UBS Sees Strong Sales Outlook for Eli Lilly's Zepbound and Mounjaro
Pixabay/Public Domain
Sales estimates for Eli Lilly & Company (NYSE:LLY)'s weight-loss treatment Zepbound may surpass market expectations by about 15%, according to the investment bank's analysis, while estimates for the diabetes prescription Mounjaro are in line with current market projections. In general, UBS expects Eli Lilly's quarterly sales to exceed expectations by 2%.
According to UBS, the company's next major driver is the SURPASS cardiovascular outcomes trial. The bank added that Eli Lilly & Company (NYSE:LLY)'s second-quarter earnings would briefly benefit from CVS Health's formulary shift.
Eli Lilly & Company (NYSE:LLY) is a major global pharmaceutical company that develops, manufactures, and distributes a wide range of drugs. Founded in 1876, it has grown to become one of the world's largest pharmaceutical companies.
While we acknowledge the potential of LLY as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock.
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CNN
21 minutes ago
- CNN
The untold story about how Olive Garden's most popular special came to be
New York CNN — When the first Olive Garden opened in 1982 in Orlando, Florida, it was a disaster. Long lines formed to get inside. The cooks couldn't make enough sauce to keep up with demand. Bells constantly rang, alerting the kitchen staff that a table was waiting more than 10 minutes for their meal. The second day wasn't any better. It was immediately clear to Blaine Sweatt, an Olive Garden cofounder and general manager, that he needed a quick and cost-efficient way to satisfy hordes of hungry customers as they waited for their entrées. Enter an endless supply of breadsticks, soups and salads. 'It made guests really happy, but it also helped the kitchen catch up since servers could get them themselves,' said Jaime Bunker, senior vice president of marketing for Olive Garden. The special — albeit slightly tweaked to choose either soup or salad — was added to menus and included for free to guests ordering an entrée. Four decades later, the 'endless' option remains a hallmark on Olive Garden's menu. Endless breadsticks, soup and salad are still coveted by cash-conscious guests seeking value amid economic uncertainty that's hurting the casual dining sector. The deal includes unlimited freshly baked breadsticks along with a choice of a soup (Chicken and Gnocchi, Pasta e Fagioli, Minestrone and Zuppa Toscana) or a salad. 'It's a tradition for the brand that even to this day embodies that spirit that we have of Italian generosity, of family, hospitality, of being in someone's home, where they just want nothing more than for you to have a good time and to be well fed,' Bunker told CNN. The special has become a 'core element' to Olive Garden's identity, said Maeve Webster, president of consulting firm Menu Matters, noting that there's been 'a lot of pressure from some of the investment groups that wanted to get rid of it because of profitability and cost.' About a decade ago, a prominent investor in Olive Garden's parent company was so fed up with the chain's sluggish sales that it released a nearly 300-page slideshow criticizing its breadsticks and sauce, suggesting changes like a management overhaul. Some things on its menu changed as a result, but the endless breadsticks stuck around. 'You have to give Olive Garden and those running it credit for being true to that brand identity and sticking with it, even if it costs a little bit more,' Webster told CNN. Expanding the 'endless' Olive Garden's endless option offers value to both customers and the company, Webster said. 'It's value, from a price point of view, where you're getting an enormous amount for the money you're spending,' she said, adding that there is a benefit for Olive Garden in messaging to consumers that 'this chain is truly trying to take care of them.' Breadsticks and soups are easy to plate and are both cost-efficient foods with high-profit margins, meaning they don't dent the chain's bottom line. Salads are a 'little higher' in cost because 'produce is a little more costly and you actually have to throw the salad together,' she said. However, Bunker said the pricing of the three items is 'built in' to the menu costs. Darden Restaurants, the chain's parent company, is cautious about hiking prices. It only raised Olive Garden's prices by about 2% last year, which is lower than the rate of inflation. The special was expanded into a meal option for lunch in 1991 and three years later as a dinner option. Beyond that, the popularity of those 'endless' offerings prompted Olive Garden to expand the concept to other parts of its menu. In 1995, Olive Garden launched an unlimited pasta offer that makes yearly appearances, except for a brief break during the height of the Covid-19 pandemic. The 'Never Ending Pasta Bowl' promotion happens around the back-to-school time in the fall when 'people have a lot of expenses' and 'consumers are looking to save,' Bunker added. Focus on value Value options for customers, notably the return of its buy-one meal and get a take-home meal deal following a five-year hiatus, helped raise Olive Garden's sales by 6.9% in its most recent quarter. That was the chain's best same-store sales performance in three years and a sharp reversal from the 2.9% decline it experienced in the same quarter a year ago. Darden doesn't expect growth to remain that high, but it is forecasting a solid 2% to 3.5% rise in same-store sales for the next year. Similar to Chili's, Olive Garden says it's seeing customers revisit the chain because it offers a better value compared to fast food and grocery shopping. 'Our consumers want to go out and spend their hard-earned money, and we think we're taking some wallet share from fast food and fast casual,' Darden CEO Rick Cardenas said on call with analysts in June. Olive Garden is adding more lower-priced options in the coming months and isn't planning any additional price increases, executives said on the call. Darden's (DRI) stock is up nearly 20% for the year. Part of Olive Garden's success, in Webster's opinion, is that the chain hasn't 'allowed themselves to get too distracted by the relentless pursuit of trends that the industry finds itself in.' Bunker said Olive Garden has no plans to tinker with or axe the endless soup or salad and breadsticks option — and confirmed that there's no limit to how much a guest can order in one sitting. 'We're very committed to giving our guests never-ending, abundant, crave-able Italian food at an everyday value,' she said. 'It's just part of who the brand is.'


Forbes
24 minutes ago
- Forbes
One Big Beautiful Bill: Family Offices No Longer Need To Fear Death & Taxes
While markets fixate on the latest Federal Reserve signals and artificial intelligence earnings, the most consequential legislation for ultra-high-net-worth families in decades has quietly become reality. The "One Big Beautiful Bill," formally the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, represents nothing short of a seismic shift in how America's wealthiest families will build, preserve and transfer fortunes across generations. The Death Tax Gets Defanged The numbers speak for themselves. Starting January 1, 2026, estate, gift and generation-skipping transfer tax exemptions permanently jump to $15 million per person, double the previous threshold and a complete reversal of the sunset provisions that threatened to slash exemptions back to roughly $6 million. For family offices managing multi-generational wealth, this isn't merely tax relief, it is a fundamental restructuring of the wealth transfer landscape. Under the previous framework, families faced a ticking clock as Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions prepared to expire. Now, with permanent exemptions locked in, strategic planning can extend decades into the future without legislative uncertainty. The shift puts American estate tax policy closer to European models, where many countries have eliminated or dramatically reduced inheritance taxes. More critically, it removes the forced liquidation pressure that has historically fractured family enterprises and agricultural operations. Capital Gains: Stability Reigns Surprisingly, the legislation leaves capital gains rates untouched. There are no modifications to carried interest treatment, corporate tax rates or stock buyback excise taxes. This stability allows family offices to maintain existing investment strategies without fear of unexpected capital gains increases. However, one enhancement stands out: Qualified Opportunity Fund investments now receive tax-free treatment on gains held between 10 and 30 years. This extended window dramatically improves the risk-adjusted returns for impact investing in designated zones, a particularly attractive option for family offices balancing financial returns with social impact mandates. Agricultural Assets: The New Safe Haven For family offices with substantial agricultural holdings such as farms, ranches and forestry operations, the legislation creates unprecedented advantages. The Section 199A Qualified Business Income Deduction expands from 20% to 23% and becomes permanent. Consider the impact: Over 850,000 farms and ranches currently claim this deduction, with usage jumping to 70% among operations where the principal operator is primarily engaged in farming or ranching. The enhanced deduction allows agricultural operators to shield nearly a quarter of their business income from taxation while the expanded phase-in thresholds provide additional flexibility. Single filers now receive full benefits up to $75,000 (from $50,000), while joint filers get protection up to $175,000 (from $100,000). The Land Preservation Play The $15 million estate tax exemption transforms agricultural succession planning. Farmland and ranch properties, typically large and illiquid assets, have historically forced family sales to cover estate tax obligations. The new exemption levels allow families to transfer these operations intact while preserving multi-generational legacies. Additionally, the legislation injects $56.6 billion into farm safety net programs through 2031, enhancing crop insurance and conservation programs. For family offices, this reduces operational risk while creating additional income diversification through conservation initiatives. Business Investment Gets Turbocharged Unlimited bonus depreciation remains intact, allowing immediate expensing of qualifying equipment and improvements. Combined with expanded business interest deductions and modified excess business loss limitations, family offices can accelerate reinvestment without tax penalties. These provisions particularly benefit agricultural operations, where equipment purchases and land improvements represent major capital expenditures. The ability to immediately expense these investments improves cash flow and enables more aggressive growth strategies. WASHINGTON, DC - JULY 03: Speaker of the House Mike Johnson (R-LA) holds up the final vote tally ... More after the One Big Beautiful Bill Act passed the House of Representatives at the U.S. Capitol on July 03, 2025 in Washington, DC. The House passed the sweeping tax and spending bill after winning over fiscal hawks and moderate Republicans. The bill makes permanent President Donald Trump's 2017 tax cuts, increase spending on defense and immigration enforcement and temporarily cut taxes on tips, while at the same time cutting funding for Medicaid, food assistance for the poor, clean energy and raises the nation's debit limit by $5 trillion. (Photo by) Strategic Implications The legislation eliminates the uncertainty that has plagued family office planning since 2017. Temporary provisions under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act left many families in holding patterns, hesitant to make long-term commitments amid regulatory uncertainty. Now, permanent rules enable confident multi-generational planning. Family offices can optimize estate structures, accelerate impact investing through enhanced opportunity zones, and pursue agricultural diversification with unprecedented tax advantages. The Bottom Line The One Big Beautiful Bill represents more than tax policy, it is a decisive signal that America's approach to family wealth has fundamentally shifted. By permanently raising exemptions and enhancing business investment incentives, the legislation arms family offices with tools to build and transfer wealth previously unimaginable. For family offices tasked with preserving legacies across generations, the message is clear: the era of fearing death and taxes has ended. The focus can now shift to what families do best: nurture generational prosperity.


Washington Post
33 minutes ago
- Washington Post
Deep Reads: Abandoned by Trump, a farmer and a migrant search for a better future
As an American farmer, JJ Ficken, 37, was perpetually subject to weather, labor, loans, overhead, markets, health, politics. None of it was predictable, and all of it was a threat. The industry's survival has long depended on the deals made between millions of Americans willing to brave all that uncertainty and a federal government willing to sustain them, through grants, subsidies, insurance, financing, payouts and disaster relief. But then President Donald Trump, in the earliest days of his second term, threatened to break tens of thousands of those deals, suspending billions in agricultural funding and decimating the staffs that managed it. Swept up in the freeze was JJ and the $50 million grant program he'd signed up for along with 140 other farmers across the country. All of them had agreed to hire and, in many cases, house domestic workers or lawful immigrants willing to take jobs that Americans would not, but with the reimbursements in doubt, farmers worried they'd miss payrolls, default on loans or face bankruptcy. This story follows JJ and Otto Vargas, 24, as JJ recruits, meets and starts working with Otto – all while JJ wonders whether the government will ever pay him back. John Woodrow Cox reported, wrote and read the piece. Sarah Blaskey co-wrote the story. David Ovalle contributed to the report. Bishop Sand composed music and produced audio for the piece. Subscribe to The Washington Post here.