Latest news with #LaNada
Bangkok Post
4 days ago
- Climate
- Bangkok Post
Experts sound drought warning for next year
As Typhoon Wipha weakens, its immediate impacts, such as flooding in parts of the North, are gradually receding. However, experts are sounding the alarm over more serious challenges ahead, including flash floods, water shortages, and a potential drought crisis in 2026. The Hydro-Informatics Institute (HII) is warning that rainfall across Thailand is expected to decline by 4-9% during August and September. This is part of broader shifts tied to climate change, including the transition from La Niña to either neutral (La Nada) or El Niño conditions, factors that will affect Thailand's water availability well into next year. At a public forum titled "Water and Climate Alert: Rain Monitor for 2025 Storm Forecast", held on Wednesday, HII analysts warned extreme weather events are likely to increase in intensity and unpredictability. Sudden droughts, driven by fluctuating rainfall, are expected to emerge in the latter half of this year, particularly affecting southern and inland provinces. HII director Royboon Rassamethes said northern provinces such as Chiang Rai, Nan, and Phayao already experienced heavy rainfall this month, exceeding 150 mm per week in some areas. Despite current flooding, the concern is now centring on how rapidly water levels might decline, leaving reservoirs understocked and agricultural areas vulnerable to drought. Looking ahead, Thailand is projected to face a water shortage of over 4,450 million cubic metres by 2026. National water reserves fall short of the 12,000 million cubic metres needed to sustain critical demand. In response, authorities are being urged to speed up work on irrigation systems and large-scale water diversion plans, redirecting floodwaters into storage pools and high-demand agricultural zones. Mr Royboon said "the next four weeks are crucial", as accumulated rainfall could trigger more flash floods while simultaneously masking the onset of longer-term water scarcity. He urged the public to monitor forecasts, updated four times daily, and to use the ThaiWater application for 48-hour alerts at the sub-district level. From November to December, heavier-than-normal rainfall is expected across the western coast of southern Thailand, while eastern provinces will see typical monsoonal patterns. However, overall, 2025 rainfall is projected to be significantly lower than in 2024, underscoring the urgency of strategic water management. The HII is working closely with public and private partners to enhance forecasting accuracy. "By integrating drone technology and advanced monitoring tools, we are upgrading our real-time response capability. "These innovations will improve early warnings and support long-term planning for Thailand's water security," Mr Royboon said. Meanwhile, the aftermath of Typhoon Wipha continues to affect residents in northern Thailand, particularly in Nan province. Reporters say floodwaters have inundated parts of the city for three consecutive days, and although levels have begun to recede slightly, many areas remain submerged, some as deep as two metres. Roads leading into Nan City, such as the route from Ban Luang district to the Phan Ton intersection in the municipal area, remain underwater. While some vehicles are now partially visible, flood levels in the economic zone remain over one metre deep. Rescue teams are using boats to transport residents in and out of their homes, helping them access essential supplies, as aid cannot reach some locations.
Yahoo
09-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
90-degree weather close at hand in the Ozarks
We have yet to hit 90° in Springfield this year, but the average first 90-degree day is just days away on June 13. Parts of Western Missouri and Northwest Arkansas, however, have hit 90° already. In Joplin, 90° was achieved on Sunday, June 8, and 91° was reached in Fayetteville, Arkansas, the same day. It's not unusual for Western Missouri to reach 90° before Springfield. The average first 90-degree day in Joplin is May 29, roughly 2 weeks earlier in the year. Oddly enough, areas west of Springfield also reach 90° earlier. The average first 90-degree day in West Plains, for instance, is on June 10, and in Rolla the average first 90-degree day is June 4. The warmest temperature recorded in Springfield so far is 87°, which was recorded on June 8. The earliest first 90-degree day in Springfield was back in 1907 when the city achieved 90° on March 20. The latest first 90-degree day was on September 26, 1904! Springfield sees an average of 36 90-degree days and two 100-degree days each year. The most 90-degree days recorded in a single year was 86 back in 1954. The most 100-degree days in a single year were 22 in both 1954 and 1934. The last time Springfield recorded 5 or more 100-degree days in a summer was in 2022, when 8 days made the triple digits. There were zero in 2024 and two in 2023. These years produced an average number of 90-degree days, with 37 in 2024 and 39 in 2023. The 2025 summer outlook from the Ozarks First weather team suggests a slow start to the typical summer heat, which may result in a near-normal to slightly cooler-than-normal summer season. This is largely because it takes more energy to heat a wet environment versus a dry one. All the rain we've seen this spring may help hold back the heat a bit longer than normal. On a climatic scale, this summer pattern is shaping up to resemble 2017's pattern. We are coming off an El Niño last spring and are currently engaged in neutral conditions (La Nada). Spring 2017 came with heavy rain and flooding… Sound familiar? This led to a cooler-than-normal summer in 2017. Given the close parallel between 2017 and what we've seen in 2025, we are forecasting a cooler-than-normal summer in the Ozarks. Fingers crossed! Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
Yahoo
20-04-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Hot start to summer predicted for most states. Map shows where it'll be warmest
(NEXSTAR) – Ready for summer? So is the weather forecast. A seasonal forecast released by the Climate Prediction Center on Thursday shows a warmer-than-average outlook for nearly every state over the next three months. The map, which shows broad predictions for May, June and July, is colored in shades of yellow and orange. The darker the color, the more likely an area is to experience unseasonably warm weather. La Niña is over, NOAA announces. What comes next? The highest chance of hot weather is found in Nevada, Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico. The region has a 60% to 70% chance of hotter-than-normal weather over the next three months, according to the Climate Prediction Center. A dozen states across the West, South and New England aren't too far behind, also likely to see a warm start to summer. Only a small slice of the Upper Midwest and part of Alaska are shaded in white, which indicates equal chances of three outcomes: normal temperatures, above-average temperatures, and below-average temperatures. While nearly the entire U.S. is expected to see warm weather, it's a different story for rain. West of the Mississippi, most states are leaning toward below-average rain. That's bad news for the growing drought out West. Facebook sending out $40 payments to users over 'Like button' issue The East Coast and Gulf states, on the other hand, are expected to see more rain than average over the next three months. The seasonal predictions come after the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration declared an official end to La Niña last week. That leaves us in 'ENSO-neutral' conditions. This situation, affectionately nicknamed La Nada, means neither La Niña nor El Niño is present. Neutral 'La Nada' times can make predicting seasonal weather a bit more challenging. This less predictable, neutral status is expected to last through at least the summer. Starting in the fall, the chances of La Niña or El Niño returning start to grow. At this point, a La Niña winter looks more likely than El Niño for late 2025 and early 2026. Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
The Hill
18-04-2025
- Climate
- The Hill
Hot start to summer predicted for most states. Map shows where it'll be warmest
(NEXSTAR) – Ready for summer? So is the weather forecast. A seasonal forecast released by the Climate Prediction Center on Thursday shows a warmer-than-average outlook for nearly every state over the next three months. The map, which shows broad predictions for May, June and July, is colored in shades of yellow and orange. The darker the color, the more likely an area is to experience unseasonably warm weather. La Niña is over, NOAA announces. What comes next? The highest chance of hot weather is found in Nevada, Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico. The region has a 60% to 70% chance of hotter-than-normal weather over the next three months, according to the Climate Prediction Center. A dozen states across the West, South and New England aren't too far behind, also likely to see a warm start to summer. Only a small slice of the Upper Midwest and part of Alaska are shaded in white, which indicates equal chances of three outcomes: normal temperatures, above-average temperatures, and below-average temperatures. While nearly the entire U.S. is expected to see warm weather, it's a different story for rain. West of the Mississippi, most states are leaning toward below-average rain. That's bad news for the growing drought out West. The East Coast and Gulf states, on the other hand, are expected to see more rain than average over the next three months. The seasonal predictions come after the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration declared an official end to La Niña last week. That leaves us in 'ENSO-neutral' conditions. This situation, affectionately nicknamed La Nada, means neither La Niña nor El Niño is present. Neutral 'La Nada' times can make predicting seasonal weather a bit more challenging. This less predictable, neutral status is expected to last through at least the summer. Starting in the fall, the chances of La Niña or El Niño returning start to grow. At this point, a La Niña winter looks more likely than El Niño for late 2025 and early 2026.
The Hill
10-04-2025
- Climate
- The Hill
La Niña is over, NOAA announces. What comes next?
(NEXSTAR) – The weak La Niña that's been with us since winter has officially faded, the Climate Prediction Center said Thursday. The Center, a division of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), said that leaves us in 'ENSO-neutral' conditions. This situation, affectionately nicknamed La Nada, means neither La Niña nor El Niño is present. Neutral 'La Nada' times can make predicting seasonal weather a bit more challenging. 'Without an El Niño or La Niña signal present, other, less predictable, climatic factors will govern fall, winter and spring weather conditions,' climatologist Bill Patzert of with the Jet Propulsion Laboratory said in a NASA post. This less predictable, neutral status is expected to last through at least the summer. Senate hearing on daylight saving time: Could the US 'lock the clocks?' Starting in the fall, the chances of La Niña or El Niño returning start to grow. At this point, a La Niña winter looks more likely than El Niño for late 2025 and early 2026. A typical La Niña winter brings dry conditions across the southern half of the country, with extra rain and snow up north (especially in the Pacific Northwest and Ohio Valley). El Niño years are the opposite: cold, wet winters in California and the Southern U.S., but warm, dry conditions for the Pacific Northwest and the Ohio Valley. Whether we're in a La Niña year, El Niño year or neither is determined by sea surface temperatures near the equator over the Pacific Ocean. The temperature of the water and air above it can shift the position of the jet stream, which in turn impacts the types of weather observed on land.
