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Civilian nuclear programme: $30bn deal from US to Iran in the works; but there's a non-negotiable condition

Civilian nuclear programme: $30bn deal from US to Iran in the works; but there's a non-negotiable condition

Time of Indiaa day ago

Iran's nuclear sites before US strikes
In a surprising diplomatic turn, the Trump administration is considering a massive $30 billion proposal to help Iran develop a civilian nuclear programme, marking a potential shift in the complex relationship between Washington and Tehran.
The proposal comes amid recent strikes by US on Iran's key nuclear sites and represents a bold attempt to bring Iran back to the negotiating table, CNN reported.
What is non-negotiable?
At the heart of the proposed deal lies a firm condition: Iran must commit to zero uranium enrichment. This requirement remains non-negotiable for the US, despite Iran's consistent stance that enrichment capabilities are essential for its energy needs. The preliminary proposal, as revealed in documents obtained by CNN, outlines a comprehensive plan for developing non-enrichment civilian nuclear infrastructure in Iran.
$20-30 billion investment offer
According to the CNN report, the cornerstone of the proposal is a substantial investment package ranging from $20 to $30 billion for Iran's civilian nuclear program. The Trump administration has made it clear that this funding would primarily come from Arab partners rather than US coffers. The investment plan was discussed during a confidential meeting at the White House between US special envoy Steve Witkoff and Gulf partners, just hours before recent US military strikes against Iran.
The proposal includes additional incentives such as potential sanctions relief and access to approximately $6 billion in currently restricted Iranian funds held in foreign banks. These discussions have been ongoing through backchannel communications, even as military confrontations between Iran and Israel unfolded over the past two weeks.
US may hold talks with Iran next week
US President Trump's recent statements at the NATO summit in the Netherlands have added another layer to these diplomatic efforts.
While confirming upcoming talks with Iranian officials, Trump maintained a characteristically bold stance, claiming that US military actions had already effectively "destroyed" Iran's nuclear program.
"We're going to talk with them next week, with Iran. We may sign an agreement, I don't know," Trump stated during the press conference. He emphasized that any new agreement would maintain the same demands as previous negotiations, focusing primarily on preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons.
Impact of US strikes on Iran's key nuclear sites
Last week, US strikes on three of Iran's key nuclear facilities. The Fordo Fuel Enrichment Plant, built deep within a mountain for protection, was targeted by six B-2 bombers deploying twelve 30,000-pound bunker-buster bombs. Satellite imagery following the strikes showed surface-level damage and potential entry points, marked by distinct ground alterations and grey dust deposits. According to leaked US intelligence, while the bombs successfully sealed facility entrances, they failed to collapse the underground structures.
At Natanz, Iran's primary uranium enrichment center, multiple Israeli airstrikes and a US attack targeted the facility's underground enrichment halls. These facilities, buried just meters below the surface, proved more vulnerable than Fordo's deeper installations. Recent satellite imagery revealed two distinct impact craters above the suspected facility locations.
The third target, Isfahan, faced a combined assault from US naval forces and Israeli military assets. A US Navy submarine launched over two dozen cruise missiles at the site. The strikes' effectiveness was highlighted by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who cited the damage at Isfahan as evidence of successfully impeding Iran's nuclear program.

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Lessons Israel-Iran war has for India's Operation Sindoor
Lessons Israel-Iran war has for India's Operation Sindoor

First Post

time15 minutes ago

  • First Post

Lessons Israel-Iran war has for India's Operation Sindoor

India has to learn from Israel the contours of future war, where the enemy could be already well within the gates, wreaking havoc when it is given the signal read more It may be too early to learn lessons from the Israel-Iran war, but there are certainly some quick takeaways for India. Because Operation Sindoor is not over, and terrorism from Pakistan is unlikely to end as long as the army is in control there. Don't forget also that everyone is watching the war calibration carefully. Lessons will be learnt by all sides in this for their own purposes. And that's where we need to think and analyse and plan for the future. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Deep Intelligence The first aspect of the war is that Israel had access to precise intelligence on the ground in terms of a continuous feed. Fodrow, Natanz and others were static bases and needed no great intelligence capability. But the targeting of some 14 scientists is a different game altogether. Reports indicate that the majority were killed by explosive-laden drones, indicating a very high level of internal penetration into Iran. Israel has always had a formidable intelligence capability. But this was something else, and it's an open question what kind of deep assets it used when the 'go' command was given. For depend upon this. Such assets are not built overnight. That is worrying in terms of future wars. That means India has to not just up its technical intelligence for the future but also use technology to guard against such locally launched attacks – which could be on intel agencies, on high officials, and on personnel of sensitive installations. So far, the thrust of defence expenditure has been in securing the country's borders. Time to look inwards. Sindoor as Template The second aspect is rather the reverse. In many ways, the US operation, 'Midnight Hammer', was a textbook copy of 'Operation Sindoor'. Trump's announcement of having targeted 'only' nuclear sites, clear signs of talking to Iranians, and most of all, a series of moves to end the war quickly, something that the US is not known for. Those moves included allowing China to continue to buy oil – though sanctions remain – thus ensuring that outside powers did not take a hand. Iran was mollified by leaving open the possibility of sanctions relief. Then was his weighing heavily on Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, to end his continuing strikes. Since the US could at any time stop its missile interception assistance for Israel, this arm-twisting was likely to have had a telling effect. The Standoff War Another takeaway from both operations is the 'stand-off' wars. Prior to US entry into Iran, Washington made sure that Israel had managed complete air superiority with bombing and missile raids. Even then it used a formidable array of aircraft that included the famed Stealth B-2's, practically invisible to radar, and fighter aircraft from its many bases in West Asia. And to make trebly sure, some 'two dozen' land-attack cruise missiles were fired from a submarine which was entirely undetected, at Isfahan. All attacks were at the extreme west of Iran, indicating that aircraft had no intention of doing a flyby and 'loitering' in the war zone. The blueprint of overwhelming force is used since even one aircraft lost would have been the political end for President Trump. No cities were hit, and US intel would have known full well that the major sites had been evacuated. But the lesson is that when there are no serious casualties, escalation is unlikely. This was also the case in Sindoor, where casualties were few. India did not have such a luxury of a package of aircraft (not to mention bases from where fighters could take off and provide protective cover), nor did it even enter Pakistan. But both provide a lesson in 'stand-off' wars. That means a line of technology development that includes, vitally, the ability of continuous satellite monitoring. India's own space programmes need to take note, and quickly. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Control of the Narrative Another issue to assess is control of the narrative. Even today, the imagery that is being discussed all over the internet is that of Iran. The damages to Israel were kept under wraps, with even the last missile strike by Iran, which mowed down three buildings at Beersheba, with casualties estimated at 4, which seems incredible given the clearly apparent destruction. But Israelis have long been used to violence and have safe rooms, standard procedures for quick evacuation and bunkers. What was hidden even more was the cost that Israel had to take on, with one estimate putting this at $3 billion in immediate costs, while tax authorities estimate costs at more than double the sum of claims stemming from the October 7 attack plus all 615 days since. And that's just claims for damages to property. Apart from this is the loss of man hours and its effect on gross domestic product. But the point is that none of this was apparent in an independent media, with the opposition swiftly putting aside rivalry in a show of national solidarity. It was only after a truce was declared that the Opposition lambasted Trump for interfering in the criminal charges against Netanyahu, which began in 2020 for fraud and breach of trust. Israel, like India, enjoyed widespread support after the first Hamas attack, which, however, rapidly deteriorated as its war entered its 629th day. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Even the recent meeting of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation saw a split – as did the G-7 meeting – over the question of the Iran war. In the end, the general consensus is that Iran can still make the bomb, perhaps in months. The takeaway of this lesson is probably that warmaking seldom wins friends and, in today's world, may not even deliver desired objectives. Far better to build up a narrative, as Defence Minister Rajnath Singh did recently when he refused to sign on to a joint statement of the Shanghai Organisation Cooperation while calling out the double standards on terrorism. But overall, here's the sum of it all. Internally, India has managed Kashmir without inordinate use of force; in fact, with 'one hand tied behind its back'. That, together with the manifold changes after the revocation of Article 370, had integrated Kashmir to the rest of India even more, not the other way around. That's something Tel Aviv should learn. But India has to, in turn, learn from Israel the contours of future war, where the enemy could be already well within the gates, wreaking havoc when it is given the signal. In this, both Pakistan and China are better placed than India. Time to reverse that, either with human assets – which are difficult for obvious reasons – and with technology. Future iterations of Operation Sindoor need to keep this clearly in the forefront. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD The author is Director (R&A) at the Centre for Land Warfare Studies. She tweets @kartha_tara. Views expressed in the above piece are personal and solely those of the author. They do not necessarily reflect Firstpost's views.

Iran holds funeral for top brass, scientists killed in Israeli strikes
Iran holds funeral for top brass, scientists killed in Israeli strikes

Hindustan Times

time16 minutes ago

  • Hindustan Times

Iran holds funeral for top brass, scientists killed in Israeli strikes

Mourners dressed in black lined streets in Iran's capital Tehran at a funeral on Saturday for top military commanders, nuclear scientists and some of the civilians killed during this month's war with Israel. People attend the funeral procession of Iranian military commanders, nuclear scientists and others killed in Israeli strikes in Tehran.(Reuters) At least 16 scientists and 10 senior commanders were among those mourned at the funeral, according to state media, including armed forces chief Major General Mohammad Bagheri, Revolutionary Guards commander General Hossein Salami, and Guards Aerospace Force chief General Amir Ali Hajizadeh. Their coffins were driven into Tehran's Azadi Square adorned with their pictures as well as rose petals and flowers, as crowds waved Iranian flags. State-run Press TV showed an image of ballistic missiles on display. State TV said the funeral, dubbed the "funeral procession of the Martyrs of Power", was held for a total of 60 people killed in the war, including four women and four children. Attending the funeral were President Masoud Pezeshkian and other senior figures including Ali Shamkhani, who was seriously wounded during the conflict and is an adviser to Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Bagheri, Salami and Hajizadeh were killed on June 13, the first day of the war. Israel, the only Middle Eastern country widely believed to have nuclear weapons, said its war against regional rival Iran aimed to prevent Tehran from developing its own nuclear weapons. Iran denies having a nuclear weapons program. The U.N. nuclear watchdog, which carries out inspections in Iran, has said it has "no credible indication" of an active, coordinated weapons programme in Iran. A senior Israeli military official said on Friday that Israel had killed more than 30 senior security officials and 11 senior nuclear scientists during the war. According to Iranian health ministry figures, 610 people were killed on the Iranian side in the 12-day war, 13 of them children and 49 women, before a ceasefire went into effect on Tuesday. More than 4,700 were injured. Activist news agency HRANA put the number of killed at 974, including 387 civilians. Israel's health ministry said 28 were killed in Israel and 3,238 injured.

Iranians CHANT ‘Death To US & Israel' At Funeral For Commanders, Nuclear Scientists Killed In War
Iranians CHANT ‘Death To US & Israel' At Funeral For Commanders, Nuclear Scientists Killed In War

Time of India

time16 minutes ago

  • Time of India

Iranians CHANT ‘Death To US & Israel' At Funeral For Commanders, Nuclear Scientists Killed In War

Iranians chanted 'Death To America' and 'Death To Israel' at 'historic' state funeral for military commanders and nuclear scientists. Social media footage showed Iranians donning black clothes, marching through streets of Tehran behind coffins of around 60 people with Iranian flags. Coffins draped in the Iranian flag, bearing portraits of deceased commanders, were flanked by crowds near Tehran's Enghelab Square. Watch for more details.

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