logo
Hot start to summer predicted for most states. Map shows where it'll be warmest

Hot start to summer predicted for most states. Map shows where it'll be warmest

The Hill18-04-2025
(NEXSTAR) – Ready for summer? So is the weather forecast.
A seasonal forecast released by the Climate Prediction Center on Thursday shows a warmer-than-average outlook for nearly every state over the next three months.
The map, which shows broad predictions for May, June and July, is colored in shades of yellow and orange. The darker the color, the more likely an area is to experience unseasonably warm weather.
La Niña is over, NOAA announces. What comes next?
The highest chance of hot weather is found in Nevada, Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico. The region has a 60% to 70% chance of hotter-than-normal weather over the next three months, according to the Climate Prediction Center.
A dozen states across the West, South and New England aren't too far behind, also likely to see a warm start to summer.
Only a small slice of the Upper Midwest and part of Alaska are shaded in white, which indicates equal chances of three outcomes: normal temperatures, above-average temperatures, and below-average temperatures.
While nearly the entire U.S. is expected to see warm weather, it's a different story for rain.
West of the Mississippi, most states are leaning toward below-average rain. That's bad news for the growing drought out West.
The East Coast and Gulf states, on the other hand, are expected to see more rain than average over the next three months.
The seasonal predictions come after the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration declared an official end to La Niña last week.
That leaves us in 'ENSO-neutral' conditions. This situation, affectionately nicknamed La Nada, means neither La Niña nor El Niño is present.
Neutral 'La Nada' times can make predicting seasonal weather a bit more challenging. This less predictable, neutral status is expected to last through at least the summer.
Starting in the fall, the chances of La Niña or El Niño returning start to grow. At this point, a La Niña winter looks more likely than El Niño for late 2025 and early 2026.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Hurricane Center Watching Possible Tropical Storm After Gil Downgraded
Hurricane Center Watching Possible Tropical Storm After Gil Downgraded

Newsweek

time12 hours ago

  • Newsweek

Hurricane Center Watching Possible Tropical Storm After Gil Downgraded

Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center (NHC) are monitoring a disturbance in the Atlantic that has the potential to develop into a tropical cyclone, after Hurricane Gil weakened into a tropical storm in the Pacific. Why It Matters The Atlantic Hurricane season has seen three named systems so far in 2025: Andrea, Barry and Chantal. Chantal brought heavy rain and flooding to North Carolina in early July. What To Know "A non-tropical area of low pressure located along a frontal boundary about 180 miles off the coast of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms," the NHC said in an update early on Sunday morning. "Environmental conditions are marginally favorable for this system to potentially become a tropical or subtropical depression or storm today or on Monday while it moves east-northeastward at about 10 mph, away from the coast of North Carolina. Environmental conditions become less conducive for development after Monday." This NHC map highlights the disturbances being monitored in the Atlantic. This NHC map highlights the disturbances being monitored in the Atlantic. National Hurricane Center The agency gave a 40-percent chance of cyclone formation within the next 48 hours, with the same likelihood projected for the next seven days. Another disturbance, this time in the central Atlantic, was also being monitored by the NHC. "A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in the next day or two," said the agency. "Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of the wave during the middle to latter part of next week while it moves generally west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic." This was given a 20-percent chance of formation through seven days. Tropical Storm Gil Tracker Meanwhile, Gil, which developed in the Pacific Ocean, had been downgraded to a tropical storm on Saturday after briefly reaching hurricane status. The NHC said on Saturday that Gil was located well east of the Hawaiian Islands, and that the system was weakening and was expected to become post-tropical on Sunday. NOAA imagery shows Gil over the Pacific Ocean. NOAA imagery shows Gil over the Pacific Ocean. NOAA What People Are Saying The National Hurricane Center said on X, Saturday: "We're now monitoring two systems in the Atlantic, each with a low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next seven days: "1. A frontal low off the coast of NC could acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics through Monday. "2. A tropical wave will move off the coast of Africa during the next day or two, and some development is possible over the central Atlantic later in the week." The National Hurricane Center's Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch said on X, Saturday: "Tropical Storm Gil…continues to steadily weaken as it moves over relatively cool sea surface temperatures. These trends should continue, with Gil losing tropical characteristics in ~36hrs, and eventually dissipating within the next four to five days." What Happens Next The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June through November, while the eastern Pacific hurricane season began on May 15 and lasts until November 30. The NHC says that August and September are typically the busiest months of the Atlantic season.

Tropical Storm Gil briefly becomes hurricane: See tracker
Tropical Storm Gil briefly becomes hurricane: See tracker

USA Today

timea day ago

  • USA Today

Tropical Storm Gil briefly becomes hurricane: See tracker

Tropical Storm Gil strengthened to become a hurricane in the Pacific Ocean before weakening again, according to the National Hurricane Center. Tropical Storm Gil strengthened to become a hurricane in the Pacific Ocean before weakening again into a tropical storm, the National Hurricane Center said Aug. 2. As of 5 a.m. Hawaii Standard Time on Saturday, Aug. 2, Tropical Storm Gil was about 1,250 miles west of the southern tip of Baja California, far from the Hawaiian islands. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect, according to the hurricane center, part of the National Weather Service. Gil was a tropical storm on Friday, Aug. 1, before becoming a hurricane overnight. Then, it was downgraded back to a tropical storm on Saturday morning. When a tropical storm's winds reach 74 mph, the storm officially becomes a hurricane. Maximum sustained winds decreased to 70 mph with higher gusts, forecasters said. Tropical storm-force winds extended outward to 140 miles from Gil's center. Context: A key sign of hurricane activity has flipped into high gear The storm is expected to continue weakening through the weekend, the hurricane center said. It will be come post-tropical as early as Sunday. It was moving west-northwest near 20 mph, and it was expected to continue through the weekend. By Monday, the system is forecast to move more slowly westward. Also in the Pacific, Tropical Depression Iona, over 1,400 miles west of Honolulu, continued weakening as it was expected to cross the International Date Line on Saturday, according to a hurricane center advisory. Tropical Storm Gil path tracker This forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. Tropical Storm Gil spaghetti models This forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. How do hurricanes form? Hurricanes are born in the tropics, above warm water. Clusters of thunderstorms can develop over the ocean when water temperatures exceed 80 degrees Fahrenheit. If conditions are right, the clusters swirl into a storm known as a tropical wave or tropical depression. A tropical depression becomes a named tropical storm once its sustained wind speeds reach 39 miles per hour. When its winds reach 74 mph, the storm officially becomes a hurricane. Prepare now for hurricanes Delaying potentially life-saving preparations could mean waiting until it's too late. "Get your disaster supplies while the shelves are still stocked, and get that insurance checkup early, as flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period," NOAA recommends.

Slow Tropical Development Possible By Early Week Near The Southeast Coast
Slow Tropical Development Possible By Early Week Near The Southeast Coast

Yahoo

timea day ago

  • Yahoo

Slow Tropical Development Possible By Early Week Near The Southeast Coast

Slow tropical development is possible off the Southeast or mid-Atlantic coasts over the next few days. A sluggish cold front is pushing through the South this weekend and an area of low pressure is expected to develop along it. These areas of spin can, on occasion, generate sustained thunderstorms and an area of spin as they move northeastward away from the Southeast. (MORE: 5 Different Ways Tropical Storms And Hurricanes Can Form, Including From Tropical Waves To Gyres) Chances of formation into a tropical depression or storm are currently low, but this is a favored area for development climatologically. Regardless of tropical development, the frontal boundary that gives us this opportunity for development will also pool abundant moisture and cooler air across the Southeast. The moisture could be enough to cause flooding in Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina or Tennessee this weekend. The next named storm to form will be named "Dexter." Southeast, Lesser Antilles Favored Development Areas In August A steep increase in tropical activity has historically occurred over the next 4-6 weeks across the Atlantic basin. Tropical development can occur anywhere from the Gulf and Southeast coasts to the Central Atlantic and even off the coast of Canada. (MORE: Hurricane Season's Main Event: Why August Typically Kicks Off The Atlantic's Most Active Time) This is because water temperatures are near their annual peak, Saharan air has typically mixed out, wind shear is decreasing and instability across the basin is high. These are all favorable conditions for tropical formation. Jonathan Belles has been a digital meteorologist for for 9 years and also assists in the production of videos for The Weather Channel en español. His favorite weather is tropical weather, but also enjoys covering high-impact weather and news stories and winter storms. He's a two-time graduate of Florida State University and a proud graduate of St. Petersburg College.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store