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Buy Or Sell KDP Stock Ahead Of Its Upcoming Earnings?
Buy Or Sell KDP Stock Ahead Of Its Upcoming Earnings?

Forbes

time6 hours ago

  • Business
  • Forbes

Buy Or Sell KDP Stock Ahead Of Its Upcoming Earnings?

Photo Illustration by Igor Golovniov/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images Keurig Dr Pepper (NASDAQ:KDP) is set to release its earnings on Thursday, July 24, 2025. Historically, KDP stock has exhibited a tendency for negative one-day returns in the aftermath of earnings announcements. In the past five years, the stock declined the day after earnings in 53% of instances. The median one-day drop was -1.9%, with the biggest single-day decrease reaching -4.8%. While the actual outcomes relative to consensus estimates will be important, recognizing these historical trends can offer an advantage for event-driven traders. There are two main strategies to utilize this information: Analysts are anticipating earnings of $0.49 per share with sales of $4.14 billion for the upcoming quarter. This marks an increase from last year's earnings of $0.45 per share with sales totaling $3.92 billion. From a fundamental viewpoint, Keurig Dr Pepper currently has a market capitalization of $45 billion. In the last twelve months, the company generated $16 billion in revenue, yielding operating profits of $3.3 billion and a net income of $1.5 billion, demonstrating robust operational profitability. However, if you're looking for growth with lower volatility compared to individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an alternative — having surpassed the S&P 500 with returns exceeding 91% since its inception. Additionally, see – What's Happening With PepsiCo Stock? See earnings reaction history of all stocks Keurig Dr Pepper's Historical Odds of Positive Post-Earnings Return Here are some observations on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns: Additional data for recorded 5-Day (5D), and 21-Day (21D) returns following earnings is summarized along with the statistics in the table below. 5-Day (5D), and 21-Day (21D) returns following earnings Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns A relatively low-risk strategy (although not effective if the correlation is weak) is to assess the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns after earnings, identify a pair that shows the strongest correlation, and make the appropriate trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D exhibit the highest correlation, a trader can position themselves 'long' for the next 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Here is some correlation data based on a 5-year and a more recent 3-year history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns. Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns Is There Any Correlation With Peer Earnings? At times, peer performance can influence post-earnings stock reactions. In fact, the pricing in may start before the earnings announcements. Here is some historical data regarding the prior post-earnings performance of Keurig Dr Pepper stock compared with the stock performance of peers that reported their earnings just before Keurig Dr Pepper. For a fair comparison, peer stock returns also reflect post-earnings one-day (1D) returns. Correlation With Peer Earnings? Discover more about Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (a combination of the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), delivering strong returns for investors. Additionally, if you seek upside with a smoother experience than investing in an individual stock like Keurig Dr Pepper, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has surpassed the S&P and achieved >91% returns since its inception.

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Reports Q2: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Reports Q2: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings

Yahoo

time15 hours ago

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Reports Q2: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings

Beverage company Keurig Dr Pepper (NASDAQ:KDP) will be reporting earnings this Thursday before the bell. Here's what you need to know. Keurig Dr Pepper beat analysts' revenue expectations by 1.9% last quarter, reporting revenues of $3.64 billion, up 4.8% year on year. It was a strong quarter for the company, with a decent beat of analysts' EBITDA estimates and a decent beat of analysts' EPS estimates. Is Keurig Dr Pepper a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, it's free. This quarter, analysts are expecting Keurig Dr Pepper's revenue to grow 5.2% year on year to $4.13 billion, improving from the 3.5% increase it recorded in the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings are expected to come in at $0.49 per share. Heading into earnings, analysts covering the company have grown increasingly bullish with revenue estimates seeing 3 upward revisions over the last 30 days (we track 10 analysts). Keurig Dr Pepper has missed Wall Street's revenue estimates twice over the last two years. Looking at Keurig Dr Pepper's peers in the beverages, alcohol, and tobacco segment, some have already reported their Q2 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. Coca-Cola delivered year-on-year revenue growth of 2.1%, beating analysts' expectations by 0.5%, and Philip Morris reported revenues up 7.1%, falling short of estimates by 1.3%. Read our full analysis of Coca-Cola's results here and Philip Morris's results here. There has been positive sentiment among investors in the beverages, alcohol, and tobacco segment, with share prices up 5.1% on average over the last month. Keurig Dr Pepper is up 2% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $38.35 (compared to the current share price of $33.91). Unless you've been living under a rock, it should be obvious by now that generative AI is going to have a huge impact on how large corporations do business. While Nvidia and AMD are trading close to all-time highs, we prefer a lesser-known (but still profitable) semiconductor stock benefiting from the rise of AI. Click here to access our free report on our favorite semiconductor growth story. StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Lame single guy last minute cancels on date for shocking reason: ‘Tells me everything I need to know'
Lame single guy last minute cancels on date for shocking reason: ‘Tells me everything I need to know'

New York Post

time2 days ago

  • Entertainment
  • New York Post

Lame single guy last minute cancels on date for shocking reason: ‘Tells me everything I need to know'

Dating in 2025 is hard — especially when a glass of wine is now considered a non-negotiable. One TikTokker says her date bailed just 30 minutes before they were supposed to meet up — all because she doesn't drink booze. 'The guy I was supposed to be on a date with right now decided to cancel our date less than an hour before it started,' Steph (@stephfromjersey) said in a viral clip posted on July 17. In the viral video, Steph explained that everything was going smoothly. The two were texting and getting excited to meet up when he popped a seemingly innocent question: 'Are you more of a cocktail girl or a beer girl?' That's when Steph revealed she doesn't drink — for medical reasons. But she made it clear she didn't mind if he did: 'But I don't care if you drink, and I always find something!' Apparently that was still too sobering for him. 'Oh… yeah, idk if that's gonna work for me, we should cancel now,' he texted back — and then went totally silent, leaving Steph on read. Fellow TikTok users flooded the comments with support and speculation about the mystery man's motives. One user wrote, 'Translation: 'you mean I can't get you drunk? I'm out.' Another commented, 'He had something for your drink, I'm sure.' 'As a sober person, before I was sober… I would have not been stoked to date a mocktail person because they would see who/what I was,' someone else chimed in. The TikTokker revealed her date ditched her just 30 minutes before they were set to meet — all because she doesn't drink booze. StephfromJersey/TikTok 'Now, when I'm cancelled on, that tells me everything I need to know about them.' An additional commenter assured Steph that 'Rejection is protection.' But not everyone was ready to raise a red flag. Some pointed out it might just come down to lifestyle and compatibility. 'My boyfriend and I are getting wine tomorrow and going to sit in the jacuzzi and drink it,' one noted. 'Sure, I could do that with someone who doesn't drink. But I'd prefer to do it with someone who does.' 'I guess I see it both ways,' one other said. 'My husband and I LOVE wine tastings and things like that. Mutual enjoyment. I can see how a partner that doesn't drink could complicate things.' Others compared it to being 'super outdoorsy' — you want someone who shares your passions. Just sub out the hiking boots for a bar tab. But nearly everyone agreed: ghosting someone at the last minute isn't exactly gentlemanly. Some commenters blamed the guy's decision to cancel the date on wanting a compatible lifestyle with someone. fizkes – As The Post previously spilled, Gen Z is shaking up drinking culture — and ditching the booze. The youngest legal drinkers are trading bar tabs for matcha lattes, wellness shots and cold brews on tap. According to Keurig Dr Pepper's first-ever State of Beverages report, it's not about getting buzzed — it's about feeling better. Just 39% of Gen Z adults say alcohol is their go-to social sip, while more than 60% now reach for non-alcoholic options when hanging with friends — the driest stats of any generation. Gen X, meanwhile, is still clinging to their cocktails — with 57% saying booze is their go-to social fuel. In 2025, it seems the biggest buzzkill isn't the hangover — it's getting stood up for skipping the alcohol. Cheers to finding a date who drinks to your vibe, not just their own.

Gen Z is swapping booze for lattes, mocktails and ‘wellness' drinks, trend report finds
Gen Z is swapping booze for lattes, mocktails and ‘wellness' drinks, trend report finds

New York Post

time4 days ago

  • Health
  • New York Post

Gen Z is swapping booze for lattes, mocktails and ‘wellness' drinks, trend report finds

Gen Z is redefining what it means to drink — and alcohol isn't part of the plan. The youngest legal drinkers are ditching the bar cart for cold brew, swapping tequila for wellness shots and turning drinks into daily rituals. It's less about the buzz and more about the benefits, according to Keurig Dr Pepper's first-ever State of Beverages report. Just 39% of Gen Z adults now say booze is their go-to social drink, while more than 60% prefer non-alcoholic options when hanging with friends — the highest rate of any generation. 3 The youngest legal drinkers are ditching the bar cart for cold brew, swapping tequila for wellness shots and turning drinks into daily rituals. charmedlightph – By comparison, 57% of Gen X still reach for alcohol as their social elixir of choice. The 'sober-curious' movement is booming, with 60% of Gen Z open to trying low- or no-alcohol drinks. More than half of all U.S. adults are cutting back for wellness or lifestyle reasons. And it's not just about cutting alcohol — it's about feeling better. Nearly three-quarters of Gen Z now choose drinks based on functional benefits like energy, gut health or mood — the highest of any generation. Think prebiotic sodas, electrolyte mixes or a $7 iced latte that just makes you feel like you have your life together. '[Gen Z] wants their beverages to do more and be anchored in a real purpose,' said Melissa Abbott, vice president at the Hartman Group, a market research firm that specializes in the food and beverage industry. 3 Nearly three-quarters of Gen Z now choose drinks based on functional benefits like energy, gut health or mood — the highest of any generation. Tamara Beckwith Instead of cracking open a hard seltzer, young adults are heading to late-night coffee bars, sober-friendly gatherings and drink spots to sip mocktails and matcha lattes — reimagining what a night out looks like. 'They're looking for alignment of goals, an enhancement of their lived experience … not just the absence of alcohol,' said Jen Batchelor, CEO of Kin Euphorics, a non-alcoholic brand for social drinking backed by supermodel Bella Hadid. Still, one beverage remains king. Nearly three-quarters of U.S. adults say they'd rather give up booze than their morning brew. 3 Coffee remains America's most essential beverage with nearly three-quarters of U.S. adults saying they'd rather give up booze than their morning brew. Ilona – For Gen Z, coffee culture has become a full-blown 'social ritual.' They customize orders (75%), try new ones monthly (72%) and follow social media for inspiration (74%). 'Talkability really does matter,' said Dibba Iran-Parasti, marketing director at Blank Street Coffee. 'When we drop a new drink, it generates thousands of conversations almost instantly.'

Keurig to Post Q2 Earnings: What Is in the Cards for Investors?
Keurig to Post Q2 Earnings: What Is in the Cards for Investors?

Yahoo

time5 days ago

  • Business
  • Yahoo

Keurig to Post Q2 Earnings: What Is in the Cards for Investors?

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. KDP is scheduled to release second-quarter 2025 results on July 24, before the market opens. The company is expected to register top-line growth when it reports the quarterly results. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly revenues is pegged at $4.14 billion, indicating a 5.5% rise from the year-ago period's consensus estimate for KDP's second-quarter earnings is pegged at 49 cents per share, suggesting 8.9% growth from 45 cents reported in the prior-year quarter. (Find the latest EPS estimates and surprises on Zacks Earnings Calendar.)In the last reported quarter, the company delivered an earnings surprise of 10.53%. KDP has registered an earnings surprise of 3.1%, on average, in the trailing four quarters. Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc Quote What the Zacks Model Unveils for KDP Stock Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for Keurig this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that's not the case here. You can uncover the best stocks before they're reported with our Earnings ESP has a Zacks Rank #3 at present and an Earnings ESP of -0.01%. Key Factors to Note Ahead of KDP's Q2 Results Keurig is well-positioned to deliver a strong second-quarter 2025 performance, building on the momentum of a solid first quarter. Continued brand strength, strategic pricing actions and innovation-led growth are expected to remain key drivers. The company's expansion initiatives and focus on product innovation are acting as tailwinds, while the Refreshment Beverages segment continues to show robust momentum. Additionally, the recent GHOST energy acquisition is likely to further boost results through enhanced market presence and incremental particular, the U.S. Refreshment Beverages segment is expected to remain a growth engine, led by sustained performance in the carbonated soft drinks (CSD) category. Brands like Dr Pepper, Canada Dry and 7UP are gaining share, supported by impactful innovations such as Dr Pepper Blackberry and 7UP Tropical. Emerging brands, including Electrolit and Bloom Sparkling Energy, are also gaining traction and are likely to have contributed meaningfully to second-quarter top-line growth. The GHOST acquisition has already delivered a solid start and is expected to accelerate results as integration consumer-centric innovation strategy, backed by detailed scorecards measuring awareness, household penetration and loyalty, is expected to have supported continued market share gains in the quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Refreshment Beverages unit sales is pegged at $804 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 12.8%.On the international front, KDP anticipates improved growth in the second quarter, driven by late first-quarter price realization tied to inflation and the activation of stronger commercial strategies across key markets. In Mexico and Canada, momentum remains strong with brands like Penafiel, Crush and Dr Pepper, all of which benefit from strong local resonance. Continued pricing optimization and disciplined cost management are expected to have supported both top-line growth and margin expansion across international the company continues to face inflationary pressures, particularly in its Coffee segment, which has remained sluggish for some time. The segment continues to grapple with elevated green coffee costs, reduced brewer shipments and cautious consumer spending. While KDP implemented early price increases to mitigate inflation, the uneven timing of industry-wide pricing created short-term volume and mix challenges. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for sales in the Coffee unit is $264 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 10.8%. Valuation Picture From a valuation perspective, Keurig stock is trading at a discount relative to historical and industry benchmarks. With a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 16.03x, which is well below the five-year high of 23.33x and the Beverages - Soft Drinks industry's average of 17.96x, the stock offers compelling value for investors seeking exposure to the sector. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research The recent market movements show that KDP's shares have risen 7.2% in the past six months compared with the industry's growth of 5.9%. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Stocks With the Favorable Combination Here are some companies that, according to our model, have the right combination of elements to beat on earnings this reporting InBev SA/NV BUD, aka AB InBev, currently has an Earnings ESP of +7.06% and a Zacks Rank of 3. The company is likely to register a decline in the top line when it reports second-quarter 2025 numbers. The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $15.33 million, indicating a decline of 0.01% from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks Zacks Consensus Estimate for AB InBev's quarterly earnings per share is 89 cents, implying a 1.1% decrease from the year-ago quarter. The consensus mark for earnings has fallen by 2 cents in the past 30 days. BUD has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 10.9%, on Brands Corporation PRMB currently has an Earnings ESP of +1.38% and a Zacks Rank of 3. PRMB is anticipated to register growth in its top and bottom lines when it reports second-quarter 2025 results. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Primo Brands' quarterly revenues is pegged at $1.8 billion, indicating a surge of 275.5% from the figure reported in the prior-year consensus estimate for Primo Brands' bottom line has moved down by 2 cents in the past 30 days to 43 cents per share. This implies growth of 65.4% from the year-ago quarter's figure. PRMB has delivered an earnings beat of 3.5%, on average, in the trailing four Group, Inc. MO currently has an Earnings ESP of +1.03% and a Zacks Rank of 3. MO is anticipated to register top-line decline and bottom-line growth when it reports second-quarter 2025 results. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Altria Group revenues is pegged at $5.2 billion, indicating a decline of 1.7% from the figure reported in the year-ago consensus estimate for Altria's earnings has increased a penny in the past seven days to $1.37 per share. The consensus estimate implies a decline of 4.6% from the year-ago quarter's figure. MO has delivered an earnings beat of 1.3%, on average, in the trailing four quarters. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Altria Group, Inc. (MO) : Free Stock Analysis Report Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD) : Free Stock Analysis Report Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc (KDP) : Free Stock Analysis Report Primo Brands Corporation (PRMB) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research ( Zacks Investment Research

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