logo
US and China struggle for dominance as officials meet for Shangri-La Dialogue

US and China struggle for dominance as officials meet for Shangri-La Dialogue

Yahoo29-05-2025
China does not want to go to war with anyone, especially the US.
But Beijing does have aspirations to be the number one economic power in the world.
And that means flexing its muscles to rid the seas around East and South East Asia of their US military presence, so it can dominate the shipping lanes so vital for global trade.
By building up its nuclear and conventional arsenals, China aims to show the US that times have changed and that it's too dangerous a power to challenge.
The US has long had the upper hand in the Asia-Pacific - with tens of thousands of troops based in Japan and South Korea, alongside several military bases.
Trump's administration has clearly focused its energy on countering China - by initiating a trade war and seeking to strengthen alliances with Asian nations.
The Shangri-La Dialogue has historically been the setting for top-level encounters between the US and China – an arena for the superpowers to set out their vision for security in the region.
And it's opening again in Singapore on Friday. Here's what we can expect from the three-day event:
The growing struggle for dominance between the US and China is undoubtedly the biggest issue in Asia-Pacific security.
Gone are the days when China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) was characterised by outdated weaponry and rigid Maoist doctrine. Today it is a formidable force deploying state-of-the-art hypersonic missiles and fifth-generation warplanes like the J20.
Its navy has the largest number of warships in the world, outstripping the United States.
While China lags far behind the US and Russia in its number of nuclear warheads, it is rapidly expanding its nuclear arsenal, with missiles that can travel up to 15,000km, putting the continental US easily within range.
The US Navy's formidable 7th Fleet, based in Yokosuka, just south of Tokyo, can no longer claim to have guaranteed naval supremacy in the region.
China's array of Dong Feng missiles and swarms of explosive drones would make any approach to its shores extremely hazardous for US warships.
Ultimately, Beijing is believed to be working to "push" the US military out of the western Pacific.
Taiwan is a liberal, self-governing, pro-Western island democracy that China's President Xi Jinping has vowed to "take back" by force if necessary.
It has an economic importance well beyond its geographic small size. It manufactures more than 90% of the world's high-end microchips, the all-important semi-conductors that power so much of our tech.
Recent opinion polls have made clear that a majority of Taiwanese people do not want to be ruled by Beijing, but Xi has made this a key policy aim.
The US has done much to help Taiwan bolster its defences but the key question of whether Washington would go to war with China over Taiwan has always been shrouded in something called "strategic ambiguity", i.e. keeping Beijing guessing.
On more than one occasion President Biden indicated the US would respond militarily in the event of a Chinese attack on Taiwan. But the return of Donald Trump to the Oval Office has brought back a degree of uncertainty.
There are also major concerns in the region over China's attempts to turn the entire South China Sea into what some have called a "Chinese lake".
The PLA Navy has established military bases on reefs, many artificially dredged, across the strategically important South China Sea, an area through which an estimated $3 trillion's worth of maritime trade passes annually.
Today China deploys a vast, industrial fishing fleet across the South China Sea, backed by its fleet of coastguard ships and warships. These vessels clash frequently with Filipino fishermen, fishing close to their own country's shores.
China frequently challenges planes and ships transiting the South China Sea, warning them they are entering Chinese territory without permission, when the rest of the world considers this to be international waters.
Donald Trump, when asked during his first presidency if North Korea could ever develop nuclear missiles that could reach the continental United States, vowed "it's never going to happen". But it has.
In what amounts to a serious CIA intelligence failure, Pyongyang has demonstrated that it now possesses both the nuclear know-how and the means to deliver those warheads across the Pacific Ocean.
Successive US presidencies have failed to curb North Korea's nuclear ambitions and this isolated, economically backward yet militarily powerful nation is thought to have at least 20 nuclear warheads.
It also has an enormous, well-armed army, some of which its autocratic leader Kim Jong Un has sent to help Russia fight Ukraine.
Defence analysts are still dissecting the recent, brief but alarming conflict between these two nuclear-armed neighbours. India's military far outnumbers Pakistan's and yet the latter was allegedly able to land an embarrassing blow against India's air force, when Pakistan's Chinese-made J10-C jets went up against India's advanced, French-made Rafales.
Pakistan reportedly shot down at least one of the Indian warplanes, using Chinese-made PL-15 air-to-air missiles. The reports were denied in India's media.
China's assistance to Pakistan in the conflict has reportedly been critical to Islamabad, including repositioning its satellites to provide it with real-time intelligence.
Both India and Pakistan are expected to make high-level addresses at the Shangri-La Dialogue this weekend while the US and others will be looking for ways to prevent a repeat of their clash over Kashmir.
All of this is happening in a dramatically changed US context.
Donald Trump's sudden imposition of trade tariffs, while eventually modified, has caused many in the region to rethink their reliance on Washington. Would an ally that is prepared to inflict so much economic pain on its friends really come to their aid if they were attacked?
China has been quick to capitalise on the confusion. It reached out to neighbours such as Vietnam - a country it went to war with in 1979 - to point out the People's Republic represented stability and continuity in an unstable world.
Under the previous US administration, Washington signed up to a multi-billion dollar trilateral partnership between the US, UK and Australia under the acronym of Aukus.
It aims to not only build Canberra's next generation of submarines but to guarantee freedom of navigation across the South China Sea using intelligence and naval force deployed by the three nations.
President Trump, when asked in February about his commitment to the AUKUS pact, appeared not to recognise the term, asking in reply: "What does that mean?"
But early this Saturday morning the US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth will be addressing the Shangri-La Dialogue, potentially offering some clarity on AUKUS as well as how the US plans to work with, and quite possibly against, China's interests across the Asia-Pacific region.
Trump administration to 'aggressively' revoke visas of Chinese students
Relief on China's factory floors as US tariffs put on hold
Trump's chips strategy: The US will struggle to take on Asia
China says it is ready for 'any type of war' with US
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Trump orders a 35% tariff for goods from Canada, citing a lack of cooperation on illicit drugs
Trump orders a 35% tariff for goods from Canada, citing a lack of cooperation on illicit drugs

The Hill

time22 minutes ago

  • The Hill

Trump orders a 35% tariff for goods from Canada, citing a lack of cooperation on illicit drugs

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump has raised the tariff rate on U.S. imports from Canada to 35% from 25%, effective Friday. The announcement from the White House late Thursday said Canada had failed to 'do more to arrest, seize, detain or otherwise intercept … traffickers, criminals at large, and illicit drugs.' Trump has heckled Canada for months and suggested it should become its 51st U.S. state. He had threatened to impose the higher tariff on Canada if no deal was reached by Friday, his deadline for reaching trade agreements with dozens of countries. Earlier Thursday, the president said Canada's announcement it will recognize a Palestinian state would 'make it very hard' for the United States to reach a trade agreement with its northern neighbor. Trump has also expressed frustration with a trade deficit with Canada that largely reflects oil purchases by America. Prime Minister Mark Carney had tempered expectations over tariffs, saying Ottawa would only agree to a deal 'if there's one on the table that is in the best interests of Canadians.' In a statement released early Friday, he said he was disappointed by Trump's actions and vowed to diversify Canada's exports. 'Canada accounts for only 1% of U.S. fentanyl imports and has been working intensively to further reduce these volumes,' he said, pointing to heavy investments in border security. Carney added that some industries — including lumber, steel, aluminum and automobiles — will be harder hit, but said his government will try to minimize the impact and protect Canadian jobs. Canada was not included in Trump's updated list of tariff rates on other countries announced late Thursday. Those import duties are due to take effect on Aug. 7. Trump sent a letter to Canada a few weeks ago warning he planned to raise duties on many goods imported from Canada to 35%, deepening the rift between the two North American countries that has undermined their decades-old alliance. Some imports from Canada are still protected by the 2020 United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, or USMCA, which is up for renegotiation next year. The White House's statement said goods transshipped through Canada that are not covered by the USMCA would be subject to a 40% tariff rate. It did not say where the goods might originate. President Donald Trump said Thursday that there would be a 90-day negotiating period with Mexico after a call with that country's leader, Claudia Sheinbaum, keeping 25% tariff rates in place.

CNBC Daily Open: New Trump tariffs (August remix) have dropped
CNBC Daily Open: New Trump tariffs (August remix) have dropped

CNBC

time23 minutes ago

  • CNBC

CNBC Daily Open: New Trump tariffs (August remix) have dropped

The first time U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled his "reciprocal" tariffs on the rest of the world, the April 2 event had a cinematic, even grand, quality. It took place at the White House Rose Garden. There was a live band playing, according to The Wall Street Journal. Trump hoisted huge physical charts of his tariff rates, which were helpfully color-coded for visual clarity. This time, Trump's updated "reciprocal" tariffs, released the night before they come into effect on Aug. 1, seemed in comparison stripped of pomp and glamor. The White House's executive order popped up around 7 p.m. ET, just as people in the U.S. were getting off work. There was no live event, no big chart and certainly no entertainment — just a stern website with a black-and-white table. That austerity — and, one might even say, stealth — surrounding the recent announcement suggests two things. First, the White House could be aware that the dramatic shock of tariffs has less power to sway trade deals when staged a second time. The "90 deals in 90 days" that trade advisor Peter Navarro had promised in April are, after all, nowhere in sight. Trump, however, still left ajar the door to making "some kind of a deal." Second, the U.S. might actually be pleased with the effects of its higher-than-expected tariffs on countries without deals, and is willing to keep levies at those levels. In June, the U.S. Treasury Department reported an unexpected surplus thanks to tariff revenue, which were more than four times higher from a year ago. And economists aren't as alarmed by tariff-driven inflation as they once were. All that's speculation, of course. The order could have been released in this low-key fashion simply because the Rose Garden is now more like a Concrete Path. Or perhaps Trump doesn't want the penguins on the Heard and McDonald islands to hear about his levies this time. The U.S. rejigs tariff rates ahead of Aug. 1 deadline. Trump's executive order also imposed a 40% duty on all goods considered to have been transshipped to America. Here's how Asian leaders are reacting to the announcement, made Thursday evening stateside. The S&P 500 falls, retreating from an intraday high. Microsoft shares, however, rose around 4% to push the company's market cap above $4 trillion. Asia-Pacific markets — and tech giants, in particular — fell on Friday as investors digest latest tariff developments. Apple beats expectations for profit and revenue. The Cupertino-based company's iPhone sales grew 13% year over year, while overall revenue rose 10% in its fiscal third quarter, the fastest growth since December 2021. Amazon's gloomy guidance overshadows its earnings. Even though the company surpassed Wall Street's estimates for its second-quarter results, its expected operating income for the current quarter wasn't as high as analysts had hoped for. [PRO] Novo Nordisk's stock plunge isn't that surprising. On Tuesday, the firm's shares fell as much as 26% after it slashed its full-year guidance — and appointed a new CEO. Here's why companies tend to make both announcements simultaneously. Tariff turmoil: How global CEOs are shifting gears In interviews with CNBC this earnings season, CEOs across industries sent a clear message: tariffs are no longer just a political tactic. As trade rules grow more uncertain and tariffs resurface in policy discussions, business leaders say they're rethinking everything from where factories are located to how products are priced. The old "just in time" model is giving way to something more cautious: make goods closer to the buyer, ask for exemptions where possible, and stay alert to shifting consumer habits. —

Y Combinator is looking for DOGE-related startups for its next cohort — and 5 other themes
Y Combinator is looking for DOGE-related startups for its next cohort — and 5 other themes

Business Insider

time23 minutes ago

  • Business Insider

Y Combinator is looking for DOGE-related startups for its next cohort — and 5 other themes

Y Combinator has opened applications for its fall cohort, and one of its startup themes focuses on cutting government waste. The theme — "Using LLMs Instead Of Government Consulting" — echoes the mission of the Department of Government Efficiency, a Trump administration initiative to slash spending at the federal level. While the famed accelerator did not explicitly mention DOGE, YC said on its website that it wants to fund startups that build large language model-powered software to take over the kind of work that consulting giants like Deloitte and Accenture do for the public sector. "There is political pressure to cut wasteful consulting and spending," YC's Gustaf Alstromer wrote. "The US government spends over $100 billion a year on consulting. As you might imagine, this isn't the most efficient or innovative part of our economy." Alstromer said that "LLMs today are so good that they can already do the jobs of many consulting firms," but startups "can do a lot better" at building software for government use. He added that YC has already backed companies helping agencies get certified to sell to the government or using AI to ensure the legality of new laws and policies. Y Combinator did not respond to a request for comment from Business Insider. The accelerator's pitch comes as pressure mounts to rein in government spending and fix slow-moving bureaucracies. Earlier this year, the Trump administration asked the federal government's highest-paid consulting firms to justify their spending on contracts using language that "a 15-year-old should be able to understand." DOGE was, until April, headed by Elon Musk. That's just one of six themes outlined in YC's Fall 2025 "Request for Startups," a wish list that signals where Silicon Valley could see the next wave of breakout companies Applications for the accelerator close on Monday evening, Pacific time. Here's what else YC is betting on: AI training for blue-collar workers YC wants to tackle the talent bottleneck — not in tech, but in the trades. While the AI race has focused on hiring engineers and researchers, there's a growing shortage of skilled tradespeople like electricians and welders — the very people needed to build the infrastructure behind AI, including data centers and semiconductor fabs. "We think you could use AI to create personalized training programs to get people job-ready in months, not years," wrote YC's Harj Taggar. "This is where multimodal AI could create opportunities," he said. His examples included a voice assistant that could coach someone through tasks in real time or an AR/VR environment that could simulate the work, with vision models giving live feedback like a human trainer would. Video generation as a core technology YC said video is evolving into a "new basic building block for software." It will unlock new kinds of apps, developer platforms, and real-time experiences. "Video generation models are getting really good," wrote YC's David Lieb. "Soon, you'll be able to generate near-perfect footage of anything, on the fly, for a marginal cost approaching 0," he said. "When this happens, a lot of new ideas become possible." AI-generated video is "definitely going to change media and entertainment" and reshape how we shop and build games and simulations, he added. The first 10-person, $100 billion company The first 10-person, $100 billion company? YC thinks it's not only possible but imminent. The accelerator said it's now possible for small, high-agency teams — or even a solo founder — to build a multibillion-dollar company with just $500,000 in seed funding. New AI tools will "make it easier for ambitious founders to scale with far fewer people," YC's Aaron Epstein wrote. "With smaller, efficient teams at scale, they won't get bogged down with the politics, excessive meetings, and lack of focus that grinds huge companies to a halt," Epstein wrote. "They can just focus on winning with better speed and execution." The best startups in the future will "optimize for one metric: revenue per employee." YC's focus comes after at least 12 AI startups crossed the $1 billion valuation threshold with small teams, Business Insider reported in May. "We're going to see 10-person companies with billion-dollar valuations pretty soon," OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said in February 2024. "In my little group chat with my tech CEO friends, there's this betting pool for the first year there is a one-person billion-dollar company, which would've been unimaginable without AI. And now [it] will happen." Infrastructure for multi-agent systems A future where AI agents don't just work alone — they collaborate. AI agents are evolving from "single-threaded loops" into "multi-agent systems," YC's Pete Koomen wrote. These systems can break down big tasks, run in parallel, and tackle complex jobs faster than any single model could But they are difficult to build and could introduce new problems that need to be solved at a "higher level of abstraction," Koomen said. YC said it's looking for builders who have "felt this pain in production" and want to create tools to make multi-agent systems easier to build and maintain. AI-native enterprise software Lastly, YC said it sees a massive opportunity in reinventing enterprise tools from the ground up, with AI at the core. Just like how Salesforce and ServiceNow rode the cloud wave 25 years ago, YC said the next generation of tech giants will be built around AI-native software. "Today's incumbents will struggle to rebuild their product around this new technology, giving today's startups the time they need to win," said YC's Andrew Miklas. These startups will have AI "embedded deeply and thoughtfully throughout, and will help employees do their work faster and more accurately," he said. "Think Cursor for sales, HR, and accounting."

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store