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New York Post
6 hours ago
- Sport
- New York Post
Mystics vs. Wings predictions, odds: WNBA picks, best bets Saturday
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. So much of sports betting requires an understanding of the ebb and flow of a season. No team plays as well or as poorly as their last game. That's a main reason why the house typically wins. Recreational bettors often react to what they last saw. However, experienced bettors understand the concepts of regression and sample size. Saturday's lone WNBA game is an interesting situation. The Washington Mystics are 2.5-point road favorites against the Dallas Wings, who are coming off a high-profile game Friday night against the Indiana Fever. Caitlin Clark did not play because of a left groin injury but this game was nonetheless moved to the American Airlines Center because of the expected huge crowd. Regardless of Clark's absence and result, this game is an undoubtedly an emotional high for Dallas. Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers (5) drives to the basket against Atlanta Dream guard Te-Hina Paopao (2). Chris Jones-Imagn Images That game's outcome would certainly impact my analysis, but I like Washington in almost all scenarios. The Mystics have been one of the best stories this season. Betting on the NBA? A new coach has optimized the offensive flow and a cast of rookies has given them depth and solid execution, especially with Brittney Sykes missing the last two games with injury I have a 51-43-1 ATS record in this Post sports section entering Friday's pick. My next play is the Mystics -2.5 against a limited Dallas team coming off an emotional high. Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.
New York Post
a day ago
- Sport
- New York Post
Valkyries vs. Sky prediction: WNBA picks, odds, best bets Friday
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. The Golden State Valkyries have been this WNBA season's biggest surprise, as well as a gift from the gambling gods. The expansion team has a 7-7 record after entering the season with a win total of 8.5. That means they have to win just two of their final 30 games in order to cash the Over. That is the very definition of outperforming expectations. Another measure of that is the point spread. Golden State is a league-best 10-4 against the spread (ATS). The spread is considered the great equalizer and thus teams usually have a record around .500. The Valkyries chose the right players in the expansion draft, but I firmly believe the difference-maker is coach Natalie Nakase. After being a three-year starter at UCLA, her coaching career included stops overseas and as an assistant in the NBA with the Clippers. Nakase also played a pivotal role in the Las Vegas Aces' back-to-back championships as an assistant coach and they are now struggling without her. The Valkyries host the Chicago Sky on Friday as 8.5-point favorites with a total of 156.5 points. Golden State Valkyries players huddle up during the game on June 25, 2025 at Chase Center in San Francisco, California. NBAE via Getty Images The situational spot also favors Golden State, which is coming off a rare loss. The Valkyries are 5-2 in their last seven games. Meanwhile, Chicago just picked up a nice home win over the Los Angeles Sparks as an underdog, snapping its three-game skid. The Sky are still among the league's worst and have limited offensive capabilities since losing captain/point guard Courtney Vandersloot to a season-ending injury. Betting on the NBA? That has forced the Sky to play without a true point guard in the starting lineup and their offense often stalls. Nakase should be able to implement the ideal game plan and limit Chicago's scoring even more. The Valkyries already rank third in the WNBA by allowing opponents to shoot just 40.5% from the field. I have a 51-43-1 ATS record in this Post sports section, and my next play is Golden State -8.5 points against Chicago (-110, FanDuel Sportsbook). Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.
New York Post
19-06-2025
- Sport
- New York Post
Pacers vs. Thunder prediction: NBA Finals Game 6 pick, odds, player props
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. Every playoff game has a different narrative and that absolutely must factor into the handicapping angle. For the first time in this series, the NBA Finals feature a potential closeout game. That certainly impacts the point spread, total and player props. The dilemma is assessing how it impacts all the wagering options and to what degree. Additionally, Pacers All-Star point guard Tyrese Haliburton has an uncertain status with a calf strain. He's officially listed as a game-time decision. The Oklahoma City Thunder are now a 6.5-point road favorite with a total of 221.5. The point spread moved up two points between games because of Haliburton's status updates. Haliburton's player props understandably have been adjusted and so have those for other Indy guards. In my eyes, it's just too difficult to find value without knowing his true status. Oklahoma City Thunder forward Chet Holmgren (7) drives to the basket past Indiana Pacers center Myles Turner (33) during the second quarter in game five of the 2025 NBA Finals at Paycom Center. Kyle Terada-Imagn Images However, I think we have a good opportunity with Thunder big man Chet Holmgren and his production, since OKC changed its starting lineup ahead of Game 4. That lineup adjustment has created extreme betting value, in my eyes. Isaiah Hartenstein started the entire postseason, but Thunder coach Mark Daigneault relegated him to a bench role the first three games of the Finals. That forced Holmgren to guard Indy center Myles Turner, who mostly lurks on the perimeter on offense. That understandably inhibited Holmgren's rebounding production. Betting on the NBA? However, once Hartenstein returned to the starting lineup and guarded Turner, Holmgren was moved to guard players closer to the rim and thus found himself in a normal rebounding position. That led to 26 boards over the past two games. I have a 51-41-1 ATS record in this Post sports section, and my next play is Holmgren Over 8.5 rebounds in Game 6 (-107, BetRivers). Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.
New York Post
17-06-2025
- Sport
- New York Post
Mystics vs. Sky odds, picks: WNBA best bets, predictions Tuesday
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. Veteran sports handicappers insist the only way to consistently beat the market is to focus on the specific situation, or 'spot,' for a team. Many feel that it has proven to be a successful method of forecasting an edge that will outperform mathematical projections. However, some view narratives as much more noise than substance. I believe we have such a scenario in the WNBA on Tuesday, with the Washington Mystics visiting the Chicago Sky as a three-point road favorite with a total of 156.5. Chicago is coming off an emotional win over the Connecticut Sun, snapping a three-game skid, all blowouts. Plus, Angel Reese recorded her first career triple-double. Meanwhile, Washington's most recent game was an embarrassing 89-56 home loss to the Atlanta Dream. The Mystics mustered only 22 points in the second half and shot just 29.5 percent from the field in the game. Given these scenarios, I believe the right approach is to back Washington to rebound and play with more focus and energy. Angel Reese of the Chicago Sky in action against the Sun. David Butler II-Imagn Images The Mystics are not an elite team, but they have demonstrated they are solid and could compete for a playoff spot. That's enough to view them as reliable in this spot. I also think this edge in talent, effort and determination is most pronounced in the first half. I expect the Sky to start flat off the big win. Betting on the NBA? Plus, Washington has a much better bench, and that could shine in the second quarter, which is when reserves usually play. I have a 51-41-1 ATS record in this Post sports section. My next wager is Washington laying one point on the first-half spread. THE PLAY: Mystics 1H Spread -1 (DraftKings) Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.
New York Post
16-06-2025
- Sport
- New York Post
Thunder vs. Pacers Game 5 prediction: NBA Finals odds, picks
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. The NBA Finals shift back to Oklahoma City, tied at two games apiece, and fresh off a memorable fourth-quarter comeback by the Thunder. For Game 4, Thunder coach Mark Daigneault changed his starting lineup, reverting to the one he used throughout the playoffs before the Finals. That means Isaiah Hartenstein is back in his usual spot. However, Hartenstein's minutes have remained consistent through the first four games, ranging between 17 and 22. More importantly, his role on offense is unchanged, and he still primarily operates as a rebounder, screener, and passer. His scoring proposition bet for Game 5 is 6.5 points, and I do not think he surpasses that. He somehow scored nine points in the series opener, but managed nine points combined over the next three games. Isaiah Hartenstein of the Oklahoma City Thunder dunking during Game 4 of the NBA Finals. Abbie Parr-Pool Photo via Imagn Images Hartenstein's production does randomly spike, so there is always a chance he has an outlier game and surpasses this amount. But his natural approach within OKC's offense is to facilitate scoring rather than to actually put the ball in the basket. He is a gifted passer for a big man and also sets valuable screens around the 3-point line, freeing teammates for shots or drives to the basket. That's his role, and he has accepted it. Betting on the NBA? That also means he can cut to the hoop for an uncontested dunk or generate offense with putbacks on a rebound. As with any bet, there is always going to be a path to a loss, but I truly believe there are many more ways to win this under than over. I have a 50-41-1 ATS record in this Post sports section. My next play is Hartenstein Under 6.5 points in Game 5. THE PLAY: Isaiah Hartenstein Under 6.5 points (-135, Caesars Sportsbook) Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.
