
S&P 500, Nasdaq end at fresh records after solid US jobs data
The broad-based S&P 500 jumped 0.8 per cent to 6,279.35, a second straight record.
The tech-rich Nasdaq Composite Index gained 1.0 per cent to 20,601.10, also a record, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.8 per cent to 44,828.53.
The US economy added 147,000 jobs in June while unemployment dipped to 4.1 per cent from 4.2 per cent, a sign of US labour market resilience despite the White House's wave of tariffs.
'We have a nice rally going, and the reason for that is that the employment data was stronger than expected,' said Peter Cardillo of Spartan Capital Securities, who noted that the market overlooked that the job additions included a heavy share of public sector posts.
Markets also shrugged off data showing an uptick in the US trade deficit in May, with both imports and exports declining.
But congressional Republicans expressed confidence they would win final passage of Trump's sweeping fiscal package, which includes heavy spending increases for deportations and cuts in federal health care programs.
Investors have greeted the extension of tax cuts, but have expressed concern at forecasts that the package will add US$3.4 trillion (RM14.4 trillion) in debt.
US stock exchanges closed early yesterday and will be shuttered today for the July 4th Independence Day holiday. — AFP
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New Straits Times
30 minutes ago
- New Straits Times
FX steady, stocks retreat as caution lingers ahead of Trump's tariff deadline
NEW YORK: Emerging market currencies were mixed on Friday, while stocks headed lower as markets remained cautious about the progress of trade deals with the US ahead of President Donald Trump's tariff deadline. Trump said that his administration will begin sending letters to 10 to 12 countries on Friday, informing them of tariff rates their exports would face after the July 9 deadline expires. Only the UK, Vietnam and China have signed trade agreements with the US as yet, with others scrambling to clinch one before the sweeping duties come into effect and threaten economic growth. "Many observers assume that a tariff of at least 10 per cent will ultimately be agreed for most trading partners... even if the final rate in the US were to be significantly higher than last year, markets seem to assume that this will not trigger a major economic crisis," said analysts at Commerzbank. "The markets seem to have abandoned the worst-case scenario and are assuming that the economy will ultimately weather Trump's tariff policy." Moreover, some concerns over the fiscal health of the US remained as the Congress passed Trump's tax-cut and spending package on Thursday. It is estimated to add over US$3 trillion to the US fiscal debt. The dollar index was flat on the day, still trading around multi-year lows. Trading was expected to be thin as markets in the US were closed for the 4th of July holiday. MSCI's index tracking global emerging market currencies was 0.2 per cent lower, but was looking at its fifth weekly gain. Emerging European currencies were subdued against the euro, but the Polish zloty fell 0.2 per cent. A report said that central banker Ludwik Kotecki sees room for two 25 basis point interest rate cuts this year, after the bank delivered a surprise trim of the same magnitude earlier this week. The Czech crown was slightly higher, after a flash estimate put annual inflation in June in-line with expectations and retail sales continued to show solid growth. Turkey's lira was little changed against the dollar, and so were its stocks. The stocks index was set for its biggest weekly gain since March. South Africa's rand edged 0.3 per cent lower, while its stocks were flat. Bourses in emerging European economies were also lower, with ones in Poland and Hungary down 1.2 per cent and 0.4 per cent respectively. Poland's blue chip index was set for a fourth week of gains. MSCI's gauge of global EM stocks was down 0.6 per cent, but was set to log marginal gains this week. Investors took on more riskier assets this week in a bid to diversify away from US amid mounting fiscal worries, and after strong jobs data on Thursday bolstered risk appetite globally.


The Star
38 minutes ago
- The Star
Asian markets mixed as Trump warns tariff letters to be sent soon
HONG KONG: Asian investors trod cautiously on Friday (July 4) as Donald Trump's deadline to avert his steep tariffs approached, with the US president saying he planned to start sending letters informing trading partners of their rates. Uncertainty leading up to next week's cut-off tempered the positive lead from another record on Wall Street, where a forecast-busting US jobs report soothed worries about the world's top economy. Governments around the world have fought to hammer out deals with Washington ahead of the July 9 deadline, set after Trump unveiled a blitz of levies on his "Liberation Day" in early April. He and his top officials have said several were in the pipeline, but only Britain and Vietnam have signed pacts while China has agreed to a framework for it and the United States to slash tit-for-tat tolls and ship certain products. While negotiators continue to seek ways to avert the worst of the White House's measures, Trump warned Thursday he would soon be issuing his messages to capitals. "My inclination is to send a letter out and say what tariff they're going to be paying," he told reporters. "It's just much easier." He added: "We're going to be sending some letters out, starting probably tomorrow, maybe ten a day to various countries saying what they're going to pay to do business with the US." The prospect that trading partners from Japan and South Korea to India and Taiwan could be hit with stiff tariffs fuelled fresh worries about the global economy. Tokyo edged up with Shanghai, Sydney, Wellington and Jakarta but Hong Kong, Seoul, Singapore, Taipei and Manila fell. Traders were unable to pick up the baton from their New York colleagues, who sent the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to more record closes ahead of the Independence Day break. Those gains followed data showing the US economy topped expectations to add 147,000 jobs in June while unemployment dipped to 4.1 per cent from 4.2 per cent, which was also better than estimated. The reading was taken as a sign the labour market remained in rude health despite warnings about the impact of Trump's tariffs. It also dented hopes that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its next meeting this month, with bets now on two reductions before the end of the year - the first likely in September. However, analysts suggested that all was not what it seemed, pointing to softness in the private sector. "We think that private-sector hiring has stalled, and we may see sporadic layoffs in some industries in the coming months," warned analysts at MUFG. "Despite the unemployment rate having fallen... the flow of potential workers that remained out of the labour force rose sharply in June (and over 750,000 have dropped out of the labor force over the past two months), further highlighting the weak hiring environment. "We continue to view labour demand as being fundamentally weak relative to the past several years." The passage of Trump's "Big, Beautiful Bill" also left investors in a quandary as they weighed the extension of huge tax and spending cuts with forecasts that it will add around US$3 trillion to the already ballooning national debt. Still, it included a US$5 trillion increase in the debt limit, removing the risk the country could default on its bond payments. - AFP


The Star
39 minutes ago
- The Star
For retailers, US-Vietnam trade deal leaves questions
LONDON: A trade deal announced by the US and Vietnam creates new question marks for sportswear and clothing retailers like Nike and Adidas that source shoes and clothes from factories in the South-East Asian country, industry experts said on Thursday (July 3). The US will impose a 20 per cent tariff on many imports from Vietnam, while "transshipping" from third countries through Vietnam will face a 40 per cent levy, President Donald Trump said on Wednesday. Garment and shoe factories in Vietnam rely heavily on yarns, polyester fabrics and trims like buttons and zippers imported from neighbouring China. It was not immediately clear whether such products assembled in Vietnam from Chinese inputs would be vulnerable to the transshipment tariff. Typically, transshipment would designate a product mostly made in China, shipped to Vietnam and then relabelled and exported as made in Vietnam. US customs already watches for that practice, but the Trump administration has hardened its stance on it, with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent saying that "a huge amount" of trade from Vietnam is transshipment from China, in a CNBC interview Thursday. Many questions remain over the trade agreement, said Sheng Lu, professor of fashion and apparel studies at the University of Delaware. "Strictly speaking, transshipment is illegal, whereas using foreign components in compliance with rules of origin requirements is common practice," said Lu. "Confusing these two distinct practices will only create greater uncertainty and risk further supply chain disruption." Vietnam has been a top destination for retailers and brands looking to reduce their reliance on factories in China, but has also become a target of Trump's aggressive trade policy. Vietnam is a key producer of sports shoes for Nike, accounting for 50 per cent of Nike branded shoes overall in the company's fiscal year 2024, and is also Adidas' biggest supplier country, producing 27 per cent of the German brand's products. A Nike spokesperson said the company is still looking into the details of the deal. Adidas declined to comment. "With this new change and with the potential for this transshipment tariff, I think it's going to cause a lot of importers to really question, is Vietnam really a good other option?" said Lila Landis, a customs compliance consultant based in Fort Worth, Texas. While details are still not confirmed, the 40 per cent tariff could possibly be stacked atop the correct China duty for any given product, making it highly punitive, Landis added. Overall, the US imported 274 million pairs of shoes from Vietnam last year, according to industry group Footwear Distributors and Retailers of America (FDRA), which on Wednesday called the tariffs unnecessary and said they would hit American consumers. "There's disappointment in the 20 per cent on the Vietnam side," said Joe Jurken, managing director at supply chain management company The ABC Group. The announced tariff on Vietnam narrows the gap with China, which the U.S. has hit with a 55 per cent tariff, and may even tempt some brands to stick with China, Jurken said, instead of switching suppliers which is lengthy and costly. "There's a lack of capacity in Vietnam because there's not enough factories, and there's an overabundance of capacity in China... so the Chinese factories, in our opinion, will benefit from this over the short term," Jurken said. Still, the 20 per cent tariff rate is better than the 25-30 per cent rate the market feared, according to analysts at Raymond James. And the deal announcement goes some way to end uncertainty, and could encourage some retailers that were considering Vietnam to go ahead and place orders, said Jim Kennemer, managing director at Cosmo Sourcing. "It's going to be nearly impossible to get a 100 per cent not-China supply chain," he said. - Reuters