Opec's scramble is doing India a good turn
Mint Editorial Board The oil cartel plans to increase supply yet again in a lunge for market share as crude prices sag. This suits India fine. Abundant supply amid weak consumption in a tariff-rattled world economy has spelt a glut. Gift this article
War clouds over Iran have cleared, even though US President Donald Trump's tariff policy has impacted global demand conditions. As it happens, both these factors favour crude oil consumers.
War clouds over Iran have cleared, even though US President Donald Trump's tariff policy has impacted global demand conditions. As it happens, both these factors favour crude oil consumers.
On Monday, Brent crude oil prices fell to $67.83 per barrel after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) and its allies raised their production target by 548,000 barrels per day for August.
Also Read: Counter-intuitive: Why Opec wants lower oil prices
While Brent later rebounded, this extra supply would exceed the cartel's last increase of 411,000 barrels per day for the preceding three months (a major ramp-up). The cartel cited tight supply and healthy demand, although the global market's story is quite the opposite.
Abundant supply amid weak consumption in a tariff-rattled world economy has spelt a glut. This suggests we can expect prices to stay range-bound in a comfort zone, even as Opec scrambles for market share now that it's clear it can't count on hardening prices to meet the revenue aspirations of its member countries.
For importers such as India, this sounds just fine. With global trade patterns undergoing an upheaval, it's best if India's oil dependence doesn't complicate its balance of payments. Topics You May Be Interested In Catch all the Business News, Market News, Breaking News Events and Latest News Updates on Live Mint. Download The Mint News App to get Daily Market Updates.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles

Hindustan Times
12 minutes ago
- Hindustan Times
Sensex, Nifty fall as IT stocks drag down market ahead of TCS Q1 results
Benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty buckled under selling pressure on Thursday due to weakness in IT and telecom stocks as investors turned cautious ahead of the start of earnings season, with tech major TCS scheduled to announce its Q1 numbers later in the day. The BSE midcap gauge dipped 0.28 per cent while the smallcap index inched higher by 0.12 per cent.(REUTERS File) Tariff-related uncertainty also dampened investor sentiment in the market, traders said. Sliding for the second straight session, the 30-share BSE Sensex dropped 345.80 points or 0.41 per cent to settle at 83,190.28. During the day, it declined 401.11 points or 0.48 per cent to 83,134.97. As many as 2,064 stocks declined, while 1,959 advanced and 138 remained unchanged on the BSE. On similar lines, the 50-share NSE Nifty declined 120.85 points or 0.47 per cent to 25,355.25. A positive momentum in global equities, however, restricted the loss in the domestic markets. "Indian equities concluded the day in the red, weighed down by weakness in IT stocks ahead of TCS' Q1 results. Investor sentiment remains cautious ahead of the Q1 results in anticipation of a muted start to the season from the IT and finance sectors. However, the recent consolidation in the IT stocks largely factors in the muted outlook, limiting further worries," Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Investments Limited, said. From the Sensex pack, Bharti Airtel, Asian Paints, Infosys, Bharat Electronics, Tech Mahindra and Eternal were major laggards. However, Maruti, Tata Steel, Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Finserv, Trent and Tata Consultancy Services were among the gainers. "Dalal Street ended in the red on Thursday, as investors remained cautious ahead of two key events -- US President Donald Trump's upcoming tariff announcement and the start of India's Q1FY26 earnings season, with TCS scheduled to report results post market hours," Gaurav Garg, Analyst, Lemonn Markets Desk, said. The BSE midcap gauge dipped 0.28 per cent while the smallcap index inched higher by 0.12 per cent. Among BSE sectoral indices, teck dropped 1.17 per cent, telecommunication (1.11 per cent), BSE Focused IT (0.77 per cent), IT (0.71 per cent) and consumer durables (0.44 per cent). Realty, metal, oil & gas and utilities were the gainers. "On the sectoral front, profit booking in IT majors ahead of TCS results weighed on the index, followed closely by weakness in FMCG and pharma stocks. However, the realty and metal sectors bucked the trend and closed in the green. The broader indices also ended with modest losses, continuing their profit-taking phase," Ajit Mishra – SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd, said. An Indian commerce ministry team will soon visit Washington for another round of talks on the proposed trade agreement with the US to iron out differences in sectors, like agriculture and automobiles, a government official said on Thursday. This visit is significant as the US has further extended the imposition of additional import duties (in the case of India, it is 26 per cent) till August 1. India is seeking the removal of this additional tariff. In Asian markets, South Korea's Kospi, Shanghai's SSE Composite Index and Hong Kong's Hang Seng settled higher, while Japan's Nikkei 225 index ended lower. European markets were trading mostly higher. The US markets ended in positive territory on Wednesday. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) bought equities worth ₹77 crore on Wednesday, according to exchange data. Global oil benchmark Brent crude dipped 0.27 per cent to USD 70 a barrel. On Wednesday, the 30-share BSE Sensex fell by 176.43 points or 0.21 per cent to settle at 83,536.08. The Nifty declined 46.40 points or 0.18 per cent to end at 25,476.10.


Mint
17 minutes ago
- Mint
Oil edges down amid bearish Trump tariff outlook
LONDON -Oil prices edged lower on Thursday as investors weighed the potential impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs on global economic growth. Brent crude futures were down 17 cents, or 0.24%, at $70.02 a barrel by 1100 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell 24 cents, or 0.35%, to $68.14 a barrel. On Wednesday, Trump threatened Brazil, Latin America's largest economy, with a punitive 50% tariff on exports to the U.S., after a public spat with his Brazilian counterpart Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. He has also announced plans for tariffs on copper, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals and his administration sent tariff letters to the Philippines, Iraq and others, adding to over a dozen letters issued earlier in the week including for powerhouse U.S. suppliers South Korea and Japan. Trump's history of back-pedalling on tariffs has caused the market to become less reactive to such announcements, said Harry Tchilinguirian, group head of research at Onyx Capital Group. "People are largely in wait and see mode, given the erratic nature of policymaking and the flexibility the administration is showing around tariffs," Tchilinguirian said. Policymakers remain worried about the inflationary pressures from Trump's tariffs, with only "a couple" of officials at the Federal Reserve's June 17-18 meeting saying they felt interest rates could be reduced as soon as this month, minutes of the meeting released on Wednesday showed. Higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive and reduce demand for oil. Supporting oil prices however was a weaker U.S. dollar in Thursday's Asia trading session, said OANDA senior analyst Kelvin Wong. A weaker dollar lifts oil prices by making it cheaper for holders of other currencies. U.S. crude stocks rose while gasoline and distillate inventories fell last week, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. Gasoline demand rose 6% to 9.2 million barrels per day last week, the EIA said. Global daily flights were averaging 107,600 in the first eight days of July, an all-time high, with flights in China reaching a five-month peak and port and freight activities indicating "sustained expansion" in trade activities from last year, JP Morgan said in a client note. "Year to date, global oil demand growth is averaging 0.97 million barrels per day, in line with our forecast of 1 million barrels per day," the note said. Additionally, there is doubt the recent increase in production quotas announced by OPEC will result in an actual increase in production, as some members are already exceeding their quotas, said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG. "And others, like Russia, are unable to meet their targets due to damaged oil infrastructure," he said. OPEC oil producers are set to approve another big output boost for September, as they complete both the unwinding of voluntary production cuts by eight members and the United Arab Emirates' move to a larger quota.


Business Standard
22 minutes ago
- Business Standard
China's Shanghai Composite index rise 0.48%
Asian stocks ended Thursday's session mostly higher, unfazed by U.S. President Donald Trump's latest tariff salvos. After threatening tariffs on copper and pharma, Trump upped the stakes in his global trade war with a fresh round of tariffs on imports from eight nations. He imposed a 50 percent tariff on Brazilian imports over Jair Bolsonaro's prosecution, prompting sharp retaliation from President Lula. Gold edged higher on a softer dollar and lower bond yields while oil prices were little changed in Asian trade on signs of rising U.S. stockpiles and concerns about global economic outlook. China's Shanghai Composite index rose 0.48 percent to 3,509.68 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index climbed 0.57 percent to 24,028.37 as investors looked through the latest tariff headlines. EV and real estate stocks rallied after Beijing pledged policy support for job stability.