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Rupee posts best week since Jan 2023 as oil prices slide; ends below 85.5/$

Rupee posts best week since Jan 2023 as oil prices slide; ends below 85.5/$

The Indian rupee strengthened for the second consecutive day on Friday, supported by likely inflows from global funds and a weaker dollar index.
The domestic currency closed 22 paise higher at 85.49, a day after closing at 86.71 against the dollar, according to Bloomberg. The currency has depreciated by around 0.1 per cent so far this month, making it one of the worst-performing Asian currencies.
On a weekly basis, the currency saw its best week since January 2023, driven mainly by a plunge in crude oil prices amid Iran-Israel conflicts.
Rupee traded strong as the dollar index continued its weak trend below the 97 mark, according to Jateen Trivedi, VP research analyst - commodity and currency at LKP Securities. The rupee has strengthened over the last few sessions, supported by easing tensions in West Asia and a sharp 12-14 per cent drop in crude prices, he said.
Inflows dominated outflows yesterday, lifting the rupee by 38 paise, and a similar trend is anticipated today, according to Anil Kumar Bhansali, head of treasury and executive director at Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP. "However, potential outflows from oil payments, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) dollar purchases, and global funds buying may cap gains."
A significant outflow of around $1 billion could also occur due to JSW Paints' acquisition of Akzo Nobel, Bhansali said, adding that the final day of the HDB Financial issue could trigger additional inflows.
The dollar index was slightly higher driven by hopes for a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve. The first quarter consumer spending grew at the weakest pace since the pandemic. The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was up 0.10 per cent at 97.24.
On Thursday, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said that US President Donald Trump could extend the July 9 deadline to impose reciprocal tariffs in a bid to secure deals with other trading nations. This sent the equity market higher on Wall Street.
Meanwhile, crude oil prices were headed for weekly losses as concerns over West Asia cleared after the Iran-Israel ceasefire. Brent crude price was up 0.69 per cent at $68.20 per barrel, while WTI crude prices were higher by 0.74 per cent at 65.72, as of 3:35 PM IST.

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Turmeric farmers part of PM Modi's vision of $1 billion exports by 2030: Amit Shah
Turmeric farmers part of PM Modi's vision of $1 billion exports by 2030: Amit Shah

Hans India

time23 minutes ago

  • Hans India

Turmeric farmers part of PM Modi's vision of $1 billion exports by 2030: Amit Shah

Hyderabad: Union Home Minister and Minister of Cooperation, Amit Shah, after inaugurating the headquarters of the National Turmeric Board in Nizamabad on Sunday, said, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has fulfilled a 40-year-old demand of millions of turmeric farmers across the country, particularly in Telangana. Addressing a farmer's meeting where he had also unveiled the logo of the NTB, he said 'This promise made by the Prime Minister is now being realized. Nizamabad, known as the turmeric capital for decades and a location where farmers have cultivated turmeric for centuries, has not seen its product reach global markets until now.' However, with the formation of the National Turmeric Board, 'Turmeric from Nizamabad will be exported to many countries within the next 3-4 years,' he added. Amit Shah mentioned that once the NTB begins its operations, farmers will be free from the shackles of the middlemen. 'The Board will create a comprehensive chain for turmeric packaging, branding, marketing, and export.' Highlighting the medicinal properties of turmeric, Shah said, 'It is anti-viral, anti-cancer, and anti-inflammatory, and is recognized worldwide as a wonder drug. Consuming even a small amount can address multiple health issues simultaneously.' He also noted the beginning of production and marketing of GI-tagged organic turmeric.' Amit Shah said that the Centre has set a target of achieving one billion dollars in turmeric exports by 2030, 'with all necessary preparations already in place. The National Turmeric Board will ensure that farmers receive maximum value for their products, promote turmeric consumption in international markets, and publicise the medicinal benefits of Indian turmeric worldwide.' Additionally, the Board will ensure that the quality and safety standards of Indian turmeric meet global benchmarks, arrange for appropriate packaging, and provide training and skill development to farmers on effective harvesting techniques to prevent export-related obstacles. The Union Home Minister further added that research and development on the health benefits of turmeric will be conducted to showcase these advantages globally. He underscored that Nizamabad, Jagtial, Nirmal, and Kamareddy districts of the State are among the top turmeric-producing areas in the country. He recalled that in 2025, turmeric farmers received prices between Rs 18,000 to Rs 19,000 per quintal. Concerted efforts are underway to increase the price to an additional Rs 6,000 to Rs 7,000 per quintal over the next three years. In the 2023-24 season, turmeric was cultivated in 3,00,000 hectares in India, yielding 10.74 lakh tonnes. The Union Minister highlighted that Prime Minister Modi established National Cooperative Exports Limited (NCEL) to assist farmers engaged in exports and National Cooperative Organics Limited (NCIL) for those involved in organic farming. Shah noted that Modi has cultivated a culture of keeping promises, and the commitment made in 2023 to establish the National Trade Bureau (NTB) has been fulfilled.

Does your kid want to be the next Kohli, Ronaldo? Financial planning for kid's sports career needs a different strategy than for education, here's a guide
Does your kid want to be the next Kohli, Ronaldo? Financial planning for kid's sports career needs a different strategy than for education, here's a guide

Economic Times

time29 minutes ago

  • Economic Times

Does your kid want to be the next Kohli, Ronaldo? Financial planning for kid's sports career needs a different strategy than for education, here's a guide

iStock Financially planning for your child's sports career is vastly different from planning for other needs of your child, be it higher education or more. Hence, this should not be approached in a conventional way. Traditional Indian wisdom and lore have never quite celebrated the virtues of sport as a career, allowing it to languish in the shadow of academic pursuits. The new India, however, is starting to wonder why. Even as a young brigade of sporting icons—Neeraj Chopra (athletics), Manu Bhaker (shooting), Lakshya Sen (badminton), D. Gukesh (chess)—is making a place for itself in the societal psyche, the stodgy Indian parent has found other reasons to warm up to this career option for kids. For one, parents' improved earning and saving ability means that they can provide a financial cushion to the child wanting to explore it as a career path without relying on it as a source of livelihood. Even if the child is unable to scale sporting stardom, they can fund his education to gain lateral entry into a vast array of aligned career options, be it sports management, science and analytics, psychology or coaching, which can also be prestigious and financially rewarding. Financial wherewithal also means they can secure the best facilities and training to ensure the child can compete with the top players in the world. Ajit Menon did just that by sending his son to Madrid, Spain, for football training in 2022. 'Once I realised his seriousness and passion for what he wanted to do, I wanted to pull out all stops to make it possible for him,' says Menon, who is the CEO of PGIM India Mutual Fund. His son, Aymaan, joined the Aquinas American School in Madrid when he was just 15 years old because it had a school program run by one of the top professional football clubs, Getafe CF. A big pull for parents is also the improved financial earnings in terms of prize money and corporate sponsorships for sports other than cricket. Add to it the government nudge, such as the Khelo India initiative, which offers improved infrastructure, training and opportunities, and there is a better chance for kids to compete at the global scale and turn it into a financially viable profession. AYMAANMENON, 18 yrsMumbai/Madrid (Spain) Parents: Ajit & Alinaa, both 54 yrs CAREER GOALReturn to India and play in Indian Super League (football). CAREER TIMELINE 2014Started playing at 8 years. 2014-21 Local football leagues. 2021 Attended 10-day Advanced Real Madrid football camp in Spain. 2022 Joined school in Madrid tied up with Getafe CF (football academy). 2025 Started undergrad at Universidad Europea + professional football club. EXPENSE TIMELINE 2022-2024Rs.30 lakh a year (schooling + Getafe club in Madrid). 2025 onwards Rs.30-35 lakh a year (graduation + football clubs in Madrid). FINANCIAL PLANNING Goal estimate in 2015 Rs.75 lakh Revised estimate in 2025 Rs.1.25 crore Current corpus: 75% of the goal funded. Invested in: Currently mutual funds. Despite this optimistic scenario and emergence of the new sporting ecosystem, there are several financial challenges and risks that plague this career option. 'Pursuing a sports career in India involves high risk with no guaranteed returns. Performance risk is significant; despite talent, few reach elite levels. Injuries can abruptly end careers, and the financial burden of coaching, travel and gear is steep and front-loaded,' says Naveen Gogia, Founder & Managing Director, Creed Capital. Ignorance about training expenses, lack of financial preparedness, and need for a back-up plan are among the primary hurdles that parents of sporting aspirants typically deal with. In the cover story this week, we shall try to explain how to overcome these and other shortcomings that are endemic to this career option. Financial challenges When a child wants to pursue a sports career, the immediate concern for parents is financing the journey so that he can avail of the best training. While the initial costs at the recreational level of play are low and manageable, the sudden jump in expenses when he transitions to professional training comes as a Kolkata-based tennis aspirant, Krishnav Jhunjhunwala, 15, first picked up a tennis racket at 6-7 years, the cost was barely Rs.5,000-6,000 a month, including his coaching fee and gear expenses. After initiating professional training at 10-11 years, the expenses shot up nearly 10 times to Rs.50,000-60,000 a month. 'The coaching fee itself has gone up from Rs.3,000 to Rs.15,000, while the beginner rackets that cost Rs.4,000-6,000 have been upgraded and are much more expensive,' says Ashish, Krishnav's father. Krishnav, meanwhile, is making progress; he has won the All India Tennis Association's (AITA) tournament in Sonepat and reached the semi-finals in of the sport, most kids start playing at around 6-7 years, at which point the costs are nominal at Rs.5,000-6,000 a month because it only comprises club or academy fee (Rs.2,000-5,000 a month) and basic equipment or clothes. Within 3-4 years, the child's talent or dedication are clearly visible, and if the parents introduce professional coaching, the prices surge, as do the cost heads. Professional stage Besides professional coaching fee, parents need to shell out on physical (gym training) and mental fitness (psychologist), advanced equipment and gear, diet and nutrition, as well as match fees for tournaments, which require frequent travel by the kid and parent.'At professional level for, say, badminton, it can cost anywhere between Rs.9-15 lakh per annum because a domestic tournament will cost Rs.50,000-60,000 a week and even as a beginner you will play 5-6 tournaments a year,' says Supriya Devgun, Founder of Badminton Gurukul, an academy co-founded with badminton legend Pullela Gopichand, that aims to bring affordable training to young aspirants.'Before reaching the elite bracket, players typically incur substantial travel and accommodation expenses throughout the year to participate in international level chess tournaments which are necessary to gain ratings,' says Sandeep Singhal, Managing Partner, WestBridge Capital, and Cofounder, WestBridge Anand Chess Academy, the brainchild of chess whiz Viswanathan Anand and Viswan, mom to 18-year-old Omkar Vinod—Kerala's No.1 squash player and currently ranked 18 in India—has tried to bring down the travel costs to Rs.15,000-20,000 per tournament. 'We either try to stay with relatives or he travels alone to cut down the expenses,' says the Bengaluru-based startup owner, who took upon herself the task of navigating his sporting career after her husband's demise in Warrier, meanwhile, has estimated a cost of Rs.25 lakh a year from this year onwards as his 16-year-old son, Jaitirth, the South Zone No.1 golf player, readies to shift gears. 'He is playing the junior national circuit and is aiming to turn pro in four years' time. Last year, he played 10 tournaments and this number is going to double now,' says the Bengaluru-based father who was an NRI for 14 years and returned to India only in 2024. JAITIRTHWARRIER, 16 yrs Bengaluru Parents: Ranjit & Aparna, 53 & 50 yrs CAREER GOALBecome a professional golfer. CAREER TIMELINE 2015Started playing at 6 years in Lagos, Nigeria. Jan 2024 Started competitive golf. 2024 Ranked No. 1 in South Zone 2025 Playing junior national circuit. Aims to turn pro in four years. EXPENSE TIMELINE Current expenseRs.13 lakh a year (coaching, equipment, travel, nutrition, tournament fees, fitness, mental coaching) 2025 onwards (estimated) Rs.25 lakh a year FINANCIAL PLANNING Goal estimate in 2015Rs.4-5 crore Current corpus Rs.6 crore (for education & golf for 3-5 years) Invested in: Real estate, stocks, mutual funds, fixed deposits, insurance plans, gold. How much does training cost at different stages? Figures are indicative and may vary as per sport and talent. In elite stage, costs are cut if the child gets reward money, sponsors or endorsements. If child is also studying as a back-up plan, it may require an additional Rs.10-20 lakh at 17-18 professional coaching fee can range from Rs.10,000-30,000 a month, depending on the child's talent and the academy or coach's experience, equipment cost varies according to the sport. 'Golf or shooting would be 3-4 times more expensive because the equipment and training costs are higher, with a single golf class costing around Rs.2,000,' says Devgun. For 3-4 times a week, it could add up to Rs.30,000 a month only in coaching fee for professional coaching in cricket can also be Rs.2,000-3,000 an hour and the total cost could go up to Rs.40,000-50,000 a month. 'Cricket, like golf, is a rich man's sport now and needs money if one is serious about turning professional,' says Farhad Daruwala, Founder of Rising Star Cricket Academy in Mumbai, that trains under-privileged kids.'Critically, inflation of sports equipment tends to be much higher than general inflation and imported items are more expensive. This means a 10% general inflation could translate to 15-20% for sports gear,' says Atul Shinghal, Founder & CEO, Scripbox. So a tennis racket can easily come for Rs.20,000 today, while the cost of shooting equipment or golf clubs can run into lakhs. 'Swimming costumes at competitive level can cost Rs.35,000-40,000 and can be worn only 8-9 times,' says Jhunjhunwala, whose daughter had earlier reached national school level championships in while money is needed at this stage, there are few or virtually no sponsors till the time the kid reaches the elite stage and gains recognition or wins tournaments. 'Nobody wants to invest in a non-achiever; only known talents fit the bill. While CSR funds, scholarships and sponsorships are offered to the top talent, it is actually needed by the upcoming talent. If costs are to be brought down, the answer is to integrate sports with education,' suggests government does provide funds to the Sports Authority of India (SAI) and the National Sports Development Fund (NSDF) for various initiatives and schemes, and some non-banking financial corporations like Avanse Financial Services offer loans as well, but bank loans are not easy to come by. 'The parents of India's Saina Nehwal, former world number one badminton player, famously took loans for her early badminton career, as individual sports are largely self-funded by parents until elite success,' agrees Shinghal. Elite stage As the child progresses and begins to win tournaments and get ranked at the domestic or international level, the costs surge even further. 'At the elite level, training remains the most significant area of investment, including personalised coaching, access to top-tier trainers, game preparation support, and advanced analytical tools. Travel is another major expense given the international nature of toplevel chess tournaments,' says WestBridge's international tournaments easily costing Rs.2-3 lakh per tour, including air fare and accommodation, the overall cost of training can jump to Rs.20-30 lakh a year. This involves advanced, personalised and intensified coaching, more rigorous physical and mental fitness and physio, and a rise in the number of tournaments to participate good news is that at this stage, some income and financial support start to come in in the form of prize money from wins, sponsorships, CSR funds (corporate social responsibility funds), scholarships, or even public sector jobs. This brings down the costs and eases the financial burden. This is the reason Viswan is planning to start looking for a sponsor from next year as Vinod's all-India ranking has shot up from 235 in 2023 to 18 now, and the reason Jhunjhunwala is looking for colleges that offer scholarships for tennis training for Krishnav. Time for a back-up plan Despite Devgun's assertion that a back-up plan takes away from the focus of reaching top levels, most parents prefer to reach for the safety net of education while allowing their kids to pursue sports. 'Without early financial planning and a strong Plan B, the journey can become financially and emotionally draining,' says Sumit Duseja, Co-founder and CEO, Truemind Capital and Sebi-registered investment adviser: 'There is a very low chance to be a successful sportsperson in India. Hence, a Plan B should always be in place as a fall-back option that supports the child in case success is not achieved as desired.''One needs to have a back-up plan because there is no guarantee in sports. I have given Vinod a time limit of five years to prove himself. He, too, isn't yet sure whether he wants to be a professional squash player or go in an allied field like sports science,' says Viswan. 'Krishnav is excelling in studies, scoring 97.8% in his ICSE class 10 exams last year. As long as he says his studies will not be affected, I'll do everything he wants to do in tennis. Besides, what will he do after 10 years given the short career span? If he doesn't reach the top level, he will opt for engineering in data science or AI,' says Jhunjhunwala. KRISHNAV JHUNJHUNWALA,15 yrs,Kolkata Parents: Ashish & Nidhi, 48 & 46 yrs CAREER GOALProfessional tennis player/engineering. CAREER TIMELINE 2016-17Started playing at 6-7 years. 2020 Professional training and coaching. 2024 Won AITA tournament in Sonepat. Reached AITA semifinals in Kolkata. 2025 West Bengal U-16 ranked No. 5, U-18 ranked No. 7. EXPENSE TIMELINE Initial expenseRs.50,000-60,000 a year Current expense Rs.3-4 lakh a year (coaching, equipment, travel, nutrition, travel, tournament fees, fitness) FINANCIAL PLANNING Goal estimate in 2015Rs.15-20 lakh Current corpus Rs.20-25 lakh Invested in: Kisan Vikas Patra, with varying maturities for liquidity; stocks and mutual funds. NAVEEN GOGIAFOUNDER & MANAGING DIRECTOR, CREED CAPITAL Note:'Pursuing a sports career in India involves high risk, with no guaranteed returns. The financial burden is also steep and front-loaded.' Education vs sports:Why financial strategy differs It's also the reason Menon is spending Rs.30-35 lakh a year, combining Aymaan's football training with his graduation in sports science from one of the top European universities in Spain, Universidad Europea. Warrier too has kept `6 crore corpus for Jaitirth for the next 3-5 years, either for education or golf. He also insists on a four-year degree course, and possibly post-graduation as well. 'If he doesn't reach the required heights, he can get into sports psychology or sports management. The four years will also give him the time to prove himself in golf,' he says.'From 18-21, the child either turns pro or pursues college sports abroad, and international education may require Rs.25-50 lakh. By 22-30, the focus shifts to career transition. Successful athletes need long-term planning and passive income strategies; others may use a pre-built Plan B fund to pivot to alternate careers,' says Gogia. Financial planning Financial planning for a sports career is different from that for education goals for various reasons (see Education vs sports). For one, large sums of money can be required at an early age and staggered across a longer period. The higher risk, uncertainty and shorter career spans also call for a unique multi-pronged approach.'Higher education can be a preplanned activity, with the knowledge of approximate cost structure and when the funds will be required. Sports is a skill-based career and one is not aware of the level of competence the child will achieve. These are unknowns for which you have to plan a higher budget, and the plan needs to evolve with skill development,' says Dinesh Rohira, Founder & CEO, requires phased, proactive planning that balances long-term growth, short-term liquidity, and flexibility,' says Gogia. So you need to plan for short-, medium- and longterm expenses in varying instruments. 'It also needs to be slightly open-ended and a secondary budget should also be planned for triggers and sudden changes,' says Rohira. OMKAR VINOD18 yrs Bengaluru Parent: Sandhya Viswan, 49 yrs CAREER GOALProfessional squash player or aligned field in sports. CAREER TIMELINE 2016Started at 9 years, played tournaments. 2018 Ranked No. 1 in Kerala. 2023 Started professional training and being ranked in U-19 category. 2025 Has been Kerala No. 1 since 2018 & all-India No. 18 in U-19. EXPENSE TIMELINE Initial expenseRs.50,000 a year Current expense Rs.4-5 lakh a year (coaching, equipment, travel, nutrition, tournament fees, fitness) FINANCIAL PLANNING Goal estimate in 2012Rs.25 lakh Current corpus Rs.50 lakh (includes other brother's Rs.25 lakh who doesn't need it) Invested in: Traditional insurance plans. 'In the first phase (5-10 years), moderate but consistent investment in basic coaching and equipment is needed; second phase (11-16 years) calls for high, rapidly increasing costs for advanced coaching, tournaments, nutrition and physio; the third phase of elite training (17-21 years) sees peak expenditure for national/international tournaments, professional academies and sports psychologists; and finally, after 21 years, there is potential income generation or investment for an alternative education/career path,' says a first step, start SIPs in equity funds (large, flexi, or multi cap) at the earliest in order to build a large corpus for the long term, which can be used for higher expenses or Plan B needs. You can also invest in the PPF for tax-free payouts and safety.'For this core corpus, I invested nearly 50% in real estate, and the remaining in multiple assets, including stocks, mutual funds, insurance and gold,' says Warrier. 'It's extremely important to hire a financial planner and have a written plan for this goal. I invested in multiple assets, but am currently relying primarily on mutual funds,' says Menon. For medium-term requirements (3-7 year horizon), start SIPs in balanced advantage funds or fixed deposits of varying maturities that can be broken without incurring penalties as and when the need arises. 'I invested in a large number of Post Office Kisan Vikas Patra with small sums and varying maturities for both my children's sports expenses in the second phase,' says Jhunjhunwala. Next, keep an operational buffer for short-term (1-3 year horizon) expenses like equipment and gear purchase or domestic tournaments, investing in liquid, arbitrage or ultra short-duration funds, or even sweep-in fixed deposits. SUPRIYA DEVGUNFOUNDER & MD, BADMINTON GURUKUL Note:'While CSR funds, scholarships and sponsorships are offered to the top talent, it's actually needed by the upcoming talent.' Given the high risk of injury, it is also crucial to have Rs.50 lakh-1 crore medical and personal accident insurance.'If earnings begin, consider setting up a trust or HUF for tax-efficient structuring. In the career phase (after 21 years), preserve wealth with a diversified mix of equity, debt, and REITs, and create passive income through annuities or systematic withdrawals. Throughout, avoid over-locking your capital; in sports, flexibility is just as important as performance,' says Gogia.'It's also important to review the plan on a regular basis, in six months or one year, depending on the career progress of the child,' advises Rohira. Long-term investment For core corpusStart saving for the child's goal, be it sport or education, at birth. This will help build a large corpus for expensive, professional training if he chooses a sport. Or, if the sports career doesn't work out, it can be used for education in aligned fields later. Where to invest Large-cap, multi-cap or flexi-cap equity mutual funds; PPF. Medium-term investment For professional trainingIn the second phase of his training between 11 and 16 years, expenses will suddenly spiral as he moves from casual to professional training and large sums will be needed for coaching, equipment and tours for tournaments. Where to invest Balanced advantage and equity savings funds, or medium-term fixed deposits for staggered withdrawals. Short-term investment For operational expenses You will need some funds throughout his sporting journey for equipment and gear, fitness, travel and coaching fees. Where to invest Liquid or ultra short-duration funds, or sweep-in fixed deposits. No trending terms available.

Asian stocks, US futures rise as trade talks progress
Asian stocks, US futures rise as trade talks progress

Economic Times

time29 minutes ago

  • Economic Times

Asian stocks, US futures rise as trade talks progress

Live Events (You can now subscribe to our (You can now subscribe to our ETMarkets WhatsApp channel Asian stocks rose along with equity-index futures as record-high US stocks and progress in trade negotiations boosted risk MSCI Asia-Pacific index advanced 0.3% at the open Monday. The Nikkei 225 index jumped by more than 1% after Japan's top negotiator extended his stay in the US for further trade talks ahead of a July 9 deadline. Contracts for the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq 100 rose 0.3%. A gauge of the dollar dipped 0.1% as Senate negotiations continued over President Donald Trump's $4.5 trillion tax-cut oil fell 1% as traders wound back risk premiums before the OPEC+ meeting. Treasuries slipped, with the yield on the 10-year rising about 1 basis point to 4.28%.On Friday, US stocks rose to a fresh all-time high for the first time since February, underscoring the conviction the economy is withstanding policy uncertainties. Trump in April put tariffs on dozens of trading partners on pause for three months, providing a boost for equities. A gauge of Asian stocks is set to climb more than 4% for a second month as investors look past tariff angst and recent tensions the Middle East.'The momentum and trends seen in risky markets portray an almost nirvana environment in which to operate,' Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone Group, wrote in a note. Rapid reduction of geopolitical risks and expectations about imminent trade deals are 'all adding tailwinds to risk markets.'India's trade team extended its stay in Washington to iron out differences as the two sides look to clinch a deal before the July 9 deadline, people familiar with the matter said. Trump also said he doesn't think he'll need to extend the market's resilience may be seen as complacent with traders 'eating up' the Trump administration's rhetoric, said Kyle Rodda, a senior market analyst at in Melbourne. Markets could trend higher should the aggregate tariff rate fall following the deadline, or face 'some reversal' if deals don't materialize, he US inflation and easing uncertainty in trade tensions have helped improve market sentiment this month. The S&P 500 index has gained 10% this quarter, its sixth advance in seven quarters. A gauge of the dollar has tumbled 6.3% this quarter, on pace for its biggest decline since December 2022.'The recent conflict in the Middle East is a reminder, both that new policy shocks can surface, but also that unless the worst outcomes materialize, they can create a 'wall of worry' for markets to climb,' Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists including Kamakshya Trivedi wrote in a negotiations over Trump's tax cut bill are continuing as Republicans seek to convince holdouts to support it for final passage, with a vote set to spill into Monday. The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimates the measure would add nearly $3.3 trillion to US deficits over a will soon shift to Chinese manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs later Monday as traders assess the impact Trump's trade war on its economy.'Market participants will closely watch if new export orders in the manufacturing PMIs recover further after the US and China agreed on a trade truce in mid-May,' Commonwealth Bank of Australia strategists including Kristina Clifton wrote in a note to clients.

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