technology manufacturing

Yahoo

time37 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Nvidia's CEO says the US should ‘reduce' dependency on other countries, onshore technology manufacturing

America's plan to 're-industrialize' technology manufacturing is 'exactly the right thing,' said Jensen Huang, CEO of the world's leading AI chipmaker. In an interview with CNN's Fareed Zakaria, Huang, who heads the Santa Clara, California-based Nvidia, said the United States should invest in manufacturing and is currently 'missing that entire band in our industries.' 'That passion, the skill, the craft of making things; the ability to make things is valuable for economic growth — it's value for a stable society with people who can create a wonderful life and a wonderful career without having to get a PhD in physics,' Huang said. The Trump administration has instituted a slew of policies, including sweeping tariffs, in an effort to revive America's declining manufacturing industries. It has been in part to boost the automotive and energy sectors, as well as investments in technologies. 'President Trump has made it clear America cannot rely on China to manufacture critical technologies such as semiconductors, chips, smartphones, and laptops,' White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said in a statement in April after a temporary tariff pause was instituted on smartphones and other electronics. Huang said that onshoring manufacturing would take the pressure off of Taiwan, where the world's largest semiconductor maker, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), is based. Trump announced in March that the chipmaking giant would invest at least $100 billion in US manufacturing. 'Having a rich ecosystem of industries and manufacturing so that we could, on the one hand, make the United States better but also reduce our dependency — sole dependency — on other countries, is a smart move,' Huang said. The increase in AI investments, which fueled a massive technology boom in recent years, has raised concerns about whether the technology will threaten jobs in the future. A survey released in January from the World Economic Forum showed 41% of employers plan to downsize their workforce by 2030 because of AI automation. Nvidia, which briefly reached $4 trillion in market value, has created technology to power data centers that companies like Microsoft, Amazon and Google use to operate their AI models and cloud services. 'Everybody's jobs will be affected. Some jobs will be lost. Many jobs will be created and what I hope is that the productivity gains that we see in all the industries will lift society,' Huang said. He explained that every software engineer and chip designer at Nvidia uses AI, and he encourages it 'to the point of mandating it.' Artificial intelligence tools, especially generative response platforms like Elon Musk's Grok and OpenAI's ChatGPT, have faced their fair share of controversies recently. Just last week, Grok began responding with posts after Musk's xAI tweaked the chatbot to allow it to offer users more 'politically incorrect' answers. It began creating antisemitic hate posts, among other graphic descriptions. xAI posted a statement Saturday that an update of 'deprecated code' made Grok susceptible to existing user posts on X, including extremist views. That code has since been removed, according to the X statement. Huang commented on Grok, saying it's probably because the chatbot is 'younger' but that Musk 'has made so much progress with Grok in 18 months.' 'Of course there's the fine tuning, there's the guardrailing, and that just takes time of polish,' he said. There have also been concerns about AI models being prone to 'hallucinations,' meaning AI models go off-script and spew inaccurate information. Similarly, because they can be susceptible to manipulation, some experts have expressed concerns about losing control of powerful AI models. But Huang believes that 'borderline scares people' who do not know how AI systems are interconnected to keep the technology safe. He explained that most AI models use other AI tools to provide resources and fact-check. He added that global standards and safety practices should be in place. 'It will be overwhelmingly positive. Some harm will be done. The world has to jump on top of it when it happens, but it will be overwhelmingly, incredibly powerful,' he said. Huang said AI models could be used to cure diseases by teaching the tools about proteins and chemicals, including the meanings of chemicals and how they interact. It would be similar to the process of drug discovery, but it's more complicated than teaching AI about language because of the data required, Huang noted. 'Not only will we accelerate the discovery of drugs, we'll improve our understanding of disease. But over time, we're going to have virtual assistant researchers and scientists to help us essentially cure all disease,' he said. 'I think that day is coming.' There will also be real-world, physical use cases of AI. Generative models today, like Google's Veo 3, can generate videos of physical actions. The next step is creating a robot that can complete similar tasks, like picking up a glass. That process would be a vision-language-action (VLA) model, which differs from large-language models (LLMs). 'The technology exists today. It works today,' Huang said, adding there will be lots of the technology in 'three to five years.' Fareed Zakaria's interview with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang can be seen on 'Fareed Zakaria GPS' on Sunday 10 a.m. ET/PT. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

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