Yankees at Blue Jays Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 22
The Blue Jays won the opening game 4-1 behind a four-run fifth inning to extend its home winning streak to 11 games and five consecutive over the Yankees. New York is now 2-4 over the last six games, while Toronto has won four straight out the break.
Let's dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Yankees at Blue Jays
Date: Tuesday, July 22, 2025
Time: 7:07PM EST
Site: Rogers Centre
City: Toronto, ON
Network/Streaming: YES, Sportsnet
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
Odds for the Yankees at the Blue Jays
The latest odds as of Tuesday:
Moneyline: Yankees (+108), Blue Jays (-128)
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5
Total: 9.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Yankees at Blue Jays
Pitching matchup for July 22, 2025: Cam Schlittler vs. Max Scherzer
Yankees: Cam Schlittler, (1-0, 5.06 ERA)Last outing: 5.1 Innings Pitched, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 4 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 7 Strikeouts
Blue Jays: Max Scherzer, (1-0, 4.70 ERA)Last outing: 6.0 Innings Pitched, 3 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 1 Walk, and 8 Strikeouts
Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!
Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Yankees and the Blue Jays
Rotoworld Best Bet
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes the value on the Yankees to win the AL East:
'This series will be a defining one in the AL East race that has seen the Toronto Blue Jays take ahold of. Toronto is up in the series season and swept New York earlier in the season, so it's an ideal time for the Yankees to strike back.
The odds are down to plus-money on the Yankees to win the division, which could be back to -150 with a series win over the Blue Jays.'
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday's game between the Yankees and the Blue Jays:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Toronto Blue Jays on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the New York Yankees at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the under on the Game Total of 9.0.
Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC.
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Yankees at Blue Jays
New York is 1-0 in Schlittler's starts
Toronto has won three straight with Scherzer
The Blue Jays have won 7 of their last 8 matchups against AL East opponents
The Over is 4-1 in the Yankees' last 5 divisional matchups
The Blue Jays are up 3.62 units on the Run Line in their last 5 at home
If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
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Value: Right-handed power hitter Analysis: Seemingly an annual candidate to be moved at the deadline, Ward is a good right-handed power bat whose late-blooming career path has him under team control through 2026 despite already being 31. Ward has 25-homer power, generally crushing left-handers and holding his own against right-handers while posting an above-average OPS+ for the fifth straight season. But will the Angels finally decide to move him? Value: Elite bat for hire Analysis: As an impending free agent who slugged 79 homers the last two years, Ozuna's the most obvious piece for disappointing Atlanta to move. However, outside of a significant jump in walk rate, everything else is down this season. He's on pace for barely 20 homers as a strict DH, and his OPS has steadily declined since early June. He's been sitting of late. Ozuna also has 10-and-5 rights, allowing him to veto any trade. Value: High-end super-utility player Analysis: Castro can play anywhere, making at least 50 career starts at seven positions, and he's a switch hitter with good speed and an above-average bat, posting a 111 wRC+ in three years with the Twins. That makes him a smooth fit in just about any lineup as either a high-end utility player or a solid regular. Value: High-stuff young starter with potential Analysis: Teams don't usually trade 24-year-old righties that sit 96 and have struck out over a quarter of the batters they've seen while starting for a team in the AL East, but the Rays aren't normal like that. The Rays will also know that Bradley has poor command that isn't improving, that he hasn't developed an elite out pitch yet, that his stuff is declining already, and that his strikeout rate has started to look pedestrian. Then again, so will the other teams. Value: Closer with strong track record Analysis: Helsley figured to be one of the big fish available at the deadline — at least until the Cardinals perched themselves firmly in the postseason picture early in the season. St. Louis said recently it doesn't intend to deal from its bullpen, but it will re-assess throughout July — and their playoff odds have been steadily dropping throughout the month. A closer who's received down-ballot Cy Young votes in two of the last three seasons, Helsley hasn't been as sharp in 2025, with five blown saves. Unlike some other Cardinals, he'd be a pure rental. Value: Steady late-inning reliever Analysis: A mainstay of the Rays bullpen since 2019, Fairbanks has risen from middle-inning depth to late-inning stopper to go-to closer. His strikeout rate is down slightly, but Fairbanks still has good fastball velocity and an effective slider, and he's been consistent the past two seasons. He's never allowed many home runs, and didn't allow his first one this season until July 11. Acquiring teams could see him as a closer or as a veteran setup man, and his contract includes a $7 million team option to 2026. Value: Excellent defender at the hot corner Analysis: So we're gonna go out on a limb and suggest maybe, maybe, the Rockies should sell at this deadline. Part of Colorado's current malaise owes to front office inactivity at prior deadlines, and McMahon might be its best piece to dangle this time around. By now, McMahon is who he is as a hitter, striking out too much and producing at a level just below league average. But he's an outstanding defender and the kind of complementary piece that could help a contender into October. Value: High-end fourth outfielder Analysis: Laureano is having a terrific season at the plate. What's puzzling is the way he's doing it. The past two years established him as a platoon fourth outfielder to play against lefties, but this season he's hit far better against righties (still solid against lefties, but he's crushing right-handers). He's become more of a corner outfielder but can still play center, making him a strong fourth outfielder or second-tier regular with upside (if he can maintain these numbers against righties). Value: Top defensive outfielder with some pop Analysis: This trade market could be thin on outfielders, especially right-handed-hitting outfielders. Bader could help fill that void. He remains a very strong defender, capable of playing left, right or center, and he's been a slightly above-league-average hitter with enough power to be dangerous. He also can still run a little bit. The total package is a solid outfield regular. Value: Versatile veteran arm Analysis: Martinez won't wow you with stuff — his vulcan changeup is the only pitch that's above average in that regard — but he throws six pitches with good command of each. Despite his poor strikeout rate, he's been able to limit the walk rate and keep hitters guessing enough that they don't do lots of damage when they connect. While this year hasn't gone as well as the end of last season did for Martinez, he returned from a brief stint in the bullpen by taking a no-hitter into the ninth inning in his last start of June. He has a lot of experience as a starter and as a reliever in the same season, and his versatility makes him a great pickup for a team that just needs an arm to help it get to October. Value: Emerging force in bullpen Analysis: The primary results have caught up to the peripheral ones for Detmers, who carried a 22-inning stretch without allowing an earned run for nearly two months. The lefty has above-average Stuff+ on three different deliveries as well as above-average Location+. His strikeout rate during his outstanding June was just under 40 percent. An under-the-radar candidate in June, Detmers now may be too good for the Angels to move. Value: Versatile arm seeking consistency Analysis: Soroka was an under-the-radar target for a lot of teams last winter, thanks to the outstanding second half he'd put together as a reliever for the White Sox. Moved back to the rotation in Washington, he's dealt with another injury (a biceps strain this time) and some inconsistency. Despite a pedestrian ERA, Soroka still excels at a lot of things teams really value today: He owns good strikeout, walk, and ground-ball rates, and he keeps the ball off the barrel. Plus, his experience last season makes Soroka a flexible fit: He can fill out your rotation in the short term and then slide to the bullpen later in the year. Value: Low-walk, low-strikeout starting pitcher Analysis: In a 12-year professional career, Littell has been traded twice, sold once, and claimed off waivers. He's also been a free agent two times. But if he changes teams again at the deadline, it will finally be a transaction you actually notice. That's because Littell has emerged from obscurity to become yet another productive Rays starter. He's given up a lot of home runs this year, and doesn't strike out many batters, but doesn't walk many either, and he's consistently minimized damage through two-plus seasons in the Rays rotation. The Rays are very much in the playoff hunt, but they also have some Triple-A rotation depth in Joe Boyle and Ian Seymour, and ace Shane McClanahan could return from the IL sometime after the deadline. The team's roster-churning style could lead them to deal Littell before he becomes a free agent at season's end. Value: Back-end rotation stability Analysis: A once-touted prospect who quietly became a two-time All-Star in his 30s, Anderson is a dependable back-end starter for a contender in need of rotation stability. He has roughly league-average numbers (100 ERA+), but he's also tied for the second-most starts in the majors, and he's allowed more than four runs only three times. Anderson is rarely dominant but typically steady, which has value as teams worry about workload and depth down the stretch. His contract expires at the end of the year, which surely increases the motivation for the Angels — who are vaguely in contention — to consider moving him. Value: Right-handed power hitter Analysis: García is a below-average hitter for the second straight season, and at 32 it's possible his middle-of-the-order days are over. But the two-time All-Star still has big power and remains an excellent defensive outfielder with a great arm. Memories of his amazing 2023 postseason run could convince some teams to bet on there being gas left in the tank. And if García gets back on track in the second half, his new club would have him under 2026 control via arbitration. Value: Resurgent veteran starter Analysis: The curveball never left him, but Charlie Morton's fastball seemed like it was gone for good in the early goings this year. He was sent to the pen for a bit, and he pulled his fastball velocity back up to the nintey-fours and -fives again, where it stayed when he returned to the rotation. Since that day, he's sporting a 3.69 ERA with the peripherals to support it. Interested teams will also note, however, that the velocity has been dipping again in the last two starts and may have had something to do with a bad outing against the Rays. Value: Closer for hire Analysis: Top five saves since 2023, Estévez is a proven closer who's remained effective despite losing a mph off his fastball this season. His strikeouts are down, and batted ball data suggests he's been a bit lucky in run prevention, but he's done a good enough job limiting base runners to be an All-Star for the second time in his career. Estévez is signed through next season with a team option for 2027, so an acquiring team would be banking on him remaining effective at last one more season. Value: Left-handed platoon bat Analysis: Overall, Sánchez is a slightly above-average hitter, but he has one superpower: He hits right-handers especially well. The past three seasons, Sánchez's wRC+ against righties is on par with Eugenio Suárez, Julio Rodríguez and Steven Kwan. He's maintained strong splits against righties this year. Sánchez doesn't hit lefties — he's been especially bad against them this year — but he's a decent corner outfielder with a good arm, and he's plenty productive in a platoon. He also has two years of arbitration eligibility remaining, meaning teams can acquire him as more than a short-term rental. Value:Injured former All-Star center fielder Analysis: Robert has struggled since being a first-time All-Star in 2023, batting in the low .200s with a sub-.650 OPS and 32 percent strikeout rate. That makes his deadline value tricky to assess in the final guaranteed season of his contract, but the White Sox should be motivated to get whatever value they can. It's getting harder to imagine any contender viewing his $20 million team options for 2026 and 2027 as valuable. His defense and speed still shine at 27, and Robert still has plenty of raw power, but his strike-zone control going from bad to worse makes him a deadline wild card. Value: Light-hitting center fielder Analysis: Thomas' middling bat and Arizona's strong outfield depth could create the right conditions for trading the former Top 100 prospect. He may always be a bottom-of-the-order hitter, but teams that view Thomas as a legit glove in center field will be just fine to fill the position with someone under team control through 2028. Value: Left-handed platoon bat Analysis: Larnach isn't much of a fielder in either corner spot and doesn't hit lefties, but his .785 OPS versus righties the past two seasons would boost plenty of lineups with a mix of power and patience. He's under team control through 2027, but the Twins might be ready to move on from the 2018 first-round pick after years of average-ish hitting. Value: Veteran mid-rotation starter Analysis: The Orioles have probably dug too far a hole and have too much long-term work to do on their pitching staff for the organization to hold expiring deals for a slim playoff chance at the deadline. With Zach Eflin, Tomoyuki Sugano and Charlie Morton all finishing their deals at the end of the season, it behooves Baltimore to get whatever prospect arms it can, preferably on the higher-upside, lower-floor spectrum of things. Unfortunately for Eflin, a brutal three-start stretch at the end of June led to an IL stint for back discomfort, which is why a starter with his track record has a ranking this low. Value: Young lefty starter with an extra year of control Analysis: The good news is that Trevor Rogers got back the tick that he lost last year on his fastball, isn't even due a million bucks over the rest of the season, and also comes with an extra year of team control. The bad news is that his current results aren't really supported by his peripherals. His strikeout minus walk rate is almost exactly average, as is his fastball velocity (even when compared solely to lefty starters). Other than the addition of a sweeper — which is usually a pitch you avoid throwing to opposite-handed hitters — his arsenal is unchanged from the one that has produced an exactly league average park-adjusted ERA over his entire career. But, hey, league average. For cheap. Value: Reliever excelling for bad team Analysis: It's too bad the rest of the roster is what it is, because Colorado's bullpen isn't half-bad. And Bird's been the best of that group, with a strikeout rate near 30 percent and a ground-ball rate just under 50 percent. His park-adjusted FIP is in line with that of Emmanuel Clase. Bird's slider against righties and curveball against lefties are each effective, rendering him platoon-neutral. He's not even in arbitration yet, so an acquiring team would control him through 2028. Value: Soft-tossing lefty starter Analysis: Patrick Corbin. Andrew Heaney. Jeffrey Springs. Take your pick if you want a lefty starter who can help you get to the postseason before turning into a matchups play or long reliever in October. There's not that much difference in terms of stuff, predictive process numbers, or projections between the three. Springs has had the best recent season of the group, but he's also lost a lot of velocity and isn't quite the same guy he was when he was so good in 2022. Value: High chase rate out of bullpen Analysis: After bouncing through four other organizations in a four-year span, Santana has unlocked something with Pittsburgh. Since being claimed by the Pirates last June, he's exchanged his sinker for a four-seamer, thrown his slider more than any other pitch, and become a top-10 reliever in the sport with an ERA in line with those of Edwin Díaz and Jason Adam. He makes up for an average strikeout rate by not handing out free passes. Most appealing might be the way he's become a menace to left-handed batters, who are hitting below .100 against him this season without an extra-base hit. Value: Batting champ in down season Analysis: We should be clear: We expect the Padres to be buyers. But we can envision a scenario in which San Diego looks to move money off its current roster to add it elsewhere, and Arraez, with his larger salary and imperfect defensive fit, makes the most sense for that kind of move. (That's why Dylan Cease and Robert Suarez aren't on this list.) Arraez is a throwback, a no-true-outcomes player who puts the ball in play in more than 90 percent of his plate appearances. A batting champion in each of the last three seasons, he's ridden those contact skills to above-average offensive production each year of his career. Until this one, so far, where he's hitting below .300 for the first time since 2021. Arraez has also slipped down the defensive spectrum to where he's a first baseman now, where the offensive bar is much higher to clear. Value: Switch-hitter with a long contract Analysis: Reynolds is three years into the largest contract in team history, so any acquiring team would have to be cool with the $76 million he's owed over the five seasons after this one. That's not necessarily a bad rate for a switch-hitter who was 20 percent better than the league average with 25 homers per year from 2022 through 2024. This year has been worse, largely because of a hideous 2-for-45 stretch in early May. Since then, his OPS is over .800. Value: Oft-injured veteran starter Analysis: An impending free agent two seasons removed from his second Tommy John surgery, Paddack shows flashes of front-line upside but hasn't posted an ERA better than league average or surpassed 110 innings since 2019. He's not part of the Twins' future plans and can fill out the back of a contender's rotation. Dropped from the previous Big Board: Alex Bregman (2), Aroldis Chapman (19), Ramón Urías (34), Chris Martin (35), Lucas Giolito (36) (Illustration of Eugenio Suárez, Joe Ryan and Zac Gallen: Will Tullos / The Athletic; Images: Christian Petersen, Matt Krohnx / Getty Images, Houston Astros)
