
US, China Start Second Day of Talks for Tariff Truce Extension
Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent arrived before 10:30 a.m. in Stockholm for their third round of meetings in less than three months. The agenda includes giving more time for negotiations on issues including export controls and US levies tied to fentanyl trafficking, as well as Chinese purchases of sanctioned oil from Russia and Iran.
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Should I refinance my mortgage in 2025?
If you got your mortgage in the past couple of years, chances are you want to refinance to a lower rate. But whether you should refinance depends on more than just rates. Let's look at where mortgage rates could be headed and what you should consider when thinking about refinancing in 2025 and beyond. Will mortgage rates go down further in 2025? After record lows, hikes to the Federal funds rate drove mortgage rates higher beginning in 2022. In October 2023, mortgage rates peaked above 8 percent, but they have since drifted downward, with economic data sending rates under 7 percent in recent months. Rates sit just below 7 percent on average at the beginning of August 2025. Shop Top Mortgage Rates Your Path to Homeownership A quicker path to financial freedom Personalized rates in minutes Fixed-rate mortgages — the most popular type of home loan — fluctuate with the 10-year Treasury yield. This figure is influenced by many factors, including Fed policy. But since the COVID-19 pandemic, the spread between the 10-year Treasury yield and the 30-year mortgage rate has widened, from an average of 1.7 percentage points pre-pandemic to around 3 percentage points a year ago. This spread has since decreased. Odeta Kushi, deputy chief economist at First American Financial Corp., expects mortgage rates to decline modestly by the end of 2025. 'The decline will be in part driven by some narrowing of mortgage rate spread as the Fed's policy outlook becomes clearer,' she says. However, inflation and the uncertainty around President Trump's tariffs, deportations and tax cuts could also help keep rates up, says Melissa Cohn, regional vice president at William Raveis Mortgage. Learn more: How are mortgage rates determined? Ready to refinance? Compare mortgage lenders and rates on Bankrate for the best deal on a refinance. Explore refinance rates Will the 'serial refinancer' make a comeback? Many borrowers in recent years have settled for a higher mortgage rate, hoping to refinance in the future. If rates trend lower, some might look to refinance more than once. 'A lot of homeowners with 7.5 percent to 8 percent mortgage rates now may become serial refinancers if mortgage rates continue to drop over an extended period of time,' says Greg McBride, chief financial analyst for Bankrate. A refi-and-repeat strategy could work for you, but keep in mind: You'll pay closing costs every time you refinance, and you can only do it after a 'seasoning' period, typically at least six months from the time you closed the original loan. The state where you live can impact whether you want to refinance more than once, Cohn says. That's because states levy different fees and taxes when refinancing. 'In states where the costs are high, such as New York state, borrowers are less likely to repeatedly refinance,' Cohn says. When will refinancing save you money? Our mortgage refinance break-even calculator can help you estimate exactly when you'll recoup the costs of refinancing. Here's an example, assuming a borrower with a 30-year fixed-rate loan who decides to do a 30-year refinance after five years. This example also assumes $7,000 in closing costs. Original loan amount $350,000 Current mortgage rate 7.85% Current payment $2,532 Rate after refinancing 6.75% New payment $2,155 Break-even point 19 months Monthly savings $377 Note: These monthly payments include loan principal and interest payments, not taxes, insurance or other fees. Note that closing costs can vary considerably according to your location, your loan amount and the lender you choose. Lower interest rates may translate to higher fees and vice versa. Always compare multiple offers, examining rates and fees, to make sure you get the best deal. Is it ever OK to refinance to a higher rate? The main objective of refinancing is to obtain a lower interest rate and save money. That doesn't mean you can't refinance in times of higher interest rates, however. Some borrowers refinance due to circumstances such as divorce or unexpected bills. For example, if you have a significant amount of equity in your home, you could do a cash-out refinance, which replaces your current mortgage with a new, bigger one. You receive the difference between your previous mortgage balance and your new one as cash, which you can use to pay for medical bills, home repairs and other expenses. A cash-out refinance often costs more than a typical refinance, but they're typically cheaper than other forms of financing, like a credit card or home improvement loan. Another reason to refinance might be to take a lower-cost loan. For instance, Federal Housing Administration (FHA) loans are a good option for buyers with sub-700 credit scores or little money for down payments, but they come with high fees for mortgage insurance. If you find you now qualify for a conventional loan, it might make sense to refinance for the lower costs. Should you refinance in 2025? Most Americans have mortgage rates below 5 percent, and for them, refinancing holds little appeal right now. But if you can save on your monthly payment or need to pull cash out of equity, you may want to consider refinancing in 2025. However, as rates are expected to continue to fall, you might also consider waiting for a more favorable rate. 'There are so many more factors that you have to take into consideration other than just, 'What's the difference between my rate and what the new rate is?'' Cohn says. Whether you're considering refinancing now or waiting to see how far rates drop, here are resources to help you prepare: Mortgage refinance calculator Best mortgage refinance lenders in 2025 How a cash-out refinance works — and when to do it Error while retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data
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iRhythm Technologies Second Quarter 2025 Earnings: Beats Expectations
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From Laos to Brazil, Trump's tariffs leave a lot of losers. But even the winners will pay a price
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump's tariff onslaught this week left a lot of losers – from small, poor countries like Laos and Algeria to wealthy U.S. trading partners like Canada and Switzerland. They're now facing especially hefty taxes – tariff – on the products they export to the United States starting Aug. 7. The closest thing to winners may be the countries that caved to Trump's demands — and avoided even more pain. But it's unclear whether anyone will be able to claim victory in the long run — even the United States, the intended beneficiary of Trump's protectionist policies. 'In many respects, everybody's a loser here,'' said Barry Appleton, co-director of the Center for International Law at the New York Law School. Barely six months after he returned to the White House, Trump has demolished the old global economic order. Gone is one built on agreed-upon rules. In its place is a system in which Trump himself sets the rules, using America's enormous economic power to punish countries that won't agree to one-sided trade deals and extracting huge concessions from the ones that do. 'The biggest winner is Trump,' said Alan Wolff, a former U.S. trade official and deputy director-general at the World Trade Organization. 'He bet that he could get other countries to the table on the basis of threats, and he succeeded – dramatically.'' Everything goes back to what Trump calls 'Liberation Day'' – April 2 – when the president announced 'reciprocal'' taxes of up to 50% on imports from countries with which the United States ran trade deficits and 10% 'baseline'' taxes on almost everyone else. He invoked a 1977 law to declare the trade deficit a national emergency that justified his sweeping import taxes. That allowed him to bypass Congress, which traditionally has had authority over taxes, including tariffs — all of which is now being challenged in court. Winners will still pay higher tariffs than before Trump took office Trump retreated temporarily after his Liberation Day announcement triggered a rout in financial markets and suspended the reciprocal tariffs for 90 days to give countries a chance to negotiate. Eventually, some of them did, caving to Trump's demands to pay what four months ago would have seemed unthinkably high tariffs for the privilege of continuing to sell into the vast American market. The United Kingdom agreed to 10% tariffs on its exports to the United States — up from 1.3% before Trump amped up his trade war with the world. The U.S. demanded concessions even though it had run a trade surplus, not a deficit, with the UK for 19 straight years. The European Union and Japan accepted U.S. tariffs of 15%. Those are much higher than the low single-digit rates they paid last year — but lower than the tariffs he was threatening (30% on the EU and 25% on Japan). Also cutting deals with Trump and agreeing to hefty tariffs were Pakistan, South Korea, Vietnam, Indonesia and the Philippines. Even countries that saw their tariffs lowered from April without reaching a deal are still paying much higher tariffs than before Trump took office. Angola's tariff, for instance, dropped to 15% from 32% in April, but in 2022 it was less than 1.5%. And while Trump administration cut Taiwan's tariff to 20% from 32% in April, the pain will still be felt. '20% from the beginning has not been our goal, we hope that in further negotiations we will get a more beneficial and more reasonable tax rate,' Taiwan's president Lai Ching-te told reporters in Taipei Friday. Trump also agreed to reduce the tariff on the tiny southern African kingdom of Lesotho to 15% from the 50% he'd announced in April, but the damage may already have been done there. Bashing Brazil, clobbering Canada, shellacking the Swiss Countries that didn't knuckle under — and those that found other ways to incur Trump's wrath — got hit harder. Even some of the poor were not spared. Laos' annual economic output comes to $2,100 per person and Algeria's $5,600 — versus America's $75,000. Nonetheless, Laos got rocked with a 40% tariff and Algeria with a 30% levy. Trump slammed Brazil with a 50% import tax largely because he didn't like the way it was treating former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, who is facing trial for trying to lose his electoral defeat in 2022. Never mind that the U.S. has exported more to Brazil than it's imported every year since 2007. Trump's decision to plaster a 35% tariff on longstanding U.S. ally Canada was partly designed to threaten Ottawa for saying it would recognize a Palestinian state. Trump is a staunch supporter of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Switzerland was clobbered with a 39% import tax — even higher than the 31% Trump originally announced on April 2. "The Swiss probably wish that they had camped in Washington'' to make a deal, said Wolff, now senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. "They're clearly not at all happy.'' Fortunes may change if Trump's tariffs are upended in court. Five American businesses and 12 states are suing the president, arguing that his Liberation Day tariffs exceeded his authority under the 1977 law. In May, the U.S. Court of International Trade, a specialized court in New York, agreed and blocked the tariffs, although the government was allowed to continue collecting them while its appeal wend its way through the legal system, and may likely end up at the U.S. Supreme Court. In a hearing Thursday, the judges on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit sounded skeptical about Trump's justifications for the tariffs. 'If (the tariffs) get struck down, then maybe Brazil's a winner and not a loser,'' Appleton said. Paying more for knapsacks and video games Trump portrays his tariffs as a tax on foreign countries. But they are actually paid by import companies in the U.S. who try to pass along the cost to their customers via higher prices. True, tariffs can hurt other countries by forcing their exporters to cut prices and sacrifice profits — or risk losing market share in the United States. But economists at Goldman Sachs estimate that overseas exporters have absorbed just one-fifth of the rising costs from tariffs, while Americans and U.S. businesses have picked up the most of the tab. Walmart, Procter & Gamble, Ford, Best Buy, Adidas, Nike, Mattel and Stanley Black & Decker, have all hiked prices due to U.S. tariffs "This is a consumption tax, so it disproportionately affects those who have lower incomes,'' Appleton said. 'Sneakers, knapsacks ... your appliances are going to go up. Your TV and electronics are going to go up. Your video game devices, consoles are going to up because none of those are made in America.'' Trump's trade war has pushed the average U.S. tariff from 2.5% at the start of 2025 to 18.3% now, the highest since 1934, according to the Budget Lab at Yale University. And that will impose a $2,400 cost on the average household, the lab estimates. 'The U.S. consumer's a big loser,″ Wolff said. ____ AP Economics Writer Christopher Rugaber contributed to this story. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data