Shell Announces Shareholder Payouts Boost, Launches $3.5B Buyback Program
Shell aims to return 40-50% of its cash flow from operations to shareholders, increasing from the previous 30-40% range. The company also maintains a 4% annual dividend growth target and expects free cash flow per share to rise by over 10% per year through 2030.
Capital spending will be trimmed to $20-22 billion annually through 2028, a reduction from the $22-25 billion target set for 2024 and 2025. Shell also revised its cost-cutting goal, aiming for cumulative savings of $5-7 billion by 2028, up from the $2-3 billion originally planned for 2022.
As the world's largest LNG trader, Shell expects its integrated gas and upstream output to grow 1% annually through 2030, with LNG sales rising 4-5% per year. Meanwhile, oil production will hold steady at 1.4 million barrels per day until the end of the decade.
A shift toward lower-carbon investments remains part of Shell's plan, with 10% of capital allocation directed toward this segment by 2030.
Despite the earnings miss, Shell raised its dividend per share by 4% and initiated a $3.5 billion stock buyback program. Analysts at RBC noted that while Shell's update signals continuity rather than drastic change, stronger cost reductions, lower capital expenditure guidance, and higher-than-expected shareholder returns position the company favorably.
This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

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