
US trade partners race for deals as Trump readies tariff notices on Monday (July 7)
"I signed some letters and they'll go out on Monday - probably 12,' Trump told reporters over the Fourth of July weekend, adding that the missives involve "different amounts of money, different amounts of tariffs and somewhat different statements.'
Asked to identify the countries, he said, "I have to announce it on Monday.'
Trump's latest remarks suggest talks remain fluid and deals elusive, three days before the July 9 deadline announced by the US administration.
The letters initially were supposed to go out on July 4 with a tariff imposition date of Aug. 1, based on Trump's earlier comments. But US officials were busily negotiating through the holiday weekend, including with Japan, South Korea, the European Union, India and Vietnam.
One of Trump's signature moves in dealmaking is a unilateral threat when negotiations reach critical stages, so it's unclear whether the letters he describes are real, or merely meant to strike fear into trading partners still reluctant to offer last-minute concessions.
After Trump announced an agreement with Vietnam last week, the country's Ministry of Foreign Affairs said negotiators were still coordinating with their US counterparts to finalize the details.
While an interim accord with India was also expected to be reached, officials in New Delhi have signaled a tougher stance in recent days, threatening levies on some US goods in retaliation to Washington's higher tariffs on automobiles and their components.
Also concerned about auto tariffs is South Korea, which has discussed with US officials extending the deadline in a last-ditch bid to avert higher levies.
Basking in a major legislative win last week and with the US stock market at record levels, Trump's newest trade barriers risk re-igniting investors' concerns about a broad and complex new web of customs duties to be paid by American importers.
The initial rollout of Trump's so-called reciprocal tariffs on April 2 sparked fears of a US recession and sent markets tumbling. That gave way to a 90-day freeze of those rates at 10% through July 9 for the more than 50 nations targeted.
On top of the additional costs that tariffs create for US companies that purchase goods from abroad, domestic exporters face the possibility of retaliation from economies, including the EU.
EU member states were briefed on the status of negotiations on Friday after a round of talks in Washington last week ,and were told that a technical agreement in principle was close, Bloomberg News previously reported.
Meanwhile, Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba said the country is prepared for all possible tariff scenarios. Speaking on Fuji TV's "Sunday News The Prime' program, he said Japan - another major auto producer trying to avoid Trump's tariffs - is ready to "stand firm' and defend its interests while anticipating every possible situation.
Cambodia's government said in a statement on Friday that it had agreed with the US on a framework agreement that will be released publicly soon, with a pledge to continue cooperating closely. At 49%, Cambodia's threatened reciprocal tariff was among Trump's highest. The Southeast Asian nation is a sizeable exporter of textiles and footwear to the US.
--With assistance from Aya Wagatsuma, Hyonhee Shin, Alberto Nardelli, Jorge Valero and Shruti Srivastava.
-- ©2025 Bloomberg L.P.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Daily Express
23 minutes ago
- Daily Express
Ringgit forecast to trade between 4.24-4.26 vs US dollar next week
Published on: Saturday, July 12, 2025 Published on: Sat, Jul 12, 2025 By: Bernama Text Size: Kuala Lumpur: The ringgit is expected to remain volatile next week, moving in the range between 4.24 and 4.26 against the US dollar, an analyst said. Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid told Bernama that apart from the United States (US) tariff, the next key question is whether the Federal Reserve (Fed) would cut the interest rates. On that note, he said key data points would be the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June. Thus far, the inflation rate has been quite manageable during the 90-day pause period. 'Obviously, the full implementation of reciprocal tariffs on August 1 would result in higher inflation, which could lead to the need to keep the Federal Fund Rate (FFR) steady as an ideal policy decision. 'The US dollar index (DXY) has been gradually climbing and therefore, emerging market currencies, including the ringgit, could stay on the low side,' Mohd Afzanizam said. Meanwhile, SPI Asset Management managing partner Stephen Innes also said the ringgit is expected to trade within a narrow range ahead of the release of the US CPI next week, a key economic event likely to shape market direction and the Fed policy expectations. The upcoming US inflation report, due Tuesday, would be closely watched by financial markets as it could offer clear signals on the path of interest rates, he said. Innes said markets are particularly focused on the core CPI month-on-month figure, with 0.3 per cent seen as the critical threshold. 'A softer-than-expected reading could revive hopes for a September rate cut by the Fed, potentially leading to a pullback in the US dollar and offering the ringgit some relief,' Innes said. However, he cautioned that a stronger print, particularly at 0.4 per cent or higher, would likely shift market expectations toward a more hawkish Fed, sparking renewed dollar strength. 'In that scenario, the US dollar-ringgit pair could climb toward 4.2700, although any initial spike may be short-lived if profit-taking emerges,' he noted. He projected the ringgit to trade within a tactical range of 4.2400 to 4.2650, with market positioning expected to tighten further. 'For now, the ringgit remains a passenger in a vehicle driven by US macro outcomes -- not a driver in its own right,' Innes added. On a Friday-to-Friday basis, the ringgit ended the week lower against the greenback, closing at 4.2475/2525 from 4.2180/2260 previously. The local note traded mostly higher against a basket of major currencies. The ringgit appreciated vis-a-vis the Japanese yen to 2.8893/8929 from 2.9225/9282, and increased against the British pound to 5.7524/7592 from 5.7601/7710 last Friday. However, it marginally fell versus the euro to 4.9679/9737 from 4.9675/9770 at the end of last week. Against ASEAN currencies, the ringgit was traded lower. The local note was down against the Singapore dollar to 3.3186/3228 from 3.3114/3182, and narrowed versus the Indonesian rupiah to 261.8/262.3 from 260.6/261.2 previously. It weakened versus the Thai baht to 13.0668/0886 from 13.0302/0609 and declined against the Philippine peso at 7.52/7.53 from 7.47/7.49 on last Friday. * Follow us on our official WhatsApp channel and Telegram for breaking news alerts and key updates! * Do you have access to the Daily Express e-paper and online exclusive news? Check out subscription plans available. Stay up-to-date by following Daily Express's Telegram channel. Daily Express Malaysia


The Sun
an hour ago
- The Sun
Ringgit forecast to trade between 4.24-4.26 vs US dollar next week
KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit is expected to remain volatile next week, moving in the range between 4.24 and 4.26 against the US dollar, an analyst said. Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid told Bernama that apart from the United States (US) tariff, the next key question is whether the Federal Reserve (Fed) would cut the interest rates. On that note, he said key data points would be the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June. Thus far, the inflation rate has been quite manageable during the 90-day pause period. 'Obviously, the full implementation of reciprocal tariffs on August 1 would result in higher inflation, which could lead to the need to keep the Federal Fund Rate (FFR) steady as an ideal policy decision. 'The US dollar index (DXY) has been gradually climbing and therefore, emerging market currencies, including the ringgit, could stay on the low side,' Mohd Afzanizam said. Meanwhile, SPI Asset Management managing partner Stephen Innes also said the ringgit is expected to trade within a narrow range ahead of the release of the US CPI next week, a key economic event likely to shape market direction and the Fed policy expectations. The upcoming US inflation report, due Tuesday, would be closely watched by financial markets as it could offer clear signals on the path of interest rates, he said. Innes said markets are particularly focused on the core CPI month-on-month figure, with 0.3 per cent seen as the critical threshold. 'A softer-than-expected reading could revive hopes for a September rate cut by the Fed, potentially leading to a pullback in the US dollar and offering the ringgit some relief,' Innes said. However, he cautioned that a stronger print, particularly at 0.4 per cent or higher, would likely shift market expectations toward a more hawkish Fed, sparking renewed dollar strength. 'In that scenario, the US dollar-ringgit pair could climb toward 4.2700, although any initial spike may be short-lived if profit-taking emerges,' he noted. He projected the ringgit to trade within a tactical range of 4.2400 to 4.2650, with market positioning expected to tighten further. 'For now, the ringgit remains a passenger in a vehicle driven by US macro outcomes -- not a driver in its own right,' Innes added. On a Friday-to-Friday basis, the ringgit ended the week lower against the greenback, closing at 4.2475/2525 from 4.2180/2260 previously. The local note traded mostly higher against a basket of major currencies. The ringgit appreciated vis-a-vis the Japanese yen to 2.8893/8929 from 2.9225/9282, and increased against the British pound to 5.7524/7592 from 5.7601/7710 last Friday. However, it marginally fell versus the euro to 4.9679/9737 from 4.9675/9770 at the end of last week. Against ASEAN currencies, the ringgit was traded lower. The local note was down against the Singapore dollar to 3.3186/3228 from 3.3114/3182, and narrowed versus the Indonesian rupiah to 261.8/262.3 from 260.6/261.2 previously. It weakened versus the Thai baht to 13.0668/0886 from 13.0302/0609 and declined against the Philippine peso at 7.52/7.53 from 7.47/7.49 on last Friday.


Malay Mail
an hour ago
- Malay Mail
Trump's addictive tariff doctrine: Pinching, pummelling, and the price of global compliance — Phar Kim Beng
JULY 12 — The leaked audio of former President Donald J. Trump during a 2024 fundraiser—recently revealed by CNN—should not be dismissed as mere campaign bravado. When Trump admitted that he had initially asked for one million dollars but walked away with twenty-five times that amount, he sounded both amused and amazed. More revealing, however, was his offhand remark: 'It's about getting into the mindset.' That moment of candour explains far more than his fundraising psychology—it offers a blueprint for his foreign economic policy. Indeed, Trump's second presidency has been shaped not just by tariffs as an economic tool, but by tariffs as psychological warfare. Whether allies or adversaries, all are subject to his self-proclaimed principle of 'maximum extraction.' Tariffs are no longer just about market correction or economic protectionism; they are a means of tribute, coercion, and ultimately submission to Trump's worldview of American primacy. The executive order that redefined trade On January 20, 2025—the very first day of his second term—President Trump signed a sweeping Executive Order instructing the Secretary of Commerce and the Treasury Secretary to ensure that every possible tool be used to extract maximum revenue from global trade. Section B of the second paragraph of that Executive Order makes the objective brutally clear: to increase tariffs, duties, levies, and restrictions to yield up to US$400 billion in revenue for the US government within the calendar year. This is not trading policy. It is economic conquest. Unlike the tariffs of previous administrations that targeted dumping or strategic industries, Trump's approach is indiscriminate. It is premised on the idea that friends are easier to squeeze than enemies because they are less likely to retaliate in kind. 'It's easier to get more from friends—they won't fight back,' he was heard saying in another portion of the leaked audio. This has led to punitive tariffs on countries like Japan, South Korea, Germany, and Malaysia—nations that have historically enjoyed stable ties with the United States. Tariffs as tools of tribute Trump's method of tariff pummelling has three consistent features: First, it begins with a shock tariff—a sudden, often unannounced imposition of duties. This was evident on July 8, 2025, when the White House abruptly imposed 25 percent tariffs on key sectors from Asean, Japan, and South Korea, well before the previously floated deadline of August 1. The idea is to throw diplomatic teams off balance and create maximum psychological leverage. Second, Trump offers exemptions or 'carve-outs' as bargaining chips. Malaysia, for example, found its exports of semiconductors and integrated circuits—making up the bulk of its US$80 billion two-way trade with the US—exempted from the new tariffs. But this was no accident. Malaysia had just announced the purchase of 30 Boeing aircraft. The pattern is unmistakable: pay tribute in kind (defence purchases, foreign direct investments, or public endorsements of Trump), and you might receive reprieve. Third, he escalates the pressure through vague threats of future penalties. These are often announced at rallies or in interviews, keeping the world perpetually guessing about what comes next. The unpredictability is intentional, a form of controlled chaos that he believes gives America the upper hand in negotiations. Why the addiction? Trump's use of tariffs is not simply strategic. It is compulsive. The psychological high he receives from watching countries scramble to adjust, to mollify, or to appease him, feeds into a cycle of economic brinkmanship. His personal satisfaction seems rooted not in policy outcomes but in submission rituals—press conferences by foreign leaders pledging allegiance to US supply chains, or headlines about retaliatory restraint from trading partners. As former National Security Adviser John Bolton once observed, Trump sees foreign policy as a series of transactions. But in his second term, it has evolved into something more primal. The leaked audio proves that Trump sees economic policy as theatre—and he, the self-appointed master of ceremonies. The world is a stage for his psychological dominance. The friends he loves to punish The irony of Trump's doctrine is that it targets allies far more often than adversaries. China, for all its geopolitical rivalry with the US, remains cautiously respected by Trump for 'playing hardball.' On the other hand, allies like Canada, Germany, and South Korea are routinely slapped with tariffs not because they are unfair traders—but because they are perceived as 'too comfortable' under the US umbrella. In Asean's case, Trump's tactics are creating deep anxiety. Malaysia, as Group Chair of Asean and Chief Coordinator of Asean-China relations, finds itself pulled in multiple directions. While attempting to chart a neutral and balanced foreign policy, it is simultaneously exposed to unilateral US economic coercion. Even though key exports like semiconductors remain exempted, the message is clear: exemptions today can become punishments tomorrow, unless political alignment is made explicit. Revenue as power, not policy The US$400 billion target is not just about balancing America's books. It is about transforming revenue into geopolitical leverage. Trump believes that with enough economic weight, the US can force the world to comply with its rules—whether on trade, technology standards, digital taxation, or military basing rights. The logic is rooted in power, not principle. For Trump, tariffs are not a bridge to negotiation; they are a test of fealty. Countries that comply may get exemptions or defence guarantees. Those that resist face tariffs, travel bans, or diplomatic snubs. This reconfiguration of trade as tribute has turned even America's closest allies into cautious participants in an asymmetric relationship. Asean's narrow path Asean now faces the challenge of balancing Trump's tariff addiction with its own strategic autonomy. The region must avoid being perceived as either too accommodating or too resistant. Countries like Malaysia, Indonesia, and Vietnam must reinforce intra-regional trade, accelerate digital transformation, and deepen supply chain resilience to avoid being trapped in Trump's tariff vise. Track 2 diplomacy, regional summits, and multilateral coalitions—whether through Brics+, Asean+3, or the East Asia Summit—must be mobilised not to oppose the US, but to insulate against its erratic policies. If Trump's first term taught the world about disruption, his second term is teaching them about addiction—to tariffs, tribute, and total control. In conclusion, the Trump Doctrine in 2025 is not just about 'America First.' It is about 'America Extracts.' And as long as this addiction goes unchecked, the world must brace itself—not for another trade war, but for a global system held hostage by a leader who equates economic pain with political gain. * Phar Kim Beng is a professor of Asean Studies and Director of the Institute of Internationalization and Asean Studies at the International Islamic University of Malaysia ** This is the personal opinion of the writer or publication and does not necessarily represent the views of Malay Mail.