US warns 'serious consequences' over Russian naval base plans in Sudan
The statement marks a sharp departure from the typically measured tone of recent U.S.-Russia exchanges and signals Washington's concern over Moscow's expanding military footprint in Africa.
"We encourage all countries, including Sudan, to avoid any transactions with Russia's defense sector," the spokesperson said. "Moving forward with such a facility or any other form of security cooperation with Russia would further isolate Sudan, deepen the current conflict, and risk further regional destabilization."
Russia has long sought a strategic Red Sea outpost.
A draft agreement to build a naval base in Port Sudan first surfaced in 2020, outlining a 25-year deal allowing up to four Russian warships and 300 personnel. In exchange, Russia would supply Sudan with weapons and military support.
Though the original agreement was never ratified, talks resumed this year.
In February 2025, Sudanese Acting Foreign Minister Ali Youssef Al-Sharif and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov declared that both sides had "reached an understanding" regarding the base's construction.
The former U.S. President Joe Biden's administration had previously accused Russia of supporting both sides in Sudan's internal conflict — the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF).
Until now, President Donald Trump's administration had avoided taking a firm stance.
Sudan, located in Northeast Africa and bordered by seven countries, has become a focal point in the geopolitical contest between Western and Russian influence. In March 2024, the Wall Street Journal reported that small Ukrainian military teams helped Sudanese forces repel Wagner Group-backed RSF fighters.
Read also: 'Vladimir, stop!' — Trump 'not happy' with Russia's deadly attack on Kyiv
We've been working hard to bring you independent, locally-sourced news from Ukraine. Consider supporting the Kyiv Independent.
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Yahoo
2 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Stock market today: Dow jumps 500 points, S&P 500, Nasdaq rally in bounce back from Friday sell-off
US stocks rebounded sharply Monday, recovering from last week's sell-off sparked by disappointing labor data and continuing trade uncertainty. The benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) climbed 1.4%, while the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 1.3% or more than 500 points. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the gains, rising about 1.7%. The moves follow a sharp pullback on Wall Street on Friday. All three major indexes posted their worst weekly declines in months, ending a run of positive market moves. The declines were exacerbated Friday after July's jobs report came in weaker than expected, and previous months' tallies were revised sharply lower, flipping the narrative on the labor market's strength. It led President Trump to lash out at the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which publishes the monthly jobs report, and fire its commissioner. Trump suggested he would nominate a new head for the agency in the coming days. Trump's battle with the Fed and Chair Jerome Powell has also remained in focus. Traders tempered expectations around interest rate policy following the bank's decision last week to leave rates unchanged for a fifth consecutive meeting. But after the weak jobs data, almost 90% of bets are on a cut in September. At the same time, investors are examining fallout from Trump's implementation of tariffs. The updated tariffs set to come into full effect this week range from 10% to 41% on a wide range of trading partners and raise concerns about rising costs amid broader inflationary pressures. On Monday Trump said he would be "substantially raising" tariffs on India as he presses to stop purchasing Russian oil, effectively accusing the nation of subsidizing Russia's war in Ukraine. Meanwhile, Tesla (TSLA) stock edged higher after reports emerged that the company had granted CEO Elon Musk 96 million shares worth about $29 billion. Read more: The latest on Trump's tariffs Earnings season continues to roll on with a busy week of corporate releases. Over 100 S&P 500 companies are set to report, with spotlights on Palantir (PLTR), Eli Lilly (LLY), and Disney (DIS). American Eagle stock rises 16% after Trump weighs in on viral Sydney Sweeney ad Yahoo Finance's Jake Conley reports: Read more here. Amazon's slowing cloud growth could continue to drag on its stock Yahoo Finance's Francisco Velasquez reports: Read more here. Tariffs not expected to cause recession or end bull market, says UBS As President Trump's tariff policy pans out, UBS strategists signal it won't cause a recession or spell the end of a bull market. 'Our base case remains that US tariffs will eventually settle around 15%," Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, UBS Global Wealth Management's chief investment officer for Americas and global head of equities, wrote in a note on Monday morning. "While this would be the highest since the 1930s, and six times higher than when Trump returned to office, we do not expect it to cause a recession or end the equity bull market." In recent days, Trump has unleashed a flurry of trade deals, including a 90-day reprieve on goods imported from Mexico and 15% tariffs on EU goods. On Friday, Trump signed an order to hike tariffs on Canada to 35%, while he kept a baseline minimum rate of 10% across all US is set to implement duties this week. Trump says he will 'substantially' raise tariffs on India President Trump said on Monday he will "substantially" raise tariffs on India. Stocks still remained in rally mode following Friday's sell-off. "India is not only buying massive amounts of Russian Oil, they are then, for much of the Oil purchased, selling it on the Open Market for big profits," Trump wrote on Monday morning. "They don't care how many people in Ukraine are being killed by the Russian War Machine. Because of this, I will be substantially raising the Tariff paid by India to the USA," he added. President Trump's sweeping tariffs are set to come into full effect later this week. Last Wednesday, Trump announced a 25% tariff on goods from India, plus an additional import tax because of the country's purchasing of Russian oil. Tesla shares jump 3% as board approves $30 billion alternative pay deal for Musk Tesla's (TSLA) shares jumped 3% on Monday after the EV maker's board approved a $30 billion alternative compensation plan for its billionaire CEO, Elon Musk. As Yahoo Finance's Alexis Keenan reports: Read more here. Stocks open higher following market sell-off US stocks opened higher on Monday, rebounding from a sharp sell-off spurred by disappointing labor data and tariff uncertainty. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) climbed 0.6% on Monday, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 0.9%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) moved up 0.5%. Markets are coming off a Friday sell-off sparked by tariffs on dozens of countries that start on Aug. 7 and monthly jobs revisions to the downside that implied a labor market slowdown is underway. Trending tickers in premarket trading: Opendoor, Palantir, Tesla, Joby, Tyson Here's a look at what's trending in markets ahead of the opening bell: Opendoor (OPEN) stock popped 16% ahead of second quarter results on Monday morning. As my colleague Jake Conley has detailed, the stock has seen a resurgence in investor interest, powered by a bull case by EMJ Capital and speculative bets posted on Reddit forums. Palantir (PLTR) stock rose 2%. On Friday, the company announced it snagged a contract with the US Army that combines over 75 agreements into one package deal worth $10 billion over the next decade. The software and AI data company will report earnings after the bell on Monday. Tesla (TSLA) shares added more than 2% after the company approved a new pay package worth $29 billion for CEO Elon Musk amid an intense court battle in Delaware. The pay package is designed to boost Musk's voting power over time, which shareholders say is key to keeping him focused on the company and its mission, the special committee said in the filing. Joby (JOBY) shares climbed 5% premarket after the electric air taxi developer said it would acquire Blade Air Mobility's helicopter rideshare business for as much as $125 million. The deal would give Joby access to a network of air terminals in key areas like New York City. Blade Air (BLDE) stock rocketed nearly 30% higher on the news. Tyson Foods (TSN) stock increased 4% after the company reported fiscal third quarter results that beat expectations. The company raised its annual revenue forecast and said it expects resilient demand for chicken to offset weakness in the beef segment as high cattle prices weigh on profits. Check out more trending tickers here. Wayfair stock surges after online furniture retailer swings to a profit Wayfair (W) stock shot up 10% in premarket trading on Monday after the online furniture retailer reported its highest revenue growth and profitability since 2021. Wayfair posted diluted earnings of $0.11 per share, above estimates for a loss of $0.37 per share, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Revenue rose 5% to $3.27 billion, beating Wall Street's expectations of $3.12 billion. Net revenue in the US rose 5.3% to $2.9 billion in the quarter, while international net revenue increased 3.1% to $399 million. "We are optimistic that sales growth, along with management's commitment to controlling expenses/investments, may create a longer-term positive inflection in earnings revisions, on top of what we view as an attractive valuation," JPMorgan's Christopher Horvers wrote in a note ahead of earnings. "Further, over the next three to five years, [Wayfair] should outgrow the category given the longer-term shift toward online retailing and its advantaged assortment/ supply chain as the largest scaled online specialty player in the industry." Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here. Good morning. Here's what's happening today. Economic data: Factory orders (June) Earnings: Hims & Hers (HIMS), Palantir (PLTR), Tyson (TSN), Wayfair (W) Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed over the weekend and early this morning: Job market worries in focus as earnings season rolls on Tesla approves near-$30B stock award for Musk US says rare earth talks with China 'halfway there' Trump to name new Fed governor, jobs data head in coming days Boeing defense union strikes for first time since 1996 Morgan Stanley's Wilson: Buy stocks dip on earnings strength Citi's gold bears turn bullish on US growth, inflation concerns Joby to acquire Blade Air's passenger business for $125M Swiss stocks decline on US tariffs, push for lower drug prices Oil slides as traders assess OPEC+ hike and Russian risks Oil eased on Monday as investors digested OPEC+'s latest supply increase, helping to counter a threat from Washington to move against Russian oil flows. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Morgan Stanley's Wilson: Buy stocks dip on earnings strength Morgan Stanley's strategist Michael Wilson said on Monday that investors should buy into bthe selloff in US stocks because of the robust earnings outlook for the coming year. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. Citi's gold bears turn bullish on US growth, inflation concerns Citigroup Inc (C) have turned from bearish to bullish on its gold (GC=F) forecast, with analysts now predicting bullion will rally to a record high in the near term due to a worsening US economy and inflation-boosting tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Goldman with a sobering view on the consumer Goldman Sachs out this morning with a subdued outlook on the US consumer following Friday's lackluster jobs report. Good read on the consumer from the WSJ today, mirrors what Procter & Gamble's (PG) CEO told me on earnings day. Goldman's chief economist Jan Hatzius: "We expect the weakness in consumer spending to continue in the second half of the year and forecast 0.8% real spending growth in 2025H2. Our view is underpinned by the expectation of a sharp slowdown in real income growth from its elevated pace in 2025H1. Income growth will be hit in Q3 by the phasing out of the one-off 2025H1 government transfer payments and in Q4 by the Medicaid and SNAP benefit cuts included in the new fiscal bill, which will take effect in 2025Q4 and affect lower-income households in particular. We also see higher tariff-driven inflation to impose a drag on real income growth in the second half of the year. Finally, we expect weak job growth due to lower immigration, cuts in government and healthcare hiring, and a tariff-related decline in activity. We expect declines in both business and residential investment in the second half of the year." Swiss stocks decline on US tariffs, push for lower drug prices Swiss stocks took a hit on Monday as the market reopened after a holiday. Worries about the impact from President Trump's 39% export tariffs and a push for drugmakers to lower prices have caused tension in the market. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Gold steady with weak job data bolstering the precious metal Gold (GC=F) held gains after a two month run of positivity as weak jobs data gave another reason to look towards haven assets. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. American Eagle stock rises 16% after Trump weighs in on viral Sydney Sweeney ad Yahoo Finance's Jake Conley reports: Read more here. Yahoo Finance's Jake Conley reports: Read more here. Amazon's slowing cloud growth could continue to drag on its stock Yahoo Finance's Francisco Velasquez reports: Read more here. Yahoo Finance's Francisco Velasquez reports: Read more here. Tariffs not expected to cause recession or end bull market, says UBS As President Trump's tariff policy pans out, UBS strategists signal it won't cause a recession or spell the end of a bull market. 'Our base case remains that US tariffs will eventually settle around 15%," Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, UBS Global Wealth Management's chief investment officer for Americas and global head of equities, wrote in a note on Monday morning. "While this would be the highest since the 1930s, and six times higher than when Trump returned to office, we do not expect it to cause a recession or end the equity bull market." In recent days, Trump has unleashed a flurry of trade deals, including a 90-day reprieve on goods imported from Mexico and 15% tariffs on EU goods. On Friday, Trump signed an order to hike tariffs on Canada to 35%, while he kept a baseline minimum rate of 10% across all US is set to implement duties this week. As President Trump's tariff policy pans out, UBS strategists signal it won't cause a recession or spell the end of a bull market. 'Our base case remains that US tariffs will eventually settle around 15%," Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, UBS Global Wealth Management's chief investment officer for Americas and global head of equities, wrote in a note on Monday morning. "While this would be the highest since the 1930s, and six times higher than when Trump returned to office, we do not expect it to cause a recession or end the equity bull market." In recent days, Trump has unleashed a flurry of trade deals, including a 90-day reprieve on goods imported from Mexico and 15% tariffs on EU goods. On Friday, Trump signed an order to hike tariffs on Canada to 35%, while he kept a baseline minimum rate of 10% across all US is set to implement duties this week. Trump says he will 'substantially' raise tariffs on India President Trump said on Monday he will "substantially" raise tariffs on India. Stocks still remained in rally mode following Friday's sell-off. "India is not only buying massive amounts of Russian Oil, they are then, for much of the Oil purchased, selling it on the Open Market for big profits," Trump wrote on Monday morning. "They don't care how many people in Ukraine are being killed by the Russian War Machine. Because of this, I will be substantially raising the Tariff paid by India to the USA," he added. President Trump's sweeping tariffs are set to come into full effect later this week. Last Wednesday, Trump announced a 25% tariff on goods from India, plus an additional import tax because of the country's purchasing of Russian oil. President Trump said on Monday he will "substantially" raise tariffs on India. Stocks still remained in rally mode following Friday's sell-off. "India is not only buying massive amounts of Russian Oil, they are then, for much of the Oil purchased, selling it on the Open Market for big profits," Trump wrote on Monday morning. "They don't care how many people in Ukraine are being killed by the Russian War Machine. Because of this, I will be substantially raising the Tariff paid by India to the USA," he added. President Trump's sweeping tariffs are set to come into full effect later this week. Last Wednesday, Trump announced a 25% tariff on goods from India, plus an additional import tax because of the country's purchasing of Russian oil. Tesla shares jump 3% as board approves $30 billion alternative pay deal for Musk Tesla's (TSLA) shares jumped 3% on Monday after the EV maker's board approved a $30 billion alternative compensation plan for its billionaire CEO, Elon Musk. As Yahoo Finance's Alexis Keenan reports: Read more here. Tesla's (TSLA) shares jumped 3% on Monday after the EV maker's board approved a $30 billion alternative compensation plan for its billionaire CEO, Elon Musk. As Yahoo Finance's Alexis Keenan reports: Read more here. Stocks open higher following market sell-off US stocks opened higher on Monday, rebounding from a sharp sell-off spurred by disappointing labor data and tariff uncertainty. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) climbed 0.6% on Monday, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 0.9%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) moved up 0.5%. Markets are coming off a Friday sell-off sparked by tariffs on dozens of countries that start on Aug. 7 and monthly jobs revisions to the downside that implied a labor market slowdown is underway. US stocks opened higher on Monday, rebounding from a sharp sell-off spurred by disappointing labor data and tariff uncertainty. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) climbed 0.6% on Monday, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 0.9%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) moved up 0.5%. Markets are coming off a Friday sell-off sparked by tariffs on dozens of countries that start on Aug. 7 and monthly jobs revisions to the downside that implied a labor market slowdown is underway. Trending tickers in premarket trading: Opendoor, Palantir, Tesla, Joby, Tyson Here's a look at what's trending in markets ahead of the opening bell: Opendoor (OPEN) stock popped 16% ahead of second quarter results on Monday morning. As my colleague Jake Conley has detailed, the stock has seen a resurgence in investor interest, powered by a bull case by EMJ Capital and speculative bets posted on Reddit forums. Palantir (PLTR) stock rose 2%. On Friday, the company announced it snagged a contract with the US Army that combines over 75 agreements into one package deal worth $10 billion over the next decade. The software and AI data company will report earnings after the bell on Monday. Tesla (TSLA) shares added more than 2% after the company approved a new pay package worth $29 billion for CEO Elon Musk amid an intense court battle in Delaware. The pay package is designed to boost Musk's voting power over time, which shareholders say is key to keeping him focused on the company and its mission, the special committee said in the filing. Joby (JOBY) shares climbed 5% premarket after the electric air taxi developer said it would acquire Blade Air Mobility's helicopter rideshare business for as much as $125 million. The deal would give Joby access to a network of air terminals in key areas like New York City. Blade Air (BLDE) stock rocketed nearly 30% higher on the news. Tyson Foods (TSN) stock increased 4% after the company reported fiscal third quarter results that beat expectations. The company raised its annual revenue forecast and said it expects resilient demand for chicken to offset weakness in the beef segment as high cattle prices weigh on profits. Check out more trending tickers here. Here's a look at what's trending in markets ahead of the opening bell: Opendoor (OPEN) stock popped 16% ahead of second quarter results on Monday morning. As my colleague Jake Conley has detailed, the stock has seen a resurgence in investor interest, powered by a bull case by EMJ Capital and speculative bets posted on Reddit forums. Palantir (PLTR) stock rose 2%. On Friday, the company announced it snagged a contract with the US Army that combines over 75 agreements into one package deal worth $10 billion over the next decade. The software and AI data company will report earnings after the bell on Monday. Tesla (TSLA) shares added more than 2% after the company approved a new pay package worth $29 billion for CEO Elon Musk amid an intense court battle in Delaware. The pay package is designed to boost Musk's voting power over time, which shareholders say is key to keeping him focused on the company and its mission, the special committee said in the filing. Joby (JOBY) shares climbed 5% premarket after the electric air taxi developer said it would acquire Blade Air Mobility's helicopter rideshare business for as much as $125 million. The deal would give Joby access to a network of air terminals in key areas like New York City. Blade Air (BLDE) stock rocketed nearly 30% higher on the news. Tyson Foods (TSN) stock increased 4% after the company reported fiscal third quarter results that beat expectations. The company raised its annual revenue forecast and said it expects resilient demand for chicken to offset weakness in the beef segment as high cattle prices weigh on profits. Check out more trending tickers here. Wayfair stock surges after online furniture retailer swings to a profit Wayfair (W) stock shot up 10% in premarket trading on Monday after the online furniture retailer reported its highest revenue growth and profitability since 2021. Wayfair posted diluted earnings of $0.11 per share, above estimates for a loss of $0.37 per share, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Revenue rose 5% to $3.27 billion, beating Wall Street's expectations of $3.12 billion. Net revenue in the US rose 5.3% to $2.9 billion in the quarter, while international net revenue increased 3.1% to $399 million. "We are optimistic that sales growth, along with management's commitment to controlling expenses/investments, may create a longer-term positive inflection in earnings revisions, on top of what we view as an attractive valuation," JPMorgan's Christopher Horvers wrote in a note ahead of earnings. "Further, over the next three to five years, [Wayfair] should outgrow the category given the longer-term shift toward online retailing and its advantaged assortment/ supply chain as the largest scaled online specialty player in the industry." Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here. Wayfair (W) stock shot up 10% in premarket trading on Monday after the online furniture retailer reported its highest revenue growth and profitability since 2021. Wayfair posted diluted earnings of $0.11 per share, above estimates for a loss of $0.37 per share, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Revenue rose 5% to $3.27 billion, beating Wall Street's expectations of $3.12 billion. Net revenue in the US rose 5.3% to $2.9 billion in the quarter, while international net revenue increased 3.1% to $399 million. "We are optimistic that sales growth, along with management's commitment to controlling expenses/investments, may create a longer-term positive inflection in earnings revisions, on top of what we view as an attractive valuation," JPMorgan's Christopher Horvers wrote in a note ahead of earnings. "Further, over the next three to five years, [Wayfair] should outgrow the category given the longer-term shift toward online retailing and its advantaged assortment/ supply chain as the largest scaled online specialty player in the industry." Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here. Good morning. Here's what's happening today. Economic data: Factory orders (June) Earnings: Hims & Hers (HIMS), Palantir (PLTR), Tyson (TSN), Wayfair (W) Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed over the weekend and early this morning: Job market worries in focus as earnings season rolls on Tesla approves near-$30B stock award for Musk US says rare earth talks with China 'halfway there' Trump to name new Fed governor, jobs data head in coming days Boeing defense union strikes for first time since 1996 Morgan Stanley's Wilson: Buy stocks dip on earnings strength Citi's gold bears turn bullish on US growth, inflation concerns Joby to acquire Blade Air's passenger business for $125M Swiss stocks decline on US tariffs, push for lower drug prices Economic data: Factory orders (June) Earnings: Hims & Hers (HIMS), Palantir (PLTR), Tyson (TSN), Wayfair (W) Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed over the weekend and early this morning: Job market worries in focus as earnings season rolls on Tesla approves near-$30B stock award for Musk US says rare earth talks with China 'halfway there' Trump to name new Fed governor, jobs data head in coming days Boeing defense union strikes for first time since 1996 Morgan Stanley's Wilson: Buy stocks dip on earnings strength Citi's gold bears turn bullish on US growth, inflation concerns Joby to acquire Blade Air's passenger business for $125M Swiss stocks decline on US tariffs, push for lower drug prices Oil slides as traders assess OPEC+ hike and Russian risks Oil eased on Monday as investors digested OPEC+'s latest supply increase, helping to counter a threat from Washington to move against Russian oil flows. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Oil eased on Monday as investors digested OPEC+'s latest supply increase, helping to counter a threat from Washington to move against Russian oil flows. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Morgan Stanley's Wilson: Buy stocks dip on earnings strength Morgan Stanley's strategist Michael Wilson said on Monday that investors should buy into bthe selloff in US stocks because of the robust earnings outlook for the coming year. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. Morgan Stanley's strategist Michael Wilson said on Monday that investors should buy into bthe selloff in US stocks because of the robust earnings outlook for the coming year. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. Citi's gold bears turn bullish on US growth, inflation concerns Citigroup Inc (C) have turned from bearish to bullish on its gold (GC=F) forecast, with analysts now predicting bullion will rally to a record high in the near term due to a worsening US economy and inflation-boosting tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Citigroup Inc (C) have turned from bearish to bullish on its gold (GC=F) forecast, with analysts now predicting bullion will rally to a record high in the near term due to a worsening US economy and inflation-boosting tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Goldman with a sobering view on the consumer Goldman Sachs out this morning with a subdued outlook on the US consumer following Friday's lackluster jobs report. Good read on the consumer from the WSJ today, mirrors what Procter & Gamble's (PG) CEO told me on earnings day. Goldman's chief economist Jan Hatzius: "We expect the weakness in consumer spending to continue in the second half of the year and forecast 0.8% real spending growth in 2025H2. Our view is underpinned by the expectation of a sharp slowdown in real income growth from its elevated pace in 2025H1. Income growth will be hit in Q3 by the phasing out of the one-off 2025H1 government transfer payments and in Q4 by the Medicaid and SNAP benefit cuts included in the new fiscal bill, which will take effect in 2025Q4 and affect lower-income households in particular. We also see higher tariff-driven inflation to impose a drag on real income growth in the second half of the year. Finally, we expect weak job growth due to lower immigration, cuts in government and healthcare hiring, and a tariff-related decline in activity. We expect declines in both business and residential investment in the second half of the year." Goldman Sachs out this morning with a subdued outlook on the US consumer following Friday's lackluster jobs report. Good read on the consumer from the WSJ today, mirrors what Procter & Gamble's (PG) CEO told me on earnings day. Goldman's chief economist Jan Hatzius: "We expect the weakness in consumer spending to continue in the second half of the year and forecast 0.8% real spending growth in 2025H2. Our view is underpinned by the expectation of a sharp slowdown in real income growth from its elevated pace in 2025H1. Income growth will be hit in Q3 by the phasing out of the one-off 2025H1 government transfer payments and in Q4 by the Medicaid and SNAP benefit cuts included in the new fiscal bill, which will take effect in 2025Q4 and affect lower-income households in particular. We also see higher tariff-driven inflation to impose a drag on real income growth in the second half of the year. Finally, we expect weak job growth due to lower immigration, cuts in government and healthcare hiring, and a tariff-related decline in activity. We expect declines in both business and residential investment in the second half of the year." Swiss stocks decline on US tariffs, push for lower drug prices Swiss stocks took a hit on Monday as the market reopened after a holiday. Worries about the impact from President Trump's 39% export tariffs and a push for drugmakers to lower prices have caused tension in the market. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Swiss stocks took a hit on Monday as the market reopened after a holiday. Worries about the impact from President Trump's 39% export tariffs and a push for drugmakers to lower prices have caused tension in the market. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Gold steady with weak job data bolstering the precious metal Gold (GC=F) held gains after a two month run of positivity as weak jobs data gave another reason to look towards haven assets. Bloomberg reports: Read more here. Gold (GC=F) held gains after a two month run of positivity as weak jobs data gave another reason to look towards haven assets. Bloomberg reports: Read more here.
The Hill
3 minutes ago
- The Hill
Trump's odds of winning or losing his multitude of battles
In picking fights and waging wars on multiple fronts, President Trump should heed the advice of Britain's greatest sailor and naval hero Lord Horatio Nelson: Only a fool or a stupid ship's captain would ever fight a fort. While immobile, unlike ships, forts were better defended and protected. And forts were more easily reinforced, rearmed and resupplied by land than ships at sea, which then had to find suitable ports. Trump is not at sea except in the minds of his many critics, yet he has joined several simultaneous battles against forts. He has given Russia no more time beyond Monday's 10-day deadline to end the war in Ukraine. Former Russian President and Prime Minister Dimitri Medvedev has threatened nuclear war if Trump is not careful. In that regard, Russia is a formidable fort armed with nuclear weapons equal to America's. Trump started a global trade war with his announcement Friday of new tariffs, having struck a deal with the European Union while still negotiating with China. He seems to have picked a fight with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over relieving extreme starvation in Gaza, after having turned a Nelsonian blind eye toward an estimated 61,000 Palestinian deaths. And he surely is at war at home against so-called woke law firms and universities and, remarkably, a more than significant part of his MAGA base over refusing to come clean about his relationship with the deceased sexual predator Jeffrey Epstein. Whether Trump will prevail or fail in all, some or none of these battles will largely determine his administration's future and will almost certainly impact congressional elections in 2026 and the presidential vote in 2028, for which he is legally prevented from running. For most mere mortals, bookies would set the odds of failing or losing at least one of these battles as very low. Running the deck, however, would recoup a fortune in bets. Yet Trump's history has reversed all the odds against him. This makes any seemingly rational bet to the contrary exceedingly dumb. In this ability to overcome setbacks that would crush most people, Trump made Bill Clinton's reign as the ' The Comeback Kid ' seem both short and trivial. Will that luck hold out? War with Russia will not happen. Putin, however, will not be impressed or moved by the threat to force negotiations by imposing new sanctions or deploying two American nuclear submarines that somehow will annoy or worry Russia sufficiently to abandon its efforts. At the moment, while the war in Ukraine will not be fought to the last Russian, there are no compelling facts or arguments to convince Putin he is losing or needs to withdraw his forces. Quite the contrary. Similarly, in Gaza, Netanyahu's actions will determine America's. The relationship with Israel has grown so close over the decades since the 1956 and 1967 Arab-Israeli wars that the U.S. no longer tries or considers not giving Israel basically what it needs or demands. What could happen in these conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, as with the Houthis, is that the U.S. withdraws and the situation reverts back to the pre-war days. The global trade war is different. The administration asserts that tariffs will not raise inflation and will generate greater economic growth. This argument is the equivalent of the ship commanded by Nelson's dim witted captain. Other states will react. The World Trade Organization and its agreed upon principles will become cannon fodder. Even though imports comprise only about 11 percent of U.S. total GDP, the effects of tariffs will be much greater. Unlike Gaza and Ukraine, of which Trump can wash his hands, the economy is not something that can be discarded like a used tissue. Trump will have to do something to explain or cover up any misjudgments. The only way for that to happen comes from the Trump playbook: Call the bad data 'fake news,' dissemble and stall — or cling to the belief that tariffs are working, despite all the contradictory evidence. Ironically, Epstein may be the problem that simply will not disappear — the fort that ultimately wins. Trump is trapped by his promise to release all the Epstein files. Suppose there are none and nothing more to release? Or suppose the files contain truly damaging revelations about Trump or his circle? There may be no way out. One conclusion is clear: The fewer fights picked, the better. And the chances of winning many are not odds most people would accept. Harlan Ullman, Ph.D., is UPI's Arnaud deBorchgrave Distinguished Columnist, a senior advisor at the Atlantic Council, the chairman of two private companies and the principal author of the doctrine of shock and awe. He and former United Kingdom Defense Chief David Richards are the authors of a forthcoming book on preventing strategic catastrophe.
Boston Globe
3 minutes ago
- Boston Globe
State Department may require visa applicants to post bond of up to $15,000 to enter the US
Get Starting Point A guide through the most important stories of the morning, delivered Monday through Friday. Enter Email Sign Up A preview of the bond notice, which was posted on the Federal Register website on Monday, said the pilot program would take effect within 15 days of its formal publication and is necessary to ensure that the US government is not financially liable if a visitor does not comply with the terms of his or her visa. Advertisement 'Aliens applying for visas as temporary visitors for business or pleasure and who are nationals of countries identified by the department as having high visa overstay rates, where screening and vetting information is deemed deficient, or offering citizenship by investment, if the alien obtained citizenship with no residency requirement, may be subject to the pilot program,' the notice said. Advertisement The countries affected will be listed once the program takes effect, it said. The bond would not apply to citizens of countries enrolled in the Visa Waiver Program and could be waived for others depending on an applicant's individual circumstances. Visa bonds have been proposed in the past but have not been implemented. The State Department has traditionally discouraged the requirement because of the cumbersome process of posting and discharging a bond and because of a possible misperceptions by the public. However, the department said that previous view 'is not supported by any recent examples or evidence, as visa bonds have not generally been required in any recent period.'
