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Military, mullahs, and ISI agents: The collapse of democracy in Pakistan
A closer look at the Pakistani state over the years demonstrates that the 'democratic deficit', coupled with the rise of Islamist forces supported by the ruling elites, contributed to Pakistan's failed state syndrome read more Chief of Army Staff of Pakistan and now the 'field marshal' Asim Munir holds a microphone during his visit at the Tilla Field Firing Ranges (TFFR) to witness the Exercise Hammer Strike, a high-intensity field training exercise conducted by the Pakistan Army's Mangla Strike Corps, in Mangla, Pakistan May 1, 2025. Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) via Reuters The future of Pakistan is quite bleak and facing a crisis of its very existence. Some of the major factors responsible for the present crisis of Pakistan are the weakening of the political institutionalisation process, the rise of Islamist terrorist and radicals and their role in the political process, co-option of these groups by the Army, social-cultural strife, political decay are some of the factors responsible for ' democratic deficit' in Pakistan. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Introduction The cowardly and monstrous act carried out by the Pakistan-sponsored terrorists group The Resistant Front, a proxy of Lashkar-e-Taiba on April 22, 2025, at Pahalgam (in the Indian Union territory of Jammu and Kashmir) brought out the question of whether the Pakistan political establishment is appeasing both the Mullah and the Military, under whose mercy the government runs. The second aspect that needs to be examined is whether Pakistan is facing an existential crisis. The third question that requires attention is whether the international community will declare Pakistan an evil state, considering its track record of patronising and sponsoring terrorism. 'Democratic Deficit' and Co-option of Radical Islamist networks in the Political Process in Pakistan The prolonged political instability and 'democratic deficit' which has plagued the Pakistani political system over the years has put Pakistan in a blackspot. One of the major factors that contributed to the present chaos in Pakistan, which put both the social and political systems in a nadir, is the unholy nexus between the military and the mullahs who operate in collusion with each other and that prevented the flourishing of democracy in Pakistan. The genesis of the growing role of radical Islamist forces in Pakistan's politics can be traced back to creation in 1947. Muhammad Ali Jinnah, considered to be the founder of Pakistan, used Islam as a tool to mobilise the Muslim masses for the creation of Pakistan. It has even been argued by Indian Journalist that Jinnah has used the irregular army in the form of terrorists to wage war against India in 1947 and 1965. In this context, Akbar further writes, ' Pakistan invented modern terrorism'. The same policy that the political establishment is continuing now. As such, the nexus between the radical jehadi groups and the Pakistani political establishment was deep-rooted, as Christina Lamb writes in his book Waiting for Allah: Pakistan's Struggle for Democracy. However, the roots for such nexus were manifested more glaringly in the regime of Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto, who systematically cultivated these radicalist and jehadi forces to achieve his power consolidation at the domestic polity and at the same time to give greater teeth in the country's foreign policy plank. It may be underlined here that his successor, General Zia ul Haq, also gave a greater push to the nexus between the army and mullahs in Pakistan to garner necessary support. Even late Benazir Bhutto, during her term, constantly cultivated these mullahs and the military to ensure legitimacy for her regime. Thus, the military and mullahs, along with Pakistan's notorious and evil intelligence agency Inter Service Intelligence (ISI) played a critical role in the upsurge of radicalisation of Pakistan's politics which provided an impetus to the growing Jihadi culture in Pakistan. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD 'Greedy State', Pakistan's Army and Radicalisation It is not just the radicalisation of politics that happened, but Pakistan's political elites started radicalising the educational system, which provided the fertile soil for the growth of madrassas. These madrassas' theological education, which contradicts modern-day secular education, has also contributed to the rise of radicalization of the educational system. As the theological educational system suited the interests of the political elites of Pakistan, it produced mercenaries under the guidance of religious education. The basic objective of Pakistan's army, as Christian Fair argues in her book titled Fighting to the End: The Pakistan Army's Way of War, is to make Pakistan a ' Greedy State'. According to Fair ' Greedy states pursue revisionist policies to increase their prestige, to spread their ideology or to propagate their religion'. Thus, these mercenaries produced in the madrassas of Pakistan became an asset for its army and the devil Pakistan's intelligence wing, ISI , in achieving ulterior goals. The state patronage of terrorism has been admitted by the Pakistani political elite over the years. The admission of Pakistan's Defence Minister Khawaja Asif in his interview to Sky News, where he accepted that Pakistan is supporting and sponsoring global terrorism. As Asif, the Defence Minister of Pakistan, stated, Pakistan 'have been doing this dirty work for the United States for about three decades and the West, including Britain'. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Similarly, a former high official of Pakistan Husain Haqqani in his book Pakistan: Between Mosque and Military stated, 'This political commitment to an ideological state gradually evolved into a strategic commitment to jihadi ideology—ideology of holy war.' Thus, the open admission by Pakistan's Defence Minister, as well as Haqqani, reflects the nature of the unholy nexus between the Pakistan army and Madrassas, which in turn produces radical Islamist terrorist forces. The nexus between the Pakistan Army and Madrassas was succinctly analysed by Siegfried O Wolf in an article titled 'Pakistan and State-Sponsored Terrorism in South Asia'. In this article, Wolf observes that: 'Islamic teaching was incorporated into the military curriculum for recruits. Furthermore, military organizations had to follow increasingly religious guidelines, and the promotion of officers to higher ranks was largely based on religious conviction (the more conservative, the better), rather than merit or years of service. Islamic clerics (mullahs) belonging to the conservative Deobandi stream in Islam and radicalized groups like Jamaat-i-Islami were appointed to work with the soldiers'. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Some of these factors are responsible for the present radicalisation of the army in Pakistan, which in turn contributed to the breeding of jihadi army. The same was reflected in the hateful speech of Pakistan Army Chief Asim Munir, now the 'Field Marshal', just before the Pahalgam incident. Munir stated, ' Pakistanis are fundamentally different from Hindus in religion, culture, traditions, thoughts, and ambitions.' By employing these religious rhetorics, Munir wanted to mobilise the Pakistan Army as well as Islamist mercenaries. This helped Munir to consolidate his stronghold over Pakistan's politics. Evil ISI and Islamist Terror Network Nexus in Pakistan Similarly, the notorious ISI, known for its devilish intent, has also been actively involved in nurturing terrorism in Pakistan. As some of the above studies suggest, the ISI has a deep connection with the madrasas of Pakistan and uses them to recruit terrorists and indoctrinate them with religious zealotry. Available literature suggests that the terrorist groups of Pakistan are hand in glove with the Pakistani establishment. The same was highlighted by noted South Asian expert Ashley J Tellis in his monograph titled The Menace That Is Lashkar-e-Taiba. In this monograph Tellis underlined that the dreaded Pakistan based terrorist group 'Lashkar-e-Taiba, bolstered by Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence Directorate, this Wahhabi group promotes the vision of a universal Islamic caliphate through tableegh and jihad—preaching and armed struggle.' STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD The notorious ISI of Pakistan, along with LeT has also created other prominent terrorist groups like the Jaish e-Mohammad (JeM), the Harkat-ul-Mujahideen (HuM), Hizb-Ul-Ul-Mujahideen, Shipai-e-Saheba Pakistan, Laskar-e Jangvii Pakistan, United Jehad Council (JUC), Al Badr, just to name a few. All the terrorists are recruited by ISI from the religious madrassas of Pakistan and are indoctrinated with a hatred ideology. The South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP) has listed such Pakistan-based terrorist groups and also outlined how Pakistan's ISI is nurturing these terrorist groups. A recent book written by Abhinav Pandya, titled Jaish-e-Muhammad: Inside the Terrifying World of the Prophet's Army, has also analysed the nexus between Pakistan's ISI, madrassas and terror groups. In his book, Pandya analyses that Deobandi Ideology largely influences these Pakistani terrorist groups nurtured under ISI . Similar view can be inferred from the writing of the former US National Security Advisor, Lt Gen (retd) H R McMaster, in his book At War with Ourselves: My Tour of Duty in the Trump White House, where he exposed the nefarious link between Pakistan's ISI and terrorist groups. The book written by Pakistani Scholar Medha Afzhal titled Pakistan Under Siege: Extremism, Society and the State, highlights the link among the ISI, terrorist groups, as well as the military establishment in Pakistan. The Pakistan establishment uses these terrorist groups as a front to wage an asymmetric warfare against India. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Looking at the active penetration of ISI in the Pakistan political establishment Owen L Sirrs in his book titled Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence Directorate: Covert Action and Internal Operations, argues that 'ISI plans and executes Pakistan's proxy war strategy. From Kashmir to Afghanistan, it has created., trained armed militant groups'. Sirrs argues that 'it is a state within a state'. It is also a fact that though Pakistan joined the US war in Afghanistan after the 9/11 incident, on the other hand, it provided a safe haven to Osama Bin Laden, the al-Qaida chief, and his entourage. For all these reasons, Pakistan has become the breeding ground of global terrorism. The Financial Action Task Force (FATF) has also put Pakistan in the grey list. The international community also looks at Pakistan suspiciously. A closer look at the above studies suggests that the political system in Pakistan is largely under the control of the Army, ISI and the Madrassas, which are in fact the de facto rulers of the country. The election, choice of Prime Minister, as well as the decision-making process, both internal and external in Pakistan, are carried out by the Army, ISI and the radical Islamist madrassas. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Over the years the notorious ISI of Pakistan in connivance with its political establishment and the military used these jihadi terrorist networks operating from Pakistan's soil to wage an asymmetric war against India. Whether it is the Air India flight hijack 1999, or the attack on India's Parliament 2001, the 26/11 attack in Mumbai 2007, Uri and Pathankot attack, the Pulwama attack in 2019, just to name a few. All these incidents are being waged by Pakistan's rogue ISI along with JeM, LeT, with the active connivance of some of the splinter terror groups mentioned above. Some of the dreaded and UN-designated Pakistani terrorists like Masood Azhar, Hafeez Sayeed, and Hizbul Mujahideen terrorist Syed Sallaudhin (who fled from India, operating from Pakistan-occupied Jammu and Kashmir (PoJK)) are operating in Pakistan with support from ISI and the Pakistan establishment and carrying out all the terrorist activities against India. The same is the case with another dreaded UN-designated terrorist, Dawood Ibrahim, a proclaimed offender and responsible for the Mumbai blast in 1993, under whose name a Red Corner notice has been issued by Interpol at the request of India, has also been given shelter in Pakistan. As a Russian scholar, Vyacheslav Y Belokrenitsky, in an article titled 'Islam and Islamic radicalism in Pakistan', underlines that radicalism and terrorist activities in India are 'actively supported by Pakistani official circles'. The above view of Belokrenitsky reflects the kind of unholy alliance that exists between the Pakistan establishment and the terrorists, which it breeds within Pakistan. Pakistan is using these terrorists to wage an asymmetric warfare against India. The then Minister of State of Home Affairs of India, G Kishan Reddy in a response to the questionnaire in Rajya Sabha (Upper House of Indian Parliament), in 2021 mentioned that ' there are several terrorist training camps in Pakistan occupied Jammu and Kashmir (POJK) which are used for training and subsequently for infiltrating trained militants/terrorists into J&K for terrorist activities. Some of these training camps are still active and imparting training to militants.' Similarly, a recent report of the Indian army suggests that around 150-200 terror camps are functioning in POJK with the active connivance of the Pakistan government. It is also a fact that Pakistan is not only sponsoring and patronising terrorism but is also involved in active radicalisation and terror funding, and trying to play the Islamic card. Similarly, reports also suggest that both Pakistan's army and its evil ISI are engaged in narco-terror activities to fund and patronise terrorism. Along with this, Pakistan is facing challenges internally from Baluchistan, Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa, and also in Pakistan-occupied Gilgit-Baltistan(POGB) and Pakistan-occupied Jammu and Kashmir (POJK). In this context. Already, Baluchistan declared its de-facto independence from Pakistan. The rogue nature of Pakistan's strategic conduct poses a substantial challenge to both regional and global security. It is a fact that Pakistan is not only posing a threat to India, but all the South Asian countries are facing the same. The increasing infiltration of Pakistan's ISI in Nepal is giving headaches to the Nepalese Authority. One may underline here that Turkey under Erdogan is also strongly supporting Pakistan's nefarious activities in Nepal. Similarly, the radicalisation of Bangladesh's politics by Pakistan over the years resulted in the overthrow of the democratically elected Sheikh Hasina government and subsequent chaos in the country. Sri Lanka and the Maldives have also faced the threat of radicalism and terrorism originating from Pakistan. The case of Afghanistan is not much different. Since 1979, the radicalisation of Afghanistan and subsequent chaos in the country were largely orchestrated by Pakistan. Over the years, Pakistan exported terrorism to Afghanistan and Central Asia to achieve its ' strategic depth'. Both Central Asian countries and Russia have also accused Pakistan of fomenting trouble. Even many Chechen and Central Asian terror groups obtained their training from Pakistan. European countries, as well as the United States, are constantly accusing Pakistan of its role in the proliferation of global terrorism. In the past, the Trump Administration, in its first term, withheld financial aid worth 250 million US dollars to Pakistan for its devilish role of patronizing terrorism. In 2018, President Trump tweeted that 'They [Pakistan] give safe haven to the terrorists we [the US] hunt in Afghanistan, with little help'. Pakistan's dark history and its involvement in nurturing and sponsoring terrorism pose a substantial security threat not only to India but also to global security. The global community is constantly raising their apprehension over Pakistan's tacit support for terrorism. Along with Islamabad's role in patronising global terrorism, there is a growing sectarian conflict, a lack of effective governance, as the political process was largely hijacked by the military, mullahs and the ISI. As a known Pakistani scholar, Ayesha Jalal, in an article titled 'Does Democracy have a Future in Pakistan?' published in the Journal of Democracy, writes, 'Pakistan has been imploding in slow motion for decades'. She further writes, 'The shortest route to power in Pakistan is to win the army's favour.' The growing preponderance of the army in the political process, increasing role of religious madrassas, as well as a failed electoral democracy over the years, as well as sectarian strife and growing societal conflict, endemic poverty and lack of economic development, make Pakistan a perfect case for a failed state. Pakistan's Role in Pehalgam Terror Attack The recent massacre of 26 innocent civilians at Pahalgam by the Pakistan terrorists in collusion with local terrorists reflects the nefarious design of Pakistan. Soon after the attack, the Pakistan-sponsored and supported terror module, The Resistance Front (TRF), a proxy of Lashkar-e-Taiba, took responsibility for the attack. This terror group is a frontal organisation of LeT and JeM, the two dreaded Pakistan-based terror groups. The TRF was also involved in an earlier terror attack in August 2024 when it attacked a bus carrying pilgrims. The primary objective of this terror module is to recruit local people to terror groups of LeT and JeM. The TRF also has linkages with the official terror enterprises of Pakistan, ISI. Though the TRF was a banned terror group from January 2023. As reports suggest, this terror group, TRF, uses phrases like ' resistance' to create a new narrative, but the core objective is to pose a substantial threat to the peace and tranquillity of Jammu and Kashmir. The April 22, attack by terrorists on innocent civilians in Pehalgam is a part of the strategy on the part of the Pakistan Army to perpetuate its cross-border terrorism, which it has been doing over the decades. As news reports suggest, even a retired Pakistan army soldier is involved in the terror attack. The report submitted by the National Investigation Agency(NIA) of India directly indicates the role of the Pakistan-sponsored terrorist group LeT, Pakistan's monstrous intelligence wing, ISI and the radicalised Pakistan army for the attack. The report also highlights the involvement of local terror sympathizers at Pehalgam who facilitated the terror attack. Pakistan's Global Isolation The recent Pakistan-sponsored terror attack at Pahalgam resulted the international community condemning the barbarity and the heinous act of Pakistan in sponsoring terrorism. The US Department of State mentioned that 'the United States stands with India and strongly condemns the terrorist attack in Pahalgam'. As reported, 'President Trump strongly condemned the terror attack and expressed full support to India to bring to justice the perpetrators of this heinous attack. India and the United States stand together in the fight against terror'. Similarly, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated, 'This brutal crime has no justification whatsoever. We expect that its organisers and perpetrators will face a deserved punishment. I would like to reiterate our commitment to further increasing cooperation with Indian partners in fighting terrorism in all its forms and manifestations.' The UN Security Council in a Press Briefing on April 25, 2025, 'strongly condemned the deadly terrorist attack in Jammu and Kashmir on Tuesday that killed at least 26 tourists and left many more injured, calling for accountability and international cooperation to bring the perpetrators to justice'. Conclusion A closer look at the Pakistani state over the years demonstrates that the 'democratic deficit', coupled with the rise of Islamist forces supported by the ruling elites, contributed to Pakistan's failed state syndrome. The ruling elites of Pakistan employed the radicalist forces as a tool to ensure legitimacy for their rule. The growing nexus between the Army, ISI and the Jehadi forces in Pakistan has also further deepened the democratic crisis. This failed state syndrome, over the years, has also been posing a substantial threat to Pakistan's very existence. The author teaches at the School of International Studies, JNU, New Delhi. Views expressed in the above piece are personal and solely those of the author; they do not necessarily reflect Firstpost views.
Memri
20-06-2025
- Politics
- Memri
It Is Not Just About Regime Change – It Is About Reshaping The Region: The Post-Ayatollahs Iran Has To Include Non-Persians
The solution to Balochistan's 77-year plight is not regime change in Tehran or Islamabad. The solution to Balochistan's decades-long occupation is to give full control of the republic of a united Balochistan to its own people. Baloch protester holds a placard. (Source: Twitter) Balochis flying the flag of Balochistan. (Source: CIA) Not The Mullahs Nor The Shah Both Iran and Pakistan are repressing, persecuting, jailing, and massacring the Baloch people. Today's Mullah regime in Iran is executing our people on bogus charges, demolishing Baloch villages to pave the way to shift its capital Tehran to Makuran,[1] in Balochistan's Chabahar coastal regions, tomorrow the Pahlavi regime will continue the legacy of Khamenei by suppressing the Baloch nation as his father Reza Shah Pahlavi in 1973 helped Pakistan's Prime Minister Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto quell our legitimate independent movement.[2] We desire to inform all those people who are helping install Reza Pahlavi in Tehran after expelling Khamenei, that their money, blood, and efforts will be wasted if they do not include Baloch, Kurds, Ahwazis, and the other non-Persian ethnic nations that comprise 50 of the population as stakeholders in this entire process. Khamenei is funding proxies to harm Israel and the Middle East, the Pahlavi will continue developing the Iranian nuclear program with a beardless face and diplomatic attire. A placard reads: "Iran is a country of 70 nations. A coalition of parties. One person [referring to Reza Pahlavi] is not an attorney for the whole country. Any coalition of any kind, if it is going to happen, must be formed with all parties." (Source: Twitter) *Mir Yar Baloch is a Baloch writer, scholar, political scientist, Baloch nationalist leader, member of the secular Free Balochistan Movement, and special advisor to MEMRI's Balochistan Studies Project.
Hindustan Times
18-06-2025
- Politics
- Hindustan Times
Iran parliament ‘burning' American flag, chanting ‘Death to America' amid Israel conflict? Truth behind video
A video showing Iranian parliament members chanting 'death to America' while burning the American flag surfaced on social media amid Tehran's conflict with Israel. In the clip, almost a dozen lawmakers can be seen lighting a paper US flag on the parliament floor. However, the video is old. The video, from 2018, shows Iranian lawmakers demonstrating against President Donald Trump's decision to pull out of the 2015 international nuclear deal. The MPs had staged a protest, chanting 'Death to America'. At the time, Iran's parliament speaker, Ali Larijani, said: 'If Europe and important countries like Russia and China fill this international vacuum (in the deal), perhaps there will be a way to continue. Otherwise, the Islamic Republic of Iran will bring them (US) to their senses with its nuclear actions.' Read More: Who will succeed Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei if Israel takes him down? Here are top 5 contenders "They have to know that under such circumstances, Iran has no commitment to remain in the nuclear position it was in before." Re-sharing the video on social media, one person wrote: 'In Iranian Parliament, MPs burn the American flag while chanting 'Death to America,' and threaten to use a nuclear bomb against the American homeland. Iran is a BIGGER PROBLEM FOR US.' 'In #Iran Parliament, Mullah MPs burnt the #USA flag while chanting 'Death to America,' & also threaten to use a nuclear bomb against the American homeland,' a second one said on X, platform formerly known as Twitter. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump said Wednesday he doesn't want to carry out a US strike on Iran but suggested he stands ready to act. The 78-year-old further warned Tehran about American troops joining Tel Aviv. 'I'm not looking to fight," Trump told reporters in the Oval Office. "But if it's a choice between fighting and having a nuclear weapon, you have to do what you have to do.' Read More: Whoopi Goldberg compares US to Iran in fiery clash with Alyssa Farah Griffin; 'They just keep hanging Black people' Trump earlier on Wednesday told reporters that it's not 'too late' for Iran to give up its nuclear program. 'I may do it, I may not do it,' Trump said of a potential U.S. strike in another exchange with reporters at the White House on Wednesday. 'I mean, nobody knows what I'm going to do.' 'Nothing is finished until it is finished,' he added, signaling a decision could soon. 'The next week is going to be very big — maybe less than a week."
Indian Express
10-06-2025
- Politics
- Indian Express
Restraint in our reaction praised: Tharoor; flagged Pakistan military-terrorist nexus: Prasad
Congress MP Shashi Tharoor returned with his multi-party delegation Tuesday and said that many people respected the restraint shown by India in its reaction while BJP leader Ravi Shankar Prasad said that his team conveyed the message that India's response was aimed at terror bases, and flowed from the conviction that an Indian life mattered as much as an American or European but the 'military-terrorist nexus in Pakistan' was the main hurdle in peace. Tharoor's delegation went to the US, Panama, Guyana, Brazil and Colombia. The team, led by Prasad, travelled to the UK, France, Germany, EU, Italy and Denmark, wrapping it up on June 7. After landing at the Delhi airport, Tharoor said, 'We were all very pleased with the way all the five countries we went to received us. We thought we had good results everywhere. We had very high-quality meetings — Presidents, PMs, Vice Presidents, very senior interlocutors.' 'In fact, many of the people we spoke to specifically expressed respect for the restraint we have shown in our reaction,' he said. 'Not only did everyone understand and accept our point of view, but even the responses from American lawmakers were strongly in our favour… Pakistan's position is extremely weak. They claim they haven't done anything and that India attacked them without provocation, but no one was willing to buy that argument,' he said. At a press conference in New Delhi, Prasad said, 'We said that each Indian government wanted good relations with Pakistan. Prime Minister (Narendra) Modi himself called them for his swearing-in (ceremony) and also visited Pakistan later. But we told them about the military-terrorist nexus in Pakistan. The terrorists do the dirty work of their military. That is why peace has never been possible.' 'We discussed the historical links between Pakistan and India. But today we (India) are the fourth-largest economy, and they (Pakistan) still go around with a begging bowl. We said we never started even one of the four wars we fought with Pakistan, and there were agreements after each,' Prasad said. 'We told them about the Mumbai terror attack and the Parliament attack, and also London, New York, Germany and France attacks, adding that each had some or the other connection with Pakistan, with the terrorists either having their origins in Pakistan or having undergone their training there,' he said. The delegation, he said, pointed out that while the last IMF loan India took was in 1991, Pakistan had taken 25 IMF loans till date that have been diverted to purchase arms. 'We said that the Pahalgam terror attack happened on April 22, while General Munir's speech like a Mullah general and Jihadi general had happened on April 15,' Prasad said. He said that India had hit only terror bases at night when it responded during Operation Sindoor, and informed Pakistan the next day that it had not damaged any building apart from terror bases, and would respond if Pakistan tried to strike back. On the Indus Water Treaty that used to send 80% of the water to Pakistan — something that Indian farmers can get — Prasad said that the Preamble to the treaty said it was to promote friendship and goodwill. 'That does not exist today. We have kept the treaty in abeyance,' he said. The delegation found Germany's approach to be very positive and supportive towards India. 'We asked what about the human rights of the victims of terror? They said they agreed with us,' Prasad said and underlined that countries were impressed by India's economic growth story and digital strides. 'We said Pakistan is the biggest factory of terrorism and showed connections of all terrorists with Pakistan,' Prasad said, adding, 'Terrorists should know they are not safe even in their homes.' He said that delegation member and Congress leader Amar Singh spoke about 'narco-terrorism' emanating from Pakistan in his discussions in the countries. With PTI inputs
News18
11-05-2025
- Politics
- News18
The Indo-Pak 'Understanding' Is An Undeclared Indian Win
Last Updated: Pakistan now understands that any future reliance on terrorism will invite a full-spectrum declaration of war from India. While it will be debated whether India should have escalated Operation Sindoor into full-scale hostilities — or perhaps even all-out war — it is important to understand why the current 'understanding" is an undeclared Indian victory, not a peace deal imposed by external pressure, as some are attempting to portray. 1. Modi has redefined the limits of tolerance with Pakistan. India has signaled that Pakistan's nuclear blackmail will no longer deter it from taking decisive action — even on Pakistani soil — against the so-called 'impregnable wall" of the Pakistan military. India has struck deep into Rawalpindi, the very cradle of Pakistan's military machine. Pakistan Army Chief General Asim Munir has been metaphorically reduced to his base ideological identity — that of a frothing 'Mullah." This symbolic diminution carries long-term consequences for the army's perceived supremacy within the Pakistani state. In recent days, Pakistan's civil society has witnessed the visible humiliation of the military's claim to be the ultimate 'defender of the Pakistani state." For the first time, it is now conceivable that the Pakistani military may be relegated to the barracks. 2. The kinetic response to Operation Sindoor has been halted — on a condition. Pakistan now understands that any future reliance on terrorism will invite a full-spectrum declaration of war from India. This reflects Prime Minister Modi's preparedness to escalate without warning in response to any credible, Pakistan-sponsored terrorist attack. Formulaic denials, hollow declarations of innocence, and vague claims of operational ambiguity from the Pakistan military are no longer accepted as justifications or shields. This marks a decisive break from the old status quo and will weigh heavily on the minds of Pakistani military planners. They must now abandon the strategy of low-cost, low-intensity 'jihad by chicanery" against India — or risk pushing the region, and perhaps humanity, toward catastrophe. This doctrine aligns with strategic principles adopted by nations like Israel, the United States, and Russia. While this is not the beginning of a general 'era of war," Modi has made it clear that India will not hesitate to pursue a 'just war" when its territorial integrity is threatened. 4. India may reconsider its 'No First Use" nuclear posture. It is increasingly possible that India may revise its NFU policy in the near term to underscore its willingness to respond with overwhelming force if provoked. Even if not currently under formal review, this is a strategic imperative India must weigh seriously to restore credible deterrence. 5. Operation Sindoor is not over – it has transformed. It continues under a new guise: as a long-term diplomatic, trade, economic, and water offensive aimed at systematically raising the costs for Pakistan's continued provocations. These non-kinetic actions rest on internationally recognised legal and moral grounds, giving Pakistan little room to maneuver. It is an undeclared siege – unseen but deeply felt. 6. India's anti-terror campaign is entering an unconventional phase. New strategies are being employed to challenge Pakistan's territorial and ideological coherence. While it would be imprudent to list these methods publicly, it is sufficient to say that the Pakistani state is now facing the real prospect of an existential crisis – unless it changes course swiftly and decisively. Views expressed in the above piece are personal and solely those of the author. They do not necessarily reflect News18's views. First Published: May 11, 2025, 12:25 IST
