Horse racing tips: Sunday, July 6
NAP:
Dodge City (2.20, Ayr) 1pt win @ SP with Betfred ⭐⭐⭐
Other:
Cracker Star (4.05, Ayr) 1pt win @ SP with Betfred ⭐⭐
Odds provided by Betfred and correct at the time of writing. Stars denote strength of selection (max 5).
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2.20 Ayr – Class 5 Maiden Stakes (6f)
DODGE CITY (NAP) made his debut in undoubtedly the hottest maiden of the season at Newbury in May. Six horses from that race have gone on to score since – including Humidity, the subsequent winner of the Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot – while several have placed.
Despite finishing 12th that day, Dodge City was three lengths in front of Do Or Do Not, who was runner-up in the Coventry Stakes at the Royal meeting. He looked to have bumped into another smart one when third on his next start, which was a decent improvement on his first appearance.
Brian Meehan's charge is taken to make it third time lucky at Ayr in what looks a very nice race for the grade.
Selection: Dodge City (2.20, Ayr) 1pt win @ SP with Betfred
4.05 Ayr – Class 4 Handicap (1m2f)
CRACKER STAR returns to the Flat following an unsuccessful stint over hurdles and he should be fresh enough following three months off.
The son of Cracksman has now joined Ewan Whillans' in-form yard, which is operating at a 25 per cent strike-rate over the past two weeks.
Making a case that Cracker Star is incredibly well handicapped off a mark of 73 is not difficult at all. He's been raised just 2lb for a short-head victory at Bath last June, but it's the run before that which makes most appeal.
Last May, Cracker Star chased home future Chester Cup winner and Triumph Hurdle third East India Dock at Salisbury, and two of the three horses he finished in front of while conceding weight are now rated 86 and 92. It's a competitive field, but Cracker Star looks to have a solid chance.
Selection: Cracker Star (4.05, Ayr) 1pt win @ SP with Betfred
Today's UK and Irish racing
(Flat unless stated)
Ayr 1.45-5.15
Market Rasen (NH) 2.00-5.30
What does NAP mean?
NAP is a word used in betting circles to describe a prediction that a tipster thinks has a particularly strong chance of winning.
Many horse racing tipsters pick out a 'NAP of the day', which is their favoured selection from all the races across the different meetings.
The term NAP derives from the French card game Napoleon. When players of this game thought they had a particularly strong hand that they would win with, they would shout 'Napoleon'.
What is an each-way bet?
An each-way bet is a popular type of wager, particularly with horse racing fans. It is essentially two bets, both of which have the same size stake.
An each-way bet features one bet on the selection to win and the other bet on the selection to place.
So a £10 each-way bet will cost you a total of £20. There will be one £10 bet on the selection to win and another £10 on the selection to place.
It's a popular bet because it offers punters the chance of a return, even if the horse in question fails to win. Bookmakers will pay out at a stated percentage of the odds for a place finish, for example one-fifth of the starting price (SP) for finishing in the first three.
The more runners there are in a horse race, the more places will be on offer. In races that feature lots of runners, the horses will be available at bigger odds, making an each-way bet a wise choice.
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Star ratings explained
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ - confident selection
⭐⭐⭐⭐ - strong fancy
⭐⭐⭐ - fair claims
⭐⭐ - tentative choice
⭐ - minimum confidence
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