Latest news with #Jedwab
Edmonton Journal
03-07-2025
- Business
- Edmonton Journal
Canadians feel unwelcome in the U.S. as mistrust remains high: new poll
Article content But the poll shows a silver lining in an otherwise gloomy picture of this longstanding national friendship, military alliance, and economic partnership. Article content 'We just don't trust the motivation behind the re-opening of trade,' Jedwab said. 'We're persuaded we're the kindler, gentler nation, and we're being bullied by their president.' Article content Overall, a majority of Canadians feel unwelcome in the United States, the poll suggests. They regard the borders as secure, but 45 per cent of Canadians say the United States is not a trusted security and defence partner, compared to just 32 per cent who say it is. Article content The poll also shows Canadians overwhelmingly feel Canada's trade rules for the U.S. are fair, but the U.S. trade rules for Canada are unfair. Fully 75 per cent say American rules governing trade are unfair to Canada, whereas only 12 per cent feel Canada's rules are unfair. Article content Article content 'I think that trust is the key predictor of Canadians feeling unwelcome in the United States and it also hampers our ability to fix perceived problems between our two countries,' Jedwab said. 'The lack of trust a key indicator in trade negotiations and we will need to build or re-build trust if we re going to succeed. That won't be simple because in effect the U.S. President is not perceived to be a trusted ally by Canadians.' Article content Despite all that, the poll also shows a majority of Canadians believe they have more in common with Americans than with any other people in the world. Article content This poll was conducted through an online panel survey, so a margin of error cannot be calculated. But a randomized poll of similar size, with 1,579 respondents, would be considered accurate to within 2.5 per cent, 19 times out of 20.
Calgary Herald
03-07-2025
- Business
- Calgary Herald
Canadians feel unwelcome in the U.S. as mistrust remains high: new poll
Article content But the poll shows a silver lining in an otherwise gloomy picture of this longstanding national friendship, military alliance, and economic partnership. Article content 'We just don't trust the motivation behind the re-opening of trade,' Jedwab said. 'We're persuaded we're the kindler, gentler nation, and we're being bullied by their president.' Article content Overall, a majority of Canadians feel unwelcome in the United States, the poll suggests. They regard the borders as secure, but 45 per cent of Canadians say the United States is not a trusted security and defence partner, compared to just 32 per cent who say it is. Article content The poll also shows Canadians overwhelmingly feel Canada's trade rules for the U.S. are fair, but the U.S. trade rules for Canada are unfair. Fully 75 per cent say American rules governing trade are unfair to Canada, whereas only 12 per cent feel Canada's rules are unfair. Article content Article content 'I think that trust is the key predictor of Canadians feeling unwelcome in the United States and it also hampers our ability to fix perceived problems between our two countries,' Jedwab said. 'The lack of trust a key indicator in trade negotiations and we will need to build or re-build trust if we re going to succeed. That won't be simple because in effect the U.S. President is not perceived to be a trusted ally by Canadians.' Article content Despite all that, the poll also shows a majority of Canadians believe they have more in common with Americans than with any other people in the world. Article content This poll was conducted through an online panel survey, so a margin of error cannot be calculated. But a randomized poll of similar size, with 1,579 respondents, would be considered accurate to within 2.5 per cent, 19 times out of 20.
Vancouver Sun
24-06-2025
- Politics
- Vancouver Sun
Canada's youngest adults more likely to trust Iran and its current regime: poll
As tensions returned to a simmer between Israel and Iran amidst a ceasefire agreement, a new poll conducted before the shaky armistice found that far more Canadians are distrustful of Iran than those who have faith in the Islamic Republic. But data from a Leger Marketing poll for the Association for Canadian Studies poll showed that younger generations are more apt to trust Iran and think it wouldn't be good for the regime of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to collapse and be replaced by new leadership. The polling also attempted to gauge whether respondents 'think that Iran wants the destruction of the State of Israel,' with 71 per cent believing that to be the goal, and even 59 per cent of the 18-24 cohort. Start your day with a roundup of B.C.-focused news and opinion. By signing up you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc. A welcome email is on its way. If you don't see it, please check your junk folder. The next issue of Sunrise will soon be in your inbox. Please try again Interested in more newsletters? Browse here. Jack Jedwab, the Association's president and CEO, said that despite the younger generations' different perceptions of the conflict, it points to Canadian public opinion being closely aligned with that of the U.S. and NATO. 'We're hearing from the prime minister (Mark Carney) in terms of how he positions himself, which is closer to the view of the U.S., I would suggest,' Jedwab told National Post. 'That's not speaking to what actions the U.S. has taken in the past four or five days. I'm just talking strictly in terms of the perception of Iran and Iran's position in these global conflicts.' Carney, who'd previously reaffirmed that Canada respected Israel's right to defend itself against Iran as hostilities began in mid-June , said after U.S. airstrikes on three Iranian nuclear sites over the weekend that Canada also stands against Iran developing a nuclear weapon and called for a diplomatic resolution to the unrest in the broader Middle East. Overall, ACS found that only 12 per cent of all respondents see Iran as trustworthy, compared to 52 per cent who felt it wasn't. Trust was highest among the 18-24 group (34 per cent) and decreasingly lower across each age group, culminating with a mere 4 per cent of those over 65. 'There seems to be some very important differences in the world vision or the way in which the younger cohorts have a different view of the nature of these conflicts and how they position the protagonist,' said Jedwab, noting that data extrapolated from the employment status showed students (27 per cent) were also more apt to trust in Iran than any other age group. 'They seem to have a much softer view on Iran's intentions and the intentions of the Iranian regime.' He reasons that it relates to how and from where that group is receiving the news that informs their opinions. 'All the alternative narrative, not the majority narrative, seems to be really sort of more attractive to people in that youngest cohort and to students,' he added. The youngest cohort also appears to be the most conflicted, too, with an equal 34 per cent believing Iran is untrustworthy, and 32 per cent who were unsure or chose not to answer, aligning with the national average of those who responded the same (36 per cent). 'They're very split on the issue,' Jedwab surmised. The generational opinion gap was evident, too, when respondents were asked if a change of government would be a good thing for Iran; only 34 per cent of those identified as students agreed, compared to more than 50 per cent in all other employment status — 71 per cent among the self-employed and retirees. The 18- to 24-year-olds didn't stray far from their elders in the view that Iran's goal is to destroy Israel, however, with 59 per cent in agreement. The poll also found that those who trust Iran are less likely (60 per cent) to concur with the regime's collapse and replacement, and almost evenly split (49 per cent to 51 per cent) on whether Iran wants to destroy Israel. Those without trust in Iran were more confident of both sentiments (75 per cent and 83 per cent). The poll was conducted June 20-22 and canvassed 1,580 adults. While a non-probability sample panel survey such as this doesn't have a margin of error, a similar probability sample of that many respondents would have a margin of error of plus/minus 2.5 per cent, 19 times out of 20 Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here .
Calgary Herald
24-05-2025
- Business
- Calgary Herald
What the data show about the state of immigration in Canada since cuts were announced
Article content A new analysis of immigration data released by the federal government reveals that while the number of new permanent residents dropped after the federal government announced that it would cut immigration levels, the number of temporary foreign workers actually increased, while other temporary permits declined. Article content Last October, the federal government under then prime minister Justin Trudeau announced it would reduce its permanent immigration targets from 500,000 down to 395,000 in 2025. The government also set a cap for the first time on the intake of temporary residents in both student and worker streams, at 673,650 temporary resident visas for 2025. Article content Article content 'Meeting these targets is not simple given the need to account for regional priorities, pre-existing and other considerations,' says a detailed analysis of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada data done by the Metropolis Institute and the Association for Canadian Studies. Article content Article content The government will also have to take into account population growth, which has slowed since the immigration cuts were announced. During the fourth quarter of 2024, Canada's population grew by 0.2 per cent, the slowest quarterly growth rate since the end of 2020. Article content 'Those declines in population growth, that's an issue that is the object of an important national conversation that we're not really having. We're not meaningfully having that conversation, which is, do we want population growth? Or do we not? We're very dependent on immigration in that regard, and so we're not making that connection,' said Jack Jedwab, president and CEO of the Association for Canadian Studies and the Metropolis Institute. In a follow-up email, Jedwab noted that Prime Minister Mark Carney promised to return 'our overall immigration rates to sustainable levels,' in his mandate letter published on May 21. But that is a term 'that is open to much interpretation,' Jedwab said. Article content Article content According to Statistics Canada data, the overall population reached 41,528,680 on Jan. 1, 2025, up from 41,465,298 on Oct. 1, 2024, an increase of 63,382, the report states. 'By contrast, the population increase between the two previous quarters was 176,699. Immigration level reductions played a critical role in the outcome,' the report states. Article content Article content While the number of new permanent residents in a single quarter declined by 15 per cent, when comparing the first quarter of 2024 to the first quarter of 2025, the largest reduction in newcomers was attributed to temporary residents who came via the International Mobility Program (IMP). The program allows companies to hire temporary foreign workers without the usual Labour Market Impact Assessment. The IMP includes the post-graduate work permits granted to international students, the International Experience Canada stream for workers aged 18 to 35, free trade agreements, company transfers and permits for high-demand occupations, such as software engineers, among other programs.
Vancouver Sun
14-05-2025
- Politics
- Vancouver Sun
Despite a polarizing election, Canadians don't want a two-party system, poll suggests
While the recent federal election turned into a tight race between the Liberals and Conservatives that left other parties trailing far behind, a new poll suggests most Canadians don't want the country end up with a two-party system. The poll of over 1,600 Canadians, conducted by Leger Marketing for the Association for Canadian Studies between May 1 and 3, suggests only 21 per cent of Canadians think the country would be better off with a system where two parties dominate the political landscape. Forty-nine per cent say a two-party system would not be good for Canada, while 30 per cent say they don't know. Start your day with a roundup of B.C.-focused news and opinion. By signing up you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc. A welcome email is on its way. If you don't see it, please check your junk folder. The next issue of Sunrise will soon be in your inbox. Please try again Interested in more newsletters? Browse here. The poll, which was conducted online and can't be assigned a margin of error, suggests that people in Ontario and Alberta are the most open to a two-party system, with 23 per cent of people in those provinces saying it would be a good thing. Twenty-two per cent of people in British Columbia and 20 per cent of respondents in Quebec say they think Canada would be better off under such a system. At 30 per cent, Conservative respondents were the most likely to think Canada would be better off with a two-party system, compared to 17 per cent of Liberals and 14 per cent of NDP supporters. Jack Jedwab, president of the Association for Canadian Studies, said the election focused on two parties — the Liberals and the Conservatives — which received over 80 per cent of the vote. 'Now that the … dust is settled on the election, it seems that Canadians are comfortable with not having a system that is as polarized politically as the one that this election seemed to give rise to,' Jedwab said. 'Canadians are still, in terms of our political culture, different from the United States in terms of being more welcoming, or more receptive is a better word, to multiple options in their electoral system.' While recounts in some ridings are still underway, the Liberals inched another seat closer to a majority government on Saturday when a judicial recount declared their candidate the winner in the Quebec riding of Terrebonne by a margin of just one vote. It brought the Liberals to 170 seats in the House of Commons, two shy of the 172 needed for a majority government. The Conservatives hold 143 seats, the Bloc has 22 and the NDP has seven. The poll suggests that 44 per cent of Canadians are happy with the election results, while 40 per cent are not. The poll also suggests many Canadians don't want to see another election any time soon. Only 39 per cent of respondents say they'd like to see another federal election in the next two years, while 44 per cent say they don't. Alberta respondents are the most likely to want another election soon, at 50 per cent, compared to 39 per cent of people in B.C., 38 per cent of Ontarians and 33 per cent of Quebecers. Of the respondents who want another federal election within two years, 70 per cent are Conservatives, 23 per cent are NDP supporters and 15 per cent are Liberals. Jedwab said it comes as no surprise many Conservatives want another election as soon as possible. He said there was a 'roller-coaster ride of expectations' before the election and the party may want an election sooner to build on perceived momentum. Jedwab said if the Liberals are able to stay in power long-term, despite being in a minority government situation, that likely would encourage Conservatives to reflect on whether they want Pierre Poilievre to lead them into another election in four years. 'If the polls are any indication and the Liberals' standing continues to stay where it is or changes in a better direction, the likelihood of an election in the next two years is very, very low, which has a bearing on, I think, what the Conservatives' strategy will be going forward,' Jedwab said. Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here .
