
Breece Hall, Bucky Irving and more fantasy football dynasty league buys and sells
Player values can vary widely, not only due to disparate opinions but also because of the various roster constructions within a single league. A rebuilding team will not pay a premium for aging veterans, while competitive teams may see more value in proven production to stay ahead. When trying to value sleepers or lower-tier players, you may find it difficult to get an accurate value assessment. As is always the case, you'll get (or pay) the most for production.
Advertisement
Let's get into the trade targets!
Henry's trade value is varying widely, and while I'm willing to offer a late first-round pick in return for the aging back, my strong preference is to keep compensation to the second round. Now 31, Henry's contract has been extended in Baltimore, and he is coming off an impressive 1,900-yard, 16-touchdown season. There's every indication he'll be a top producer for the next two seasons, and I'll take that production in return for lower draft pick compensation.
The mercurial Pickens continues to be valued as a high-risk asset despite his age (24) and impressive athletic profile. I was targeting Pickens as the WR1 in Pittsburgh, but his trade to the Cowboys has increased his attractiveness while, interestingly enough, reducing his value in the market. The thought process seems to revolve around the belief that his production will be curbed playing across from CeeDee Lamb. I'm now seeing Pickens being traded for second-round draft capital, a price I'm completely comfortable parting with for his production runway, in Dallas or elsewhere. I acquired him recently for the cost of picks 2.02 and 2.09.
I'm a sucker for talented receivers changing teams, especially those receiving an upgrade of quarterback and system, which is the case for Palmer, who should have an immediate role alongside Khalil Shakir and sophomore Keon Coleman. Palmer is an intelligent receiver with a good catch radius who should provide Josh Allen with a dependable veteran presence. It's not out of the question that the 25-year-old could have a career year in this quality offense. As a 19th-round (ADP) start-up value, you could do a lot worse.
I was surprised the Vikings allowed Darnold to walk in free agency, instead choosing to turn the reins over to J.J. McCarthy. A poor playoff showing obviously overshadowed a 14-win regular season. For the record, I always thought Darnold was better than the offensive systems he was operating within before Minnesota's. While the Seahawks don't have the same level of weaponry as the Vikings, there's reason to believe Darnold could still be successful in that system. I've seen him swapped for compensation in the high second round, and I'd give that all day in return for the SuperFlex depth and upside he provides.
Advertisement
I've been seeing some crazy trades involving Hall this offseason. There is a contingent of managers selling low on Hall in an attempt to capture remaining value before it's too late. While I can support this move in some cases, I think it's a mistake with Hall. He's still young, finally healthy and now in a contract season, so I'm an aggressive buyer of Hall's profile if the price is right. I've seen some trades with Hall being swapped straight up for a pick late in the first round, or even for a high second-rounder. If you get a manager to bite at this price, run, don't walk, to get the deal done.
If healthy, Williams is a far better back than his current ranking (DLF RB40). It didn't work out well in Denver, but the Cowboys gave Williams a vote of confidence by not addressing the position highly in the 2025 NFL Draft. The team also signed Miles Sanders, who could compete for the starting role, but my money is on Williams carving out a primary role. At only 25, and carrying a late second-round rookie pick cost, there's too much upside to ignore.
Mayer is no slouch as a tight end. The 2023 second-round pick was a questionable selection by the Raiders, who had greater needs at the time, and the 2024 selection of Brock Bowers relegated Mayer to backup status. I'm acquiring Mayer everywhere I can, often without cost, as I expect the team to run more 12-personnel sets, thereby elevating Mayer's status. Even without a significant upgrade in production in 2024, I think there's a chance the third-year player is traded within the next year, before he finds himself in a contract year in 2026.
I've been surprised at the market that still exists for Rice, which isn't to say he's not a talented receiver, but his ranking (DLF WR16) possesses too much premium for me not to consider moving on from the asset. Rice tore his ACL in Week 4 of 2024 and is still facing felony charges from his early-2024 hit-and-run incident — his trial is now expected to happen in June of this year. It's very possible that any league discipline won't come until 2026, but that's too much uncertainty for what could be only one year of production. Truth be told, I moved all shares of Rice before the end of 2024. I'm out!
It's rare for me to list a rookie as a 'sell' candidate, but here I am. McMillan profiles as a long, physical and potentially game-changing receiver in the mold of Mike Evans. But, I can't shake the fact that my spidey senses tingle every time I watch his tape. Something is missing in his dynamic. Match that with a questionable drafted situation in Carolina, and I've found myself avoiding the rookie. I've learned to trust my gut feeling, even if I can't tangibly identify the issue. For McMillan, it's somewhere between his release and his loping route-running style. With more physical press coverage in the NFL, success at the next level is not guaranteed. I'm pivoting to running back or outright selling the pick that would net McMillan. I'll be watching this one closely in the future to see if I'm incorrect in my assessment.
Advertisement
Putting Prescott here is difficult for me, as I love him as a person and even as a player. But he's now a single-dynamic quarterback who has proven his mobility is problematic. He's spoken in the past about being less willing to run due to injury. His 2024 campaign ended after suffering a hamstring injury in Week 9. The addition of Pickens should provide production upside, but as long as I have the depth to do so, I'm trading him away to capture positional premium.
Sometimes a player can do everything right and still be on my 'sell' list due to circumstances. Irving wrested the starting job away from Rachaad White in 2024, putting up impressive numbers given his 207 carries. He's young, relatively dynamic, and 2025 looks promising. That said, his size profile (5-foot-10/195 pounds), shared role and current ranking (DLF RB8) are a combination to capitalize on. Should Irving be listed closer to RB15, I'd feel differently. I like to prioritize wide receivers in my dynasty builds and look for one highly ranked RB1 starter to match with lesser-known names for production. Irving, as dynasty's RB8, is far too highly ranked and doesn't represent the profile I seek for my lead back. Size, injury and role concerns are such that I'm selling at his current price, offloading the risk I believe is present.
Agree? Disagree? If you have any questions or comments, feel free to leave them below. You can follow me on Twitter and Threads: @DLF_Jeff.
(Top photo of Breece Hall: Luke Hales / Getty Images)
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Fast Company
a few seconds ago
- Fast Company
‘Customer satisfaction at the end of the day': TikTok users push Costco's return policy to the limit with wild refunds
Costco is well-known for its no-questions-asked return policy. Now some shoppers are taking it upon themselves to test the limits of that policy. 'Returning my slime stained carpet to Costco,' one TikTok user posted earlier this month. Costco offers customers an unlimited grace period to return most purchases for a full refund, earning the wholesaler a top-six spot among stores with exceptional return policies, according to a 2023 ranking by U.S. News and World Report. While the customer received a full refund for the ruined rug, the comments section on the TikTok video was divided. 'That's embarrassing for you,' one person wrote. 'This just seems wrong,' another added. For others, it's simply about getting their money's worth. 'I could be mad but in this economy . . . hell yeah,' one comment read. Even Costco employees chimed in. 'Our upper management has said Costco makes way too much money. [T]hey would rather take the hit than lose a member,' one wrote. 'Customer satisfaction at the end of the day.' What if the rug is in perfect condition but you just don't like it anymore? No problem. Another TikTok user returned a rug bought over a year ago because it no longer matched their aesthetic—and received a full refund. Costco's return policy is not only open-ended in terms of time frame, but it also doesn't clearly define the condition items must be in upon their return to the store. One person returned a broken couch four years after buying it. Another brought back a half-eaten chicken bake. Both were refunded in full. 'This is why we can't have nice things,' one person commented. This isn't the first time customers have pushed the policy's boundaries. One notable return made headlines in 2018 when a woman brought back her dried-up Christmas tree in January. Extreme as it may seem, the policy supports Costco's membership model. 'Kudos for Costco,' the couch-returner said at the end of his video. 'You've got me as a client for life now.' Research shows that restrictive return policies can cost retailers business, whereas positive return experiences often lead to more purchases. Still, that doesn't mean the customer is always right. Of the $685 billion in U.S. retail merchandise returned in 2024, $103 billion was attributed to return/claims fraud or abuse, according to a 2024 report from Appriss Retail and Deloitte.


Fox News
2 minutes ago
- Fox News
Could Senator Adam Schiff really go to jail over alleged mortgage fraud?
Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Director William Pulte sent a criminal referral to Attorney General Pam Bondi in May alleging that California Democrat Sen. Adam Schiff "has, in multiple instances, falsified bank documents and property records to acquire more favorable loan terms, impacting payments from 2003-2019 for a Potomac, Maryland-based property." What is the gist of the complaint? That Schiff, while representing a California district in the House of Representatives, falsely listed his posh Maryland home as his primary residence in order to get more favorable loan terms when, in truth and in fact, his California condo, which he designated as his primary residence in order to qualify for a California homeowner's tax exemption, was his real primary residence. Even worse, according to the referral, Schiff claimed his Burbank condo as his primary/principal residence in California tax filings during the same years he listed his Maryland home as his primary/principal residence on loan applications to finance that home. Schiff's response to the criminal referral and to subsequent Truth Social posts by President Donald Trump was one we often see in white collar cases. Per the senator's office, "the lenders who provided the mortgages for both homes were well aware of then-Representative Schiff's Congressional service and of his intended year-round use of both homes, neither of which were vacation homes." That's not much of a denial, senator. The question is whether you lied on these forms or not. Were your answers accurate or not, and if they were inaccurate, were the answers a mistake or intentional? The devil is always in the details in white-collar cases like this. Which representatives of which particular lenders "were well aware" that Schiff intended to use both homes year-round, and why does that matter? The issue is whether Schiff intentionally lied on federal or state forms to gain a financial advantage. If he falsely listed his Maryland home as his primary residence in order to get a lower interest rate, that matters too. (After all, similar alleged falsehoods by Donald Trump were used by New York Attorney General Letitia James to go after Trump in her massive New York state civil action.) Did Schiff lie on California tax forms to gain an exemption he was not entitled to, and, if so, does it implicate any federal criminal statutes? This is what inquiring minds want to know, and we just don't have enough information at this stage to know all the answers. Based on what we do know, how likely is it that Schiff will be indicted for violating one of several federal bank fraud statutes that potentially cover his conduct? Not very likely. Here are several reasons why: The devil is always in the details in white-collar cases like this. Which representatives of which particular lenders "were well aware" that Schiff intended to use both homes year-round, and why does that matter? This leaves open the possibility of a state of California prosecution for filing false tax returns. Would you care to place any bets on that happening? The bottom line is this: Schiff's alleged conduct may be sleazy and his explanation shifty, but a criminal charge at the federal or state level does not seem to be in the offing.


New York Times
2 minutes ago
- New York Times
How the Falcons are trying to tap into Bijan Robinson's ‘home run' potential
FLOWERY BRANCH, Ga. — When the Atlanta Falcons used the No. 8 pick of the 2023 NFL Draft on Bijan Robinson, it was the first time in five years and just the sixth time in the previous decade that a team picked a running back in the top 10. The reason, the Falcons said, was simple: 'Bijan's more than a running back,' then-head coach Arthur Smith said. 'He's an impact football player. He's a home run hitter.' Advertisement Robinson is entering his third year in the league, and Atlanta believes this is the season he starts hitting those home runs. The University of Texas alumnus was third in the NFL in rushing last season with 1,456 yards, fifth in rushing touchdowns (14) and seventh among running backs in yards per carry (4.8). In his two years in the league, only Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley and Kyren Williams have more rushing yards. Robinson's 3,350 yards from scrimmage in the last two seasons (his rushing total plus 918 receiving yards on 119 catches) are third behind only Barkley and Henry. He was the league's offensive rookie of the year in 2023 and a Pro Bowler in 2024. He has been almost everything the Falcons hoped for when they made him their highest drafted running back since they picked Joe Profit seventh in 1971. The only line of Robinson's resume that is lacking is the home runs the team predicted. What he has so far been is the league's most dynamic doubles hitter. Robinson's longest career run was a 38-yarder against Jacksonville in October of his rookie season. He's had three runs longer than 30 yards. Fourth-year Falcons backup running back Tyler Allgeier has four career runs of more than 30 yards, including three of more than 40 yards in his rookie season. 'That's the next step, obviously,' Robinson said. 'We all want it. I've been working on it a lot this offseason, and when the season comes, it's time to go show it.' Entering seasons, Robinson has always set almost impossibly high goals for himself. One year in high school, he wrote down that he wanted to gain 3,500 rushing yards that season. He has called this year's rushing goal 'outlandish.' He declined to share specifics, but he has never been shy about measuring himself against the league's best at his position. Advertisement Last offseason, he said he wanted to emulate the impact of San Francisco's Christian McCaffrey. This year, he's chasing the type of season Philadelphia's Saquon Barkley had in 2024 when Barkley had 10 runs of 30 or more yards and six of 50 or more yards on the way to a Super Bowl championship. 'We are all waiting for that Saquon-type season when it comes to explosives,' Robinson said. Not only waiting for it but working for it. Much of the offseason emphasis for the Falcons' offensive coaching staff was focused on getting more breakaway runs from Robinson. 'That is a jump that we want to take,' offensive coordinator Zac Robinson said. 'That's definitely something we are emphasizing as an offense.' Robinson led the NFL in missed tackles forced with 117 last season, according to Next Gen Stats, and both Zac Robinson and running backs coach Michael Pitre have emphasized his gift for making defenders miss in tight spaces. Now, those coaches want him to create more of those situations when he gets to the third level of the defense by getting closer to defenders before committing to a path. 'You're showing him clips and saying, 'Maybe we could close the space on this free safety and not make the move from 8 to 10 yards away,'' Zac Robinson said. 'How can we press that guy's toes to make him feel uncomfortable? Nobody is better in the NFL at making short-area quickness moves on defenders. I think it's just showing him the clips, emphasizing it.' The Falcons' coaching staff could also help Robinson with more interior run calls instead of the wide zone that was so prevalent last season. While wide zone runs highlight Robinson's natural cutback ability, they also can help out defenders down the field because having Robinson near the sideline takes away some of his options for avoiding defenders. Bijan Robinson with good blocking ahead for six 💪 📺: #ATLvsMIN on FOX📱: — NFL (@NFL) December 8, 2024 The athletes that Bijan Robinson is facing once he breaks into the secondary are better than the ones he's facing closer to the line of scrimmage, and he needs to always be aware of that, Pitre said. 'I think it's about truly understanding what gives the defense an issue and what puts them in conflict and having to realize that guys at this level are able to redirect if you make your move too early,' Pitre said. 'The conflict happens when you step on their toes, close the distance.' Advertisement Robinson was tied for 22nd in the NFL last season with five runs of 20 or more yards. In the last two years, he is tied for eighth with 12 such runs. 'Our challenge as coaches is how do you recreate the things that show up in games,' Pitre said. 'It's drill work, it's film study. If you watch all his carries, he's done it. How do we do it more consistently? That's what we're trying to get done. I'm not overly worried about it. I think that is his next step. That's his next evolution as a player.' Robinson is coming off the highest workload of his career — 304 carries and 61 catches — but he doesn't expect any physical repercussions because of it, even though the 300-carry threshold has been tough on running backs. That total has been topped 15 times in the last 10 years. Six of those came last year. In the nine seasons it happened before that, only one (Derrick Henry in 2019 and 2020) had more rushing yards the following season. In the other eight seasons, the backs had an average dropoff of 695 yards the next season. While Morris said the Falcons have to be aware of Robinson's workload 'to protect that type of elite athlete,' quarterback Michael Penix Jr. entered training camp urging more touches for his star running back. 'He has to touch the ball a lot each and every single game,' Penix said. 'Once he gets that ball, you don't know what's going to happen, but you know it's going to be good. We've got to get him the rock; it's as simple as that. He's going to help us win ballgames.' Robinson said last week he felt better than he ever has after nearly a month of workouts with Christian McCaffrey in Studio City, Calif., this offseason. 'It was really cool,' Robinson said. 'I got to see how he worked. He got to see how I worked and we got to put it together. It was really cool, two guys coming together to just make each other better. He taught me a bunch of nuanced moves.' Advertisement The most valuable part of the experience for Robinson was seeing McCaffrey's recovery regime, Robinson said. The program consisted of pool workouts, a red light therapy bed and a newly designed hyperbaric chamber called a Stratosphere. It was like 'we were 18,000 feet in the air, but we were in a machine,' Robinson said. 'It was like the coolest thing ever. 'I am going to continue doing that because I felt super, super great this summer, and it was all because of how we came back and recovered our bodies,' Robinson said. Zac Robinson and Pitre both express optimism that Bijan Robinson's home run total will jump this year. Bijan Robinson believes it, too. 'I work on it every single day,' he said. 'I've been gifted to do stuff like this. Me and (Pitre) joke all the time, we're done with 30-yard runs. Now it's time for 50 yards, 60 yards.'