
The relationship: Climate change and food security
The unprecedented rainfall, droughts, heatwaves, and floods are disrupting food supplies and could exacerbate food price volatility, potentially leading to a 3% increase in food prices. This development will impact seasonal price patterns and make staple foods less affordable. Experts have penned projections that if comprehensive adaptation for sustainable agriculture is not implemented soon, the future could be alarming.
Climate change is a crucial factor for food price stability. Research has shown that the relationship between inflation and the monthly temperature increase is non-linear. Another study states that climate change poses a risk to food price stability, potentially leading to inflationary pressures, altering food seasonality, and amplifying the effects of weather extremes.
Ghana and Ivory Coast supply 60% of the world's cocoa, and were hit by a heatwave in early 2024, which resulted in a surge of cocoa prices by 280%. The situation persists into 2025, mainly due to disease, rainfall fluctuations, and farmers shifting to palm oil, as it's a more profitable crop. Brazil is the world's largest producer of coffee, satisfying 30% of the global supply, and 30% of the Arabica seeds.
Brazil experienced a severe drought, resulting in a 55% surge in coffee prices in mid-2024. Additional US tariffs on Cambodian coffee have increased prices by 62% in 2024. Interestingly, experts predict that in the coming 3 years, these commodities could become luxury products.
There are also short-term price surges in foods such as potatoes, cabbage, rice, and olive oil. The price of cabbage rose by 70% in South Korea in 2023. In Japan, Rice prices rose by 48% in 2024. In India, the cost of potatoes rose by 81% in 2024. The price surges in the countries were attributed to extreme weather conditions, specifically heatwaves.
In Europe, olive oil prices rose by 50% in 2024, and in Ethiopia, due to drought, overall food prices increased by 40% in 2023. Drought caused these price fluctuations. In Australia, the price of lettuce rose by 30% in 2022 due to floods. In Brazil, climate change is affecting every item and staple commodity purchased.
The Global South, including Africa and South America, bears the heaviest brunt of the global climate crisis, and they experience inflationary pressures all year round. Tropical regions are more vulnerable as crops are already stressed by rising temperatures.
Climate change raises food prices and also increases costs across the economy. Research has shown that high temperatures have upward inflationary trends over the past 30 years in both high and low-income economies.
Climate change is no longer a threat; it is a reality that we can see in our inflated grocery bills, disrupted agricultural production, reduced crop yields, increased complexity of supply chain bottlenecks, and a threat to global food security. These are not just words on a newspaper; this article serves as a potent reminder, a wake-up call to act, and a nudge to global stakeholders and decision-makers to collaborate in mitigating the amplifying ramifications of global warming through resilient agriculture, stringent regulations, farmer support, encouraging drought resistant crops, international climate funds, consistent dialogue, enforcing stringent emission cuts, and awareness campaigns.
Even individuals can adopt green practices, sustainable dietary habits, reduce wastage, and support eco-friendly producers. Every single climate-conscious act of 8.2 billion people worldwide will build a stable and affordable future for all.
2025 © All right reserved for Oman Establishment for Press, Publication and Advertising (OEPPA) Provided by SyndiGate Media Inc. (Syndigate.info).
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Zawya
21 hours ago
- Zawya
The pain of Uganda's coffee farmers as prices plunge
In Uganda's hills and plains, where coffee has long been the lifeline of families and entire communities, a quiet storm is brewing – one tearing through livelihoods and threatening the country's revenue streams. For many years, coffee has been Uganda's pride, sustaining the hopes of 1.8 million farming households. In good seasons, farmers saw the fruits of their labour fetch millions of shillings, rewarding their rugged hands and efforts, and earning the country over $2.08 billion from overseas markets, according to last year's records. Uganda harvested 7.43 million bags, ranrking among the top coffee producers in the world. In May 2025, Uganda surpassed Ethiopia, becoming Africa's top coffee exporter. This triumph was built on the backs of farmers who replanted their fields with resilient coffee trees, nurtured them like family, and endured droughts and pests. With new seedlings and renewed hope, they turned 610,000 hectares into coffee plantations. Within just a month, the price of a kilogram of Robusta coffee fell from $3.90 in early April to $2.22. For ordinary farmers, tough times loom: unpaid school fees, skipped meals, medical bills unmet, and mounting loan repayments. The latest crisis in the coffee industry, which has halved the farm-gate prices of red fresh cherries, has cast a dark cloud over the sector's future. Hakim Bananuka, a smallholder farmer in Kisukunyi village, Kigarama Parish, Ndeija Sub-county in Rwampara District, western Uganda, says he borrowed money from lenders to expand his plantation when the farm-gate price stood between $0.83 and $0.41 per kilogram. Now, at just $0.41 per kilo for green beans/cherries, farmers like Bananuka are staring at massive losses and questioning the long-held Ugandan adage 'Emwanyi telimba' – meaning 'coffee doesn't lie or disappoint' – once a rallying call to grow more coffee. But the crop now seems to be telling a different story.'Imagine spending Ush2,000 ($0.55) to produce one kilogram of red coffee cherries, yet the market only offers Ush1,000 ($0.27),' said Bananuka.'I see many farmers unable to service their loans. The average global price for Uganda's coffee has been steadily declining – from highs of Ush18,462 ($5.15) per kilo in April to Ush17,066 ($4.76) in June,' he added. Ugandan exporters blame the growing global supply of beans. For instance, on July 26, 2025, Robusta futures on the London exchange fell by 3.61 percent to $3,228 per tonne, while Arabica futures on the New York exchange declined by 2.39 percent to £297.55. This drop comes amid increased harvests from Brazil and Indonesia. By 23 July, Brazil had harvested 84 percent of its 2025/26 crop (Tridge, July 26, 2025). The fluctuations have forced many farmer cooperatives like the Bugisu Cooperative Union (BCU) to adopt a wait-and-see approach.'In the Bugisu sub-region, it's off-season,' said Barbara Wasagali, BCU's General Manager. She explained that the union – which controls the biggest share of the market – had already sold most of the two million kilos of coffee bought this season to contract buyers with orders extending to September. BCU, Uganda's leading Arabica coffee trading entity, is monitoring the situation closely.'We are watching the market. Global prices will inform what price the union offers farmers,' said Wasagali, assuring competitive rates to the union's farmer members. Julius Tugume, a member of the Banyankole Kweterana Cooperative Union in western Uganda and a coffee consolidator, said the price drop has rattled businesses. Many middlemen purchased coffee at between Ush9,465 ($2.64) and Ush9,968 ($2.78) per kilo from farmers, expecting to resell at Ush15,955 ($4.45). With shrinking margins, Tugume fears widespread loan defaults throughout the value chain. The bottoming out of coffee prices has also stirred political concerns, particularly in the central region, which strongly opposed the recent rationalisation of the Uganda Coffee Development Authority (UCDA).'We warned the government against rationalising UCDA,' said Muwanga Kivumbi, MP for Butambala County, about 50 km west of Kampala. 'Such a move denies this vital crop the specialised attention it deserves.'UCDA was folded into the Ministry of Agriculture under the Rationalisation of Government Agencies and Public Expenditure (Rapex) policy, aimed at merging agencies to reduce redundancy, duplication, and costs.'Coffee is a vital crop,' Kivumbi added. 'But the big-headed majority in Parliament pushed through UCDA's rationalisation.'In Buganda, coffee is a deeply cultural commodity. Visitors are served coffee cherries as a sign of bonding; beans are gifted at weddings and featured in traditional oaths of brotherhood. UCDA had successfully positioned Uganda as Africa's top coffee exporter by volume, displacing Ethiopia in May – a title Ethiopia had held for decades. Agriculture Minister Frank Tumwebaze insists there is no cause for alarm. September marks a seasonal shift for Brazil, which accounts for 39 percent of global coffee output.'Brazil and Vietnam are nearing the end of their main harvests,' said Tumwebaze, noting that favourable weather had increased Brazil's Robusta supply, exerting downward pressure on global prices. Still, the minister maintains that global Arabica prices have stabilised the sector for farmers and traders in Uganda's Elgon, Kigezi and Rwenzori highlands.'The current price range is not alarming,' Tumwebaze said. 'We are not producing coffee at a loss. In fact, prices have appreciated this month. Even with fluctuations, farmers are still getting value.'Uganda's coffee replanting programme – encouraging farmers to cut old trees and plant high-yield, drought- and disease-resistant varieties – has boosted production. Over 47.2 million seedlings were distributed to 60,392 farmers with average landholdings of 2.8 hectares and expected yields of 1.5 kg per tree. An anticipated glut on the global market has depressed prices, threatening the livelihoods of 4.12 million smallholder farmers across EAC coffee-producing countries – Burundi, Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, and Rwanda. Against this backdrop, some Members of Parliament are calling on the government to set a minimum coffee price to reassure farmers and cushion them from severe losses. Without price protection, they warn, Uganda's farmers face an increasingly uncertain future. © Copyright 2022 Nation Media Group. All Rights Reserved. Provided by SyndiGate Media Inc. (


Zawya
a day ago
- Zawya
The relationship: Climate change and food security
One of the significant challenges the world is facing today is climate change. The climate crisis is impacting human welfare, agricultural production, public health, labor productivity, and food price volatility. The intensified climate crisis is an existential reality that impacts countries and people at both the macro and micro levels. The unprecedented rainfall, droughts, heatwaves, and floods are disrupting food supplies and could exacerbate food price volatility, potentially leading to a 3% increase in food prices. This development will impact seasonal price patterns and make staple foods less affordable. Experts have penned projections that if comprehensive adaptation for sustainable agriculture is not implemented soon, the future could be alarming. Climate change is a crucial factor for food price stability. Research has shown that the relationship between inflation and the monthly temperature increase is non-linear. Another study states that climate change poses a risk to food price stability, potentially leading to inflationary pressures, altering food seasonality, and amplifying the effects of weather extremes. Ghana and Ivory Coast supply 60% of the world's cocoa, and were hit by a heatwave in early 2024, which resulted in a surge of cocoa prices by 280%. The situation persists into 2025, mainly due to disease, rainfall fluctuations, and farmers shifting to palm oil, as it's a more profitable crop. Brazil is the world's largest producer of coffee, satisfying 30% of the global supply, and 30% of the Arabica seeds. Brazil experienced a severe drought, resulting in a 55% surge in coffee prices in mid-2024. Additional US tariffs on Cambodian coffee have increased prices by 62% in 2024. Interestingly, experts predict that in the coming 3 years, these commodities could become luxury products. There are also short-term price surges in foods such as potatoes, cabbage, rice, and olive oil. The price of cabbage rose by 70% in South Korea in 2023. In Japan, Rice prices rose by 48% in 2024. In India, the cost of potatoes rose by 81% in 2024. The price surges in the countries were attributed to extreme weather conditions, specifically heatwaves. In Europe, olive oil prices rose by 50% in 2024, and in Ethiopia, due to drought, overall food prices increased by 40% in 2023. Drought caused these price fluctuations. In Australia, the price of lettuce rose by 30% in 2022 due to floods. In Brazil, climate change is affecting every item and staple commodity purchased. The Global South, including Africa and South America, bears the heaviest brunt of the global climate crisis, and they experience inflationary pressures all year round. Tropical regions are more vulnerable as crops are already stressed by rising temperatures. Climate change raises food prices and also increases costs across the economy. Research has shown that high temperatures have upward inflationary trends over the past 30 years in both high and low-income economies. Climate change is no longer a threat; it is a reality that we can see in our inflated grocery bills, disrupted agricultural production, reduced crop yields, increased complexity of supply chain bottlenecks, and a threat to global food security. These are not just words on a newspaper; this article serves as a potent reminder, a wake-up call to act, and a nudge to global stakeholders and decision-makers to collaborate in mitigating the amplifying ramifications of global warming through resilient agriculture, stringent regulations, farmer support, encouraging drought resistant crops, international climate funds, consistent dialogue, enforcing stringent emission cuts, and awareness campaigns. Even individuals can adopt green practices, sustainable dietary habits, reduce wastage, and support eco-friendly producers. Every single climate-conscious act of 8.2 billion people worldwide will build a stable and affordable future for all. 2025 © All right reserved for Oman Establishment for Press, Publication and Advertising (OEPPA) Provided by SyndiGate Media Inc. (


Zawya
a day ago
- Zawya
Trump's tariffs drive global trade shakeup, fuel multipolar shift
Donald Trump's sweeping new tariffs are not just reshaping global trade—they are accelerating the rise of a multipolar global economy. The shift away from a US-dominated system is no longer theoretical, it is active and accelerating, according to an expert. "Multipolarity now defines the direction of global trade," stated Nigel Green, the CEO of deVere Group, one of the world's largest independent financial advisory and asset management organizations. "These tariffs are forcing countries to rewire their trade, capital, and strategic priorities. The world is moving toward multiple centres of economic power and influence," he added. Effective August 7, the US will impose tariffs on nearly every major trading partner. Countries running a trade deficit with the US face a 15% floor. Canada has been hit with 35%. Brazil, 50%. India now faces a 25% rate, alongside a financial penalty for continuing energy and defence ties with Russia - despite being positioned by Trump as a close ally. "India's inclusion shows how quickly partners can become pressure points. This pressure is already nudging New Delhi toward deeper cooperation with trade rival Beijing. The consequences will be long-term," he added. While trade deals with China and Mexico remain under negotiation, the broader international response is already unfolding. "Beijing, Moscow, and increasingly Delhi are co-ordinating more closely on trade, infrastructure and investment. Long-time allies like Switzerland and Taiwan are reassessing risk. Many governments are seeking to reduce exposure to Washington's economic leverage altogether," stated Green. "This isn't a rerun of past trade disputes. It is a global shift away from reliance on the US as the central node. New trade networks are forming by necessity, not necessarily by preference," he noted. Diplomatic talks with China have intensified in recent months, with meetings in Geneva, London and Stockholm. Beijing is focused on securing a continued freeze on US semiconductor export controls. Washington is demanding action on fentanyl, greater access for American firms, and increased Chinese purchases of US goods. But the real story lies beyond the negotiating table. "Tariffs are being baked in as permanent features of the new economic order. Countries are responding by building systems that can operate without US permission," pointed out Green. The US tariff list now stretches across continents. Switzerland faces 39%. South Africa, Libya, Algeria, Serbia, and several others between 30% and 41%. Taiwan, Israel, Pakistan, and Norway are all in the 15–20% range. The sweep is deliberate -and global. "Markets are adjusting. Capital is shifting. Supply chains are realigning around regional strength, not global scale," stated the expert. "The dollar remains dominant, but its influence is no longer unchallenged," he added. According to Green, central banks across the globe are pursuing alternatives. "Reserve diversification is accelerating. Regional trading blocs are pushing forward with new payments infrastructure, less reliant on Washington's rule," he noted. "This fragmentation is the new baseline. The post-war consensus on trade and financial cooperation is fading. What replaces it is a world of multiple economic power and influence centres, each with their own rules and reach," he stated. "For investors, the implications are direct. Correlations are weakening. Policy risk is climbing. Exposure to geopolitical realignment is no longer abstract, it's active," explained Green. "Anyone still expecting a return to the old system is behind the curve. This is the direction of travel now. Global trade will be multipolar. Capital allocation must reflect that," he noted. The deVere CEO said the Trump tariffs move locks in a new world order where influence is distributed, and alignment is increasingly transactional. "For global investors, it marks the start of a generation-defining realignment," he stated. "From here, economic and trade power is going to become more fragmented - and competition for it more intense," he added. -TradeArabia News Service Copyright 2025 Al Hilal Publishing and Marketing Group Provided by SyndiGate Media Inc. (