
Starmer has just revealed he has absolutely no idea how to to stop the boats
Britain is on the cusp of a new immigration deal with France aimed at stopping the small boat crossings. So far, over 18,000 small boat migrants have crossed the English Channel this year, putting us on course for record numbers. The Government's plans to 'smash the gangs', and novelties like a new Border Security Commander, have clearly failed.
What's more, the top countries for asylum seekers to Britain are Pakistan, Afghanistan and Iran. These are all countries where human rights law means they will likely never be sent home. Plans to stop the use of asylum hotels have been put off until 2029, and on current trends, there is no reason to think it wouldn't be put off again. That means they will keep costing billions every year.
What the Government needs is a deterrent. Having dumped the Rwanda Plan in their first week in office, they lost the best effort at one so far. As they were so vociferous in attacking it, it seems unlikely they will try to resurrect it. Instead, they are supposedly planning a new deal with France.
Early reports suggested a 'one in, one out' rule. That would mean that almost every small boat migrant would be sent back to France within weeks of arrival. In return, Britain would agree to take one asylum seeker from France with family links to Britain for every migrant sent back.
The hope is that this would put potential small boat migrants off trying to come. Why bother spending thousands of pounds if you are guaranteed to be returned to France? Many of those coming on small boats do have family here already, though, so it is unclear how effective it would be.
The Government seems to be aware that there are problems with the idea. They have had presentations from senior figures at the European Stability Initiative to discuss an alternative plan. This would involve a coalition of European countries, but not the European Union, who would agree to take back all small boat migrants from Britain. In return, Britain would agree to take a certain number of asylum seekers from them, suggested at a level of 20,000 for four years.
The plan is that this would demonstrate that illegal crossings won't work but that there are safe and legal routes for refugees, with Britain setting up a visa application process in EU countries. Britain would still be taking asylum seekers but in significantly lower numbers. The European states, meanwhile, could test a plan they could then apply with other countries, to end the illegal immigration issues they face in the Mediterranean.
This is very similar to the 2016 EU-Turkey deal which the European Stability Initiative helped to broker. That did reduce the numbers of asylum seekers coming through Turkey. However, the flows of illegal immigrants simply shifted to other routes, with overall levels still higher than they were before the 2015 refugee crisis.
Many will also point out that this doesn't actually fix our issues with human rights laws; it just makes them slightly less worse. Taking in 80,000 asylum seekers would still be a large and costly policy, costing us all billions and directly contrary to what voters want. No wonder that Home Office sources have stressed that this is still a 'work in progress'.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles

Western Telegraph
41 minutes ago
- Western Telegraph
Streeting confident about welfare vote amid criticism of ‘two-tier' Pip plans
Wes Streeting said the changes 'have put us in a much better position' and give 'peace of mind' to those currently in receipt of personal independence payments. The Government's original welfare package had restricted eligibility for Pip, but in a climbdown to stave off a backbench rebellion, the changes will now only apply to new applicants. Mr Streeting said this was not unusual for such a transition. 'When things change and evolve as you bring in new systems, it does change sometimes from group to group, student finance being an example,' he told the BBC's Sunday With Laura Kuenssberg programme. He said 'we've got to listen' when asked if further concessions could be made on Pip. Unite general secretary Sharon Graham has called for the Government to start from scratch on the Bill and said the latest plans were 'divisive and sinister'. 'Creating a two-tier system where younger disabled people and those who become disabled in the future will be disadvantaged and denied access to work and education, is morally wrong,' she said. Disabled Labour MP Olivia Blake said the proposed changes had been 'plucked from the air'. 'This could form an unethical two-tier system that treats two people with the exact same injury or illness differently,' she told The Guardian. Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer has said the 'broken' welfare system must be fixed 'in a Labour way' (Paul Currie/PA) The Health Secretary told Sky News's Sunday Morning With Trevor Phillips that the changes 'have put us in a much better position'. 'As a result of the changes, it means anyone watching this morning who's in receipt of personal independence payments now has the peace of mind of knowing that their situation is protected,' he said. Labour MP Louise Haigh meanwhile said she planned to back the Welfare Bill next week but needed to see the full detail of the new plans on Monday. The former Cabinet minister also said it was a moment for the Government to 'reset'. 'I think this is a moment and an opportunity to reset the Government's relationship with the British public and to move forward, to adopt a different approach to our economic policy and our political strategy,' she told the BBC. On Saturday, the Prime Minister told the Welsh Labour conference the 'broken' welfare system must be fixed 'in a Labour way'. The original plans restricted eligibility for Pip and cut the health-related element of universal credit Existing recipients were to be given a 13-week phase-out period of financial support in an earlier move that was seen as a bid to head off opposition. Now, the changes to Pip will be implemented in November 2026 and apply to new claimants only, while all existing recipients of the health element of universal credit will have their incomes protected in real terms. The concessions on Pip alone protect some 370,000 people currently receiving the allowance who were to lose out after reassessment. Ministers had hoped the reforms would get more people back into work and save up to £5 billion a year, but the concessions left Chancellor Rachel Reeves needing to find money elsewhere and point to possible tax rises in the autumn.


The Independent
an hour ago
- The Independent
Farage dubbed ‘wolf in Wall Street clothing' over cabinet plan
Nigel Farage 's Reform UK is attempting to attract business leaders by promising them ministerial positions if the party wins the next general election. Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer criticised Mr Farage's proposal, labelling him a "wolf in Wall Street clothing" who "has no idea what he's talking about". A recent poll indicated Reform UK could become Britain's largest party, potentially enabling Mr Farage to form a minority government with 271 MPs. The same poll suggested a significant decline in Labour's popularity, potentially reducing their seats from 403 to 178. Proposals to appoint non-elected business leaders as ministers, potentially through peerages, have been controversial in the past due to concerns about democratic accountability.


Daily Mirror
an hour ago
- Daily Mirror
Comedian Rosie Jones issues four-word warning over 'terrifying' welfare changes
Comedian Rosie Jones, who has cerebral palsy, has warned 'no one is safe' from Labour's welfare cuts despite major concessions over their plans on Personal Independence Payments Comedian Rosie Jones has warned 'no one is safe' from Labour 's welfare cuts despite major concessions over their plans. The well-known celebrity, who has cerebral palsy, said it is 'terrifying' that ministers are 'victimising a vulnerable part of this country'. She raised concerns that current claimants of Personal Independence Payments could still end up losing the benefit when they are reassessed. Speaking about Labour's newly announced protections for current claimants, Rosie said: 'They're not thinking about the millions of people who will become disabled in the future but you are also forgetting that millions of people who are in danger are getting reassessed, which could be me, so no one is safe.' She added that she has always been a Labour voter but that this Government was been "incredibly disappointing". "This is not a Labour government that I recognise. I voted for them because I truly believed that they were the government that cared about individuals," she said. "That's not what I'm seeing from the government right now. They care more about stats. They care more about looking good, but they're looking good by victimising a vulnerable part of this country. They're putting lives in danger, and that is terrifying." Asked if she was reassured the Government's review would put disabled people at the heart of it, Rosie told the BBC's Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg: "I think disabled people should have been at the heart of the matter from the beginning. "They were never considering the real effect that this would have on us, and I have seen no evidence that they genuinely care for disabled people and our future. So I want to believe them, but so far they're not giving me any evidence to say they will do exactly that." Last week Keir Starmer offered significant concessions to rebel MPs to swerve a humiliating Commons defeat next week. Leading rebels told The Mirror"serious progress" had been made in crisis talks with No10 over cuts impacting hundreds of thousands of disabled people. Changes to PIP and the health element of Universal Credit will now apply only to new claimants. It means around 370,000 people will avoid losing around £4,150-a-year. Existing recipients of the health element of Universal Credit will also have their incomes protected in real terms. But campaigners said it risked "betraying the next generation of disabled people" and could create a "two-tier" system- and some Labour MPs remain opposed ahead of a Commons vote next week. Mr Starmer today said he wished he had reached a 'better position' with Labour MPs earlier, before the major rebellion over welfare cuts erupted. In an interview with the Sunday Times, he said he was distracted by international affairs, which he admitted was not an 'excuse'. 'I'm putting this as context rather than excuse: I was heavily focused on what was happening with Nato and the Middle East all weekend,' the PM said. Wes Streeting said he is confident the Government will win a crunch vote on welfare next week. But he admitted "we've got to listen" if further concessions on PIP were demanded. Former Cabinet minister Louise Haigh said it was "really welcome" that Mr Starmer has "acknowledged that mistakes have been made'. She urged the PM to use this moment 'to reset the government's relationship with the British public'.