Latest news with #GulfEconomicUpdate
Observer
20-06-2025
- Business
- Observer
Oman's fiscal consolidation a model of economic reform: World Bank
MUSCAT, JUNE 20 Oman's fiscal consolidation journey has been hailed by the World Bank as a notable example of effective economic reform and responsible fiscal management. In its latest Gulf Economic Update, published by the Economic Policy Unit of the World Bank Group for the MENA region, the multilateral institution highlights the measures implemented by the Omani government to restore fiscal balance following the twin shocks of the 2014 oil price collapse and the Covid-19 pandemic. 'Oman has made substantial progress in enhancing its economic resilience and building a foundation for sustainable growth,' the report stated. 'Like other GCC countries, it has grappled with the challenge of reducing dependence on oil revenues while managing public finances amid volatile global oil prices. During previous periods of low oil prices, Oman experienced twin deficits and relied heavily on borrowing to cover fiscal gaps. In recent years, however, it has undertaken significant steps to reduce its reliance on oil and strengthen fiscal sustainability.' The report cited major reforms introduced under Oman Vision 2040 and the 2020–2024 Medium-Term Fiscal Plan (MTFP) as critical to achieving this progress. These initiatives helped diversify revenue streams, improve public spending efficiency, and manage oil windfalls more prudently. 'These reforms have delivered tangible results,' the report emphasised. 'Since 2022, Oman has markedly improved its fiscal position, notably by reducing public debt through the strategic deployment of oil windfalls. This has expanded fiscal space and enhanced the country's capacity to withstand external shocks. Oman's experience stands out as a model of effective fiscal consolidation and economic reform.' The World Bank also noted Oman's gradual progress in economic diversification. While the hydrocarbon sector continues to dominate, its share of GDP has steadily declined over the past two decades in favour of services, albeit at a modest pace. Within the services sector, wholesale and retail trade, public administration, and defence remain dominant, while sectors like tourism and ICT have yet to significantly expand their economic footprint. Manufacturing has grown in importance but remains concentrated, with nearly 40 per cent of output derived from chemicals and related products. A particularly positive development is the growth of non-hydrocarbon exports, which now account for roughly one-third of total exports, compared to just 12 per cent in the early 2010s. 'Key non-oil exports include chemicals, base metals (especially aluminium), plastics, and mineral products,' the report noted. 'Re-exports — mainly vehicles, electricals, and machinery — have declined in share over the past decade. Oman's key export destinations include the UAE, Saudi Arabia, the US, and India. As for oil exports, China remains the dominant market, receiving nearly 94 per cent of Oman's crude exports.' The report also credited the MTFP with delivering successive fiscal surpluses since 2022 and significantly reducing public debt. 'MTFP targets for fiscal balance were met — and even exceeded,' the report stated. 'Public spending was significantly curtailed, dropping by around 16 per cent of GDP during the five-year period. Public debt declined sharply from approximately 68 per cent of GDP in 2020 to an estimated 35 per cent in 2024, reflecting prudent fiscal management and accelerated debt repayments.' To sustain momentum, the report recommended further domestic revenue mobilisation, with measures already underway — such as the draft Personal Income Tax (PIT) bill currently under consideration. 'Despite the progress made, Oman's economy remains sensitive to global oil prices and demand,' the report cautioned. 'Further efforts to broaden non-oil revenues and continue rationalising public spending — while improving its efficiency and equity — will require a balanced approach that ensures societal buy-in. Strengthening institutional capacity, enhancing governance, and fostering a culture of fiscal responsibility are also essential to create additional fiscal space for growth-enhancing investments and ensure long-term fiscal sustainability.' According to the World Bank, Oman's economic growth is projected to gradually accelerate, rising from 1.7 per cent in 2024 to 3 per cent in 2025, 3.7 per cent in 2026, and 4 per cent in 2027. The rebound will be driven by a 2.1 per cent increase in oil GDP in 2025 and 3.4 per cent growth in non-oil sectors, particularly in construction, manufacturing and services.
Gulf Insider
20-06-2025
- Business
- Gulf Insider
Qatar's Economy to Grow 6.5 Per Cent by 2027
Qatar's economy is set to accelerate significantly over the next two years, with growth projected to rise from 2.4 per cent in 2025 to an average of 6.5 per cent in 2026–2027, according to the World Bank's Gulf Economic Update. The sharp rise in growth will be driven primarily by the North Field LNG expansion, which is expected to boost Qatar's liquefied natural gas (LNG) output by 40 per cent, transforming the country's hydrocarbon sector performance. While hydrocarbon growth is expected to remain modest at 0.9 per cent in 2025, the World Bank anticipates a major turnaround once the new LNG capacity comes online, cementing Qatar's position as a global energy leader. In parallel, non-hydrocarbon sectors such as education, tourism, and services continue to show strong momentum, supported by infrastructure investment and international partnerships. This diversification effort is central to Qatar's long-term economic vision. Key insights from the World Bank report: Qatar's economic growth: 2.4 per cent in 2025, rising to 6.5 per cent in 2026–2027 2.4 per cent in 2025, rising to 6.5 per cent in 2026–2027 Gulf-wide GDP: Projected to reach 3.2 per cent in 2025 and 4.5 per cent in 2026 Projected to reach 3.2 per cent in 2025 and 4.5 per cent in 2026 Non-oil growth across the GCC: Driven by structural reforms, investment, and private sector activity Driven by structural reforms, investment, and private sector activity 2024 regional growth: Improved to 1.7 per cent, up from just 0.3 per cent in 2023 Despite the upbeat forecast, the World Bank cautioned that global trade tensions and potential economic slowdown remain risks for Gulf economies. To safeguard future prosperity, it urged continued focus on economic diversification, innovation, and youth job creation. Division Director for the GCC countries at the World Bank Safaa El Tayeb El-Kogali said: 'The resilience of GCC countries in navigating global uncertainties while advancing economic diversification underscores their strong commitment to long-term prosperity. 'Strategic fiscal policies, targeted investments, and a strong focus on innovation, entrepreneurship, and job creation for youth are essential to sustaining growth and stability' Also read: Qatar Launches World's Largest 3D-Printed Building Project With Two Futuristic Schools
Hi Dubai
20-06-2025
- Business
- Hi Dubai
UAE Economy Set to Grow 4.6% in 2025 as Non-Oil Sectors Drive Momentum
The UAE's economy is on track for robust growth, with the World Bank projecting a 4.6% expansion in 2025 and further strengthening to 4.9% through 2026 and 2027, driven primarily by non-oil sectors. According to the latest Gulf Economic Update , released by the World Bank based on data through June 1, non-oil industries will remain the engine of growth across the UAE, expanding by 4.9% in 2025. This performance reflects the country's ongoing efforts to diversify its economy and reduce reliance on hydrocarbons. The wider GCC region is also expected to rebound, with growth forecast at 3.2% in 2025 and rising to 4.5% in 2026. The report highlights a regional economic uptick from 0.3% in 2023 to 1.7% in 2024, fueled by strong private consumption, increased investment, and structural reforms. GCC countries are navigating global headwinds, including uncertainties around trade and the risk of a broader economic slowdown. The World Bank stresses the need for accelerated reform to bolster regional trade and economic diversification. Safaa El Tayeb El-Kogali, World Bank Director for the GCC, praised the bloc's resilience and emphasized the importance of 'strategic fiscal policies, targeted investments, and a strong focus on innovation and job creation.' The report also explores the impact of fiscal policy on stability, noting that public spending has helped shield GCC economies during downturns. A one-unit rise in fiscal spending can lift non-oil output by up to 0.45 units, underscoring the importance of smart budget strategies amid fluctuating oil prices. News Source: Emirates News Agency
Qatar Tribune
19-06-2025
- Business
- Qatar Tribune
Qatar's economy to grow at 6.5% in 2026-2027, says World Bank
QNA Riyadh The World Bank projected that the economic growth in the State of Qatar is to remain stable at 2.4% in 2025, before accelerating to an average of 6.5% in 2026-2027 due to the expansion of LNG capacity. These improved prospects are supported by strong non-hydrocarbon growth, particularly in education, tourism, and services, the World Bank said in its report 'Gulf Economic Update.' The hydrocarbon sector is expected to grow timidly in 2025 (0.9%), before undergoing a significant boost in 2026 thanks to the North Field LNG expansion coming online, supporting a 40% rise in LNG output. Non-hydrocarbon growth is expected to remain robust thanks to infrastructure upgrades and international investments, the report said. 'Economic growth across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is projected to increase in the medium-term to 3.2% in 2025 and 4.50% in 2026. This growth is likely to be driven by the expected rollback of OPEC+ oil production cuts and robust expansion of non-oil sectors,' according to the report. page 6
Qatar Tribune
19-06-2025
- Business
- Qatar Tribune
World Bank projects Qatar's growth to accelerate to 6.5%
QNA DOHA The World Bank projected that the economic growth in the State of Qatar is to remain stable at 2.4% in 2025, before accelerating to an average of 6.5% in 2026-2027 due to the expansion of LNG capacity. These improved prospects are supported by strong non-hydrocarbon growth, particularly in education, tourism, and services, the World Bank said in its report 'Gulf Economic Update.' The hydrocarbon sector is expected to growth timidly in 2025 (0.9%), before undergoing a significant boost in 2026 thanks to the North Field LNG expansion coming online, supporting a 40% rise in LNG output. Non-hydrocarbon growth is expected to remain robust thanks to infrastructure upgrades and international investments, the report said. 'Economic growth across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is projected to increase in the medium-term to 3.2% in 2025 and 4.50% in 2026. This growth is likely to be driven by the expected rollback of OPEC+ oil production cuts and robust expansion of non-oil sectors,' according to the to the latest edition of the report, regional growth was 1.7% in 2024 – an improvement from 0.3% in 2023. The non-hydrocarbon sector remained resilient, expanding by 3.7% — largely fueled by private consumption, investment, and structural reforms across the GCC. At the same time, global trade uncertainty presents challenges, as a global economic slowdown remains a key downside risk for the region. To mitigate these risks, GCC countries need to accelerate economic diversification reforms and strengthen regional trade. 'The resilience of GCC countries in navigating global uncertainties while advancing economic diversification underscores their strong commitment to long-term prosperity,' Division Director for the GCC countries at the World Bank Safaa El Tayeb El-Kogali said. 'Strategic fiscal policies, targeted investments, and a strong focus on innovation, entrepreneurship, and job creation for youth are essential to sustaining growth and stability,' she added.
